2025. gad\u0101 Latvijas ekonomikas izaugsme ir p\u0101rsniegusi iepriek\u0161\u0113j\u0101s prognozes. To noteica vair\u0101ki faktori, tostarp Centr\u0101l\u0101s statistikas p\u0101rvaldes veikt\u0101s datu rev\u012bzijas, kas main\u012bja skat\u012bjumu uz ekonomikas att\u012bst\u012bbu gada s\u0101kum\u0101, k\u0101 ar\u012b sp\u0113c\u012bg\u0101 ra\u017eo\u0161anas nozaru izaugsme, \u012bpa\u0161i apstr\u0101des r\u016bpniec\u012bb\u0101 un b\u016bvniec\u012bb\u0101. No izlietojuma puses b\u016btisku ieguld\u012bjumu sniedza straujais invest\u012bciju k\u0101pums, aktiviz\u0113joties Eiropas Savien\u012bbas (ES) fondu projektu \u012bsteno\u0161anai, pieaugot kredit\u0113\u0161anai un palielinoties priv\u0101t\u0101 sektora invest\u012bcij\u0101m. Vienlaikus izaugsme fiks\u0113ta praktiski vis\u0101s pakalpojumu nozar\u0113s. Kopum\u0101 2025. gad\u0101 p\u0113c provizoriska nov\u0113rt\u0113juma iek\u0161zemes kopprodukta (IKP) pieaugums sal\u012bdzin\u0101m\u0101s cen\u0101s var\u0113tu veidot 1,7\u20132,0%.\u00a0<\/p>\n
\u0160ogad v\u0113rojamais ekonomisk\u0101s izaugsmes pa\u0101trin\u0101jums saglab\u0101sies ar\u012b 2026. gada s\u0101kum\u0101, un n\u0101kamaj\u0101 gad\u0101 kopum\u0101 IKP pieaugums gaid\u0101ms strauj\u0101ks nek\u0101 2025. gad\u0101. Izaugsmi turpin\u0101s nodro\u0161in\u0101t invest\u012bciju k\u0101pums, k\u0101 ar\u012b eksporta un priv\u0101t\u0101 pat\u0113ri\u0146a atg\u016b\u0161an\u0101s. Sp\u0113c\u012bg\u0101ka nek\u0101 2025. gad\u0101 ekonomikas izaugsme prognoz\u0113ta ar\u012b vis\u0101 vid\u0113j\u0101 termi\u0146a period\u0101.<\/p>\n
Eksporta perspekt\u012bvas 2026. gad\u0101 kopum\u0101 v\u0113rt\u0113jamas k\u0101 labv\u0113l\u012bgas, tom\u0113r strauja eksporta izaugsme netiek prognoz\u0113ta. Eiropas Komisija 2025. gada novembr\u012b palielin\u0101ja ES ekonomikas izaugsmes prognozi 2025. gadam par 0,3 procentpunktiem l\u012bdz 1,4%. Vienlaikus Latvijas liel\u0101ko eksporta partnervalstu kop\u0113j\u0101 ekonomikas izaugsmes prognoze 2025. gadam samazin\u0101ta par 0,3 procentpunktiem, un izaugsme 1,5% apm\u0113r\u0101 prognoz\u0113ta l\u0113n\u0101ka nek\u0101 2024. gad\u0101. Tom\u0113r t\u0101 joproj\u0101m ir augst\u0101ka par ES un eirozonas vid\u0113jo ekonomikas izaugsmes prognozi, liecinot, ka Latvijas eksporta partnervalst\u012bs att\u012bst\u012bba prognoz\u0113ta nedaudz strauj\u0101ka nek\u0101 ES kopum\u0101. Savuk\u0101rt 2026. gad\u0101 ES vid\u0113j\u0101 ekonomikas izaugsme tiek prognoz\u0113ta 1,2% apm\u0113r\u0101, kam\u0113r Latvijas 10 liel\u0101ko eksporta partnervalstu vid\u0113j\u0101 sv\u0113rt\u0101 izaugsmes prognoze sasniedz 2,1%, ko liel\u0101 m\u0113r\u0101 nosaka augst\u0101ka izaugsme Polij\u0101 un Zviedrij\u0101.<\/p>\n
