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If you are wondering whether NXP Semiconductors is offering good value at its current price, or if the opportunity has already passed, this article will walk through what the numbers show.
The stock recently closed at US$199.87, with returns of a 7.6% decline over 7 days, a 12.7% decline over 30 days, a 9.7% decline year to date, a 0.4% decline over 1 year, 20.4% over 3 years and 4.4% over 5 years. This performance may have influenced how investors are thinking about its potential and risk.
Recent news coverage around NXP Semiconductors has focused on its position in semiconductors and how investors are weighing that against changing sentiment in the sector. Together, this context helps explain why the share price has been moving and why many investors are reassessing what they are willing to pay for the stock.
NXP Semiconductors currently has a valuation score of 6/6. Next, we will walk through how different methods such as multiples, cash flow and peer comparisons frame that score, before finishing with a more complete way of thinking about what the stock might be worth.
Find out why NXP Semiconductors’s -0.4% return over the last year is lagging behind its peers.
A Discounted Cash Flow model estimates what a company could be worth by projecting its future cash flows and then discounting those back to today using a required rate of return.
For NXP Semiconductors, the model used is a 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity approach. The latest twelve month free cash flow is about $2.0b. Analyst inputs, together with Simply Wall St extrapolations beyond the typical 5 year window, project free cash flow reaching about $5.4b by 2030, with intermediate years such as 2026 to 2030 ranging roughly between $3.5b and $5.4b before further estimated growth through 2035.
On this basis, the DCF model arrives at an estimated intrinsic value of about $259.07 per share, compared with the recent share price of $199.87. That implies the shares are trading at a 22.9% discount to this cash flow based estimate.
Result: UNDERVALUED
Our Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis suggests NXP Semiconductors is undervalued by 22.9%. Track this in your watchlist or portfolio, or discover 50 more high quality undervalued stocks.
NXPI Discounted Cash Flow as at Mar 2026
For a profitable company like NXP Semiconductors, the P/E ratio is a useful way to relate what you pay per share to the earnings the business is currently generating. It gives you a quick sense of how many years of current earnings the market is pricing in.
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What counts as a “normal” P/E depends on how the market views a company’s growth potential and risk. Higher expected growth or lower perceived risk can justify a higher P/E, while slower growth or higher uncertainty often lines up with a lower P/E.
NXP Semiconductors currently trades on a P/E of 25.0x. That compares with an average P/E of 42.8x for the Semiconductor industry and a peer group average of 83.7x. Simply Wall St also calculates a “Fair Ratio” for NXP Semiconductors of 33.8x, which is the P/E that might be expected given its earnings profile, industry, profit margins, size and risk factors.
This Fair Ratio is helpful because it is tailored to the company, rather than relying only on broad industry or peer comparisons that may have very different characteristics.
Since NXP Semiconductors’ current P/E of 25.0x is below the Fair Ratio of 33.8x, the shares screen as undervalued on this metric.
Result: UNDERVALUED
NasdaqGS:NXPI P/E Ratio as at Mar 2026
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Earlier we mentioned that there is an even better way to understand valuation. Let us introduce Narratives, a simple tool on Simply Wall St’s Community page that lets you attach your own story about NXP Semiconductors to specific assumptions for future revenue, earnings, margins and a fair value. You can then compare that fair value to the current price to help decide if you think the stock is expensive or cheap. The Narrative updates automatically when new news or earnings arrive so you can see, for example, how a cautious view that lines up with a fair value near US$174.04 compares with a more optimistic view closer to US$294.09, and decide which story, and which set of numbers, you feel most comfortable using in your own process.
Do you think there’s more to the story for NXP Semiconductors? Head over to our Community to see what others are saying!
NasdaqGS:NXPI 1-Year Stock Price Chart
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Companies discussed in this article include NXPI.
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