A shifting assessment in Washington has raised fresh fears about how far Moscow might go while facing pressure on multiple fronts.<\/p>\n
The Wall Street Journal, citing U.S. intelligence reports, says that Russian leader Vladimir Putin may attempt a limited attack on a NATO-allied country within the next few years.<\/p>\n
Previously, U.S. officials assessed that Putin would not provoke NATO countries while the war in Ukraine was ongoing.<\/p>\n
That assessment changed at the beginning of this year, as Putin has come under increasing pressure both on the battlefield and at home to secure victory.<\/p>\n
Potential Scenario and Timeline<\/p>\n
According to U.S. intelligence, Ukrainian drones are increasingly damaging both the Russian army and its oil industry, while Russian forces are suffering significant losses on the front line.<\/p>\n
U.S. officials believe that Putin\u2019s goal in a possible attack on NATO during the war with Ukraine could be to break up the Alliance.<\/p>\n
U.S. intelligence sources are analyzing whether Moscow intends to escalate its aggressive actions against European allies in the near future, while Putin seeks to secure his desired gains in Ukraine.<\/p>\n
According to U.S. officials, the concern is that Putin could become more dangerous when he is backed into a corner.<\/p>\n
Possible threats from Russia range from cyberattacks against NATO countries and the use of unidentified armed formations to occupy territories, to a limited ground invasion of the alliance\u2019s eastern flank.<\/p>\n
U.S. intelligence estimates that the timeline for any Russian move extends from the autumn of this year through 2029, while the likelihood of the most extreme scenario \u2013 a limited ground invasion \u2013 increases over time.<\/p>\n
According to Latvian intelligence, Russia is preparing possible provocations against the Baltic states or Poland, including the use of drones to pressure NATO countries into ending their support for Ukraine.<\/p>\n
In summary, experts note growing tensions around NATO\u2019s eastern flank and possible actions by Moscow that could lead to an escalation of the conflict and shift the balance in Europe.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"A shifting assessment in Washington has raised fresh fears about how far Moscow might go while facing pressure…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":9939,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[232,549,54,5627,3310,4988,5606,5626],"class_list":["post-9938","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-news","tag-baltic-states","tag-nato-eastern-flank","tag-news","tag-putin-nato-attack","tag-russia-nato-threat","tag-russian-provocations","tag-us-intelligence","tag-us-intelligence-putin-nato-attack-russia-nato-threat-nato-eastern-flank-baltic-states-russian-provocations"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/nato\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9938","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/nato\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/nato\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/nato\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/nato\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=9938"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/nato\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9938\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/nato\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/9939"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/nato\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=9938"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/nato\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=9938"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/nato\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=9938"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}