{"id":256756,"date":"2026-08-09T17:22:10","date_gmt":"2026-08-09T17:22:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ro\/256756\/"},"modified":"2026-08-09T17:22:10","modified_gmt":"2026-08-09T17:22:10","slug":"scenariile-unui-expert-in-energie-pentru-iarna-2026-2027-preturile-pe-piata-gazelor-vor-creste-si-vor-afecta-factura-la-curent","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ro\/256756\/","title":{"rendered":"Scenariile unui expert \u00een energie pentru iarna 2026-2027: Pre\u021burile pe pia\u0163a gazelor vor cre\u0219te \u0219i vor afecta factura la curent"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u00a0Rom\u00e2nia
\nse va confrunta \u00een sezonul rece 2026-2027 cu o situa\u0163ie mai tensionat\u0103 pe pia\u0163a
\ngazului, nu neap\u0103rat cu o criz\u0103, spune pre\u015fedintele Asocia\u0163iei Energia
\nInteligent\u0103 (AEI), Dumitru Chis\u0103li\u0163\u0103.<\/p>\n

\"Instala\u021bie <\/p>\n

Gaze FOTO: Profimedia<\/p>\n

publicitate”); background-position: center center; background-repeat: no-repeat;”><\/p>\n

\u00centrebat dac\u0103 estimeaz\u0103 o criz\u0103 a gazelor \u00een sezonul rece, Chis\u0103li\u0163\u0103 a r\u0103spuns c\u0103 nu va fi neap\u0103rat o criz\u0103, ci o situa\u0163ie mai tensionat\u0103 dec\u00e2t a fost iarna trecut\u0103, din trei „perspective”.<\/p>\n

„Prima – exist\u0103 anumite prognoze care arat\u0103 c\u0103 iarna urm\u0103toare va fi mai grea dec\u00e2t aceea din 2025 – februarie 2026. A doua problem\u0103 este tendin\u0163a evolu\u0163iei pre\u0163ului pe pie\u0163ele interna\u0163ionale, \u00een primul r\u00e2nd pe TTF (indice de referin\u0163\u0103 pentru gazele naturale – n.r.), care arat\u0103 pre\u0163uri mult mai mari dec\u00e2t \u00een iarna precedent\u0103. A treia chestiune important\u0103 este nivelul de depozitare. Nivelul gazelor \u00eenmagazinate \u00een momentul de fa\u0163\u0103 at\u00e2t \u00een lume, c\u00e2t \u015fi \u00een Europa, \u00eenseamn\u0103 o pondere mult mai mic\u0103 dec\u00e2t anii trecu\u0163i. Or, toate aceste elemente ar putea duce la o iarn\u0103 mai grea dec\u00e2t ultima, respectiv un risc mai mare \u015fi pre\u0163uri mai mari”, a explicat specialistul \u00een energie, scrie Agerpres.<\/p>\n

Pre\u015fedintele AEI se a\u015fteapt\u0103 la o cre\u015ftere a pre\u0163urilor la facturile electrice, mai ales c\u0103 furnizorii vor trimite noile oferte consumatorilor.<\/p>\n

„Anul trecut, liberalizarea pie\u0163ei de energie s-a f\u0103cut \u00een august. Majoritatea contractelor au fost pe un an. Suntem \u00een situa\u0163ia ca anumite companii de furnizare a energiei electrice s\u0103 trimit\u0103 oferte care \u0163in seama de istoricul anului respectiv. Ce am avut noi \u00een ultimele \u015fase luni? Am avut al doilea cel mai mare PZU (pia\u0163a pentru ziua urm\u0103toare – n.r.) din Europa, dup\u0103 Italia. Asta \u00eenseamn\u0103 costuri pe care companiile le-au pl\u0103tit, pentru c\u0103 acestea vin, \u00een general, cu pre\u0163uri fixe care acoper\u0103 diverse riscuri \u015fi costuri. Costurile se recupereaz\u0103 anul urm\u0103tor din ofertele-pre\u0163. A doua problem\u0103 este criza f\u0103r\u0103 precedent din sistemul energetic, care este decontat\u0103 de furnizori, urm\u00e2nd ca ace\u015ftia s\u0103-\u015fi recupereze banii din ofertele viitoare. \u00cen ultimul r\u00e2nd, astfel de situa\u0163ii determin\u0103 o abordare pruden\u0163ial\u0103 din partea companiilor, \u00een sensul c\u0103 vin cu prime de risc care acoper\u0103 eventuale situa\u0163ii similare care s-ar \u00eent\u00e2mpla anul urm\u0103tor”, a sus\u0163inut acesta.<\/p>\n

