{"id":5272,"date":"2026-07-03T09:04:10","date_gmt":"2026-07-03T09:04:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/nato\/5272\/"},"modified":"2026-07-03T09:04:10","modified_gmt":"2026-07-03T09:04:10","slug":"russia-plotting-attack-on-poland-to-test-natos-resolve-us-claims-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/nato\/5272\/","title":{"rendered":"Russia plotting attack on Poland to test Nato\u2019s resolve, US claims"},"content":{"rendered":"

The US has warned Warsaw that Russia is planning an armed \u201cprovocation\u201d<\/a> against Poland to test Nato\u2019s resolve<\/a>, according to reports.<\/p>\n

The assault could see Poland\u2019s vital infrastructure targeted by missiles or drones, or even Russian soldiers crossing the border into Nato territory, Washington<\/a> has said.<\/p>\n

Sources close to Polish president Karol Nawrocki told Polish outlet Onet that the aim of Moscow\u2019s possible assault, which could be launched in a matter of months, would be to provoke tensions and pressure Ukraine\u2019s Western allies to suspend their military and financial aid.<\/p>\n

The US \u201csystematically informs Poland about ever-new Russian plans for a conventional attack on Nato\u2019s eastern flank, from which Poland is by no means excluded\u201d, a source close to the Polish president said.<\/p>\n

\"A<\/p>\n

A Russian Tu-160 strategic bomber escorted by fighter jets performs refueling during a Victory Day parade (AFP\/Getty)<\/p>\n

Warsaw\u2019s security services have admitted a conventional attack, such as a small ground incursion which Moscow may allege is an accident, is possible. Other possibilities are a drone attack on infrastructure such as power stations, or simulated air strikes forcing Poland to activate its air defence systems.<\/p>\n

A Polish intelligence source said that a \u201chybrid attack in the border region\u201d could take place, in the most extreme scenario.<\/p>\n

An armed incursion involving Russian or Belarusian troops could be presented as a mistake, such as straying into Polish territory because of a GPS failure, or a fake rescue mission to retrieve a helicopter suffering from a malfunction, sources said.<\/p>\n

Moscow could hope that Poland would be forced by the US to negotiate rather than responding forcefully and opening fire on Russian or Belarusian soldiers, Polish sources told Onet.<\/p>\n

Vladimir Putin would see a scenario in which Russians withdraw as a result of negotiations as a win from Moscow\u2019s perspective, the sources said, with an end to Western support for Ukraine a possible condition it could demand in return for withdrawal from Poland.<\/p>\n

\"Putin<\/p>\n

Putin could use an attack as bargaining power over the war in Ukraine, sources said (AP)<\/p>\n

Several Baltic sources have told The Telegraph that a provocation in one of the Baltic states remains a serious risk. Such an attack could, they said, be staged from Kaliningrad, the Russian exclave north of Poland which hosts nuclear weapons.<\/p>\n

Moscow has already been appearing to probe Nato\u2019s defences in the past year, with several repeated incursions of drones and fighter jets into Nato territory.<\/p>\n

A report published on Thursday by the International Institute of Strategic Studies found that Russia likely used shadow ships to launch drones over Europe that repeatedly disrupted civilian aviation, as it monitored military sites and tested the air defences of NATO nations.<\/p>\n

The report plotted 144 suspected drone sightings across Europe, including in NATO members Germany, France, Belgium, the Netherlands, the U.K., and Denmark, between 2024 and 2026.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The US has warned Warsaw that Russia is planning an armed \u201cprovocation\u201d against Poland to test Nato\u2019s resolve,…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":5273,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[2357,852,2437,197,3652,3653,20,489,3651,437],"class_list":["post-5272","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-news","tag-drone-attack","tag-hybrid-attack","tag-moscow","tag-poland","tag-polish-president","tag-polish-territory","tag-russia","tag-russian-soldiers","tag-vital-infrastructure","tag-vladimir-putin"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/nato\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5272","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/nato\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/nato\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/nato\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/nato\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=5272"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/nato\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5272\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/nato\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/5273"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/nato\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=5272"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/nato\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=5272"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/nato\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=5272"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}