Datu meln\u0101s bedres beigas: Ko sagaid\u012bt no ASV darba tirgus zi\u0146ojuma p\u0113c d\u012bkst\u0101ves<\/p>\n
Gandr\u012bz septi\u0146as ned\u0113\u013cas ilgu\u0161ais ASV vald\u012bbas d\u012bkst\u0101ves periods atst\u0101ja investorus, uz\u0146\u0113m\u0113jus, politikas veidot\u0101jus un pat Feder\u0101lo rezervju sist\u0113mu (FRS) \u0161\u0137ietami piln\u012bg\u0101 nezi\u0146\u0101 par Amerikas darba tirgus vesel\u012bbu. Darbinieki, kas parasti r\u016bp\u0113jas par darba \u0146\u0113m\u0113ju un bezdarbnieku datu apkopo\u0161anu, tika palaisti bezalgas atva\u013cin\u0101jum\u0101 un nesp\u0113ja pild\u012bt savus pien\u0101kumus. Tagad, kad d\u012bkst\u0101ve ir beigusies, Darba departaments ceturtdien beidzot met\u012bs gaismu uz situ\u0101ciju, publiskojot septembra nodarbin\u0101t\u012bbas datus \u2013 gandr\u012bz septi\u0146as ned\u0113\u013cas p\u0113c s\u0101kotn\u0113ji pl\u0101not\u0101 termi\u0146a.<\/p>\n
Ekonomisti prognoz\u0113, ka septembr\u012b tika rad\u012btas aptuveni 50 000 jaunu darba vietu. Lai gan \u0161is skaitlis nav iespaid\u012bgs, tas tom\u0113r ir neliels uzlabojums sal\u012bdzin\u0101jum\u0101 ar august\u0101 re\u0123istr\u0113taj\u0101m nieka 22 000 jaunaj\u0101m poz\u012bcij\u0101m. \u0160\u0101ds v\u0101j\u0161 pieaugums, kas turpin\u0101s kop\u0161 pavasara un vasaras, vienlaikus ar minim\u0101lu darba vietu likvid\u0113\u0161anu, rada interesantu darba tirgus dinamiku. Tas noz\u012bm\u0113, ka tie amerik\u0101\u0146i, kuriem jau ir darbs, liel\u0101koties bauda stabila nodarbin\u0101t\u012bbas dro\u0161\u012bbu, savuk\u0101rt tie, kuri mekl\u0113 darbu, bie\u017ei saskaras ar nopietn\u0101m gr\u016bt\u012bb\u0101m.<\/p>\n
\u201eNorm\u0101li akciju un oblig\u0101ciju tirgi parasti vienaldz\u012bgi rea\u0123\u0113 uz \u0161\u0101diem novecoju\u0161iem datiem,\u201d atz\u012bst tirgus strat\u0113\u0123is Metj\u016b Raiens no finan\u0161u pakalpojumu uz\u0146\u0113muma Ebury. Ta\u010du \u0161oreiz situ\u0101cija ir cit\u0101da. \u201eInvestori ir tik izsl\u0101pu\u0161i p\u0113c svaig\u0101m ekonomikas zi\u0146\u0101m, ka m\u0113s sagaid\u0101m \u0101rk\u0101rt\u012bgi augstu volatilit\u0101ti ap zi\u0146ojuma publisko\u0161anu.\u201d<\/p>\n
Septembra dati var ietekm\u0113t procentu likmju l\u0113mumus<\/p>\n
\u0160ogad ASV darba tirgu ir ietekm\u0113ju\u0161i vair\u0101ki faktori. Tostarp j\u016btamas augsto procentu likmju sekas, kas tika ieviestas, lai c\u012bn\u012btos ar 2021.\u20132022. gada infl\u0101cijas l\u0113cienu. Papildu nenoteikt\u012bbu rada ar\u012b prezidenta Donalda Trampa politikas pl\u0101ni attiec\u012bb\u0101 uz importa tarifiem gandr\u012bz vis\u0101m pasaules valst\u012bm un noteiktiem produktiem, s\u0101kot no vara l\u012bdz pat \u0101rvalstu film\u0101m. \u0160ie pas\u0101kumi rada ba\u017eas par piepras\u012bjuma samazin\u0101\u0161anos un potenci\u0101lu darba vietu zaud\u0113\u0161anu noteikt\u0101s nozar\u0113s.<\/p>\n
Jau septembr\u012b veikt\u0101s Darba departamenta izmai\u0146as par\u0101d\u012bja, ka gada laik\u0101, kas beidz\u0101s mart\u0101, tika rad\u012bts par 911 000 maz\u0101k darba vietu, nek\u0101 s\u0101kotn\u0113ji zi\u0146ots. Tas noz\u012bm\u0113, ka \u0161aj\u0101 period\u0101 darba dev\u0113ji vid\u0113ji m\u0113nes\u012b rad\u012bja tikai 71 000 jaunu darba vietu, nevis s\u0101kotn\u0113ji prognoz\u0113tos 147 000. Kop\u0161 marta nodarbin\u0101t\u012bbas pieaugums ir pal\u0113nin\u0101jies v\u0113l vair\u0101k \u2013 l\u012bdz vid\u0113ji 53 000 darba vietu m\u0113nes\u012b. Sal\u012bdzin\u0101jumam, 2021.\u20132023. gada period\u0101 p\u0113c COVID-19 pand\u0113mijas ierobe\u017eojumiem ekonomika rad\u012bja vid\u0113ji 400 000 darba vietu m\u0113nes\u012b \u2013 tas bija iespaid\u012bgs atvese\u013co\u0161an\u0101s posms.<\/p>\n
