{"id":200556,"date":"2026-05-03T15:21:15","date_gmt":"2026-05-03T15:21:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/nl\/200556\/"},"modified":"2026-05-03T15:21:15","modified_gmt":"2026-05-03T15:21:15","slug":"topeconoom-gary-shilling-voorspelt-recessie-en-beurscrash-van-20-in-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/nl\/200556\/","title":{"rendered":"Topeconoom Gary Shilling voorspelt recessie en beurscrash van 20% in 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Topeconoom Gary Shilling voorspelt een recessie en een beurscrash van 20% tegen eind 2026. De prominente Amerikaanse econoom wijst op zwakke consumentenbestedingen en historisch hoge aandelenwaarderingen als voornaamste risicofactoren.<a rel=\"noopener nofollow\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/ppl-ai-file-upload.s3.amazonaws.com\/web\/direct-files\/attachments\/84193056\/7953e7c9-7f2e-40a9-b514-c6f3591060a7\/Recessie-en-een-beursdaling-van-20-waarschijnlijk-tegen-het-einde-van-het-jaar_-Gary-Shilling-Business-Insider.pdf?AWSAccessKeyId=ASIA2F3EMEYE3VPNR5HU&amp;Signature=2BECn5%2BJ%2FvjhbVKnlTZ1%2F3tAzDA%3D&amp;x-amz-security-token=IQoJb3JpZ2luX2VjEIX%2F%2F%2F%2F%2F%2F%2F%2F%2F%2FwEaCXVzLWVhc3QtMSJHMEUCIBID%2BGIVSK2wx8vCwooU8CLGRBKL0LHIrg2aMGfZpgpAAiEA9mQLY866ue%2BW%2BRfXMV1XlPKzkFgEuStLxzIjaB1vegYq8wQIThABGgw2OTk3NTMzMDk3MDUiDB1FtydgVdNN9yiz4irQBAuUS3M4vkkhmoJq2tgzS0UKqh1XA0fU8Sy8cSKKC8vYr5rMzSzjVISegFwwzIG26cdpAoMBd1LHEviB2wkT20Zc2sZFyy8%2BhXl%2FrWyRUIgBAv%2BY1HpqX7%2B5AKHOKRp3IzU8XlWi7BV86vveO7SwRUdh1MVxaCjZ59sdL1isP%2BzaKY0HmW1JcQA29%2B2vr3Kai3UOeTVvjNa5kAQDLiFjQP7yuz%2FxKYlj9mVnpskB1SYSlZD3OOoM7JvP1IvKgcT6jzx7LwgQ0%2FqE4tlvkHgvr%2F95KrB3fngAtIG8v8ZL8vvmX8KsN0AeRGg9EpZuyLHIotiMVqkgSHYDqdXnlzHwDwJhA7xdodugeR5x%2FNVh%2BeqqQW0%2FQOcq03LTBxwqbm%2BI%2FyRnZRg6mEWrRs%2F%2BBKmC%2FiLassxvD3u744ga%2BKjcdImVPQw6oLKFZc0q6Tg0WzqH6KkimLam3ZhwkOTKqcH2Hg6dZUsoAHXospJWG9pVaghQAsCgJU0DgBbaQ2HzzqkOvPs59Kp6uaAJpyZXBc1tvYNfq8VBnZ6lRZnnDIVOZqgzroxoZjcZ0kt1BZRXPMqNkJWdvbm65Ra8GkFMTpHjHQYM4j3cxvV2H45m4mk3HsCkrttd7IBe1KwY0p5v90wLqVpFPyygKx6CaQIvlApQB9u%2BfjcKA3%2FG6s6l35hHI%2BLMBc6o5X%2Bp4sv%2FLFyvRZEe4VZzOHjmS8GS8wZlO7oPLpmMRNHKfuEFS%2F5X8NMuhCWdP6ZmGKFASUujyd7%2B2%2BZvFxDPaF9bgRgX3VW%2Bj8gvn64wm5vbzwY6mAEVhqr8N%2F4P94snEnuNLAhmgFYReg5t%2B2toASKbIQnjULlHKfofMa8jAr8smomGoW7ls1TVAf4bIwFKTzx1YTlqWgXD1lbnvB8%2FJV79idzQXS0iGAB%2FKTnjQxlK2YxnZutB17DXZY7sIiZ45iIR7ZAsUuWsvTtFf1eHZmy6hbXTypTHZ8rO3%2BfCuMejgWju8YxjE0e%2FmU%2FmzQ%3D%3D&amp;Expires=1777783368\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.businessinsider.com\/recession-stock-market-crash-outlook-gary-shilling-inflation-consumer-spending-2026-5\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Shilling <\/a>verwacht dat consumentenbestedingen waarschijnlijk zullen dalen omdat Amerikanen hun uitgaven terugschroeven. Hij wijst op een golf van fiscale stimuleringsmaatregelen en aanhoudende sterke Amerikaanse consumentenbesteding als onhoudbare factoren. De huizenmarkt blijft grotendeels bevroren en markten verwachten dat de rente verhoogd blijft, ondanks een korte stijging in huizentransacties vorig jaar toen hypotheekrente tijdelijk daalde.