{"id":27683,"date":"2026-05-12T13:00:46","date_gmt":"2026-05-12T13:00:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/news\/27683\/"},"modified":"2026-05-12T13:00:46","modified_gmt":"2026-05-12T13:00:46","slug":"texas-public-schools-see-first-non-pandemic-enrollment-decline-in-about-40-years","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/news\/27683\/","title":{"rendered":"Texas public schools see first non-pandemic enrollment decline in about 40 years"},"content":{"rendered":"

Audio recording is automated for accessibility. Humans wrote and edited the story. See our AI policy<\/a>, and give us feedback<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Roughly 76,000 fewer students enrolled in Texas public schools this academic year\u00a0\u2014 the first non-pandemic decline in nearly four decades \u2014 with Hispanic students accounting for the overwhelming majority of the loss, according to a report released Monday.<\/p>\n

The policy research group Texas 2036 analyzed the state\u2019s enrollment data and projected that about 100,000 fewer students would attend public schools by the end of the current decade. However, some projections show the number growing by nearly half a million over that time.<\/p>\n

Hispanic students accounted for 81% of this school year\u2019s enrollment drop, Texas 2036 found. Students learning English and those from low-income families experienced some of the sharpest declines. Over the past year, federal and state leaders increased anti-immigration rhetoric, in some cases detaining Texas students<\/a> and prompting fear<\/a> across communities.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Meanwhile, the rate of Texas families having children has declined in recent years. Districts have lost students to other schooling options, with more families expected to opt out of their public neighborhood campuses as the state launches school vouchers<\/a> later this year.<\/p>\n

Texas educates about 5.5 million public school students, 53% of whom are Hispanic, 24% are white and 13% are Black.<\/p>\n

\u201cWhat stands out in the data is that public school enrollment is falling even as Texas continues to grow,\u201d said Carlo Castillo, a senior research analyst at Texas 2036, in a statement. \u201cIn many parts of the state, population gains are no longer translating into public school enrollment growth. That points to a broader structural shift policymakers and district leaders will need to plan for.\u201d<\/p>\n

The nonprofit shared the findings just ahead of Monday\u2019s education committee hearing for the Texas House. The focus included updates on enrollment trends and the stability of Texas\u2019 school funding system.\u00a0<\/p>\n

The state funds public schools based on attendance. Some districts have cut programs and shuttered campuses recently, despite a nearly $8.5 billion increase<\/a> to public education funding approved last year.\u00a0<\/p>\n

As the hearing began, Texas Education Commissioner Mike Morath laid out the enrollment drop to lawmakers, noting, \u201cWe cannot tell you the precise cause of this.\u201d<\/p>\n

In recent years, growing immigration helped public schools manage the slump in birth rates, Bob Templeton, who studies Texas\u2019 education demographics, said during the Monday hearing.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Now, districts will serve higher concentrations of students with significant needs, but they will have less funding due to drops in the number of children born and slowing immigration, Templeton said. He estimated that public school enrollment could drop by roughly 500,000 in the next four to five years.\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u201cThis is not another blip or a one-off,\u201d Templeton told lawmakers. \u201cThis is an inflection point.\u201d<\/p>\n

Districts in urban areas, the Panhandle and along the southern border disproportionately experienced the enrollment decline, according to the Texas 2036 report. The 2.1% decline in Hispanic enrollment \u2014 or 61,781 students \u2014 represents \u201cthe single largest year-over-year reversal\u201d among the four major racial and ethnic groups.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Mary Lynn Pruneda, the director of education and workforce policy for Texas 2036, told The Texas Tribune that her group could not determine to what extent increased immigration enforcement contributed to the enrollment loss.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Rep. Gina Hinojosa, an Austin Democrat running for governor, said during a press conference Monday, \u201cI wouldn\u2019t be surprised if it is contributing to it.\u201d<\/p>\n

Esmeralda Alday said she hears directly from families who question whether they should send their children to school at a time when immigration officers have increased activity. She is the senior director of programs and impact at ImmSchools, a national nonprofit that supports immigrant students in Texas and other states.<\/p>\n

Some parents considered pulling their kids from bilingual education programs or sending their children to virtual schools out of fear that officers will target them, Alday said.\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u201cI\u2019ve heard it directly from the teachers, from principals, saying, \u2018Hey, these kids just disappeared. Can you help us locate them or help us figure out what happened to them or to their parents?\u2019\u201d Alday said. \u201cSo, yes. It\u2019s fear.\u201d<\/p>\n

Disclosure: Texas 2036 has been a financial supporter of The Texas Tribune, a nonprofit, nonpartisan news organization that is funded in part by donations from members, foundations and corporate sponsors. Financial supporters play no role in the Tribune\u2019s journalism. Find a complete\u00a0list of them here<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Audio recording is automated for accessibility. Humans wrote and edited the story. See our AI policy, and give…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":27684,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[8,16930,9,16931,16932,16933,433,9680,7,293],"class_list":{"0":"post-27683","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-top-stories","8":"tag-headlines","9":"tag-mike-morath","10":"tag-news","11":"tag-population","12":"tag-school-finance","13":"tag-texas-education-agency","14":"tag-texas-legislature","15":"tag-texas-public-schools","16":"tag-top-stories","17":"tag-well-a-homepage"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@news\/116561734685324374","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27683","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=27683"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27683\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/27684"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=27683"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=27683"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=27683"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}