SAB skat\u012bjum\u0101 dro\u0161\u012bbas situ\u0101cija Latvij\u0101, re\u0123ion\u0101 un pasaul\u0113 joproj\u0101m saglab\u0101jas sare\u017e\u0123\u012bta.<\/p>\n
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Lai gan kop\u0161 2025. gada s\u0101kuma vair\u0101kk\u0101rt ir aktualiz\u0113jies jaut\u0101jums par iesp\u0113jam\u0101m Krievijas un Ukrainas miera sarun\u0101m un pl\u0101niem, SAB v\u0113rt\u0113jum\u0101 Krievija ir gatava turpin\u0101t karadarb\u012bbu vismaz ar\u012b 2026. gad\u0101 – ilgsto\u0161ai karadarb\u012bbai arvien vair\u0101k tiek piel\u0101gota gan milit\u0101r\u0101 taktika, gan ekonomika un sabiedr\u012bba. Krievija nav atteikusies no saviem maksim\u0101lajiem m\u0113r\u0137iem attiec\u012bb\u0101 uz Ukrainu.<\/p>\n
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“Turpinoties \u0161\u012bm tendenc\u0113m, ir \u013coti zema iesp\u0113jam\u012bba, ka tuv\u0101ko se\u0161u m\u0113ne\u0161u laik\u0101 front\u0113 var\u0113tu notikt strat\u0113\u0123iska l\u012bme\u0146a izmai\u0146as. L\u012bdz ar to ir \u013coti iesp\u0113jams, ka Krievija m\u0113\u0123in\u0101s sasniegt savus maksim\u0101listiskos m\u0113r\u0137us attiec\u012bb\u0101 uz Ukrainu, izmantojot potenci\u0101las miera sarunas un starptautisko spiedienu, tai skait\u0101 m\u0113\u0123inot mazin\u0101t Rietumvalstu milit\u0101ro atbalstu Ukrainai,” nor\u0101d\u012bja SAB.<\/p>\n
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2026. gad\u0101 potenci\u0101lus dro\u0161\u012bbas riskus Eiropai turpin\u0101s rad\u012bt ar\u012b Krievijas elites skat\u012bjums uz Rietumiem k\u0101 uz eksistenci\u0101lu draudu valdo\u0161ajam re\u017e\u012bmam. Vladimira Putina re\u017e\u012bm\u0101 turpina vald\u012bt sagroz\u012bta draudu uztvere, ko veicina Krem\u013ca elites pieaugo\u0161\u0101 nosl\u0113gt\u012bba un iek\u0161\u0113ju kritisku viedok\u013cu tr\u016bkums. Krievija uzskata, ka t\u0101 jau \u0161obr\u012bd atrodas tie\u0161\u0101 karadarb\u012bb\u0101 ar Rietumiem un ka c\u012b\u0146a notiek gan Ukrain\u0101, gan glob\u0101li, gan ideolo\u0123iski, nor\u0101d\u012bja SAB.<\/p>\n
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\u0160\u0101da uztvere un pasaules redz\u0113jums palielina da\u017e\u0101dus p\u0101rr\u0113\u0137in\u0101\u0161an\u0101s riskus, k\u0101 ar\u012b var veicin\u0101t agres\u012bv\u0101kas Krievijas aktivit\u0101tes ilg\u0101k\u0101 laika posm\u0101. Krievija past\u0101v\u012bgi mekl\u0113 v\u0101j\u0101s vietas Rietumvalstu dro\u0161\u012bb\u0101, k\u0101 ar\u012b tiecas pastiprin\u0101t eso\u0161\u0101s un veidot jaunas plaisas gan starpvalstu l\u012bmen\u012b, gan valstu iek\u0161ien\u0113, atzina SAB.<\/p>\n
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Iest\u0101des v\u0113rt\u0113jum\u0101 patlaban Krievija Latvijai nerada tie\u0161u milit\u0101ro apdraud\u0113jumu, tom\u0113r virkne paz\u012bmju nor\u0101da uz potenci\u0101liem pl\u0101niem ilgtermi\u0146\u0101 – milit\u0101r\u0101s kl\u0101tb\u016btnes palielin\u0101\u0161ana pie NATO austrumu robe\u017eas, pret Latviju v\u0113rstas ietekmes aktivit\u0101tes, negat\u012bvs Latvijas atspogu\u013cojums Krievijas masu medijos un amatpersonu izteikumos.<\/p>\n
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Lai gan Latvija nav Krievijas priorit\u0101te, arvien negat\u012bv\u0101ks skat\u012bjums uz Latviju ilgtermi\u0146\u0101 var rezult\u0113ties agres\u012bv\u0101kos Krievijas l\u0113mumos, nor\u0101da SAB.<\/p>\n
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