Latvijas Banka paaugstina IKP pieauguma prognozes optimistiskajam skat\u012bjumam<\/p>\n
Latvijas Banka ir veikusi optimistiskas izmai\u0146as sav\u0101s tautsaimniec\u012bbas prognoz\u0113s \u0161im gadam, paredzot gan strauj\u0101ku iek\u0161zemes kopprodukta (IKP) izaugsmi, gan ar\u012b infl\u0101cijas pieaugumu. K\u0101 inform\u0113 port\u0101ls jauns.lv, \u0161\u012bs izmai\u0146as atspogu\u013co pa\u0161reiz\u0113jo dinamisko ekonomisko vidi un nepiecie\u0161am\u012bbu piel\u0101goties jaun\u0101kajiem datiem un glob\u0101laj\u0101m tendenc\u0113m.<\/p>\n
IKP pieaugums sasniedz 1,7%<\/p>\n
Centr\u0101l\u0101 banka nu sagaida, ka Latvijas iek\u0161zemes kopprodukts (IKP) \u0161ogad demonstr\u0113s iespaid\u012bg\u0101ku izaugsmi nek\u0101 iepriek\u0161 tika l\u0113sts, sasniedzot 1,7%. Tas ir iev\u0113rojams k\u0101pums sal\u012bdzin\u0101jum\u0101 ar agr\u0101k prognoz\u0113tajiem 1,2%. \u0160\u012b pozit\u012bv\u0101 korekcija galvenok\u0101rt saist\u0101ma ar jaun\u0101kajiem datiem, kas nor\u0101da uz sp\u0113c\u012bg\u0101ku ekonomikas atvese\u013co\u0161anos. K\u0101 galvenie izaugsmes virz\u012bt\u0101ji tiek min\u0113tas invest\u012bcijas, arvien stipr\u0101ks priv\u0101tais pat\u0113ri\u0146\u0161 un eksporta atjauno\u0161an\u0101s.<\/p>\n
Valsts un priv\u0101t\u0101s invest\u012bcijas, ko sekm\u0113 strauji augo\u0161\u0101 kredit\u0113\u0161ana, veido stabilu tautsaimniec\u012bbas pamatu, veicinot p\u0101rmai\u0146as ra\u017eo\u0161anas nozar\u0113s un palielinot ra\u017eo\u0161anas kapacit\u0101ti. Pat\u0113r\u0113t\u0101ju noska\u0146ojumam un roc\u012bbai uzlabojoties, sagaid\u0101ms, ka priv\u0101tais pat\u0113ri\u0146\u0161 k\u013c\u016bs v\u0113l sp\u0113c\u012bg\u0101ks, lai gan vid\u0113j\u0101 termi\u0146\u0101 tas m\u0113reni veicin\u0101s m\u0101jsaimniec\u012bbu uzkr\u0101jumus. Lai gan 2026. gad\u0101 IKP izaugsmes prognoze saglab\u0101ta nemain\u012bga \u2013 2,8% \u2013 un 2027. gadam t\u0101 nedaudz samazin\u0101ta no 3,2% uz 2,9%, 2028. gad\u0101 gaid\u0101ma strauj\u0101ka izaugsme \u2013 3,2%. \u0160\u012bs izmai\u0146as n\u0101kotnes prognoz\u0113s galvenok\u0101rt saist\u012btas ar atsevi\u0161\u0137u lielo invest\u012bciju projektu \u012bsteno\u0161anas perspekt\u012bvu kori\u0123\u0113\u0161anu.<\/p>\n
Infl\u0101cijas spiediens un t\u0101 virz\u012bt\u0101ji<\/p>\n
Neskatoties uz kopum\u0101 pozit\u012bvaj\u0101m IKP izaugsmes tendenc\u0113m, Latvijas Banka prognoz\u0113 ar\u012b strauj\u0101ku infl\u0101cijas k\u0101pumu nek\u0101 s\u0101kotn\u0113ji tika l\u0113sts. \u0160ogad gada vid\u0113j\u0101s infl\u0101cijas prognoze ir paaugstin\u0101ta l\u012bdz 3,9%, kas ir virs iepriek\u0161 prognoz\u0113tajiem 3,4%. Galvenais infl\u0101ciju paaugstino\u0161ais faktors ir sp\u0113c\u012bg\u0101ks algu k\u0101pums, ko papildina administrat\u012bvi regul\u0113jamie tarifi un notur\u012bgi augstas p\u0101rtikas cenas. T\u0101pat strauj\u0101ks infl\u0101cijas k\u0101pums nek\u0101 gaid\u012bts, visticam\u0101k, saist\u012bts ar pat\u0113ri\u0146a cenu k\u0101pumu, ko veicina sp\u0113c\u012bg\u0101ks algu pieaugums, nevis tikai \u0101r\u0113jie faktori.<\/p>\n
