{"id":190815,"date":"2026-05-27T15:33:09","date_gmt":"2026-05-27T15:33:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ro\/190815\/"},"modified":"2026-05-27T15:33:09","modified_gmt":"2026-05-27T15:33:09","slug":"ce-va-alege-ue-intre-zambetul-mieros-al-chinezilor-si-ostilitatea-lui-trump-nu-cred-prea-mult-in-acest-scenariu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ro\/190815\/","title":{"rendered":"Ce va alege UE \u00eentre z\u00e2mbetul mieros al chinezilor \u0219i ostilitatea lui Trump. \u201eNu cred prea mult \u00een acest scenariu\u201d"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Rela\u021bia Uniunii Europene cu SUA, respectiv cu China nu mai este demult o simpl\u0103 ecua\u021bie \u00een care Bruxelles-ul merge automat pe m\u00e2na americanilor, ci un test de supravie\u021buire geopolitic\u0103.\u00a0Politologul<br \/>\nSergiu Mi\u0219coiu analizeaz\u0103, pentru \u201eAdev\u0103rul\u201d, echilibristica fragil\u0103 european\u0103, \u00een care, uneori, pare c\u0103 alegerea se face \u021bin\u00e2nd cont de r\u0103ul mai mic.<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ro\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/1779895988_91_index.jpeg\" alt=\"Nici complet alia\u021bi, nici total inamici\" width=\"1400\" height=\"750\" loading=\"eager\" fetchpriority=\"high\" class=\"svelte-h45upf\"\/><\/p>\n<p> Charles Michel, Xi Jinping \u0219i Ursula von der Leyen. FOTO: Captur\u0103 video<\/p>\n<p>publicitate&#8221;); background-position: center center; background-repeat: no-repeat;&#8221;&gt;<\/p>\n<p>Nici<br \/>\ncomplet alia\u021bi, nici total inamici. Strategia ambigu\u0103 a Uniunii<br \/>\nEuropene fa\u021b\u0103 de China ajunge \u00eentr-un punct critic, sub presiunea<br \/>\nStatelor Unite, a r\u0103zboiului din Ucraina \u0219i a alegerilor globale.<br \/>\nUniunea European\u0103 \u00ee\u0219i descoper\u0103 astfel singur\u0103tatea strategic\u0103,<br \/>\n\u00eentr-un moment \u00een care se vede prins\u0103 \u00eentre ostilitatea<br \/>\nWashingtonului \u0219i capcanele unui comer\u021b dezechilibrat cu China.<\/p>\n<p>Politologul<br \/>\nSergiu Mi\u0219coiu, profesor la Universitatea Babe\u0219-Bolyai din Cluj \u0219i<br \/>\nla Universitatea Paris-Est Cr\u00e9teil, a fost decorat de statul francez<br \/>\ncu medalia de Ofi\u021ber al Laurilor Academici pentru activitatea sa<br \/>\nacademic\u0103. Este un bun cunosc\u0103tor al politicilor europene \u0219i un<br \/>\nfin analist de politic\u0103 interna\u021bional\u0103, iar \u00een analiza sa pentru<br \/>\n\u201eAdev\u0103rul\u201d vorbe\u0219te despre marja redus\u0103 de mi\u0219care a<br \/>\nBruxelles-ului, \u00een acest caz.<\/p>\n<p>Blocat\u0103<br \/>\n\u00eentre retorica protec\u021bionist\u0103 \u0219i foamea de materii prime din<br \/>\nAsia, Uniunea European\u0103 \u00eencearc\u0103 s\u0103 \u00ee\u0219i calculeze fiecare<br \/>\nmi\u0219care \u00een raport cu Beijingul, dar \u021bin\u00e2nd \u0219i de SUA.<\/p>\n<p>For\u021bat\u0103<br \/>\nde realit\u0103\u021bile din teren, Uniunea European\u0103 p\u0103\u0219e\u0219te pe o s\u00e2rm\u0103 extrem de<br \/>\nsub\u021bire: sanc\u021bioneaz\u0103 Beijingul pentru sprijinul mascat acordat<br \/>\nRusiei \u0219i pentru invadarea pie\u021belor cu ma\u0219ini electrice ieftine,<br \/>\ndar se roag\u0103 ca represaliile chineze s\u0103 nu blocheze industrii<br \/>\neuropene \u00eentregi. Nici rela\u021bia Bruxelles-ului cu Statele Unite nu<br \/>\neste mai pu\u021bin complicat\u0103. \u00cen timp ce pe h\u00e2rtie alian\u021ba<br \/>\ntransatlantic\u0103 merge mai departe, europenii s-au obi\u0219nuit cu<br \/>\ntoanele lui Donald Trump \u0219i cu criticile venite de la Washington,<br \/>\ndar \u0219i cu amenin\u021b\u0103rile unor taxe nemaiv\u0103zute.