{"id":65463,"date":"2025-12-04T12:27:08","date_gmt":"2025-12-04T12:27:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/65463\/"},"modified":"2025-12-04T12:27:08","modified_gmt":"2025-12-04T12:27:08","slug":"paredzams-milzigs-deficits-tuvakajos-gados-lente-lv","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/65463\/","title":{"rendered":"paredzams milz\u012bgs defic\u012bts tuv\u0101kajos gados\u00a0\u2014\u00a0Lente.lv"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Datacenteru bums rada glob\u0101lu vara tr\u016bkumu<\/p>\n<p>Straujais m\u0101ksl\u012bg\u0101 intelekta (MI) att\u012bst\u012bbas vilnis ir izrais\u012bjis nepieredz\u0113tu piepras\u012bjumu p\u0113c datu centriem, kas savuk\u0101rt ir rad\u012bjis nopietnu vara defic\u012btu. \u0160is v\u0113rt\u012bgais met\u0101ls, kas ir neaizst\u0101jams modernas infrastrukt\u016bras veido\u0161an\u0101, k\u013c\u016bst par aizvien ierobe\u017eot\u0101ku resursu, apdraudot gan MI nozares izaugsmi, gan glob\u0101l\u0101s energoapg\u0101des stabilit\u0101ti.<\/p>\n<p>AI piepras\u012bjums un vara defic\u012bta prognozes<\/p>\n<p>Hiperizm\u0113ra datu centru b\u016bvniec\u012bba, ko veicina MI tehnolo\u0123iju izplat\u012bba, ir sasniegusi rekordaugstus tempus. Tom\u0113r \u0161is piepras\u012bjums atduras pret l\u0113n\u0101ku ieguves apjomu pieaugumu. Tiek prognoz\u0113ts, ka l\u012bdz 2035. gadam glob\u0101lais vara piepras\u012bjums var\u0113tu p\u0101rsniegt pied\u0101v\u0101jumu par 30%. Jau 2025. gad\u0101 tiek sagaid\u012bts 304 t\u016bksto\u0161u tonnu liels defic\u012bts, kas noz\u012bm\u0113, ka tiks apmierin\u0101ts vien aptuveni 70% no paredzam\u0101s vajadz\u012bbas.<\/p>\n<p>Starptautisk\u0101 Ener\u0123\u0113tikas a\u0123ent\u016bra (IEA) sav\u0101 jaun\u0101kaj\u0101 prognoz\u0113 par kritiski svar\u012bg\u0101m izejviel\u0101m nor\u0101da, ka eso\u0161\u0101s un pl\u0101not\u0101s raktuves nesp\u0113s nodro\u0161in\u0101t vair\u0101k par 70% no prognoz\u0113t\u0101 vara piepras\u012bjuma l\u012bdz 2035. gadam. Savuk\u0101rt neatkar\u012bgie anal\u012bti\u0137i no Wood Mackenzie ir v\u0113l pesimistisk\u0101ki, prognoz\u0113jot, ka defic\u012bts izpaud\u012bsies v\u0113l agr\u0101k \u2013 jau 2025. gad\u0101. Vi\u0146u apr\u0113\u0137ini liecina par 304 t\u016bksto\u0161u tonnu defic\u012btu, kas 2026. gad\u0101 v\u0113l pieaugs.<\/p>\n<p>Datu centru pras\u012bbas un vara pat\u0113ri\u0146\u0161<\/p>\n<p>Lai nodro\u0161in\u0101tu m\u016bsdienu MI datu centru darb\u012bbu, kas bie\u017ei vien ir projekt\u0113ti ar jaudu no 50 l\u012bdz pat 150 MW, nepiecie\u0161ams iev\u0113rojams daudzums vara. Nozares apl\u0113ses liecina, ka katram uzst\u0101d\u012bt\u0101s jaudas megavatam ir nepiecie\u0161ami aptuveni 27\u201333 tonnas vara. Tas noz\u012bm\u0113, ka viens 100 MW datu centrs var pat\u0113r\u0113t t\u016bksto\u0161iem tonnu \u0161\u012b met\u0101la, un tas pat neskaita nepiecie\u0161amo eso\u0161\u0101s energosist\u0113mas moderniz\u0101ciju aug\u0161pus\u0113. K\u0101 piem\u0113ru var min\u0113t 80 MW jaudas objektu, kam vien nepiecie\u0161ami vair\u0101k nek\u0101 2000 tonnu vara.<\/p>\n<p>\u0160\u012b situ\u0101cija rada iev\u0113rojamu spiedienu uz pieg\u0101\u017eu \u0137\u0113d\u0113m. K\u0101 Financial Times atz\u012bm\u0113jis \u010c\u0101rlzs K\u016bpers no Wood Mackenzie, lielo tehnolo\u0123iju komp\u0101niju &#8220;hiperizm\u0113ra klienti&#8221; bie\u017ei vien ir gatavi maks\u0101t vair\u0101k par nepiecie\u0161amajiem transformatoru blokiem, sal\u012bdzinot ar ener\u0123\u0113tikas operatoriem, t\u0101d\u0113j\u0101di v\u0113l vair\u0101k pastiprinot piepras\u012bjumu un cenu k\u0101pumu.