Eiropas Komisijas prognozes Latvijas tautsaimniec\u012bbai: M\u0113rens optimisms un stabiliz\u0101cijas paz\u012bmes<\/p>\n
Eiropas Komisija (EK) \u0161ogad prognoz\u0113 Latvijas ekonomikas izaugsmi 1% apm\u0113r\u0101, kas ir neliels uzlabojums sal\u012bdzin\u0101jum\u0101 ar pavasar\u012b sniegtaj\u0101m apl\u0113s\u0113m. \u0160is m\u0113renais, tom\u0113r optimistiskais skaitlis sniedz pamatu cer\u012bb\u0101m uz pak\u0101penisku atvese\u013co\u0161anos p\u0113c iepriek\u0161\u0113j\u0101 gada stagn\u0101cijas perioda. L\u012bdz\u0101s Latvijai, Igaunijai tiek prognoz\u0113ta 0,6% izaugsme, savuk\u0101rt Lietuva var\u0113tu sasniegt 2,4% tautsaimniec\u012bbas pieaugumu.<\/p>\n
Paredzams, ka tuv\u0101kajos gados Latvijas bruto iek\u0161zemes kopprodukts (IKP) turpin\u0101s k\u0101pt: 2026. gad\u0101 prognoz\u0113ts 1,7% pieaugums, bet 2027. gad\u0101 \u2013 1,9%. K\u0101 uzsver Eiropas Komisijas ekonomikas un finan\u0161u lietu, nodok\u013cu un muitas komis\u0101rs Valdis Dombrovskis, galvenie izaugsmes dzin\u0113jsp\u0113ki b\u016bs gan priv\u0101t\u0101 pat\u0113ri\u0146a pieaugums, ko veicin\u0101s algas k\u0101pums, gan ar\u012b invest\u012bciju aktiviz\u0113\u0161an\u0101s, \u012bpa\u0161i pateicoties Eiropas Savien\u012bbas (ES) fondu atbalstam. \u0160is ir b\u016btisks sign\u0101ls, ka Eiropas l\u012bdzek\u013ci turpina sp\u0113l\u0113t iz\u0161\u0137ir\u012bgi svar\u012bgu lomu m\u016bsu valsts att\u012bst\u012bb\u0101.<\/p>\n
Invest\u012bciju pieaugums un t\u0101 virz\u012bt\u0101ji<\/p>\n
Neskatoties uz past\u0101v\u012bgo \u0123eopolitisko nenoteikt\u012bbu, kas joproj\u0101m ir k\u0101 tum\u0161s m\u0101konis virs Eiropas un pasaules, EK prognozes liecina par invest\u012bciju pieaugumu gan priv\u0101taj\u0101, gan valsts sektor\u0101 Latvij\u0101. P\u0113c veiksm\u012bga pirm\u0101 pusgada 2025. gad\u0101, invest\u012bciju l\u012bmenim vajadz\u0113tu saglab\u0101ties stabilam l\u012bdz pat gada beig\u0101m. \u0160o stabilit\u0101ti nodro\u0161in\u0101s ne tikai ES fondu pl\u016bsma, bet ar\u012b aizsardz\u012bbas izdevumu pieaugums, kas turpin\u0101s stimul\u0113t invest\u012bcijas ar\u012b 2026. un 2027. gad\u0101. \u0160\u012b aizsardz\u012bbas nozares izaugsme ir nepiecie\u0161ama rea\u0123\u0113jot uz main\u012bgo dro\u0161\u012bbas situ\u0101ciju pasaul\u0113 un demonstr\u0113 m\u016bsu valsts gatav\u012bbu stiprin\u0101t savu dro\u0161\u012bbu.<\/p>\n
Priv\u0101t\u0101s invest\u012bcijas, kas piedz\u012bvoja iev\u0113rojamu kritumu 2024. gad\u0101, \u0161ogad gaida atkop\u0161an\u0101s. Tam par pamatu kalpos stabils uz\u0146\u0113mumu kredit\u0113\u0161anas l\u012bmenis un zem\u0101kas aiz\u0146em\u0161an\u0101s izmaksas. \u0160is faktors ir \u0101rk\u0101rt\u012bgi svar\u012bgs, jo tie\u0161i priv\u0101t\u0101 sektora aktivit\u0101te ir ilgtsp\u0113j\u012bgas izaugsmes pamats. K\u0101 st\u0101sta k\u0101ds uz\u0146\u0113m\u0113js no R\u012bgas, “kaut ar\u012b gr\u016bti br\u012b\u017ei ir biju\u0161i, \u0161obr\u012bd redzam gaismu tune\u013ca gal\u0101 \u2013 ceram uz stabil\u0101ku n\u0101kotni.” <\/p>\n
