Inform\u0101cijas burbulis Krem\u013ca aug\u0161os<\/p>\n
Krievijas diktatora Vladimira Putina priek\u0161stats par re\u0101lo situ\u0101ciju Ukrainas kara front\u0113, visticam\u0101k, ir b\u016btiski krop\u013cots, ko veido sagroz\u012btas un p\u0101rlieku optimistiskas atskaites no milit\u0101r\u0101s un dro\u0161\u012bbas strukt\u016br\u0101m. K\u0101 zi\u0146o telekan\u0101ls TV3, \u0161\u0101du secin\u0101jumu izteiku\u0161i ASV b\u0101z\u0113t\u0101 Kara izp\u0113tes instit\u016bta (ISW) anal\u012bti\u0137i, nor\u0101dot uz sistem\u0101tisku realit\u0101tes neatbilst\u012bbu Krem\u013ca sa\u0146emtaj\u0101 inform\u0101cij\u0101.<\/p>\n
\u0160is inform\u0101cijas p\u0101rvald\u012bbas stils nav jauns fenomens. Jau iepriek\u0161, analiz\u0113jot Krem\u013ca strat\u0113\u0123ijas, eksperti nor\u0101d\u012bju\u0161i uz Putina tendenci pa\u013cauties uz saviem m\u0113r\u0137iem lab\u0101k piel\u0101gotiem zi\u0146ojumiem, nevis objekt\u012bviem datiem. Neskatoties uz to, ka 2025. gad\u0101, piem\u0113ram, Krievija apgalvoja, ka ir sagr\u0101busi vair\u0101k nek\u0101 6300 kvadr\u0101tkilometru Ukrainas teritorijas, ISW v\u0113rt\u0113jumi liecina, ka \u0161ie skait\u013ci b\u016btiski at\u0161\u0137iras no re\u0101lajiem ieguvumiem kaujas lauk\u0101.<\/p>\n
Frontes realit\u0101te pret ofici\u0101lo retoriku<\/p>\n
Faktu anal\u012bze no neatkar\u012bgiem avotiem un Ukrainas avotiem bie\u017ei vien atkl\u0101j krasu kontrastu ar Krievijas ofici\u0101lajiem pazi\u0146ojumiem. Piem\u0113ram, Krievijas \u0122ener\u0101l\u0161t\u0101ba priek\u0161nieks Val\u0113rijs Gerasimovs decembr\u012b publiski apgalvoja, ka Krievijas sp\u0113ki ir piln\u012bb\u0101 p\u0101r\u0146\u0113mu\u0161i kontroli p\u0101r Siversku Doneckas apgabal\u0101. ISW tom\u0113r konstat\u0113ja, ka apstiprin\u0101ta ir tikai aptuveni 77% pils\u0113tas teritorijas sagr\u0101b\u0161ana.<\/p>\n
L\u012bdz\u012bgi, run\u0101jot par Kostjanti\u0146ivku, Gerasimovs min\u0113ja it k\u0101 50% kontroli, bet anal\u012bti\u0137i atz\u012bm\u0113ja, ka vi\u0146u r\u012bc\u012bb\u0101 nav pier\u0101d\u012bjumu tik pla\u0161ai Krievijas virz\u012bbai, nov\u0113rt\u0113jot okupantu kl\u0101tb\u016btni pils\u0113t\u0101 k\u0101 ne vair\u0101k k\u0101 5%. \u0160\u0101das p\u0101rsp\u012bl\u0113tas uzvaras tiek uzskat\u012btas par m\u0113\u0123in\u0101jumu rad\u012bt priek\u0161statu par it k\u0101 pan\u0101kumiem un Ukrainas aizsardz\u012bbas v\u0101jumu, \u012bpa\u0161i \u0146emot v\u0113r\u0101, ka pat Gerasimova nosauktie 6300 kvadr\u0101tmetri veido tikai nedaudz vair\u0101k par 1% no visaptvero\u0161\u0101s Ukrainas teritorijas.<\/p>\n
Frontes situ\u0101cija turpina main\u012bties. Decembra vid\u016b tika zi\u0146ots par smag\u0101m kauj\u0101m, kur Krievijas iebruc\u0113jiem izdev\u0101s pavirz\u012bties uz priek\u0161u noteiktos sektoros Doneckas un Zapori\u017ejas apgabalos, vienlaikus Ukrainas puse atvair\u012bja desmitiem uzbrukumu.<\/p>\n
Propagandas m\u0113r\u0137i un atskai\u0161u noz\u012bme<\/p>\n
