ASV centr\u0101l\u0101s bankas v\u0113sturiskais l\u0113mums un Eiropas investoru noska\u0146ojums septembr\u012b<\/p>\n
Septembra vidus iez\u012bm\u0113j\u0101s ar gaid\u012btiem un noz\u012bm\u012bgiem pav\u0113rsieniem pasaules ekonomik\u0101. Amerikas Savienoto Valstu centr\u0101l\u0101 banka (FRS) beidzot veica savu pirmo procentu likmju samazin\u0101jumu \u0161ogad, kura apjoms ir 25 b\u0101zes punkti. \u0160\u0101ds solis, kas noteicis procentu likmju diapazonu 4%-4,25% robe\u017e\u0101s, tika uztverts visai pozit\u012bvi, sekm\u0113jot akciju tirgus indeksu k\u0101pumu, tostarp “S&P 500” sasniedzot visu laiku augst\u0101ko atz\u012bmi. Lai gan ASV prezidents Donalds Tramps jau ilgsto\u0161i aicin\u0101ja uz \u0161\u0101du r\u012bc\u012bbu, FRS vad\u012bt\u0101js D\u017eeroms Pauels stingri pietur\u0113j\u0101s pie bankas mand\u0101ta \u2013 infl\u0101cijas un nodarbin\u0101t\u012bbas m\u0113r\u0137u sasnieg\u0161anas. Neskatoties uz v\u0113lmi kontrol\u0113t infl\u0101ciju, kas j\u016blij\u0101 bija 2,6%, neiepriecino\u0161ie nodarbin\u0101t\u012bbas dati liku\u0161i bankai p\u0101rskat\u012bt monet\u0101ro politiku. Pauels uzsv\u0113ra, ka ASV ekonomika ir sp\u0113c\u012bga un prognoz\u0113 papildu procentu likmju samazin\u0101jumus gada izska\u0146\u0101.<\/p>\n
Tikm\u0113r Eiropas Centr\u0101l\u0101 banka (ECB) \u0161oned\u0113\u013c, 2025. gada 11. septembr\u012b, nol\u0113musi saglab\u0101t tr\u012bs galven\u0101s procentu likmes nemain\u012bgas. \u0160\u0101ds l\u0113mums atspogu\u013co stabiliz\u0113ju\u0161os infl\u0101cijas l\u012bmeni eirozon\u0101, kas tuvojas ECB 2% m\u0113r\u0137im. Saska\u0146\u0101 ar jaun\u0101kaj\u0101m prognoz\u0113m, ko veicis ECB person\u0101ls, kop\u0113j\u0101 infl\u0101cija 2025. gad\u0101 vid\u0113ji sasniegs 2,1%, ar tendenci uz kritumu 2026. gad\u0101 l\u012bdz 1,7% un nelielu pieaugumu 2027. gad\u0101 l\u012bdz 1,9%. Ar\u012b pamatinfl\u0101cija, izsl\u0113dzot ener\u0123ijas un p\u0101rtikas cenas, prognoz\u0113ta attiec\u012bgi 2,4%, 1,9% un 1,8%.<\/p>\n
Eiropas ekonomikas perspekt\u012bvas un V\u0101cijas investoru piesardz\u012bgais optimisms<\/p>\n
Lai gan kop\u0113j\u0101 infl\u0101cija ir labi kontrol\u0113ta, eksperti nor\u0101da uz joproj\u0101m past\u0101vo\u0161u spiedienu no cit\u0101m cenu komponent\u0113m, kas prasa modr\u012bbu. ECB person\u0101la prognozes paredz, ka eirozonas tautsaimniec\u012bbas izaugsme 2025. gad\u0101 b\u016bs strauj\u0101ka, sasniedzot 1,2%, kas ir uzlabojums pret iepriek\u0161 prognoz\u0113tajiem 0,9%. Tom\u0113r 2026. gad\u0101 izaugsmes temps tiek prognoz\u0113ts nedaudz zem\u0101ks \u2013 1,0%, bet 2027. gad\u0101 \u2013 1,3%. \u0160ie dati liecina par zin\u0101mu ekonomikas notur\u012bbu pat sare\u017e\u0123\u012bt\u0101 glob\u0101l\u0101 vid\u0113, ko ietekm\u0113 tirdzniec\u012bbas sasp\u012bl\u0113jumi un glob\u0101lie riski, tostarp ASV tarifu politika.<\/p>\n
V\u0101cij\u0101 investoru noska\u0146ojums septembr\u012b p\u0101rsteidza ar optimismu. ZEW Ekonomikas p\u0113t\u012bjumu instit\u016bta dati liecina, ka investoru noska\u0146ojums sasniedzis 37,1 punktu, kas ir virs gaid\u012btajiem 26,3 punktiem. \u0160is r\u0101d\u012bt\u0101js signaliz\u0113 par piesardz\u012bgu optimismu, neskatoties uz V\u0101cijas ekonomikas sal\u012bdzino\u0161i l\u0113no izaugsmi \u0161ogad, kas tiek prognoz\u0113ta ap 0,2%. Tom\u0113r pa\u0161reiz\u0113j\u0101s ekonomisk\u0101s situ\u0101cijas nov\u0113rt\u0113jums ir pesimistisk\u0101ks nek\u0101 prognoz\u0113ts. ZEW prezidents Ahims Vambahs nor\u0101da uz iev\u0113rojamiem riskiem, kas saist\u012bti ar nenoteikt\u012bbu ap ASV tarifu politiku un V\u0101cijas pa\u0161u veiktaj\u0101m reform\u0101m.<\/p>\n
