El Ni\u00f1o is one of three phases of a climate cycle called the El Ni\u00f1o-Southern Oscillation (ENSO)<\/a>. It describes natural temperature<\/a> changes in the central Pacific Ocean<\/a> that alter atmospheric<\/a> circulation and can greatly influence global<\/a> weather.<\/p>\n As we ease more into hurricane season<\/a>, there have been only four named storms (Amanda, Boris, Cristina, and Douglas) in the basin thus far.<\/p>\n According to the FOX Forecast Center, the average date of the fifth named storm is around July 23. Given the recent activity, it appears it will occur before then as we look further into this year\u2019s forecast.<\/p>\n The latest update from NOAA<\/a> confirms that a rapidly intensifying El Ni\u00f1o is officially underway across the tropical Pacific.<\/p>\n Over the last month, warmer water temperatures have surged well above average across a broad area of the Central and Pacific basins.<\/p>\n This graphic shows the latest updates on the Super El Ni\u00f1o.<\/p>\n This comes as a historically strong El Ni\u00f1o is likely to develop by this fall<\/a>, around the climatological peak of the Atlantic Hurricane Season, with an 81% chance it could be the strongest on record.<\/p>\n NOAA also predicts a 97% chance that El Ni\u00f1o will persist through the upcoming winter and through spring<\/a>.<\/p>\n As this lingering threat increases, it will certainly dampen travel plans for millions of Americans from August through March, as El Ni\u00f1o will disrupt weather patterns across North America.<\/p>\n “For travelers, the defining feature of a classic El Ni\u00f1o is a highly energized, subtropical jet stream that locks into place across the southern tier of the U.S.,” said the FOX Forecast Center. “This positions the storm track directly across the southern plains, the Gulf Coast and right up the Eastern Seaboard.”<\/p>\n SUPER TYPHOON BAVI REACHES ‘GARGANTUAN’ SIZE AS IT BARRELS TOWARD TAIWAN AND CHINA<\/a><\/p>\n This graphic shows the potential rain departures across various locations.<\/p>\n As a result, anyone planning road trips or major flights through the Southern and Eastern U.S.<\/a> this fall or winter<\/a> should anticipate a high chance of travel delays due to the severe weather.<\/p>\n This setup will increase storm frequency and impacts, as experts at the FOX Forecast Center highlight locations that could experience the worst travel disruptions from weather events.<\/p>\n FILE – DENVER, COLORADO – JUNE 20, 2019: A rain-covered window obscures the view through a terminal window of an United Express passenger plane at a gate at Denver International Airport in Denver, Colorado.\u00a0<\/p>\n (Robert Alexander \/ Getty Images)<\/p>\n Worst places to travel<\/p>\n As you plan your vacation amid the severe season, we break down which locations may be most at risk of travel delays.<\/p>\n This graphic shows potential rainfall totals as the Super El Ni\u00f1o takes off in August.<\/p>\n As forecasters compared trends from recent Super El Ni\u00f1o events, they found that these locations had above-average rainfall and more days of measurable rainfall than in normal years.<\/p>\n This would make these locations the least ideal for travel, with a higher frequency of weather delays.<\/p>\n FLOODING, SEVERE STORMS TARGET THE SOUTH, GULF COAST AS THREATS SHIFT FOLLOWING DEADLY MISSOURI FLOODING<\/a><\/p>\n Heavy rain and lightning occur near Orlando International Airport (MCO) in Orlando, United States, on September 5, 2023.\u00a0<\/p>\n (Ronaldo Silva\/NurPhoto \/ Getty Images)<\/p>\n Best places to travel amid Super El Ni\u00f1o<\/p>\n As the Super El Ni\u00f1o continues its destructive development over the next few months, many locations may escape the wrath of severe weather and its travel delays.<\/p>\n This graphic shows potential travel impacts the upcoming Super El Ni\u00f1o could have on Lexington, Kentucky.<\/p>\n “Due to the sheer significance of a Super El Ni\u00f1o, the majority of the country never sees quite the opposite end of the spectrum,” said the FOX Forecast Center. “Most regions just hover near average for rain unless you find yourself in a more tropical climate.”<\/p>\n Thankfully, there are only a handful of bad places to travel this upcoming year, as meteorologists and travelers compare forecasts over the coming months to avoid travel delays and see what might be worth visiting amid severe conditions in some locations.<\/p>\n SOUTHWEST MONSOON SEASON OFFICIALLY BEGINS AS DRAMATIC ATMOSPHERIC FLIP UNDERWAY FROM HEAT TO FLASH FLOODING<\/a><\/p>\n This graphic shows the probability of the storm strengthening.<\/p>\n El Ni\u00f1o conditions have historically favored above-average tropical activity across the Eastern Pacific. On average, the basin produces 15 named storms, 8 hurricanes, and 4 major hurricanes (Category 3 or stronger).<\/p>\n![\"This](\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/enso-forecast-update-bullets.png\")
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