Banku anal\u012bti\u0137i prognoz\u0113 Latvijas ekonomikas uzlabo\u0161anos 2026. gad\u0101<\/p>\n
R\u012bga, 2025. gada 31. decembris \u2013 Latvijas liel\u0101ko banku anal\u012bti\u0137i ir optimistiski noska\u0146oti par valsts ekonomikas att\u012bst\u012bbu 2026. gad\u0101, prognoz\u0113jot stabilu izaugsmi un vair\u0101ku svar\u012bgu makroekonomisko r\u0101d\u012bt\u0101ju uzlabo\u0161anos. K\u0101 inform\u0113 port\u0101ls jauns.lv, gaid\u0101ms strauj\u0101ks iek\u0161zemes kopprodukta (IKP) pieaugums, infl\u0101cijas pal\u0113nin\u0101\u0161an\u0101s un darba tirgus aktiviz\u0113\u0161an\u0101s, lai gan atalgojuma k\u0101pums var\u0113tu k\u013c\u016bt m\u0113ren\u0101ks.<\/p>\n
Strauj\u0101ka IKP izaugsme un infl\u0101cijas bremz\u0113\u0161an\u0101s<\/p>\n
Anal\u012bti\u0137i prognoz\u0113, ka 2026. gad\u0101 Latvijas IKP pieaugums b\u016bs strauj\u0101ks nek\u0101 iepriek\u0161\u0113j\u0101 gad\u0101. Lai gan konkr\u0113ti procentu\u0101lie r\u0101d\u012bt\u0101ji var nedaudz at\u0161\u0137irties atkar\u012bb\u0101 no prognoz\u0113t\u0101ja, kop\u0113j\u0101 tendence liecina par ekonomikas atvese\u013co\u0161anos, ko virz\u012bs invest\u012bcijas, priv\u0101tais pat\u0113ri\u0146\u0161 un eksports. Piem\u0113ram, Latvijas Banka prognoz\u0113 2,8% IKP pieaugumu 2026. gad\u0101, savuk\u0101rt citas prognozes nor\u0101da uz aptuveni 2% pieaugumu. Ekonomikas ministrija ir nedaudz piesardz\u012bg\u0101ka, prognoz\u0113jot 2,2% IKP pieaugumu 2026. gad\u0101.<\/p>\n
Vienlaikus tiek prognoz\u0113ta pat\u0113ri\u0146a cenu k\u0101puma tempa samazin\u0101\u0161an\u0101s, proti, infl\u0101cijas pal\u0113nin\u0101\u0161an\u0101s. Gada vid\u0113j\u0101 infl\u0101cija 2026. gad\u0101 var\u0113tu b\u016bt aptuveni 2,4-3%. \u0160o tendenci galvenok\u0101rt veicin\u0101s p\u0101rtikas cenu k\u0101puma tempa samazin\u0101\u0161an\u0101s, ko var\u0113tu sekm\u0113t ar\u012b pievienot\u0101s v\u0113rt\u012bbas nodok\u013ca (PVN) likmes samazin\u0101jums atsevi\u0161\u0137iem p\u0101rtikas produktiem no 2026. gada vidus. Lai gan infl\u0101cija joproj\u0101m var\u0113tu p\u0101rsniegt Eiropas Centr\u0101l\u0101s bankas (ECB) noteikto 2% m\u0113r\u0137i, gaid\u0101m\u0101 tendence ir pozit\u012bva un nor\u0101da uz ekonomikas pak\u0101penisku stabiliz\u0101ciju.<\/p>\n
Darba tirgus aktiviz\u0113\u0161an\u0101s un algu pieaugums<\/p>\n
Darba tirgus 2026. gad\u0101 k\u013c\u016bs akt\u012bv\u0101ks, un bezdarba l\u012bmenis turpin\u0101s samazin\u0101ties. Lai gan prec\u012bzi r\u0101d\u012bt\u0101ji var at\u0161\u0137irties, kop\u0113j\u0101 prognoze ir par v\u0113sturiski zemu bezdarba l\u012bmeni. Piepras\u012bjums p\u0113c darbiniekiem joproj\u0101m b\u016bs augsts, kas rad\u012bs izaicin\u0101jumus darba dev\u0113jiem, mekl\u0113jot kvalific\u0113tu person\u0101lu. Tiek pat izteiktas prognozes, ka var\u0113tu b\u016bt nepiecie\u0161ams lemt par imigr\u0101cijas politikas mai\u0146u un darba tirgus atv\u0113r\u0161anu \u0101rvalstu darba \u0146\u0113m\u0113jiem, lai nodro\u0161in\u0101tu tautsaimniec\u012bbas vajadz\u012bbas.<\/p>\n
Darba samaksas k\u0101pums 2026. gad\u0101 turpin\u0101sies, ta\u010du t\u0101 tempi pal\u0113nin\u0101sies sal\u012bdzin\u0101jum\u0101 ar iepriek\u0161\u0113jiem gadiem. Banku anal\u012bti\u0137i prognoz\u0113 vid\u0113j\u0101s bruto darba samaksas pieaugumu par aptuveni 7% n\u0101kamaj\u0101 gad\u0101. Lai gan \u0161is pieauguma temps ir m\u0113ren\u0101ks nek\u0101 iepriek\u0161, tas joproj\u0101m tiek uzskat\u012bts par pietiekami lielu, lai uztur\u0113tu iedz\u012bvot\u0101ju pirktsp\u0113ju, \u012bpa\u0161i \u0146emot v\u0113r\u0101 infl\u0101cijas progno\u017eu samazin\u0101\u0161anos. Priv\u0101taj\u0101 sektor\u0101 algu k\u0101pums gaid\u0101ms strauj\u0101ks nek\u0101 sabiedriskaj\u0101 sektor\u0101, kur valsts bud\u017eet\u0101 2026. gadam nav pl\u0101nots algas paaugstin\u0101jums publiskaj\u0101 sektor\u0101. Tom\u0113r atsevi\u0161\u0137\u0101s jom\u0101s, piem\u0113ram, izgl\u012bt\u012bbas sektor\u0101, algas var\u0113tu augt strauj\u0101k, pateicoties jaunajam finans\u0113\u0161anas modelim.<\/p>\n