\n<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\tBeijing, El Dorado pentru Macron, Merz \u0219i S\u00e1nchez<\/p>\n<p>Liderii<br \/>\neuropeni curteaz\u0103 tot mai mult China \u0219i caut\u0103 s\u0103 ob\u021bin\u0103<br \/>\nconcesii comerciale, dar \u00een acela\u0219i timp Bruxelles-ul prive\u0219te cu suspiciune<br \/>\naceast\u0103 \u021bar\u0103. Pre\u0219edintele francez Emmanuel Macron, dar \u0219i<br \/>\ncancelarul german Friedrich Merz \u0219i premierul spaniol Pedro S\u00e1nchez<br \/>\nau vizitat \u00een ultima perioad\u0103 Beijingul \u0219i au ar\u0103tat tot mai<br \/>\nmult\u0103 disponibilitate pentru a str\u00e2nge rela\u021biile cu China. De<br \/>\naltfel, \u00een c\u0103utarea unor afaceri c\u00e2t mai bune cu China, europenii<br \/>\ns-au \u00eendep\u0103rtat de partenerul transatlantic, for\u021ba\u021bi \u0219i de<br \/>\nac\u021biunile neprietenoase ale lui Donald Trump. \u00cen aceast\u0103 cheie<br \/>\nconsider\u0103 Sergiu Mi\u0219coiu c\u0103 ar trebui privit\u0103 apropierea aparent<br \/>\nf\u0103r\u0103 precedent dintre europeni \u0219i China sau dintre Canada \u0219i<br \/>\nChina.<\/p>\n<p>publicitate&#8221;); background-position: center center; background-repeat: no-repeat;&#8221;&gt;<\/p>\n<p>\u201eNu<br \/>\ncred c\u0103 e chiar de ne\u00een\u021beles ce se \u00eent\u00e2mpl\u0103, \u00een m\u0103sura \u00een<br \/>\ncare Statele Unite dau semne c\u0103 \u00ee\u0219i r\u0103cesc rela\u021biile cu Europa,<br \/>\ncritic\u0103 statele europene, au o pozi\u021bionare care nu mai garanteaz\u0103<br \/>\nsecuritatea Europei \u0219i a\u0219a mai departe. \u0218i statele europene caut\u0103<br \/>\ns\u0103-\u0219i g\u0103seasc\u0103 partenerii \u00een afara circuitului transatlantic<br \/>\ntradi\u021bional. \u0218i aici Trump, care vorbe\u0219te de Biden, acuz\u00e2ndu-l<br \/>\ntot timpul c\u0103 a l\u0103sat o mo\u0219tenire dezastroas\u0103, este el \u00eensu\u0219i<br \/>\n\u00een eroare, pentru c\u0103 mo\u0219tenirea sa pare s\u0103 fie aceea de a fisura<br \/>\nrela\u021bia transatlantic\u0103. China este un competitor cu SUA. SUA<br \/>\namenin\u021b\u0103 toat\u0103 ziua c\u0103 pun taxe inclusiv pe produsele \u0219i<br \/>\nserviciile europene, nu mai vorbim de cele chineze\u0219ti\u201d, spune<br \/>\nSergiu Mi\u0219coiu.<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ro\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/1779090555_841_index.jpeg\" alt=\"Mi\u0219coiu este profesor la Universitatea Babe\u0219-Bolyai din Cluj \u0219i la Universitatea Paris-Est Cr\u00e9teil\" width=\"1400\" height=\"750\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"svelte-h45upf\"\/><\/p>\n<p>Profesorul Sergiu Mi\u0219coiu FOTO: Arhiv\u0103 personal\u0103<\/p>\n<p>De\u0219i<br \/>\ntrateaz\u0103 Uniunea European\u0103 \u0219i statele europene ca pe un partener<br \/>\nde m\u00e2na a doua, <a href=\"https:\/\/adevarul.ro\/stiri-interne\/evenimente\/romania-jucator-prima-data-in-istorie-la-2532350.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Statele Unite ale Americii <\/a>au preten\u021bii de la<br \/>\nBruxelles. Administra\u021bia Trump a convins europenii s\u0103 fac\u0103 front<br \/>\ncomun \u00eempotriva Chinei, \u00eentr-o \u00eencercare disperat\u0103 de a limita<br \/>\ndependen\u021ba cronic\u0103 fa\u021b\u0103 de dependen\u021ba de metalele rare<br \/>\nchineze\u0219ti.