Bitcoinas trajektorija \u0161ogad: anal\u012bti\u0137i br\u012bdina par iesp\u0113jamu kritumu l\u012bdz pat 10 000 USD<\/p>\n
\u0160obr\u012bd nov\u0113rojam\u0101 Bitcoin cena nav tikai \u012bslaic\u012bgs sv\u0101rst\u012bjums, bet gan iev\u0113rojama novirze no ierastajiem v\u0113sturiskajiem cikliem. K\u0101 nor\u0101da Bloomberg Intelligence vec\u0101kais pre\u010du tirgu strat\u0113\u0123is Maiks MakGlouns, past\u0101v re\u0101ls risks, ka pirmais kriptoval\u016btas v\u0113rt\u012bba var\u0113tu strauji kristies, sasniedzot aptuveni 10 000 ASV dol\u0101ru atz\u012bmi. Vi\u0146\u0161 uzskata, ka tirgus ir izsm\u0113lis savus galvenos pozit\u012bvos impulsus, un pa\u0161reiz\u0113j\u0101 digit\u0101l\u0101s val\u016btas nov\u0113rt\u0113juma l\u012bmenim tr\u016bkst pietiekama pamatojuma re\u0101lo fundament\u0101lo faktoru zi\u0146\u0101.<\/p>\n
Koment\u0101ri un v\u0113sturiskie paral\u0113les<\/p>\n
\u0160is pesimistiskais skat\u012bjums tika pausts soci\u0101laj\u0101 t\u012bkl\u0101 X, rea\u0123\u0113jot uz uz\u0146\u0113muma MicroStrategy l\u012bdzdibin\u0101t\u0101ja Maikla Seilora pazi\u0146ojumu par veiksm\u012bgu Bitcoin ieg\u0101di, izmantojot l\u012bdzek\u013cus, kuru zaud\u0113\u0161anu uz\u0146\u0113mums nevar at\u013cauties. MakGlouns atg\u0101din\u0101ja, ka tie\u0161i MicroStrategy bija viens no sp\u0113c\u012bg\u0101 2020. gada rallija katalizatoriem, kad Bitcoin cena sv\u0101rst\u012bj\u0101s ap 10 000 USD atz\u012bmi. Tas rada iespaidu, ka v\u0113sture var\u0113tu atk\u0101rtoties, ta\u010du \u0161oreiz negat\u012bv\u0101 gultn\u0113.<\/p>\n
Ilgtermi\u0146a tur\u0113t\u0101ju strat\u0113\u0123ijas un tirgus transform\u0101cija<\/p>\n
Taj\u0101 pa\u0161\u0101 laik\u0101 K33 anal\u012bti\u0137i atz\u012bm\u0113 noz\u012bm\u012bgu ilgtermi\u0146a Bitcoin tur\u0113t\u0101ju uzved\u012bbas struktur\u0101lu mai\u0146u. P\u0113d\u0113jo divu gadu laik\u0101 ir aktiviz\u0113ti aptuveni 20% no visa Bitcoin pied\u0101v\u0101juma, kas ir aptuveni 1,6 miljoni mon\u0113tu, kuru v\u0113rt\u012bba pa\u0161reiz\u0113j\u0101s cen\u0101s sasniedz 138 miljardus ASV dol\u0101ru. K33 eksperti nor\u0101da, ka \u0161\u012b ir viena no liel\u0101kaj\u0101m ilgtermi\u0146a pied\u0101v\u0101juma sadales f\u0101z\u0113m kriptoval\u016btas v\u0113stur\u0113, atpaliekot vien\u012bgi no 2017. gada. Kopum\u0101 2025. gad\u0101 K33 prognoz\u0113, ka tiks aktiviz\u0113ti Bitcoin kr\u0101jumi, kas vec\u0101ki par vienu gadu, par aptuveni 300 miljardiem ASV dol\u0101ru.<\/p>\n
MakGlouns ar\u012b piev\u0113r\u0161 uzman\u012bbu pla\u0161\u0101k\u0101m izmai\u0146\u0101m vis\u0101 kriptoindustrij\u0101. Ja 2009. gad\u0101 eksist\u0113ja tikai viens digit\u0101lais akt\u012bvs \u2013 Bitcoin, tad \u0161obr\u012bd CoinMarketCap platform\u0101 ir re\u0123istr\u0113tas aptuveni 28 miljoni da\u017e\u0101du kriptoval\u016btu. \u0160aj\u0101 main\u012bgaj\u0101 ain\u0101 anal\u012bti\u0137is neliedz iesp\u0113ju, ka Bitcoin var\u0113tu atgriezties pie v\u0113sturisko ciklu s\u0101kumpunkta.<\/p>\n
Iepriek\u0161\u0113j\u0101s prognozes un neparastie tirgus cikli<\/p>\n
\u0160\u012b nav pirm\u0101 reize, kad MakGlouns sniedz skarbus prognozes. Apm\u0113ram pirms div\u0101m ned\u0113\u013c\u0101m vi\u0146\u0161 jau br\u012bdin\u0101ja par iesp\u0113jamu Bitcoin korekciju l\u012bdz 50 000 ASV dol\u0101ru l\u012bmenim, argument\u0113jot, ka attiec\u012bb\u0101 pret zeltu \u0161is akt\u012bvs ir p\u0101rv\u0113rt\u0113ts. Interesanti, ka Bitcoin uzved\u012bba jaun\u0101 ceturk\u0161\u0146a s\u0101kum\u0101 parasti ir pret\u0113ja iepriek\u0161\u0113j\u0101 ceturk\u0161\u0146a virzienam, nor\u0101da K33 un The Block dati, kas rada papildu nenoteikt\u012bbas saj\u016btu.<\/p>\n