Pozit\u012bvas tendences iez\u012bm\u0113jas ar\u012b apstr\u0101des r\u016bpniec\u012bb\u0101. Latvijas apstr\u0101des r\u016bpniec\u012bbas uz\u0146\u0113mumu \u0161\u0101 gada novembra nov\u0113rt\u0113jums par eksporta pas\u016bt\u012bjumiem turpm\u0101kajos m\u0113ne\u0161os b\u016btiski uzlabojies, sasniedzot augst\u0101ko nov\u0113rt\u0113jumu kop\u0161 2022. gada septembra. Tas kopum\u0101 seko apstr\u0101des r\u016bpniec\u012bbas un b\u016bvniec\u012bbas nozares tendenc\u0113m ES, kas ir svar\u012bg\u0101k\u0101s nozares Latvijas pre\u010du eksporta att\u012bst\u012bbas kontekst\u0101.<\/p>\n
Vienlaikus ar\u012b 2026. gad\u0101 noz\u012bm\u012bga loma b\u016bs starptautisk\u0101s tirdzniec\u012bbas politikai. Tarifu karu ietekme uz glob\u0101lo ekonomiku un tirdzniec\u012bbu, kas s\u0101k\u0101s 2025. gada apr\u012bl\u012b p\u0113c ASV pazi\u0146ojuma par muitas tarifu piem\u0113ro\u0161anu gandr\u012bz vis\u0101m pasaules valst\u012bm, 2025. gad\u0101 izr\u0101d\u012bj\u0101s b\u016btiski maz\u0101ka, nek\u0101 tika prognoz\u0113ts pavasar\u012b. Tom\u0113r tirdzniec\u012bbas politikas nenoteikt\u012bba saglab\u0101jas augst\u0101 l\u012bmen\u012b un turpina apgr\u016btin\u0101t ekonomisko aktivit\u0101ti. Pa\u0161reiz\u0113jo tarifu un ar tiem saist\u012bto pieg\u0101des \u0137\u0113\u017eu trauc\u0113jumu ekonomisk\u0101 ietekme saglab\u0101sies ar\u012b n\u0101kamaj\u0101 gad\u0101, potenci\u0101li negat\u012bvi ietekm\u0113jot gan ES, gan Latvijas eksportu.<\/p>\n
Ekonomikas izaugsmei p\u0113c 2023.\u20132024. gada stagn\u0101cijas atjaunojoties, bezdarba l\u012bmenis 2025. gad\u0101 stabiliz\u0113jies ap 6,9%, un n\u0101kamajos gados tas turpin\u0101s samazin\u0101ties. To ietekm\u0113s gan ekonomikas izaugsme, gan darbsp\u0113jas vecuma iedz\u012bvot\u0101ju skaita samazin\u0101\u0161an\u0101s. Algu pieaugums saglab\u0101sies sp\u0113c\u012bgs, ta\u010du m\u0113ren\u0101ks nek\u0101 iepriek\u0161\u0113jos gados. Kr\u012bto\u0161ais bezdarbs un joproj\u0101m sal\u012bdzino\u0161i straujais algu pieaugums veicin\u0101s priv\u0101t\u0101 pat\u0113ri\u0146a k\u0101pumu. Priv\u0101tais pat\u0113ri\u0146\u0161 2025. gad\u0101 jau uzr\u0101d\u012bjis nelielu pieaugumu (+0,4% pirmajos tr\u012bs ceturk\u0161\u0146os), un 2026. gad\u0101 ir visi priek\u0161nosac\u012bjumi, lai tas augtu b\u016btiski strauj\u0101k.<\/p>\n
Infl\u0101cijas att\u012bst\u012bba 2025. gad\u0101 saglab\u0101j\u0101s sv\u0101rst\u012bga. Oktobr\u012b tika sasniegts augst\u0101kais pat\u0113ri\u0146a cenu indeksa (PCI) pieaugums \u0161ogad \u2013 4,3% gada izteiksm\u0113, savuk\u0101rt novembr\u012b infl\u0101cija samazin\u0101j\u0101s par 0,4 procentpunktiem, tom\u0113r saglab\u0101j\u0101s augst\u0101 l\u012bmen\u012b. Sagaid\u0101ms, ka decembr\u012b infl\u0101cija b\u016bs 3,5\u20133,8% robe\u017e\u0101s. N\u0101kam\u0101 gada s\u0101kum\u0101 infl\u0101cija Latvij\u0101 saglab\u0101sies virs 3%, p\u0101rsniedzot eirozonas vid\u0113jo r\u0101d\u012bt\u0101ju, un to joproj\u0101m var uzskat\u012bt par augstu \u0161aj\u0101 ekonomikas att\u012bst\u012bbas cikl\u0101.<\/p>\n