<\/p>\n<p>\u201eEvident<br \/>\nc\u0103 apropierea dintre China \u0219i Uniunea European\u0103 ca bloc, dar \u0219i o<br \/>\nserie de state europene care se afl\u0103 \u00een colimatorul Statelor Unite<br \/>\nale Americii sau politici globale proprii, aceast\u0103 solu\u021bie pare s\u0103<br \/>\nfie una care se profileaz\u0103. Deci, cu alte cuvinte, adversarul care<br \/>\nanterior era cel al Europei \u0219i Americii \u00eempreun\u0103, China, devine tot mai frecventabil pentru europeni\u201d, mai adaug\u0103 profesorul clujean.<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t<a class=\"related-inline svelte-1t8qpgs\" data-gtrack=\"{&quot;event&quot;:&quot;utm_click&quot;,&quot;data&quot;:{&quot;event_category&quot;:&quot;article_related&quot;}}\" href=\"https:\/\/adevarul.ro\/stiri-interne\/evenimente\/macron-proclama-suprematia-garantiilor-europene-de-2531885.html\" title=\"Alt articol de interes pentru tine\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\"><br \/>\n                    Macron proclam\u0103 suprema\u021bia garan\u021biilor europene de securitate fa\u021b\u0103 de cele NATO. Expert: \u201eExist\u0103 un scenariu \u0219i mai periculos\u201d<\/p>\n<p>                <\/a>Mai aproape de Beijing sau de Washington?<\/p>\n<p>Astfel,<br \/>\na\u0219a cum evolueaz\u0103 situa\u021bia, nu pare exclus ca ca un moment dat<br \/>\nEuropa s\u0103 devin\u0103 \u00eentr-adev\u0103r mai apropiat\u0103 de China dec\u00e2t de<br \/>\nStatele Unite, consider\u0103 unii anali\u0219ti de politic\u0103 interna\u021bional\u0103.<br \/>\nSergiu Mi\u0219coiu nu crede \u00eens\u0103 \u00een acest scenariu, c\u0103ruia \u00eei d\u0103<br \/>\n\u0219anse reduse de a se transforma \u00een realitate. Totu\u0219i, tensiunile vor continua s\u0103 fie prezente \u00eentre cele dou\u0103 maluri ale Atlanticului, iar Beijingul va ob\u021bine anumite c\u00e2\u0219tiguri. Din poza sumbr\u0103 a momentului nu lipse\u0219te nici <a href=\"https:\/\/adevarul.ro\/securitate-si-aparare\/planul-cu-care-romania-poate-da-sah-mat-rusiei-2529743.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Rusia<\/a>, a c\u0103rei privire \u00eencruntat\u0103 d\u0103 \u00eenc\u0103 fiori unei Europe incapabile s\u0103-\u0219i asigure de una singur\u0103 propria securitate.<\/p>\n<p>publicitate&#8221;); background-position: center center; background-repeat: no-repeat;&#8221;&gt;<\/p>\n<p>\u201eAsta<br \/>\nar \u00eensemna ca mo\u0219tenirea lui Trump s\u0103 fie perpetuat\u0103 de<br \/>\nsuccesorul sau succesoarea acestuia \u0219i politicile americane s\u0103 fie<br \/>\nchiar mai departe dec\u00e2t cele ale lui Trump, orientate \u00eempotriva<br \/>\nEuropei. Nu cred \u00eens\u0103 prea mult \u00eentr-un asemenea scenariu. \u00cen<br \/>\nacela\u0219i timp, exist\u0103 semne multiple c\u0103 Europa se emancipeaz\u0103 de<br \/>\ntutela american\u0103. Americanii i-au invitat pe europeni s\u0103 se<br \/>\nemancipeze militar \u0219i deci acordurile de liber schimb pe care le<br \/>\nnegociaz\u0103 Uniunea European\u0103 \u00een afara spa\u021biului transatlantic \u2014<br \/>\nadic\u0103 cu Statele Unite ale Americii \u2014 cel cu Mercosur, cel cu<br \/>\nIndia, pot s\u0103 duc\u0103 la o apropiere de facto mai mare fa\u021b\u0103 de<br \/>\nChina. Cu c\u00e2t Uniunea European\u0103 devine mecanic un actor geopolitic<br \/>\nmondial de sine st\u0103t\u0103tor, mai puternic \u0219i mai afirmat, cu at\u00e2t<br \/>\nStatele Unite ale Americii se vor afla \u00eentr-o concuren\u021b\u0103 inerent\u0103<br \/>\ninclusiv cu acest bloc pe care nu \u00eel vor mai avea sub tutela<br \/>\nproprie. \u0218i asta va \u00eensemna c\u0103 rela\u021biile multilaterale se<br \/>\ndezvolt\u0103, inclusiv rela\u021bia cu China\u201d, mai afirm\u0103 Sergiu Mi\u0219coiu.