{"id":149595,"date":"2026-07-13T03:52:10","date_gmt":"2026-07-13T03:52:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/people\/149595\/"},"modified":"2026-07-13T03:52:10","modified_gmt":"2026-07-13T03:52:10","slug":"warren-buffett-swears-by-this-1-low-cost-investment-history-proves-hes-been-right-every-time-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/people\/149595\/","title":{"rendered":"Warren Buffett Swears By This 1 Low-Cost Investment. History Proves He&#8217;s Been Right Every Time."},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">The S&amp;P 500 (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC) is up by more than 10% over the last three months alone, as of this writing &#8212; its most successful quarter in years. But it&#8217;s also a historically expensive time to invest, and some metrics are sounding the alarm over the market&#8217;s valuation.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">For example, the Buffett indicator &#8212; named for Warren Buffett after he used the metric to predict the dot-com bubble burst &#8212; now sits at a record high of 236%. In a 2001 interview with Fortune Magazine, Buffett himself noted that when this metric nears 200%, investors are &#8220;playing with fire.&#8221;  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">Missed Nvidia in 2009? This Rare Signal Is Flashing Again.\u00a0In 2009, a &#8220;Double Down&#8221; signal flashed for a little-known chipmaker called Nvidia.\u00a0For the first time in years, that same &#8220;Total Conviction&#8221; signal is flashing for a company 1\/100th the size of Nvidia.\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/api.fool.com\/infotron\/infotrack\/click?apikey=35527423-a535-4519-a07f-20014582e03e&amp;impression=817e8740-a4dc-4174-8640-f1734c3482fc&amp;url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.fool.com%2Fmms%2Fmark%2Fa-sa-dd-total-conviction%3Faid%3D11123%26source%3Disaediica0000074%26ftm_cam%3Dsa-dd-4%26ftm_veh%3Dtop_incontent_pitch_feed_yahoo%26ftm_pit%3D19375&amp;utm_source=yahoo-host-full&amp;utm_medium=feed&amp;utm_campaign=article&amp;referring_guid=a23b10b6-5302-41b9-b84a-315a2d06459f\" data-ylk=\"slk:Continue%20%C2%BB;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas;source:content-canvas%20default\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkText&quot;:&quot;Continue \u00bb&quot;,&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;context_link&quot;,&quot;yModuleName&quot;:&quot;content-canvas&quot;,&quot;yTrafficOrigin&quot;:&quot;content-canvas default&quot;}\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">Continue \u00bb<\/a>  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">Now, this doesn&#8217;t necessarily mean that a bear market or recession is around the corner. But it&#8217;s more important than ever to ensure you&#8217;re investing in strong <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fool.com\/investing\/how-to-invest\/etfs\/best-long-term-etfs\/?utm_source=yahoo-host-full&amp;utm_medium=feed&amp;utm_campaign=article&amp;referring_guid=a23b10b6-5302-41b9-b84a-315a2d06459f\" data-ylk=\"slk:long-term%20stocks%20and%20funds;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas;source:content-canvas%20default\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkText&quot;:&quot;long-term stocks and funds&quot;,&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;context_link&quot;,&quot;yModuleName&quot;:&quot;content-canvas&quot;,&quot;yTrafficOrigin&quot;:&quot;content-canvas default&quot;}\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">long-term stocks and funds<\/a>. There&#8217;s one investment Buffett has strongly recommended for decades, and history proves he&#8217;s been right every single time.  <\/p>\n<p>    <a href=\"https:\/\/s.yimg.com\/lo\/mysterio\/api\/55DBC299693A99214F0BA0CE0F0091DC15F3A7FEA543765B84B5481B73989FEE\/subgraphmysterio\/resizefit_w960;quality_80;format_webp\/https:%2F%2Fmedia.zenfs.com%2Fen%2Fmotleyfool.com%2F6b73dfe8f6cb26870ec3695590d23254\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"data:image\/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP\/\/\/ywAAAAAAQABAAACAUwAOw==\" alt=\"Close-up shot of Warren Buffett at an event.\" height=\"640\" width=\"960\" class=\"yf-lglytj loader\"\/><\/a> Image source: The Motley Fool.           A failsafe long-term investment          <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">For decades, Warren Buffett has recommended the S&amp;P 500 ETF. During Berkshire Hathaway&#8217;s 2020 meeting, he even went so far as to call it &#8220;the best thing&#8221; for most investors.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">In 2008, he also made a $1 million bet that this type of investment could outperform a group of actively managed funds. After 10 years, his S&amp;P 500 fund had earned total returns of nearly 126%, while the five actively managed funds averaged a total return of around 36%.  <\/p>\n<p>    <a href=\"https:\/\/ycharts.com\/indices\/%5ESPX\/chart\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"data:image\/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP\/\/\/ywAAAAAAQABAAACAUwAOw==\" alt=\"^SPX Chart\" height=\"404\" width=\"720\" class=\"yf-lglytj loader\"\/><\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/ycharts.com\/indices\/%5ESPX\/chart\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\"><a href=\"https:\/\/ycharts.com\/indices\/^SPX\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">^SPX<\/a> data by <a href=\"https:\/\/ycharts.com\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">YCharts.<\/a>           <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">History backs up Buffett&#8217;s approval of the S&amp;P 500 ETF, too. Analysts at Crestmont Research studied the S&amp;P 500&#8217;s long-term performance and found that since the index&#8217;s inception, it&#8217;s ended every 20-year period with positive total returns regardless of how volatile the market was during that period.