<a rel=\"noopener nofollow\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/ppl-ai-file-upload.s3.amazonaws.com\/web\/direct-files\/attachments\/84193056\/7953e7c9-7f2e-40a9-b514-c6f3591060a7\/Recessie-en-een-beursdaling-van-20-waarschijnlijk-tegen-het-einde-van-het-jaar_-Gary-Shilling-Business-Insider.pdf?AWSAccessKeyId=ASIA2F3EMEYE3VPNR5HU&amp;Signature=2BECn5%2BJ%2FvjhbVKnlTZ1%2F3tAzDA%3D&amp;x-amz-security-token=IQoJb3JpZ2luX2VjEIX%2F%2F%2F%2F%2F%2F%2F%2F%2F%2FwEaCXVzLWVhc3QtMSJHMEUCIBID%2BGIVSK2wx8vCwooU8CLGRBKL0LHIrg2aMGfZpgpAAiEA9mQLY866ue%2BW%2BRfXMV1XlPKzkFgEuStLxzIjaB1vegYq8wQIThABGgw2OTk3NTMzMDk3MDUiDB1FtydgVdNN9yiz4irQBAuUS3M4vkkhmoJq2tgzS0UKqh1XA0fU8Sy8cSKKC8vYr5rMzSzjVISegFwwzIG26cdpAoMBd1LHEviB2wkT20Zc2sZFyy8%2BhXl%2FrWyRUIgBAv%2BY1HpqX7%2B5AKHOKRp3IzU8XlWi7BV86vveO7SwRUdh1MVxaCjZ59sdL1isP%2BzaKY0HmW1JcQA29%2B2vr3Kai3UOeTVvjNa5kAQDLiFjQP7yuz%2FxKYlj9mVnpskB1SYSlZD3OOoM7JvP1IvKgcT6jzx7LwgQ0%2FqE4tlvkHgvr%2F95KrB3fngAtIG8v8ZL8vvmX8KsN0AeRGg9EpZuyLHIotiMVqkgSHYDqdXnlzHwDwJhA7xdodugeR5x%2FNVh%2BeqqQW0%2FQOcq03LTBxwqbm%2BI%2FyRnZRg6mEWrRs%2F%2BBKmC%2FiLassxvD3u744ga%2BKjcdImVPQw6oLKFZc0q6Tg0WzqH6KkimLam3ZhwkOTKqcH2Hg6dZUsoAHXospJWG9pVaghQAsCgJU0DgBbaQ2HzzqkOvPs59Kp6uaAJpyZXBc1tvYNfq8VBnZ6lRZnnDIVOZqgzroxoZjcZ0kt1BZRXPMqNkJWdvbm65Ra8GkFMTpHjHQYM4j3cxvV2H45m4mk3HsCkrttd7IBe1KwY0p5v90wLqVpFPyygKx6CaQIvlApQB9u%2BfjcKA3%2FG6s6l35hHI%2BLMBc6o5X%2Bp4sv%2FLFyvRZEe4VZzOHjmS8GS8wZlO7oPLpmMRNHKfuEFS%2F5X8NMuhCWdP6ZmGKFASUujyd7%2B2%2BZvFxDPaF9bgRgX3VW%2Bj8gvn64wm5vbzwY6mAEVhqr8N%2F4P94snEnuNLAhmgFYReg5t%2B2toASKbIQnjULlHKfofMa8jAr8smomGoW7ls1TVAf4bIwFKTzx1YTlqWgXD1lbnvB8%2FJV79idzQXS0iGAB%2FKTnjQxlK2YxnZutB17DXZY7sIiZ45iIR7ZAsUuWsvTtFf1eHZmy6hbXTypTHZ8rO3%2BfCuMejgWju8YxjE0e%2FmU%2FmzQ%3D%3D&amp;Expires=1777783368\">De S&amp;P 500 zou volgens Shilling wel eens met 20% kunnen dalen als <a href=\"https:\/\/www.welingelichtekringen.nl\/aandelen\" title=\"aandelen\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">aandelen<\/a> worden afgestraft voor hun overgewaardeerde koersen. Hij baseert deze waarschuwing op drie metrics: de inflatie-gecorrigeerde koers-winstverhouding, en de koers-omzetverhouding en koers-boekwaarde-verhouding van de S&amp;P 500. Alle drie de indicatoren staan op recordhoogtes sinds voor de dotcom-crash.<a rel=\"noopener nofollow\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/ppl-ai-file-upload.s3.amazonaws.com\/web\/direct-files\/attachments\/84193056\/7953e7c9-7f2e-40a9-b514-c6f3591060a7\/Recessie-en-een-beursdaling-van-20-waarschijnlijk-tegen-het-einde-van-het-jaar_-Gary-Shilling-Business-Insider.pdf?AWSAccessKeyId=ASIA2F3EMEYE3VPNR5HU&amp;Signature=2BECn5%2BJ%2FvjhbVKnlTZ1%2F3tAzDA%3D&amp;x-amz-security-token=IQoJb3JpZ2luX2VjEIX%2F%2F%2F%2F%2F%2F%2F%2F%2F%2FwEaCXVzLWVhc3QtMSJHMEUCIBID%2BGIVSK2wx8vCwooU8CLGRBKL0LHIrg2aMGfZpgpAAiEA9mQLY866ue%2BW%2BRfXMV1XlPKzkFgEuStLxzIjaB1vegYq8wQIThABGgw2OTk3NTMzMDk3MDUiDB1FtydgVdNN9yiz4irQBAuUS3M4vkkhmoJq2tgzS0UKqh1XA0fU8Sy8cSKKC8vYr5rMzSzjVISegFwwzIG26cdpAoMBd1LHEviB2wkT20Zc2sZFyy8%2BhXl%2FrWyRUIgBAv%2BY1HpqX7%2B5AKHOKRp3IzU8XlWi7BV86vveO7SwRUdh1MVxaCjZ59sdL1isP%2BzaKY0HmW1JcQA29%2B2vr3Kai3UOeTVvjNa5kAQDLiFjQP7yuz%2FxKYlj9mVnpskB1SYSlZD3OOoM7