Galvenais iemesls \u0161\u0101du p\u0101rsp\u012bl\u0113tu atskai\u0161u veido\u0161anai ir tie\u0161i inform\u0101cijas politika, kas v\u0113rsta uz iek\u0161zemes auditoriju un m\u0113\u0123in\u0101jums uztur\u0113t il\u016bziju par kontroli p\u0101r situ\u0101ciju. Anal\u012bti\u0137i uzsver, ka Krievijas vad\u012bba signaliz\u0113 par nodomu uzvar\u0113t \u201cizs\u012bkuma kar\u0101\u201d, pa\u013caujoties uz savu p\u0101rsvaru cilv\u0113kresursos un materi\u0101lajos nodro\u0161in\u0101jum\u0101.<\/p>\n
\u0160\u012b retorika ar\u012b kalpo k\u0101 instruments, lai m\u0113\u0123in\u0101tu piespiest Ukrainu un t\u0101s Rietumu atbalst\u012bt\u0101jus piekrist Krem\u013ca maksim\u0101listiskaj\u0101m pras\u012bb\u0101m, radot iespaidu par Krievijas neizb\u0113gamo uzvaru. J\u0101atz\u012bm\u0113, ka Krievija jau 2025. gada mart\u0101 izvirz\u012bja m\u0113r\u0137i piln\u012bb\u0101 okup\u0113t Doneckas un Luhanskas apgabalus.<\/p>\n
Pret\u0113ji Krem\u013ca narat\u012bvam, Ukrainas sp\u0113ki ar\u012b sasniedz lok\u0101lus taktiskus pan\u0101kumus, piem\u0113ram, atg\u016bstot atsevi\u0161\u0137as poz\u012bcijas frontes vissmag\u0101kajos posmos pie Pokrovskas un Toreckas. Tom\u0113r ir j\u0101saprot, ka \u0161ie ieguvumi nav milz\u012bgi, un citos virzienos zaud\u0113jumi ar\u012b turpin\u0101s.<\/p>\n
Ietekme uz Putina l\u0113mumu pie\u0146em\u0161anu<\/p>\n
Ja Putins sa\u0146em neprec\u012bzu inform\u0101ciju par milit\u0101rajiem pan\u0101kumiem vai tie\u0161i pret\u0113jo \u2013 nepietiekamu inform\u0101ciju par zaud\u0113jumiem, tas tie\u0161\u0101 veid\u0101 ietekm\u0113 vi\u0146a strat\u0113\u0123iskos l\u0113mumus. \u0160\u0101da inform\u0101cijas izol\u0101cija var vest pie nepareiziem apr\u0113\u0137iniem par atliku\u0161ajiem resursiem, Ukrainas sp\u0113ju pretest\u012bbu un kop\u0113jo kara gaitu.<\/p>\n
\n\u201cPutina uzvaras teorija balst\u0101s uz pie\u0146\u0113mumu, ka Krievija var p\u0101rdz\u012bvot Rietumu atbalstu Ukrainai un Ukrainas sp\u0113ju pretoties Krievijas agresijai.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n
Anal\u012bti\u0137i nor\u0101da, ka \u0161\u0101da p\u0101rsp\u012bl\u0113\u0161ana var\u0113tu b\u016bt m\u0113\u0123in\u0101jums mazin\u0101t \u0161oku vai kritiku, ko izrais\u012btu atkl\u0101tas neveiksmes. Piem\u0113ram, ISW jau iepriek\u0161 ir analiz\u0113jis Putina inici\u0113t\u0101s inform\u0101cijas oper\u0101cijas, tostarp Ziemassv\u0113tku uguns p\u0101rtrauk\u0161anas pazi\u0146ojumus, kuru m\u0113r\u0137is bija nevis miers, bet gan Krievijas karasp\u0113ka atp\u016btin\u0101\u0161ana un Ukrainas reput\u0101cijas kait\u0113\u0161ana.<\/p>\n
Pla\u0161\u0101ks konteksts: Krem\u013ca ilgtermi\u0146a pl\u0101ni<\/p>\n
Neatkar\u012bgi no ikdienas frontes zi\u0146ojumu paties\u012bguma, rietumvalstu izl\u016bkdienesti, tostarp ISW, turpina br\u012bdin\u0101t par Krem\u013ca ilgtermi\u0146a nodomiem. Anal\u012bti\u0137i uzskata, ka Krievija gatavojas n\u0101kamajai agresijai, kas, iesp\u0113jams, b\u016bs v\u0113rsta pret NATO dal\u012bbvalst\u012bm, tikl\u012bdz akt\u012bv\u0101s kaujas Ukrain\u0101 rim\u0161os.<\/p>\n