<\/p>\n<p>Ieguves probl\u0113mas un ilgtsp\u0113j\u012bgas alternat\u012bvas<\/p>\n<p>Vara defic\u012btu saasina ar\u012b eso\u0161o ieguves vietu probl\u0113mas. Daudzas vec\u0101s raktuves piedz\u012bvo r\u016bdas kvalit\u0101tes kritumu \u2013 kop\u0161 1991. gada t\u0101 samazin\u0101jusies par aptuveni 40%, kas savuk\u0101rt samazina ieguves apjomus. Lai gan tiek mekl\u0113tas jaunas atradnes, to izstr\u0101de ir sare\u017e\u0123\u012bts un ilgs process, bie\u017ei vien saist\u012bts ar ekolo\u0123isk\u0101m, soci\u0101l\u0101m un politisk\u0101m pretest\u012bb\u0101m. Piem\u0113ram, Resolution Copper projekts Arizon\u0101, kur ieguves vietas atrodas zem apmekl\u0113tas sv\u0113t\u0101s zemes, saskaras ar juridiskiem \u0161\u0137\u0113r\u0161\u013ciem, kas var\u0113tu novilcin\u0101t t\u0101 uzs\u0101k\u0161anu pat par desmit gadiem.<\/p>\n<p>Citi noz\u012bm\u012bgi projekti \u010c\u012bl\u0113, Peru, Indon\u0113zij\u0101 un cit\u0101s valst\u012bs ir sask\u0101ru\u0161ies ar da\u017e\u0101diem sare\u017e\u0123\u012bjumiem, s\u0101kot no av\u0101rij\u0101m un sausuma periodiem l\u012bdz pat viet\u0113jo kopienu protestiem. Tas viss veicina vara cenu pieaugumu, kas jau p\u0101rsniedzis 11 000 ASV dol\u0101ru par tonnu, sal\u012bdzinot ar aptuveni 8 500 dol\u0101riem pirms diviem gadiem. Papildu faktors ir ar\u012b muitas nodevas, kas ietekm\u0113 pieg\u0101\u017eu lo\u0123istiku, \u012bpa\u0161i ASV. Lai gan da\u013ca met\u0101la ir iepirkta iepriek\u0161, veidojot iek\u0161zemes rezerves, tas samazina pieejam\u012bbu citos re\u0123ionos.<\/p>\n<p>Situ\u0101ciju cen\u0161as mazin\u0101t, arvien vair\u0101k balstoties uz met\u0101la p\u0101rstr\u0101di un eso\u0161o raktuvju ra\u017e\u012bguma optimiz\u0101ciju. Tiek atjaunota interese par agr\u0101k neizdev\u012bg\u0101m izstr\u0101d\u0113m, piem\u0113ram, izmantojot &#8220;urban mining&#8221; pieejas, un met\u0101lapstr\u0101des r\u016bpn\u012bcas saskaras ar r\u016bdas tr\u016bkumu. Lai gan gan ASV, gan ES ir iek\u013c\u0101vu\u0161as varu savos kritisko resursu sarakstos, jaunu met\u0101lapstr\u0101des jaudu b\u016bvniec\u012bba praktiski nenotiek augsto izmaksu un sare\u017e\u0123\u012bt\u0101s at\u013cauju sa\u0146em\u0161anas d\u0113\u013c.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Datacenteru bums rada glob\u0101lu vara tr\u016bkumu Straujais m\u0101ksl\u012bg\u0101 intelekta (MI) att\u012bst\u012bbas vilnis ir izrais\u012bjis nepieredz\u0113tu piepras\u012bjumu p\u0113c datu&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":65464,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[16],"tags":[77,76,769,5346,35,39,38,36,37,34,40,87,16999,16998],"class_list":{"0":"post-65463","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-bizness","8":"tag-bizness","9":"tag-business","10":"tag-datu-centri","11":"tag-energetikas-infrastruktura","12":"tag-latvia","13":"tag-latvian","14":"tag-latviesu","15":"tag-latviesu-valoda","16":"tag-latviesuvaloda","17":"tag-latvija","18":"tag-lv","19":"tag-maksligais-intelekts","20":"tag-metala-ieguve","21":"tag-vara-deficits"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@lv\/115661297617191019","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/65463","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=65463"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/65463\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/65464"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=65463"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=65463"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=65463"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}