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">In other words, by holding an S&amp;P 500 ETF for at least 20 years, it&#8217;s historically been harder to lose money with this investment than it is to make money.  <\/p>\n<p>        Two risks to consider before buying          <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">One potential downside to the S&amp;P 500 ETF is that it&#8217;s becoming increasingly dominated by <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fool.com\/investing\/stock-market\/market-sectors\/information-technology\/?utm_source=yahoo-host-full&amp;utm_medium=feed&amp;utm_campaign=article&amp;referring_guid=a23b10b6-5302-41b9-b84a-315a2d06459f\" data-ylk=\"slk:tech%20stocks;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas;source:content-canvas%20default\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkText&quot;:&quot;tech stocks&quot;,&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;context_link&quot;,&quot;yModuleName&quot;:&quot;content-canvas&quot;,&quot;yTrafficOrigin&quot;:&quot;content-canvas default&quot;}\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">tech stocks<\/a>, making it more vulnerable to volatility.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">For example, the &#8220;Magnificent Seven&#8221; &#8212; which includes Apple, Amazon, Alphabet, Meta Platforms, Microsoft, Nvidia, and Tesla &#8212; make up around one-third of the S&amp;P 500&#8217;s total value, making the S&amp;P 500 ETF more easily swayed by megacap tech companies. If those stocks are thriving, it can lift the S&amp;P 500 to new heights. But if they falter, they can drag the entire index down with them.  <\/p>\n<p>    Story Continues  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">With a long enough timeline, this may not be an issue for many investors, as most leading companies can recover from downturns and achieve long-term growth. But it can result in more short-term volatility than some investors expect, so it&#8217;s an important factor to consider.  <\/p>\n<p>   <a href=\"https:\/\/ycharts.com\/indices\/%5ESPX\/chart\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"data:image\/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP\/\/\/ywAAAAAAQABAAACAUwAOw==\" alt=\"^SPX Chart\" height=\"404\" width=\"720\" class=\"yf-lglytj loader\"\/><\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/ycharts.com\/indices\/%5ESPX\/chart\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\"><a href=\"https:\/\/ycharts.com\/indices\/^SPX\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">^SPX<\/a> data by <a href=\"https:\/\/ycharts.com\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">YCharts.<\/a>          <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">The other potential downside is that because the S&amp;P 500 ETF tracks a major market index, it&#8217;s impossible for it to beat the market. Over time, even a seemingly minor difference in performance can add up.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">Let&#8217;s say you&#8217;re investing $200 per month in an S&amp;P 500 ETF earning a 10% average annual return &#8212; which is in line with the S&amp;P 500&#8217;s historic average. Let&#8217;s also say that you could invest $200 per month in a growth ETF earning a marginally higher 11% average annual return. Over decades, here&#8217;s approximately how much you could earn in total with each investment:  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">Data source: Author&#8217;s calculations via investor.gov.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">No investment is perfect, and the S&amp;P 500 ETF won&#8217;t be the ideal fit for everyone, especially investors nervous about the tech industry&#8217;s volatility or looking to maximize their earnings in the stock market.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">However, there&#8217;s good reason why Warren Buffett highly recommends the S&amp;P 500 ETF. It shines with its consistency over decades, and even while earning average returns, it&#8217;s still possible to accumulate hundreds of thousands of dollars with this investment.  <\/p>\n<p>          Should you buy stock in S&amp;P 500 Index right now?         <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">Before you buy stock in\u00a0S&amp;P 500 Index, consider this:  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">The Motley Fool\u00a0Stock Advisor\u00a0analyst team just identified what they believe are the\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/api.fool.com\/infotron\/infotrack\/click?apikey=35527423-a535-4519-a07f-20014582e03e&amp;impression=71d0aa20-8127-4926-a7f6-57c610e8c0c9&amp;url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.fool.com%2Fmms%2Fmark%2Fe-sa-bbn-bn%3Faid%3D8867%26source%3Disaeditxt0001213%26ftm_cam%3Dsa-bbn-evergreen%26ftm_veh%3Darticle_pitch_feed_yahoo%26ftm_pit%3D19383&amp;utm_source=yahoo-host-full&amp;utm_medium=feed&amp;utm_campaign=article&amp;referring_guid=a23b10b6-5302-41b9-b84a-315a2d06459f\" data-ylk=\"slk:10%20best%20stocks;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas;source:content-canvas%20default\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkText&quot;:&quot;10 best stocks&quot;,&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;context_link&quot;,&quot;yModuleName&quot;:&quot;content-canvas&quot;,&quot;yTrafficOrigin&quot;:&quot;content-canvas default&quot;}\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">10 best stocks<\/a>\u00a0for investors to buy now\u2026 and\u00a0S&amp;P 500 Index\u00a0wasn&#8217;t one of them.\u00a0The 10 stocks that made the cut are built for long-term growth and could produce monster returns in the coming years.