<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\tCe concesii \u00ee\u0219i fac SUA \u0219i China pe pielea Taiwanului<\/p>\n<p>\u00cens\u0103 \u0219i rela\u021biile dintre SUA \u0219i China devin aparent tot mai complicate. \u00cen opinia expertului, Statele Unite ale Americii nu \u00ee\u0219i permit s\u0103 abandoneze<br \/>\nTaiwan, \u00een pofida solicit\u0103rilor tot mai insistente f\u0103cute de Xi<br \/>\nJinping. De altfel, subiectul a fost \u00eendelung discutat de Donald<br \/>\nTrump \u0219i Xi Jinping, la summitul de la Beijing, de la mijlocul<br \/>\nacestei luni.<\/p>\n<p>Sergiu<br \/>\nMi\u0219coiu consider\u0103 c\u0103 a\u0219a cum SUA nu \u00ee\u0219i pot abandona aliatul \u00een<br \/>\nbra\u021bele Chinei, nici chinezii nu risc\u0103 un r\u0103zboi pentru cucerirea<br \/>\ninsulei pe care o consider\u0103 rebel\u0103.<\/p>\n<p>\u201eDac\u0103<br \/>\ndispare Taiwanul din axa american\u0103, dispare \u0219i capacitatea de a<br \/>\n\u00eendigui expansiunea Chinei \u00een toat\u0103 zona Asia-Pacific. \u0218i asta,<br \/>\npentru mentalul geopolitic american, reprezenta o mare \u00eenfr\u00e2ngere.<br \/>\nStatele Unite vor \u021bine cu din\u021bii la aceast\u0103 autodeterminare a<br \/>\nTaiwanului \u00een rela\u021bie cu China. Iar China \u00eencearc\u0103 s\u0103 dezvolte<br \/>\nun concept asupra reintegr\u0103rii Taiwanului care s\u0103 nu treac\u0103<br \/>\nprintr-o invazie militar\u0103 propriu-zis\u0103, care ar risca s\u0103 duc\u0103 la<br \/>\nacest conflict direct, ci s\u0103 treac\u0103 printr-o absorb\u021bie de facto\u201d,<br \/>\nspune Sergiu Mi\u0219coiu.<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t<a class=\"related-inline svelte-1t8qpgs\" data-gtrack=\"{&quot;event&quot;:&quot;utm_click&quot;,&quot;data&quot;:{&quot;event_category&quot;:&quot;article_related&quot;}}\" href=\"https:\/\/adevarul.ro\/stiri-interne\/evenimente\/ce-solutii-au-romania-si-ue-ca-sa-evite-in-ultima-2532159.html\" title=\"Alt articol de interes pentru tine\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\"><br \/>\n                    Ce solu\u021bii au Rom\u00e2nia \u0219i UE ca s\u0103 evite \u00een ultima clip\u0103 o uria\u0219\u0103 criz\u0103 economic\u0103. \u201eE o bomb\u0103 cu ceas\u201d<\/p>\n<p>                <\/a><\/p>\n<p>Astfel,<br \/>\nBeijingul ar \u00eencerca s\u0103 ac\u021bioneze \u00een privin\u021ba Taiwanului la fel<br \/>\ncum a f\u0103cut-o \u00een cazul Hong Kong. Asta \u00eenseamn\u0103 c\u0103 solu\u021bia<br \/>\ndiplomat\u0103, dublat\u0103 de alte metode hibride, ar trebui s\u0103<br \/>\nfunc\u021bioneze \u00een a\u0219a fel \u00eenc\u00e2t mai devreme sau mai t\u00e2rziu steagul<br \/>\nChinei s\u0103 fluture \u0219i la Taipei, f\u0103r\u0103 a se trage niciun foc de<br \/>\narm\u0103. \u00cen plus, Xi Jinping ar fi preg\u0103tit ca \u00een ultim\u0103 instan\u021b\u0103<br \/>\ns\u0103 vin\u0103 cu concesii pentru Washington.<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\tCum vor s\u0103 pun\u0103 m\u00e2na chinezii pe Tapiei<\/p>\n<p>\u201eChinezii<br \/>\n\u00eencearc\u0103 s\u0103 proiecteze metode pe care le-au folosit \u00een alte<br \/>\ncazuri, \u00een special \u00een ceea ce prive\u0219te Hong Kong. Sigur c\u0103 nu<br \/>\npot s\u0103 controleze Taiwanul \u00een aceea\u0219i m\u0103sur\u0103, nici de departe,<br \/>\n\u00eens\u0103 planul este acela de a integra progresiv Taiwanul \u00een China.