Investoru uzved\u012bba un tirgus absorbcijas sp\u0113ja<\/p>\n
Vienlaikus ar \u0161iem koment\u0101riem, Glassnode dati liecina par ilgtermi\u0146a Bitcoin tur\u0113t\u0101ju uzved\u012bbas izmai\u0146\u0101m. BTC apjoms adres\u0113s, kas mon\u0113tas tur\u0113ju\u0161as vismaz 155 dienas (t.s. long-term holders), samazin\u0101jies l\u012bdz 14 342 207 BTC, kas ir zem\u0101kais r\u0101d\u012bt\u0101js p\u0113d\u0113jo asto\u0146u m\u0113ne\u0161u laik\u0101. Tas sakr\u012bt ar korekciju gandr\u012bz par 40% no pag\u0101ju\u0161\u0101 gada oktobra v\u0113sturisk\u0101 maksimuma. Pa\u0161reiz\u0113jais kritums ir jau tre\u0161\u0101 izp\u0101rdo\u0161anas vilna kop\u0161 2023. gada s\u0101kuma.<\/p>\n
Anal\u012bti\u0137i nor\u0101da, ka pa\u0161reiz\u0113jais cikls at\u0161\u0137iras no mode\u013ciem 2013., 2017. un 2021. gad\u0101, kad ilgtermi\u0146a tur\u0113t\u0101ju p\u0101rdo\u0161ana koncentr\u0113j\u0101s ap vienu virsotni. K\u0101 skaidro Checkonchain l\u012bdzdibin\u0101t\u0101js Alekss Dejanovi\u010ds, \u0161oreiz tirgus demonstr\u0113 sp\u0113ju absorb\u0113t atk\u0101rtotus p\u0101rdo\u0161anas vi\u013c\u0146us bez skaidri izveidotas eiforijas punkta. Neskatoties uz \u0161\u012bm ba\u017e\u0101m, galvenais invest\u012bciju direktors Bitwise Mets Haugan pie\u013cauj, ka 2026. gad\u0101 Bitcoin var\u0113tu p\u0101rsp\u0113t ierasto \u010detru gadu ciklu un pat atjaunot v\u0113sturiskos maksimumus, pateicoties samazin\u0101tai \u0445\u0430\u043bvingu ietekmei, paredz\u0113tajam procentu likmju kritumam un institucion\u0101l\u0101s adopt\u0113\u0161anas pa\u0101trin\u0101jumam. \u0160\u012b sp\u0113ja piel\u0101goties un ignor\u0113t iepriek\u0161\u0113j\u0101s tendences var\u0113tu b\u016bt atsl\u0113ga Bitcoin n\u0101kotnes pan\u0101kumiem.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Bitcoinas trajektorija \u0161ogad: anal\u012bti\u0137i br\u012bdina par iesp\u0113jamu kritumu l\u012bdz pat 10 000 USD \u0160obr\u012bd nov\u0113rojam\u0101 Bitcoin cena nav…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":79949,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[16],"tags":[20072,20070,77,76,20073,3351,35,39,38,36,37,34,40,20071],"class_list":{"0":"post-79948","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-bizness","8":"tag-bitcoin-cikli","9":"tag-bitcoin-prognoze","10":"tag-bizness","11":"tag-business","12":"tag-digitalas-valutas","13":"tag-kriptovalutu-tirgus","14":"tag-latvia","15":"tag-latvian","16":"tag-latviesu","17":"tag-latviesu-valoda","18":"tag-latviesuvaloda","19":"tag-latvija","20":"tag-lv","21":"tag-maiks-makglouns"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@lv\/115746354144251709","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/79948","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=79948"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/79948\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/79949"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=79948"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=79948"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=79948"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}