Dz\u012bves d\u0101rdz\u012bba un klimata p\u0101rmai\u0146u ietekme uz ekonomiku<\/p>\n
Dz\u012bves d\u0101rdz\u012bba Eirop\u0101 joproj\u0101m ir noz\u012bm\u012bga iedz\u012bvot\u0101ju ba\u017ea. Lai gan infl\u0101cija eirozon\u0101 tuvojas ECB m\u0113r\u0137im, viet\u0113j\u0101 l\u012bmen\u012b situ\u0101cija var at\u0161\u0137irties. Latvij\u0101, p\u0113c \u201cLuminor Bank\u201d prognoz\u0113m, gada infl\u0101cija \u0161ogad var\u0113tu sasniegt 3,9%, bet 2026. gad\u0101 \u2013 2,7%. Citi ekonomisti nor\u0101da, ka Baltijas valstu ekonomiskais cikls nav piln\u012bb\u0101 sinhroniz\u0113ts ar Eiropas Savien\u012bbas kop\u0113jo ekonomiku, kas var izskaidrot augst\u0101ku infl\u0101ciju re\u0123ion\u0101.<\/p>\n
Svar\u012bgs faktors, kas ietekm\u0113 ekonomisko izaugsmi Eirop\u0101, ir klimata p\u0101rmai\u0146as. \u0160ovasar Eiropas Savien\u012bb\u0101 sausuma, karstuma vi\u013c\u0146u un pl\u016bdu rad\u012btie zaud\u0113jumi tiek l\u0113sti 43 miljardu eiro apm\u0113r\u0101, kas samazina re\u0123iona ekonomisko izaugsmi gandr\u012bz par pusi procentpunkta. P\u0113t\u012bjumu autori, tostarp Eiropas Centr\u0101l\u0101s bankas ekonomisti, br\u012bdina, ka \u0161ie apr\u0113\u0137ini, visticam\u0101k, ir konservat\u012bvi un l\u012bdz 2029. gadam Eiropas ekonomikai kopum\u0101 var\u0113tu izmaks\u0101t ap 126 miljardiem eiro. Ekstr\u0113mi laikapst\u0101k\u013ci k\u013c\u016bst arvien bie\u017e\u0101ki, un to rad\u012bt\u0101s sekas atst\u0101j j\u016btamu iespaidu uz ekonomisko stabilit\u0101ti.<\/p>\n
\u0160is ned\u0113\u013cas ekonomikas apskats atkl\u0101j dinamisku un savstarp\u0113ji saist\u012btu pasauli, kur\u0101 centr\u0101lo banku l\u0113mumi, investoru noska\u0146ojums, glob\u0101l\u0101s tirdzniec\u012bbas politikas un klimata p\u0101rmai\u0146u sekas veido kop\u0113jo ekonomisko ainavu. Turpm\u0101kajos m\u0113ne\u0161os b\u016bs interesanti v\u0113rot, k\u0101 \u0161ie faktori att\u012bst\u012bsies un k\u0101 tie ietekm\u0113s gan pla\u0161\u0101ku tautsaimniec\u012bbu, gan ikviena indiv\u012bda ikdienu.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"ASV centr\u0101l\u0101s bankas v\u0113sturiskais l\u0113mums un Eiropas investoru noska\u0146ojums septembr\u012b Septembra vidus iez\u012bm\u0113j\u0101s ar gaid\u012btiem un noz\u012bm\u012bgiem pav\u0113rsieniem…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":752,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[16],"tags":[547,77,76,548,552,550,35,39,38,36,37,34,40,549,551],"class_list":{"0":"post-751","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-bizness","8":"tag-asv-centrala-banka","9":"tag-bizness","10":"tag-business","11":"tag-ecb","12":"tag-eirozona","13":"tag-inflacija","14":"tag-latvia","15":"tag-latvian","16":"tag-latviesu","17":"tag-latviesu-valoda","18":"tag-latviesuvaloda","19":"tag-latvija","20":"tag-lv","21":"tag-procentu-likmes","22":"tag-vacijas-investoru-sentiments"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/751","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=751"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/751\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/752"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=751"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=751"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=751"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}