Decembra “Sv\u0113tais Ralijs” Eiropas Tirgos: Vai Tas Ir Tikai Ziemassv\u0113tku Gaisotnes Rad\u012bts?<\/p>\n
Decembris Eiropas finan\u0161u tirgos bie\u017ei vien ir izc\u0113lies ar spilgtiem k\u0101pumiem. Daudzas desmitgades investori ir nov\u0113roju\u0161i, ka gada nosl\u0113dzo\u0161ais m\u0113nesis tradicion\u0101li nes za\u013cos ekr\u0101nus un pozit\u012bvus ien\u0101kumus, radot to, ko d\u0113v\u0113 par “Ziemassv\u0113tku vec\u012b\u0161a ralliju” jeb “Santa Claus rally”. Ta\u010du aiz \u0161\u012bs sv\u0113tku metaforas sl\u0113pjas konsekvents, ar datiem pamatots modelis.<\/p>\n
Tradicion\u0101lais Modesklis un T\u0101 Izpausmes Eirop\u0101<\/p>\n
P\u0113d\u0113jo \u010detru desmitga\u017eu laik\u0101 ir nov\u0113rots, ka, piem\u0113ram, S&P 500 indekss decembr\u012b ir audzis aptuveni 74% gad\u012bjumu, sasniedzot vid\u0113jo m\u0113ne\u0161a pieaugumu 1.44%. \u0160o sezon\u0101lo optimismu atspogu\u013co ar\u012b Eiropas tirgi, kur da\u017ei indeksi demonstr\u0113 v\u0113l iespaid\u012bg\u0101kus rezult\u0101tus. Kop\u0161 1987. gada EURO STOXX 50, re\u0123iona galvenais akciju tirgus etalons, ir uzr\u0101d\u012bjis vid\u0113jo decembra pieaugumu 1.87%. Tas padara Ziemassv\u0113tku periodu par otro lab\u0101ko m\u0113nesi gad\u0101, piek\u0101pjoties vien\u012bgi novembrim (1.95%). Tom\u0113r v\u0113l p\u0101rsteidzo\u0161\u0101ka ir t\u0101 uzvaras bie\u017e\u012bba. Decembris pozit\u012bv\u0101 teritorij\u0101 nosl\u0113dzas 71% gad\u012bjumu \u2013 augst\u0101k nek\u0101 jebkur\u0101 cit\u0101 m\u0113nes\u012b.<\/p>\n
Individu\u0101lo Tirgu Tendences un Otro Puslaiku Domin\u0113\u0161ana<\/p>\n
Analiz\u0113jot atsevi\u0161\u0137us valstu indeksus, sezon\u0101l\u0101 tendence k\u013c\u016bst v\u0113l skaidr\u0101ka. V\u0101cijas galvenais indekss DAX p\u0113d\u0113jo 40 gadu laik\u0101 ir uzr\u0101d\u012bjis vid\u0113jo decembra pieaugumu 2.18%, atpaliekot vien\u012bgi no apr\u012b\u013ca (2.43%). Tas m\u0113nesi augst\u0101k nosl\u0113dz 73% gad\u012bjumu, atkal dalot pirmo vietu ar apr\u012bli p\u0113c lab\u0101k\u0101 rezult\u0101tu uzskaites. Francijas CAC 40 seko l\u012bdz\u012bgam modelim, vid\u0113ji pieaugot par 1.57% decembr\u012b ar 70% uzvaras bie\u017eumu, kas ar\u012b to ierindo starp trim lab\u0101kajiem m\u0113ne\u0161iem. Lai gan Sp\u0101nijas IBEX 35 un It\u0101lijas FTSE MIB ir m\u0113ren\u0101ki, tie joproj\u0101m demonstr\u0113 konsekventu sp\u0113ku, ar decembra pieaugumu attiec\u012bgi 1.12% un 1.13%. Tom\u0113r decembra burv\u012bba parasti neies\u0101kas m\u0113ne\u0161a s\u0101kum\u0101. Dr\u012bz\u0101k, \u012bstais impulss m\u0113dz veidoties m\u0113ne\u0161a otraj\u0101 pus\u0113. Datu anal\u012bze liecina, ka EURO STOXX 50 indekss uzr\u0101da vid\u0113jo 2.12% pieaugumu no 15. decembra l\u012bdz gada beig\u0101m, bie\u017e\u0101k nek\u0101 76% gad\u012bjumu nosl\u0113dzoties pozit\u012bvi. DAX indekss sniedz l\u012bdz\u012bgu rezult\u0101tu, pieaugot vid\u0113ji par 1.87% ar 73% uzvaras bie\u017eumu, savuk\u0101rt CAC 40 demonstr\u0113 pat sp\u0113c\u012bg\u0101kus otr\u0101s puses pieaugumus \u2013 1.95%, pozit\u012bvi nosl\u0113dzoties 79% gad\u012bjumu.<\/p>\n
Kas Sl\u0113pjas Aiz Tirgus Kust\u012bbas: Ne Tikai Sv\u0113tku Gaisotne<\/p>\n