<br \/>\nStatele Unite ar trebui s\u0103 fac\u0103 gesturi de concesie, astfel \u00eenc\u00e2t<br \/>\ns\u0103 permit\u0103 aceast\u0103 integrare de facto, din care s\u0103 ias\u0103 \u0219i<br \/>\nStatele Unite cu fa\u021ba curat\u0103, dar \u0219i China. La schimb, China este<br \/>\ndispus\u0103 s\u0103 ofere diverse concesiuni privind minerale, primind<br \/>\np\u0103m\u00e2nturi rare, alte asemenea avantaje pentru Statele Unite ale<br \/>\nAmericii\u201d, mai spune Mi\u0219coiu.<\/p>\n<p>publicitate&#8221;); background-position: center center; background-repeat: no-repeat;&#8221;&gt;<\/p>\n<p>Cu<br \/>\ntoate acestea, nici Donald Trump nu poate de unul singur s\u0103 decid\u0103<br \/>\nce concesii vor face Statele Unite Chinei.<\/p>\n<p>\u201e\u00cen<br \/>\nspatele lui Donald Trump exist\u0103 o mi\u0219care de respingere a acestei<br \/>\nidei. Lobby-ul taiwanez \u00een SUA este foarte puternic \u0219i lobby-ul<br \/>\nneoconservator american este puternic, ambele disput\u00e2nd Statele<br \/>\nUnite s\u0103 fac\u0103 acest lucru. Fiindc\u0103 sunt semne c\u0103 Statele Unite nu<br \/>\ncedeaz\u0103, exist\u0103 acest avertisment din partea Chinei, dar trebuie<br \/>\nluat ca atare \u0219i nu cred c\u0103 el va duce, cel pu\u021bin \u00een faza<br \/>\nurm\u0103toare \u2014 vorbim aici de acest an \u0219i anul viitor \u2014 la un<br \/>\nconflict direct, adic\u0103 la o \u00eencercare de invadare teritorial\u0103 a<br \/>\nTaiwanului\u201d, mai afirm\u0103 el.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Rela\u021bia Uniunii Europene cu SUA, respectiv cu China nu mai este demult o simpl\u0103 ecua\u021bie \u00een care Bruxelles-ul&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":190816,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[5],"tags":[10610,1126,2121,32,33,35044,31,125,43,36,37,27,34,35,25,41,40,38,39,4476,26,77,28,29,30],"class_list":["post-190815","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-titluri","tag-amenintari","tag-analiza","tag-beijing","tag-breaking-news","tag-breakingnews","tag-capcane","tag-cele-mai-populare-subiecte","tag-china","tag-donald-trump","tag-featured-news","tag-featurednews","tag-headlines","tag-latest-news","tag-latestnews","tag-news","tag-ro","tag-romana","tag-romania","tag-romanian","tag-sergiu-miscoiu","tag-stiri","tag-sua","tag-titluri","tag-top-stories","tag-topstories"],"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@ro\/116647271231487007","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ro\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/190815","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ro\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ro\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ro\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ro\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=190815"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ro\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/190815\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ro\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/190816"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ro\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=190815"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ro\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=190815"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ro\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=190815"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}