A sudden US drawdown will trim fighter and surveillance deployments across Europe, potentially narrowing NATO’s long-range strike and reconnaissance reach.
The United States plans to substantially reduce NATO’s air support in Europe, cutting the number of aircraft and ships that back the alliance’s operations on the continent.
According to the material and two European officials familiar with the briefing, concrete steps are being considered to review force postures in the region.
As part of the planned changes, U.S. allies learned of the decision in early June, and the plan envisions limiting NATO’s ability to strike at long ranges and to conduct intelligence gathering, which would affect the alliance’s operational capabilities.
As part of the reductions, the number of F-16 and F-15E fighters is expected to fall from about 150 to about 100, the maritime patrol aircraft from 26 to 15, and eight tanker aircraft would be withdrawn from Europe.
In addition, there are plans to redeploy a ballistic missile submarine, an aircraft carrier, several ships, and dozens of aircraft involved in carrier missions. It is also planned to relocate one of the two bomber groups previously assigned to Europe’s defense.
Impact on NATO and Allies’ Response
The Pentagon declined to name specific figures from the document and pointed to last week’s statement from European Command, which broadly described the intent to reduce commitments in Europe.
Although exact terms have not yet been publicly released, U.S. officials hinted that the move would take effect very soon – earlier than European colleagues had expected. The sudden reduction of the U.S. presence in Europe could affect NATO’s ability to track Russian submarines or to deploy long-range Tomahawk missiles into the deep Russian theater, the article notes.
Experts note that Europeans have similar capabilities to launch missiles, but their use remains a restraint, while the American component often creates a more significant deterrent effect due to its global posture.
Despite the changes, American forces in Europe remain among NATO’s most powerful on the continent, and European leaders have begun taking active steps to rearm their armies to reduce dependence on the United States.
According to the material, official details regarding the NATO Force Model and the US defense concept “NATO 3.0” still need to be released, but the model approved at the Madrid Summit in 2022 as a replacement for NRF envisions a three-tier readiness system of over 300,000 service members for rapid deployment in crisis situations.