publicitate”); background-position: center center; background-repeat: no-repeat;”><\/p>\n

\u00cen opinia sa, pre\u0163urile ar putea cre\u015fte cu sume cuprinse \u00eentre 3-5% \u015fi 20%, \u00een func\u0163ie de scenariul din perioada august 2026 – iulie 2027.<\/p>\n

„O analiz\u0103 pe care am f\u0103cut-o s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2na trecut\u0103 arat\u0103 c\u0103 exist\u0103 trei scenarii probabile pentru perioada urm\u0103toare, august 2026 – iulie 2027. Cele trei scenarii iau \u00een considerare un scenariu optimist \u00een care noi previzion\u0103m o cre\u015ftere \u00een oferte a pre\u0163ului cu 3-5%. Aceast\u0103 abordare pleac\u0103 de la ceea ce s-a \u00eent\u00e2mplat \u00een primele \u015fase luni din 2026 din perspectiva evolu\u0163iei PZU, dar \u015fi o situa\u0163ie, s\u0103 zicem optimist\u0103. Adic\u0103 vom trece cu brio, nu cu foarte mari emo\u0163ii, nu cu foarte mari evolu\u0163ii \u015fi cre\u015fteri ale pre\u0163ului \u00een aceast\u0103 perioad\u0103, august, \u00een care suntem \u00een criz\u0103. Un scenariu optimist pleac\u0103 de la ideea c\u0103 vom avea o criz\u0103 de circa trei s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2ni, care va veni cu o cerere mai mare dec\u00e2t oferta, \u00eensemn\u00e2nd pre\u0163uri mari pe PZU. Asta \u00eenseamn\u0103 costuri mai mari cu echilibrarea. Estim\u0103rile noastre sunt c\u0103 \u00een cazul acestui scenariu discut\u0103m de o cre\u015ftere cu 10-15% a ofertelor pe care le avem fa\u0163\u0103 de ceea ce exist\u0103 \u00een momentul de fa\u0163\u0103 ca \u015fi pre\u0163 mediu”, a spus Chis\u0103li\u0163\u0103.<\/p>\n

Un al treilea scenariu este cel care ia \u00een considerare, at\u00e2t criza energetic\u0103 din acest moment,<\/a> dar \u015fi o situa\u0163ie \u00een care ar fi probleme \u015fi cu depozitele de gaze \u00een iarn\u0103.<\/p>\n

„Un al treilea scenariu pe care l-am analizat este cel care ia \u00een considerare, at\u00e2t criza energetic\u0103 din acest moment, o criz\u0103 care din punctul nostru de vedere \u00eenseamn\u0103<\/a> trei s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2ni cu echilibr\u0103ri la limit\u0103, pre\u0163uri mari pe energie electric\u0103 achizi\u0163ionat\u0103 din import, dar \u015fi o situa\u0163ie pu\u0163in discutat\u0103 \u015fi anume c\u0103 vom avea depozite de gaze par\u0163ial umplute. Va fi o situa\u0163ie nu foarte bun\u0103 \u00een iarna 2026-2027, cu o ofert\u0103 mai mic\u0103 pe gaze naturale \u015fi pre\u0163uri mai mari care se vor r\u0103sfr\u00e2nge inclusiv \u00een pre\u0163ul energiei electrice \u015fi care \u00eenseamn\u0103 oferte care vor fi mai mari cu 15-20% \u00een scenariul pesimist pentru perioada urm\u0103toare”, a ad\u0103ugat pre\u015fedintele Asocia\u0163iei. <\/p>\n

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