Latvian intelligence warns of planned hybrid attacks using drones or missiles to pressure NATO allies; the report highlights risk of miscalculation by Russia\u2019s isolated leadership.<\/p>\n
Latvian intelligence warns that Russia is preparing possible provocations against the Baltic states or Poland, including the use of drones to force NATO countries to stop supporting Ukraine.<\/p>\n
According to Latvian intelligence, these conclusions were voiced by service representatives during a conversation with Fox News.<\/p>\n
We see signs that Russia is preparing military provocations against the Baltic states or Poland \u2013 not a conventional war, since Russia is not capable of that right now, but hybrid attacks, such as missiles, drones, or other actions, aimed at sending a signal: stop supporting Ukraine, or you will face your own problems<\/p>\n
\u2013 Latvian intelligence<\/p>\n
Assessments and Risks<\/p>\n
According to the intelligence assessment, the greatest concern is the risk that the head of Russia, Vladimir Putin, may miscalculate because his entourage and state institutions present him only the version of reality he wants to hear.<\/p>\n
Latvian intelligence believes that Putin is not only seeking ways to force NATO countries to withdraw their support for Ukraine, but may also receive distorted assessments from his own system, which increases the risk of misjudging Western resolve.<\/p>\n
The biggest threat is miscalculation. Russian institutions tell Putin what he wants to hear, and this creates a dangerous closed loop that can lead to rash and senseless decisions. We see increasing signs that Putin wants to receive only positive news. He is isolated, and this makes the decision-making process even more problematic because decisions are not based on the real situation<\/p>\n
\u2013 Latvian intelligence<\/p>\n
The warning from Latvian intelligence is in line with assessments by Polish officials who previously spoke to Fox News that Russia\u2019s hybrid war against NATO\u2019s eastern flank is effectively ongoing.<\/p>\n
Latvian intelligence also believes that Western sanctions have a real impact on Russia, despite public statements by Moscow that it has \u201csuccessfully coped\u201d with this pressure.<\/p>\n
Russia publicly asserts that sanctions have no value, but its own internal assessments show that sanctions cause substantial harm. Perhaps they will not change Putin\u2019s mind, but they constrain Russia\u2019s financial resources, narrow its options, and force difficult choices regarding the mix of military spending, costs, and pressure on business. Its military economy resembles a house of cards collapsing<\/p>\n
\u2013 Latvian intelligence<\/p>\n
According to a previous report by Latvia\u2019s Constitutional Protection Bureau (SAB), Russia plans to intensify the legal war \u2013 abusing the legal system, laws, and judiciary \u2013 in order to weaken Western countries.<\/p>\n
This material underscores the importance of careful monitoring of events and coordination among NATO allies to deter potential crisis scenarios on the eastern flank.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Latvian intelligence warns of planned hybrid attacks using drones or missiles to pressure NATO allies; the report highlights…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":13532,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[8349,2447,9497,9496,4425,101,9,9498],"class_list":["post-13531","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-poland","tag-baltic-security","tag-hybrid-warfare","tag-latvian-intelligence","tag-latvian-intelligence-russian-provocations-baltic-security-hybrid-warfare-nato-coordination","tag-nato-coordination","tag-news","tag-poland","tag-russian-provocations"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/poland\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13531","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/poland\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/poland\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/poland\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/poland\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=13531"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/poland\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13531\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/poland\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/13532"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/poland\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=13531"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/poland\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=13531"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/poland\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=13531"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}