T\u0101pat k\u0101 2025. gad\u0101, ar\u012b 2026. gad\u0101 pastiprin\u0101ta uzman\u012bba tiks piev\u0113rsta p\u0101rtikas cen\u0101m, jo p\u0101rtikas preces saglab\u0101sies k\u0101 viens no galvenajiem pat\u0113ri\u0146a cenu pieauguma faktoriem. Neapstr\u0101d\u0101t\u0101s p\u0101rtikas cenas pasaules tirgos uzr\u0101da samazin\u0101juma tendenci, un, ja t\u0101 turpin\u0101sies, past\u0101v priek\u0161nosac\u012bjumi import\u0113t\u0101s p\u0101rtikas cenu kritumam. Papildus tam no 2026. gada vidus atsevi\u0161\u0137iem p\u0101rtikas pamatproduktiem noteikta samazin\u0101t\u0101 pievienot\u0101s v\u0113rt\u012bbas nodok\u013ca likme 12% apm\u0113r\u0101. \u0160iem faktoriem b\u016btu j\u0101mazina p\u0101rtikas cenu k\u0101pums 2026. gad\u0101. Vienlaikus darbasp\u0113ka tr\u016bkums turpin\u0101s rad\u012bt spiedienu uz darbasp\u0113ka izmaks\u0101m, un kop\u0101 ar augst\u0101m mazumtirdzniec\u012bbas uz\u0146\u0113mumu pe\u013c\u0146as mar\u017e\u0101m tas uztur\u0113s cenu k\u0101pumu, tom\u0113r kopum\u0101 p\u0101rtikas cenu pieaugums 2026. gad\u0101 piebremz\u0113sies.<\/p>\n
Energoresursu tirgos 2025. gad\u0101 bija v\u0113rojama lejupv\u0113rsta cenu tendence. G\u0101zes un naftas cenas samazin\u0101j\u0101s galvenok\u0101rt liel\u0101ka pied\u0101v\u0101juma un stabila piepras\u012bjuma d\u0113\u013c. Gada nogal\u0113 g\u0101zes cena Eirop\u0101 sasniedza zem\u0101ko l\u012bmeni gandr\u012bz divu gadu laik\u0101, savuk\u0101rt naftas cenas decembr\u012b samazin\u0101j\u0101s l\u012bdz 60 ASV dol\u0101riem par barelu, kas ir zem\u0101kais l\u012bmenis kop\u0161 2021. gada febru\u0101ra. Sagaid\u0101ms, ka g\u0101zes tarifi 2026. gada s\u0101kum\u0101 var\u0113tu samazin\u0101ties, tom\u0113r attiec\u012bb\u0101 uz siltumener\u0123ijas tarifiem b\u016btiskas pozit\u012bvas izmai\u0146as gaid\u0101mas v\u0113l\u0101k. Pat ja tarifi tiks samazin\u0101ti, visticam\u0101k tas skars n\u0101kamo apkures sezonu. Kr\u012bto\u0161\u0101s izejvielu cenas labv\u0113l\u012bgi ietekm\u0113 gan g\u0101zes, gan siltumener\u0123ijas tarifus, ta\u010du darbasp\u0113ka un infrastrukt\u016bras uztur\u0113\u0161anas izmaksas pie kr\u012bto\u0161a iedz\u012bvot\u0101ju skaita turpin\u0101s rad\u012bt spiedienu uz ener\u0123ijas tarifiem.<\/p>\n