\u0160ie pl\u0101ni ietver ekonomikas sagatavo\u0161anu, milit\u0101r\u0101s dom\u0101\u0161anas mai\u0146u un jaunu hibr\u012bdkara taktiku, k\u0101 piem\u0113ram, kiberuzbrukumus un sabot\u0101\u017eas. Pat ja Putins \u0161obr\u012bd ir ieslodz\u012bts inform\u0101cijas burbul\u012b par pan\u0101kumiem Ukrain\u0101, aizsardz\u012bbas nozares stiprin\u0101\u0161ana, piem\u0113ram, tanku ra\u017eo\u0161anas m\u0113r\u0137i l\u012bdz 2028. gadam, liecina par ilgtermi\u0146a pl\u0101niem, kas neaprobe\u017eojas tikai ar Ukrainu.<\/p>\n
L\u012bdz ar to jaut\u0101jums nav tikai par to, vai Putins zina patieso ainu, bet gan par to, k\u0101p\u0113c vi\u0146a vad\u012bbas apar\u0101ts ir tik r\u016bp\u012bgi filtr\u0113jis inform\u0101ciju. Kam\u0113r Ukraina turpina c\u012bn\u012bties, rietumvalst\u012bm un Baltijas valst\u012bm j\u0101\u0146em v\u0113r\u0101, ka Krievijas inform\u0101cijas vide ir paredz\u0113ta nevis lai inform\u0113tu l\u012bderi par zaud\u0113jumiem, bet gan lai uztur\u0113tu c\u012b\u0146as sparu un attaisnotu past\u0101vo\u0161o re\u017e\u012bmu.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Inform\u0101cijas burbulis Krem\u013ca aug\u0161os Krievijas diktatora Vladimira Putina priek\u0161stats par re\u0101lo situ\u0101ciju Ukrainas kara front\u0113, visticam\u0101k, ir b\u016btiski…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":85497,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[14],"tags":[23,57,28,29,32,33,22,7359,4140,30,31,35,39,38,36,37,34,40,20,26,27,21683,3143,24,25,3113,54,55,56,21,58],"class_list":{"0":"post-85496","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-zinas-no-arvalstim","8":"tag-aktualitates","9":"tag-arvalstim","10":"tag-breaking-news","11":"tag-breakingnews","12":"tag-featured-news","13":"tag-featurednews","14":"tag-headlines","15":"tag-isw","16":"tag-krievijas-armija","17":"tag-latest-news","18":"tag-latestnews","19":"tag-latvia","20":"tag-latvian","21":"tag-latviesu","22":"tag-latviesu-valoda","23":"tag-latviesuvaloda","24":"tag-latvija","25":"tag-lv","26":"tag-news","27":"tag-popularakas-zinas","28":"tag-popularakaszinas","29":"tag-propagandas-atskaites","30":"tag-putins","31":"tag-top-stories","32":"tag-topstories","33":"tag-ukrainas-kars","34":"tag-world","35":"tag-world-news","36":"tag-worldnews","37":"tag-zinas","38":"tag-zinas-no-arvalstim"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@lv\/115778884993600233","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/85496","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=85496"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/85496\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/85497"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=85496"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=85496"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=85496"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}