Izaicin\u0101jumi un riski<\/p>\n
Neskatoties uz kopum\u0101 pozit\u012bvaj\u0101m prognoz\u0113m, past\u0101v ar\u012b vair\u0101ki izaicin\u0101jumi un riski, kas var\u0113tu ietekm\u0113t Latvijas ekonomikas att\u012bst\u012bbu 2026. gad\u0101. Viens no galvenajiem riskiem ir glob\u0101l\u0101s ekonomikas nenoteikt\u012bba, tostarp iesp\u0113jam\u0101 V\u0101cijas un Polijas ekonomiku bremz\u0113\u0161an\u0101s, par\u0101du k\u0101pums eirozon\u0101 un potenci\u0101l\u0101 ASV recesija. \u0160ie faktori var\u0113tu rad\u012bt spiedienu uz Latvijas eksportu un piepras\u012bt eksporta priorit\u0101\u0161u, nodok\u013cu politikas un invest\u012bciju virzienu p\u0101rskat\u012b\u0161anu.<\/p>\n
Tirdzniec\u012bbas tarifu kari, trauc\u0113jumi tirdzniec\u012bbas un transporta \u0137\u0113d\u0113s vai energoresursu cenu pieaugums ir citi faktori, kas var\u0113tu izrais\u012bt augst\u0101ku infl\u0101ciju un zem\u0101ku izaugsmi. Papildus tam, Latvijas ekonomika joproj\u0101m ir atkar\u012bga no eksporta uz V\u0101ciju, un V\u0101cijas ekonomikas struktur\u0101l\u0101s gr\u016bt\u012bbas rada papildu ba\u017eas.<\/p>\n
Secin\u0101jumi<\/p>\n
Kopum\u0101 banku anal\u012bti\u0137i 2026. gad\u0101 Latvijas ekonomikai prognoz\u0113 stabilu att\u012bst\u012bbu ar IKP pieaugumu, infl\u0101cijas pal\u0113nin\u0101\u0161anos un darba tirgus aktiviz\u0113\u0161anos. Lai gan past\u0101v glob\u0101li un lok\u0101li riski, uzlabojumi iedz\u012bvot\u0101ju pirktsp\u0113j\u0101 un invest\u012bciju pieaugums veicin\u0101s ekonomikas izaugsmi. Turpm\u0101k\u0101 situ\u0101cija liel\u0101 m\u0113r\u0101 b\u016bs atkar\u012bga no sp\u0113jas piel\u0101goties main\u012bgajiem \u0101r\u0113jiem apst\u0101k\u013ciem un efekt\u012bvi izmantot pieejamos resursus.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Banku anal\u012bti\u0137i prognoz\u0113 Latvijas ekonomikas uzlabo\u0161anos 2026. gad\u0101 R\u012bga, 2025. gada 31. decembris \u2013 Latvijas liel\u0101ko banku anal\u012bti\u0137i…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":90611,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[12],"tags":[23,3076,28,29,4603,32,33,22,22883,550,30,31,35,39,38,36,37,34,1045,40,20,26,27,24,25,21],"class_list":["post-90610","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-latvija","tag-aktualitates","tag-algas","tag-breaking-news","tag-breakingnews","tag-darba-tirgus","tag-featured-news","tag-featurednews","tag-headlines","tag-ikp-pieaugums","tag-inflacija","tag-latest-news","tag-latestnews","tag-latvia","tag-latvian","tag-latviesu","tag-latviesu-valoda","tag-latviesuvaloda","tag-latvija","tag-latvijas-ekonomika","tag-lv","tag-news","tag-popularakas-zinas","tag-popularakaszinas","tag-top-stories","tag-topstories","tag-zinas"],"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@lv\/115812886255665525","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/90610","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=90610"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/90610\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/90611"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=90610"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=90610"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=90610"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}