Bet kas tie\u0161i virza \u0161o decembra sezon\u0101lo fenomenu? Da\u013ca atbildes mekl\u0113jama fondu p\u0101rvaldnieku uzved\u012bb\u0101. Finan\u0161u anal\u012bti\u0137i uzskata, ka rallijs ir cie\u0161i saist\u012bts ar institucion\u0101lo investoru r\u012bc\u012bbu. Gada izska\u0146\u0101 daudzi fondu p\u0101rvaldnieki veic p\u0113d\u0113j\u0101s portfe\u013ca korekcijas, lai fiks\u0113tu rezult\u0101tus, kas tiks zi\u0146oti klientiem un akcion\u0101riem. \u0160\u012b t\u0101 d\u0113v\u0113t\u0101 “cenas uztur\u0113\u0161ana” bie\u017ei vien noved pie palielin\u0101tas iepirk\u0161anas, \u012bpa\u0161i akcij\u0101s, kas jau ir guvu\u0161as pan\u0101kumus vai kur\u0101m ir potenci\u0101ls g\u016bt labumu no \u012bstermi\u0146a impulsa. \u0160is uzved\u012bbas modelis ieg\u016bst noz\u012bmi gados, kad indeksi, piem\u0113ram, DAX, tirgojas s\u0101nu diapazon\u0101 \u2013 k\u0101 tas ir bijis kop\u0161 maija. K\u0101ds finan\u0161u anal\u012bti\u0137is atz\u012bm\u0113, ka DAX indeksam izr\u0101viens no \u0161\u012b s\u0101nu diapazona k\u013c\u016bst arvien ticam\u0101ks, s\u0101koties decembrim. No novembra vidus l\u012bdz janv\u0101ra s\u0101kumam v\u0113sturiskie dati liecina par labv\u0113l\u012bgu izn\u0101kumu, ar 34 pozit\u012bvu gadu un 12 negat\u012bvu gadu attiec\u012bbu V\u0101cijas indeksam, vid\u0113jiem k\u0101pumiem p\u0101rsniedzot 6% pozit\u012bvajos gados.<\/p>\n
Secin\u0101jumi Un Br\u012bdin\u0101jums<\/p>\n
Lai gan pag\u0101tnes rezult\u0101ti negarant\u0113 n\u0101kotnes ien\u0101kumus, decembra rezult\u0101ti galvenajos glob\u0101lajos un Eiropas indeksos sniedz p\u0101rliecino\u0161u st\u0101stu investoriem. \u012asum\u0101, decembra sp\u0113ks nav tikai sv\u0113tku optimisms. T\u0101 ir sezon\u0101lo statistikas datu, institucion\u0101l\u0101s dinamikas un tehnisko pozicion\u0113\u0161anas konver\u0123ence. Pirms jebk\u0101du invest\u012bciju l\u0113mumu pie\u0146em\u0161anas, vienm\u0113r veiciet savu izp\u0113ti, lai nodro\u0161in\u0101tu, ka j\u016bsu invest\u012bcijas ir piem\u0113rotas j\u016bsu konkr\u0113taj\u0101m apst\u0101k\u013ciem. M\u0113s esam \u017eurn\u0101listikas vietne un cen\u0161amies sniegt lab\u0101kos ekspertu padomus. Ja j\u016bs pa\u013caujaties uz inform\u0101ciju \u0161aj\u0101 lap\u0101, j\u016bs to dar\u0101t uz savu pa\u0161u risku.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Decembra “Sv\u0113tais Ralijs” Eiropas Tirgos: Vai Tas Ir Tikai Ziemassv\u0113tku Gaisotnes Rad\u012bts? Decembris Eiropas finan\u0161u tirgos bie\u017ei vien…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":61854,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[16],"tags":[77,76,12924,16298,790,35,39,38,36,37,34,40,16299,16297],"class_list":{"0":"post-61853","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-bizness","8":"tag-bizness","9":"tag-business","10":"tag-eiropas-tirgi","11":"tag-fondu-parvaldnieki","12":"tag-investicijas","13":"tag-latvia","14":"tag-latvian","15":"tag-latviesu","16":"tag-latviesu-valoda","17":"tag-latviesuvaloda","18":"tag-latvija","19":"tag-lv","20":"tag-sezonalas-tendences","21":"tag-ziemassvetku-rallijs"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@lv\/115638109663691762","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/61853","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=61853"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/61853\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/61854"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=61853"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=61853"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=61853"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}