Tom\u0113r St\u012bvens Stenlijs, galvenais ASV ekonomists bank\u0101 Santander, izsak\u0101s nedaudz optimistisk\u0101k par septembra nodarbin\u0101t\u012bbu nek\u0101 daudzi vi\u0146a kol\u0113\u0123i. Vi\u0146\u0161 prognoz\u0113, ka darba dev\u0113ji ir rad\u012bju\u0161i 75 000 darba vietu. Stenlijs nor\u0101da uz prezidenta Donalda Trampa stingro nost\u0101ju neleg\u0101l\u0101s imigr\u0101cijas jaut\u0101jum\u0101, kas, vi\u0146apr\u0101t, samazina darba mekl\u0113t\u0101ju skaitu. Tas savuk\u0101rt noz\u012bm\u0113, ka ekonomika var rad\u012bt maz\u0101k jaunu darba vietu, nepalielinot bezdarba l\u012bmeni. K\u0101 nor\u0101d\u012bts vi\u0146a tre\u0161dienas koment\u0101r\u0101, agr\u0101k \u201ebreakeven\u201d punkts jeb minimums m\u0113ne\u0161a darba vietu rad\u012b\u0161anai tika uzskat\u012bts par 125 000 l\u012bdz 150 000. Ta\u010du, \u0146emot v\u0113r\u0101 imigrantu skaita samazin\u0101\u0161anos, darba tirgus var palikt stabils pat tad, ja darba dev\u0113ji rad\u012bs tikai 50 000 darba vietu m\u0113nes\u012b, varb\u016bt pat maz\u0101k. \u0160is ir b\u016btisks skatupunkta mai\u0146as br\u012bdis darba tirgus anal\u012bz\u0113.<\/p>\n
P\u0113d\u0113j\u0101 piln\u0101 zi\u0146ojuma gaid\u0101s pirms FRS l\u0113muma<\/p>\n
Kad septembra dati b\u016bs publiskoti, uz\u0146\u0113mumiem, investoriem, politi\u0137iem un FRS n\u0101ksies nedaudz pagaid\u012bt, lai ieg\u016btu jaunu un pilnv\u0113rt\u012bgu inform\u0101ciju par Amerikas darba tirgu. Darba departaments pazi\u0146ojis, ka oktobra pilns darba tirgus zi\u0146ojums netiks public\u0113ts, jo vald\u012bbas d\u012bkst\u0101ves laik\u0101 nebija iesp\u0113jams apr\u0113\u0137in\u0101t bezdarba l\u012bmeni. T\u0101 viet\u0101 oktobra dati par rad\u012btaj\u0101m darba viet\u0101m tiks public\u0113ti kop\u0101 ar pilnu novembra zi\u0146ojumu 16. decembr\u012b \u2013 da\u017eas ned\u0113\u013cas v\u0113l\u0101k nek\u0101 pl\u0101nots. Tas noz\u012bm\u0113, ka septembra darba tirgus dati ieg\u016bs \u012bpa\u0161u uzman\u012bbu.<\/p>\n
\u0160ie dati b\u016bs p\u0113d\u0113jais pilnais darba vietu rad\u012b\u0161anas un bezdarba r\u0101d\u012bt\u0101ju m\u0113r\u012bjums, ko FRS politikas veidot\u0101ji redz\u0113s pirms savas 9.\u201310. decembr\u012b pl\u0101not\u0101s s\u0113des. \u0160aj\u0101 s\u0113d\u0113 tiks lemts par to, vai \u0161ogad tre\u0161o reizi tiks samazin\u0101ta galven\u0101 procentu likme. T\u0101d\u0113j\u0101di septembra darba tirgus zi\u0146ojumam b\u016bs milz\u012bga noz\u012bme, lai izprastu ekonomikas st\u0101vokli un t\u0101l\u0101ko FRS monet\u0101r\u0101s politikas virzienu. Tas ir k\u0101 p\u0113d\u0113jais gabali\u0146\u0161 m\u012bkl\u0101 pirms b\u016btiska l\u0113muma pie\u0146em\u0161anas.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Datu meln\u0101s bedres beigas: Ko sagaid\u012bt no ASV darba tirgus zi\u0146ojuma p\u0113c d\u012bkst\u0101ves Gandr\u012bz septi\u0146as ned\u0113\u013cas ilgu\u0161ais ASV…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":54690,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[16],"tags":[14856,14858,77,76,14857,14859,35,39,38,36,37,34,40,549],"class_list":{"0":"post-54689","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-bizness","8":"tag-asv-darba-tirgus","9":"tag-bezdarba-limenis","10":"tag-bizness","11":"tag-business","12":"tag-darba-vietu-radisana","13":"tag-federala-rezervju-sistema","14":"tag-latvia","15":"tag-latvian","16":"tag-latviesu","17":"tag-latviesu-valoda","18":"tag-latviesuvaloda","19":"tag-latvija","20":"tag-lv","21":"tag-procentu-likmes"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@lv\/115582489274171594","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/54689","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=54689"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/54689\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/54690"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=54689"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=54689"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=54689"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}