Infl\u0101cija un bud\u017eeta r\u0101d\u012bt\u0101ji: izaicin\u0101jumi un prognozes<\/p>\n
Tom\u0113r ne viss ir tik saulaini. Tiek prognoz\u0113ts ar\u012b infl\u0101cijas pieaugums. Galvenais iemesls tam ir energoresursu cenu defl\u0101cijas ietekmes mazin\u0101\u0161an\u0101s, savuk\u0101rt pakalpojumu un p\u0101rtikas cenu k\u0101pums saglab\u0101sies augsts. Saska\u0146\u0101 ar prognoz\u0113m, infl\u0101cija Latvij\u0101 2025. gad\u0101 sasniegs 3,6%, 2026. gad\u0101 nedaudz samazin\u0101sies l\u012bdz 2,2%, bet 2027. gad\u0101 prognoz\u0113ts 2,4% k\u0101pums. <\/p>\n
Valsts bud\u017eeta defic\u012bts prognoz\u0113ts pieaugs. 2025. gad\u0101 tas var\u0113tu sasniegt 3,1% no IKP, ko veicin\u0101s gan l\u0113n\u0101ks ie\u0146\u0113mumu pieaugums, gan eso\u0161o izdevumu palielin\u0101\u0161an\u0101s. L\u012bdz 2027. gadam defic\u012bts var\u0113tu pieaugt pat l\u012bdz 4,3%, galvenok\u0101rt d\u0113\u013c aizsardz\u012bbas izdevumu pieauguma. Lai gan \u0161ie skait\u013ci var\u0113tu rad\u012bt ba\u017eas, svar\u012bgi atcer\u0113ties, ka tie ir prognozes, un fisk\u0101l\u0101 politika sp\u0113j piel\u0101goties main\u012bgajiem apst\u0101k\u013ciem. K\u0101 atz\u012bm\u0113ja viens no EK anal\u012bti\u0137iem, “m\u016bsu prognozes ir pamats diskusijai un r\u012bc\u012bbai, nevis akmen\u012b iekalts liktenis.”<\/p>\n
Pat\u0113ri\u0146\u0161, uzkr\u0101jumi un bezdarba l\u012bmenis<\/p>\n
Priv\u0101tais pat\u0113ri\u0146\u0161 un invest\u012bcijas joproj\u0101m tiek uzskat\u012btas par galvenajiem ekonomikas izaugsmes virz\u012bt\u0101jiem 2026. un 2027. gad\u0101. Tom\u0113r 2025. gad\u0101, neraugoties uz tautsaimniec\u012bbas atg\u016b\u0161anos p\u0113c 2024. gada l\u0113na tempa, sare\u017e\u0123\u012bt\u0101 \u0123eopolitisk\u0101 situ\u0101cija var\u0113tu mudin\u0101t iedz\u012bvot\u0101jus palielin\u0101t uzkr\u0101jumus. Prognoz\u0113ts, ka p\u0113c strauja k\u0101puma 2024. gad\u0101, m\u0101jsaimniec\u012bbu uzkr\u0101jumu l\u012bmenis turpin\u0101s pieaugt, sasniedzot 6,4% 2025. gad\u0101, kas ir augst\u0101ks r\u0101d\u012bt\u0101js nek\u0101 pirms pand\u0113mijas. L\u012bdz ar to priv\u0101tais pat\u0113ri\u0146\u0161, visticam\u0101k, piln\u012bb\u0101 atg\u016bsies vien 2025. gada otraj\u0101 pus\u0113 un turpin\u0101s pieaugt turpm\u0101kajos gados.<\/p>\n
Pozit\u012bv\u0101 nots ir prognozes par bezdarba l\u012bmeni. Paredzams, ka 2025. gad\u0101 tas samazin\u0101sies l\u012bdz 6,8% un turpin\u0101s kristies ar\u012b 2026. un 2027. gad\u0101, ko veicin\u0101s darba sp\u0113ka piepras\u012bjuma pieaugums. Tas ir lielisks v\u0113st\u012bjums darba mekl\u0113t\u0101jiem un apliecina tautsaimniec\u012bbas atlab\u0161anas pozit\u012bvo dinamiku.<\/p>\n