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">Consider when\u00a0Netflix\u00a0made this list on December 17, 2004&#8230; if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation,\u00a0you&#8217;d have $395,679!*\u00a0Or\u00a0when\u00a0Nvidia\u00a0made this list on April 15, 2005&#8230; if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation,\u00a0you&#8217;d have $1,294,805!*  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">That performance is why people listen. With a track record of\u00a0beating the S&amp;P 500 by 4x,\u00a0Stock Advisor\u00a0offers a distinct advantage. Don&#8217;t miss the latest top 10 list, available with\u00a0Stock Advisor, and join an investing community built for the long haul.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/api.fool.com\/infotron\/infotrack\/click?apikey=35527423-a535-4519-a07f-20014582e03e&amp;impression=71d0aa20-8127-4926-a7f6-57c610e8c0c9&amp;url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.fool.com%2Fmms%2Fmark%2Fe-sa-bbn-bn%3Faid%3D8867%26source%3Disaeditxt0001213%26ftm_cam%3Dsa-bbn-evergreen%26ftm_pit%3D19383%26ftm_veh%3Darticle_pitch_feed_yahoo%26company%3DS%2526P%2520500%2520Index&amp;utm_source=yahoo-host-full&amp;utm_medium=feed&amp;utm_campaign=article&amp;referring_guid=a23b10b6-5302-41b9-b84a-315a2d06459f\" data-ylk=\"slk:See%20the%2010%20stocks%20%C2%BB;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas;source:content-canvas%20default\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkText&quot;:&quot;See the 10 stocks \u00bb&quot;,&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;context_link&quot;,&quot;yModuleName&quot;:&quot;content-canvas&quot;,&quot;yTrafficOrigin&quot;:&quot;content-canvas default&quot;}\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\" class=\"ticker_pitch\">See the 10 stocks \u00bb<\/a>  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">*Stock Advisor returns as of July 11, 2026.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.fool.com\/author\/16743\/\" data-ylk=\"slk:Katie%20Brockman;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas;source:content-canvas%20default\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkText&quot;:&quot;Katie Brockman&quot;,&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;context_link&quot;,&quot;yModuleName&quot;:&quot;content-canvas&quot;,&quot;yTrafficOrigin&quot;:&quot;content-canvas default&quot;}\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">Katie Brockman<\/a> has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Berkshire Hathaway, Meta Platforms, Microsoft, Nvidia, and Tesla. The Motley Fool has a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fool.com\/legal\/fool-disclosure-policy\/\" data-ylk=\"slk:disclosure%20policy;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas;source:content-canvas%20default\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkText&quot;:&quot;disclosure policy&quot;,&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;context_link&quot;,&quot;yModuleName&quot;:&quot;content-canvas&quot;,&quot;yTrafficOrigin&quot;:&quot;content-canvas default&quot;}\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">disclosure policy<\/a>.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.fool.com\/investing\/2026\/07\/11\/warren-buffett-swears-by-this-1-low-cost-investmen\/\" data-ylk=\"slk:Warren%20Buffett%20Swears%20By%20This%201%20Low-Cost%20Investment.%20History%20Proves%20He&#039;s%20Been%20Right%20Every%20Time.;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas;source:content-canvas%20default\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkText&quot;:&quot;Warren Buffett Swears By This 1 Low-Cost Investment. History Proves He&#039;s Been Right Every Time.&quot;,&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;context_link&quot;,&quot;yModuleName&quot;:&quot;content-canvas&quot;,&quot;yTrafficOrigin&quot;:&quot;content-canvas default&quot;}\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">Warren Buffett Swears By This 1 Low-Cost Investment. History Proves He&#8217;s Been Right Every Time.<\/a> was originally published by The Motley Fool  <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The S&amp;P 500 (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC) is up by more than 10% over the last three months alone, as&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":149596,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[162],"tags":[11175,8351,669],"class_list":["post-149595","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-warren-buffett","tag-buffett-indicator","tag-sp-500","tag-warren-buffett"],"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@people\/116910643134959653","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/people\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/149595","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/people\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/people\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/people\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/people\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=149595"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/people\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/149595\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/people\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/149596"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/people\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=149595"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/people\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=149595"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/people\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=149595"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}