JvP1IvKgcT6jzx7LwgQ0%2FqE4tlvkHgvr%2F95KrB3fngAtIG8v8ZL8vvmX8KsN0AeRGg9EpZuyLHIotiMVqkgSHYDqdXnlzHwDwJhA7xdodugeR5x%2FNVh%2BeqqQW0%2FQOcq03LTBxwqbm%2BI%2FyRnZRg6mEWrRs%2F%2BBKmC%2FiLassxvD3u744ga%2BKjcdImVPQw6oLKFZc0q6Tg0WzqH6KkimLam3ZhwkOTKqcH2Hg6dZUsoAHXospJWG9pVaghQAsCgJU0DgBbaQ2HzzqkOvPs59Kp6uaAJpyZXBc1tvYNfq8VBnZ6lRZnnDIVOZqgzroxoZjcZ0kt1BZRXPMqNkJWdvbm65Ra8GkFMTpHjHQYM4j3cxvV2H45m4mk3HsCkrttd7IBe1KwY0p5v90wLqVpFPyygKx6CaQIvlApQB9u%2BfjcKA3%2FG6s6l35hHI%2BLMBc6o5X%2Bp4sv%2FLFyvRZEe4VZzOHjmS8GS8wZlO7oPLpmMRNHKfuEFS%2F5X8NMuhCWdP6ZmGKFASUujyd7%2B2%2BZvFxDPaF9bgRgX3VW%2Bj8gvn64wm5vbzwY6mAEVhqr8N%2F4P94snEnuNLAhmgFYReg5t%2B2toASKbIQnjULlHKfofMa8jAr8smomGoW7ls1TVAf4bIwFKTzx1YTlqWgXD1lbnvB8%2FJV79idzQXS0iGAB%2FKTnjQxlK2YxnZutB17DXZY7sIiZ45iIR7ZAsUuWsvTtFf1eHZmy6hbXTypTHZ8rO3%2BfCuMejgWju8YxjE0e%2FmU%2FmzQ%3D%3D&amp;Expires=1777783368\">Shilling staat bekend om zijn persistente bearish houding en waarschuwt al vier jaar voor een recessie en forse koersdalingen. Hij is een gerenommeerd econoom die de huizencrisis van 2008 correct voorspelde. Vorig jaar stelde hij dat extreme speculatie in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.welingelichtekringen.nl\/economie\/alle-financiele-markten-onderuit-door-trumps-oorlog\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">financi\u00eble markten<\/a>, vooral rond AI en crypto, de beursval zou veroorzaken<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Topeconoom Gary Shilling voorspelt een recessie en een beurscrash van 20% tegen eind 2026. De prominente Amerikaanse econoom&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":200557,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[17],"tags":[16685,7407,73,74,48,561,32935,46,47,49,45,50,75],"class_list":["post-200556","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-zakelijk","tag-aandelen","tag-beurs","tag-business","tag-commercial","tag-dutch","tag-economie","tag-financiele-crisis","tag-nederland","tag-nederlanden","tag-nederlands","tag-netherlands","tag-nl","tag-zakelijk"],"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@nl\/116511328631690278","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/nl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/200556","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/nl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/nl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/nl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/nl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=200556"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/nl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/200556\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/nl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/200557"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/nl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=200556"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/nl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=200556"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/nl\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=200556"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}