{"id":190814,"date":"2026-08-16T11:14:13","date_gmt":"2026-08-16T11:14:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/people\/190814\/"},"modified":"2026-08-16T11:14:13","modified_gmt":"2026-08-16T11:14:13","slug":"spacex-and-tesla-are-two-of-the-most-compelling-shorts-market-vet-says","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/people\/190814\/","title":{"rendered":"SpaceX and Tesla Are Two of the Most Compelling Shorts, Market Vet Says"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>SpaceX stock has stumbled out of the gate since its IPO in June, but one veteran fund manager thinks there&#8217;s more trouble ahead for Elon Musk&#8217;s rocket company. <\/p>\n<p>George Noble, formerly the manager of Fidelity Overseas Fund, was bearish on the stock as it headed for its IPO, and his tune hasn&#8217;t changed since the debut. Now, he&#8217;s calling for more pain for both SpaceX and Tesla on the horizon. He said each stock represents &#8220;one of the best shorts in the market.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Following SpaceX&#8217;s historic IPO, Noble predicted that the stock price would fall by as much as 50% before the end of the year. Noble had previously <a target=\"_self\" class=\"\" href=\"https:\/\/www.businessinsider.com\/michael-burry-nasdaq-spacex-ipo-listing-elon-musk-tesla-ndx-2026-3\" data-track-click=\"{&quot;element_name&quot;:&quot;body_link&quot;,&quot;event&quot;:&quot;tout_click&quot;,&quot;index&quot;:&quot;bi_value_unassigned&quot;,&quot;product_field&quot;:&quot;bi_value_unassigned&quot;}\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">raised concerns<\/a> regarding Nasdaq&#8217;s decision to allow SpaceX to be fast-tracked into the Nasdaq 100, which forced passive indexes that track the index to load up on the stock. <\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Grandma&#8217;s 401k <a target=\"_self\" class=\"\" href=\"https:\/\/www.businessinsider.com\/spacex-ipo-retirement-401k-portfolio-ai-elon-musk-anthropic-openai-2026-6\" data-track-click=\"{&quot;element_name&quot;:&quot;body_link&quot;,&quot;event&quot;:&quot;tout_click&quot;,&quot;index&quot;:&quot;bi_value_unassigned&quot;,&quot;product_field&quot;:&quot;bi_value_unassigned&quot;}\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">now owns<\/a> a $2 trillion company at roughly 90 times revenues. That&#8217;s outrageous,&#8221; Noble told Business Insider. <\/p>\n<p>Noble says SpaceX and Tesla are both overvalued, but he&#8217;s also wary of the narrative around Musk&#8217;s two companies, noting that the retail trader buzz is shifting. It&#8217;s part of the reason he sees them as such compelling short bets. <\/p>\n<p>Noble said that when he&#8217;s searching for short plays, he screens for stocks that have high valuations, are boosted by social media hype, and are facing a difficult macroeconomic landscape.<\/p>\n<p>For this reason, Noble said he&#8217;s grown even more bearish on Tesla than he was in January, when he described it as <a target=\"_self\" href=\"https:\/\/www.businessinsider.com\/tesla-stock-market-bubble-elon-musk-evs-tech-george-noble-2026-1\" data-track-click=\"{&quot;element_name&quot;:&quot;body_link&quot;,&quot;event&quot;:&quot;tout_click&quot;,&quot;index&quot;:&quot;bi_value_unassigned&quot;,&quot;product_field&quot;:&quot;bi_value_unassigned&quot;}\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">the stock market&#8217;s biggest bubble<\/a>. He said that Musk&#8217;s power over investors may be slowly fading, particularly after the company&#8217;s significant <a target=\"_self\" class=\"\" href=\"https:\/\/www.businessinsider.com\/tesla-q2-earnings-updates-tsla-stock-elon-musk-spacex-2026-7\" data-track-click=\"{&quot;element_name&quot;:&quot;body_link&quot;,&quot;event&quot;:&quot;tout_click&quot;,&quot;index&quot;:&quot;bi_value_unassigned&quot;,&quot;product_field&quot;:&quot;bi_value_unassigned&quot;}\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Q2 profit miss<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;The shine&#8217;s wearing off. Tesla&#8217;s unchanged for five years. Earnings are collapsing,&#8221; he said, adding that he sees the &#8220;Elon premium&#8221; that&#8217;s boosted Tesla stock as being over. <\/p>\n<p>Noble added that he thinks that both Tesla and SpaceX should be trading at roughly $30 per share, implying 91% downside for Tesla and a 79% drop for SpaceX. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"SpaceX stock has stumbled out of the gate since its IPO in June, but one veteran fund manager&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":190815,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[122],"tags":[830,2981,202,85625,3191,85626,85627,203,859,21921,4947,207,2468,1340,85628,512],"class_list":["post-190814","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-elon-musk","tag-business-insider","tag-concern","tag-elon-musk","tag-george-noble","tag-ipo","tag-market-vet","tag-more-trouble","tag-musk","tag-nasdaq","tag-reason","tag-rocket-company","tag-spacex","tag-stock","tag-tesla","tag-veteran-fund-manager","tag-year"],"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@people\/117104901897948586","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/people\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/190814","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/people\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/people\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/people\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/people\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=190814"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/people\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/190814\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/people\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/190815"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/people\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=190814"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/people\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=190814"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/people\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=190814"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}