ECB saglab\u0101 nemain\u012bgas procentu likmes, prognoz\u0113jot stabilit\u0101ti<\/p>\n
K\u0101 zi\u0146o telekan\u0101ls TV3, Eiropas Centr\u0101l\u0101 banka (ECB) \u0161\u0101 gada 18. decembr\u012b pie\u0146\u0113musi l\u0113mumu saglab\u0101t eso\u0161\u0101s procentu likmes nemain\u012bgas. \u0160\u0101ds l\u0113mums ir gaid\u012bts un nav rad\u012bjis nek\u0101dus p\u0101rsteigumus finan\u0161u tirgos. ECB Padome \u0161odien Frankfurt\u0113 nol\u0113ma, ka noguld\u012bjumu iesp\u0113jas uz nakti likme paliks 2% apm\u0113r\u0101, galven\u0101 refinans\u0113\u0161anas oper\u0101cija tiks uztur\u0113ta 2,15% l\u012bmen\u012b, savuk\u0101rt aizdevumu iesp\u0113jas uz nakti likme saglab\u0101sies 2,4% apm\u0113r\u0101. \u0160\u012bs likmes sp\u0113k\u0101 ir jau kop\u0161 \u0161\u012b gada 11. j\u016bnija.<\/p>\n
Infl\u0101cijas stabiliz\u0113\u0161an\u0101s un ekonomikas izaugsmes perspekt\u012bvas<\/p>\n
ECB Padome ir stingri ap\u0146\u0113musies pan\u0101kt infl\u0101cijas stabiliz\u0113\u0161anos t\u0101s noteiktaj\u0101 vid\u0113j\u0101 termi\u0146a m\u0113r\u0137a l\u012bmen\u012b \u2013 2%. Saska\u0146\u0101 ar jaun\u0101kaj\u0101m Eurosist\u0113mas speci\u0101listu prognoz\u0113m, kop\u0113j\u0101 infl\u0101cija eirozon\u0101 2025. gad\u0101 sasniegs vid\u0113ji 2,1%, 2026. gad\u0101 t\u0101 prognoz\u0113ta 1,9% apm\u0113r\u0101, 2027. gad\u0101 \u2013 1,8%, bet 2025. gad\u0101 \u2013 2%. Lai gan infl\u0101cija kopum\u0101 stabiliz\u0113jas, speci\u0101listi nor\u0101da, ka pakalpojumu infl\u0101cija 2026. gad\u0101 var\u0113tu samazin\u0101ties l\u0113n\u0101k nek\u0101 s\u0101kotn\u0113ji prognoz\u0113ts, kas nedaudz paaugstina infl\u0101cijas perspekt\u012bvu \u0161im gadam. Tom\u0113r kopum\u0101 banka prognoz\u0113 sp\u0113c\u012bg\u0101ku ekonomikas atlab\u0161anu nek\u0101 iepriek\u0161, ko galvenok\u0101rt veicin\u0101s iek\u0161zemes piepras\u012bjums. Gaid\u0101mais tautsaimniec\u012bbas izaugsmes temps 2025. gad\u0101 paaugstin\u0101ts l\u012bdz 1,4%, 2026. gad\u0101 \u2013 l\u012bdz 1,2%, un 2027. gad\u0101 \u2013 l\u012bdz 1,4%, saglab\u0101joties stabilam ar\u012b 2028. gad\u0101.<\/p>\n
Monet\u0101r\u0101s politikas pieeja un n\u0101kotnes virziens<\/p>\n
ECB turpin\u0101s savu datu balst\u012bto pieeju monet\u0101r\u0101s politikas veido\u0161an\u0101. Tas noz\u012bm\u0113, ka n\u0101kamie l\u0113mumi par procentu likm\u0113m b\u016bs tie\u0161i atkar\u012bgi no r\u016bp\u012bgas infl\u0101cijas perspekt\u012bvas un risku nov\u0113rt\u0113juma, \u0146emot v\u0113r\u0101 aktu\u0101los tautsaimniec\u012bbas un finan\u0161u datus, k\u0101 ar\u012b pamatinfl\u0101cijas dinamiku un monet\u0101r\u0101s politikas ietekmi. Tom\u0113r banka skaidri nor\u0101da, ka t\u0101 iepriek\u0161 neap\u0146emas virz\u012bt procentu likmes konkr\u0113t\u0101 virzien\u0101, saglab\u0101jot elast\u012bbu un gatav\u012bbu piel\u0101goties main\u012bgajiem apst\u0101k\u013ciem. Interesanti, ka preses konferenc\u0113 tika izteiktas diskusijas par iesp\u0113ju n\u0101kotn\u0113 paaugstin\u0101t likmes, lai gan pamatprognoze paredz stabilit\u0101ti vis\u0101 2026. gad\u0101. \u0160\u012b pieeja noz\u012bm\u0113, ka kred\u012bt\u0146\u0113m\u0113jiem nav gaid\u0101ms turpm\u0101ks Euribor likmes kritums \u0161aj\u0101 cikl\u0101. Tiem, kuri cer uz procentu likmju samazin\u0101jumu, iesp\u0113jams, n\u0101ksies v\u0113l nedaudz pagaid\u012bt, jo ECB Padome demonstr\u0113 piesardz\u012bgu, bet stingru nost\u0101ju.<\/p>\n