Degvielas cenas 2025. gada pirmajos 11 m\u0113ne\u0161os bija vid\u0113ji par 1,9% zem\u0101kas nek\u0101 attiec\u012bgaj\u0101 period\u0101 p\u0113rn. D\u012bze\u013cdegvielas vid\u0113j\u0101 cena bija 1,516 eiro par litru, savuk\u0101rt 95. markas benz\u012bna vid\u0113j\u0101 cena \u2013 1,542 eiro par litru, kas bija attiec\u012bgi par 5,4 un 6,9 eiro centiem maz\u0101k nek\u0101 2024. gada pirmajos 11 m\u0113ne\u0161os. No 2026. gada janv\u0101ra palielin\u0101sies akc\u012bzes nodoklis naftas produktiem, kas degvielas cenas paaugstin\u0101s aptuveni par 3 eiro centiem. Vienlaikus prognoz\u0113ts, ka naftas cenas pasaul\u0113 pak\u0101peniski turpin\u0101s samazin\u0101ties augo\u0161o ieguves apjomu un stabilas glob\u0101l\u0101s ekonomikas izaugsmes d\u0113\u013c, t\u0101d\u0113j\u0101di degvielas cenas n\u0101kamgad kopum\u0101 var\u0113tu saglab\u0101ties l\u012bdzv\u0113rt\u012bgas 2025. gada l\u012bmenim. Papildu paaugstino\u0161a ietekme uz pat\u0113ri\u0146a cenu indeksu 2026. gad\u0101 gaid\u0101ma ar\u012b no akc\u012bzes nodok\u013ca likmju palielin\u0101\u0161anas alkoholiskajiem dz\u0113rieniem un tabakas izstr\u0101d\u0101jumiem.<\/p>\n
Detaliz\u0113t\u0101ka inform\u0101cija par makroekonomisko r\u0101d\u012bt\u0101ju prognoz\u0113m tiks ietverta Finan\u0161u ministrijas atjaunotaj\u0101s makroekonomisko r\u0101d\u012bt\u0101ju prognoz\u0113s Latvijas fisk\u0101li struktur\u0101l\u0101 pl\u0101na sagatavo\u0161anai. T\u0101s pl\u0101nots publiskot febru\u0101ra pirmaj\u0101 pus\u0113 p\u0113c konsult\u0101cij\u0101m ar Latvijas Banku un Ekonomikas ministriju un progno\u017eu apstiprin\u0101\u0161anas Fisk\u0101l\u0101s discipl\u012bnas padom\u0113.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"2025. gad\u0101 Latvijas ekonomikas izaugsme ir p\u0101rsniegusi iepriek\u0161\u0113j\u0101s prognozes. To noteica vair\u0101ki faktori, tostarp Centr\u0101l\u0101s statistikas p\u0101rvaldes veikt\u0101s…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":90088,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[23,28,29,32,33,22,30,31,35,39,38,36,37,34,40,20,26,27,24,25,21],"class_list":{"0":"post-90087","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-aktualitates","8":"tag-aktualitates","9":"tag-breaking-news","10":"tag-breakingnews","11":"tag-featured-news","12":"tag-featurednews","13":"tag-headlines","14":"tag-latest-news","15":"tag-latestnews","16":"tag-latvia","17":"tag-latvian","18":"tag-latviesu","19":"tag-latviesu-valoda","20":"tag-latviesuvaloda","21":"tag-latvija","22":"tag-lv","23":"tag-news","24":"tag-popularakas-zinas","25":"tag-popularakaszinas","26":"tag-top-stories","27":"tag-topstories","28":"tag-zinas"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@lv\/115809260976439329","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/90087","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=90087"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/90087\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/90088"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=90087"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=90087"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=90087"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}