Pla\u0161\u0101ks Eiropas konteksts<\/p>\n
Visas ES ekonomika 2025. un 2026. gad\u0101 prognoz\u0113ta 1,4% izaugsme, bet 2027. gad\u0101 \u2013 1,5%. Eurozon\u0113 nov\u0113rojama l\u012bdz\u012bga tendence: paredzams, ka t\u0101s IKP palielin\u0101sies par 1,3% 2025. gad\u0101, par 1,2% 2026. gad\u0101 un par 1,4% 2027. gad\u0101. Infl\u0101cija eurozon\u0113 turpin\u0101s samazin\u0101ties, 2025. gad\u0101 sasniedzot 2,1%. ES infl\u0101cija b\u016bs nedaudz augst\u0101ka, bet 2027. gad\u0101 samazin\u0101sies l\u012bdz 2,2%.<\/p>\n
Valdis Dombrovskis uzsver, ka \u0161\u012bs prognozes apliecina ES ekonomikas notur\u012bbu, neraugoties uz sare\u017e\u0123\u012btajiem apst\u0101k\u013ciem, tirdzniec\u012bbas tarifiem un \u0123eopolitiskajiem izaicin\u0101jumiem. Vienlaikus vi\u0146\u0161 akcent\u0113 nepiecie\u0161am\u012bbu pa\u0101trin\u0101t pas\u0101kumus Eiropas konkur\u0113tsp\u0113jas stiprin\u0101\u0161anai, birokr\u0101tijas mazin\u0101\u0161anai un ekonomisk\u0101s izaugsmes stimul\u0113\u0161anai. \u0160ie ir svar\u012bgi jaut\u0101jumi, kas prasa nep\u0101rtrauktu uzman\u012bbu un akt\u012bvu r\u012bc\u012bbu gan nacion\u0101l\u0101, gan Eiropas l\u012bmen\u012b.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Eiropas Komisijas prognozes Latvijas tautsaimniec\u012bbai: M\u0113rens optimisms un stabiliz\u0101cijas paz\u012bmes Eiropas Komisija (EK) \u0161ogad prognoz\u0113 Latvijas ekonomikas izaugsmi…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":52882,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[23,28,29,512,32,33,22,14499,550,790,30,31,35,39,38,36,37,34,1045,40,20,26,27,24,25,21],"class_list":{"0":"post-52881","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-aktualitates","8":"tag-aktualitates","9":"tag-breaking-news","10":"tag-breakingnews","11":"tag-eiropas-komisija","12":"tag-featured-news","13":"tag-featurednews","14":"tag-headlines","15":"tag-ikp-prognozes","16":"tag-inflacija","17":"tag-investicijas","18":"tag-latest-news","19":"tag-latestnews","20":"tag-latvia","21":"tag-latvian","22":"tag-latviesu","23":"tag-latviesu-valoda","24":"tag-latviesuvaloda","25":"tag-latvija","26":"tag-latvijas-ekonomika","27":"tag-lv","28":"tag-news","29":"tag-popularakas-zinas","30":"tag-popularakaszinas","31":"tag-top-stories","32":"tag-topstories","33":"tag-zinas"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@lv\/115571719122234165","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/52881","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=52881"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/52881\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/52882"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=52881"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=52881"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=52881"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}