Iepriek\u0161\u0113jie l\u0113mumi un tirgus reakcija<\/p>\n
J\u0101atz\u012bm\u0113, ka 2025. gada laik\u0101 noguld\u012bjumu likmes kopum\u0101 ir samazin\u0101tas par vienu procentpunktu, sasniedzot 2% l\u012bmeni kop\u0161 j\u016bnija. Tas bija jau sept\u012btais procentu likmju samazin\u0101jums p\u0113c k\u0101rtas, ko ECB Padome \u012bstenoja agr\u0101k \u0161ogad. ECB iepriek\u0161\u0113j\u0101s procentu likmju pazemin\u0101\u0161anas nol\u016bks bija stimul\u0113t ekonomiku, rea\u0123\u0113jot uz infl\u0101cijas samazin\u0101\u0161anos un eirozonas ekonomikas v\u0101rgumu. Neskatoties uz \u0161iem iepriek\u0161\u0113jiem pas\u0101kumiem, pa\u0161reiz\u0113jais l\u0113mums saglab\u0101t likmes nemain\u012bgas liecina par stabilit\u0101tes mekl\u0113jumiem un piesardz\u012bbu n\u0101kotnes prognoz\u0113s.<\/p>\n
N\u0101kotnes prognozes un potenci\u0101lie riski<\/p>\n
Lai gan 2026. gads Latvijai izskat\u0101s cer\u012bgs ar prognoz\u0113tu IKP izaugsmes pa\u0101trin\u0101\u0161anos un re\u0101lo algu pieaugumu, banku uzraudz\u012bbas uzlabo\u0161ana un tirgus infrastrukt\u016bras aktualiz\u0113\u0161ana ir nep\u0101rtraukts process. Ir svar\u012bgi nepalaist gar\u0101m iesp\u0113ju izveidot vienotu pakalpojumu tirgu vis\u0101 Eirop\u0101 un pie\u0146emt nepiecie\u0161amos politiskos l\u0113mumus. Turkl\u0101t, \u0146emot v\u0113r\u0101, ka termi\u0146noguld\u012bjumu likmes jau \u0161obr\u012bd ir zem infl\u0101cijas l\u012bme\u0146a Latvij\u0101, iedz\u012bvot\u0101jiem, kuri v\u0113las efekt\u012bvi ieguld\u012bt br\u012bvo naudu, b\u016bs j\u0101mekl\u0113 ienes\u012bg\u0101ki risin\u0101jumi finan\u0161u tirgos. Glob\u0101laj\u0101 m\u0113rog\u0101, svar\u012bgs jaut\u0101jums ir par m\u0101ksl\u012bg\u0101 intelekta infrastrukt\u016bras invest\u012bciju atdevi, jo da\u017ei lielie uz\u0146\u0113mumi koncentr\u0113 savus resursus \u0161aj\u0101 jom\u0101, kas var ietekm\u0113t glob\u0101lo ekonomiku. Tom\u0113r ECB stingr\u0101 nost\u0101ja un nemain\u012bg\u0101s procentu likmes ir sign\u0101ls par nepiecie\u0161am\u012bbu saglab\u0101t modr\u012bbu un r\u016bp\u012bgi sekot l\u012bdzi ekonomikas att\u012bst\u012bbai.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"ECB saglab\u0101 nemain\u012bgas procentu likmes, prognoz\u0113jot stabilit\u0101ti K\u0101 zi\u0146o telekan\u0101ls TV3, Eiropas Centr\u0101l\u0101 banka (ECB) \u0161\u0101 gada 18.…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":81204,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[16],"tags":[77,76,548,10200,550,35,39,38,36,37,34,40,4049,549],"class_list":{"0":"post-81203","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-bizness","8":"tag-bizness","9":"tag-business","10":"tag-ecb","11":"tag-eiropas-centrala-banka","12":"tag-inflacija","13":"tag-latvia","14":"tag-latvian","15":"tag-latviesu","16":"tag-latviesu-valoda","17":"tag-latviesuvaloda","18":"tag-latvija","19":"tag-lv","20":"tag-monetara-politika","21":"tag-procentu-likmes"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@lv\/115753097893351843","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/81203","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=81203"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/81203\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/81204"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=81203"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=81203"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=81203"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}