Tom\u0113r, mazinoties glob\u0101lajai nenoteikt\u012bbai par tarifu ietekmi un strauj\u0101k atjaunojoties \u0101r\u0113jam piepras\u012bjumam, gaid\u0101ma sp\u0113c\u012bg\u0101ka eksporta izaugsme. Savuk\u0101rt izaicin\u0101jumus rada straujais darbasp\u0113ka izmaksu pieaugums, milit\u0101rie konflikti un glob\u0101l\u0101 nenoteikt\u012bba.<\/p>\n
Turpm\u0101kas prognozes un riski<\/p>\n
Latvijas Banka prognoz\u0113, ka IKP pieaugums \u0161ogad var\u0113tu sasniegt 1,7%, kas ir augst\u0101k par iepriek\u0161 prognoz\u0113tajiem 1,2%. 2026. gada prognoze saglab\u0101ta 2,8% l\u012bmen\u012b, bet 2027. gadam IKP pieaugums samazin\u0101ts no 3,2% l\u012bdz 2,9%. Latvijas Banka sagaida, ka liel\u0101ku izaugsmes jaudu pie\u0161\u0137irs eksporta pieaugums, uzlabojoties ekonomiskajai videi \u0101rvalst\u012bs.<\/p>\n
Lai gan IKP izaugsme \u0161ogad prognoz\u0113jama gausa, jo Latvijas galvenaj\u0101s tirdzniec\u012bbas partnervalst\u012bs piepras\u012bjums ir v\u0101j\u0161, vid\u0113j\u0101 termi\u0146\u0101 izaugsmei jaudu pie\u0161\u0137irs situ\u0101cijas uzlabo\u0161an\u0101s eksporta tirgos un invest\u012bciju aktivit\u0101te. Latvij\u0101 zem\u0101 infl\u0101cija \u013cauj atg\u016bties pat\u0113ri\u0146am un invest\u012bcijas balsta vald\u012bbas ieguld\u012bjumi, ta\u010du \u0101r\u0113jais piepras\u012bjums ir pav\u0101jin\u0101jies, t\u0101p\u0113c IKP pieauguma prognoze \u012bstermi\u0146\u0101 samazin\u0101ta.<\/p>\n
Riski tautsaimniec\u012bbas att\u012bst\u012bbai ir saist\u012bti ar darbasp\u0113ka izmaksu pieaugumu, \u0123eopolitisko spriedzi un glob\u0101lo nenoteikt\u012bbu. Latvijas Bankas prezidents M\u0101rti\u0146\u0161 Kaz\u0101ks uzsv\u0113ris, ka bud\u017eets nav no gumijas un ir svar\u012bgi m\u0101c\u0113t pateikt \u201cn\u0113\u201d nepamatotiem izdevumu piepras\u012bjumiem.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Latvijas Banka paaugstina IKP pieauguma prognozes optimistiskajam skat\u012bjumam Latvijas Banka ir veikusi optimistiskas izmai\u0146as sav\u0101s tautsaimniec\u012bbas prognoz\u0113s \u0161im…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":80332,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[16],"tags":[77,76,2328,20127,550,35,39,38,36,37,34,46,40,45],"class_list":{"0":"post-80331","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-bizness","8":"tag-bizness","9":"tag-business","10":"tag-ekonomikas-izaugsme","11":"tag-ikp-prognoze","12":"tag-inflacija","13":"tag-latvia","14":"tag-latvian","15":"tag-latviesu","16":"tag-latviesu-valoda","17":"tag-latviesuvaloda","18":"tag-latvija","19":"tag-latvijas-banka","20":"tag-lv","21":"tag-martins-kazaks"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@lv\/115748292762325987","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/80331","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=80331"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/80331\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/80332"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=80331"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=80331"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=80331"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}