{"id":263029,"date":"2026-08-15T05:44:12","date_gmt":"2026-08-15T05:44:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ro\/263029\/"},"modified":"2026-08-15T05:44:12","modified_gmt":"2026-08-15T05:44:12","slug":"am-atins-fundul-sacului-economia-romaniei-a-inghetat-iar-revenirea-ar-putea-sosi-abia-in-2027","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ro\/263029\/","title":{"rendered":"\u201eAm atins fundul sacului\u201d. Economia Rom\u00e2niei a \u00eenghe\u021bat, iar revenirea ar putea sosi abia \u00een 2027"},"content":{"rendered":"

Economia Rom\u00e2niei a stagnat \u00een trimestrul al doilea din 2026 fa\u021b\u0103 de primele trei luni ale anului, \u00eens\u0103 a r\u0103mas pe minus \u00een raport cu aceea\u0219i perioad\u0103 din 2025. Potrivit datelor publicate vineri de Institutul Na\u021bional de Statistic\u0103 (INS), PIB-ul s-a men\u021binut nemodificat \u00een termeni reali fa\u021b\u0103 de trimestrul I, iar comparativ cu trimestrul II 2025 a sc\u0103zut cu 0,4% pe seria brut\u0103 \u0219i cu 2% pe seria ajustat\u0103 sezonier.<\/p>\n

\"Un <\/p>\n

Economia Rom\u00e2niei a sc\u0103zut fa\u021b\u0103 de trimestrul II din 2025. Foto 123 RF<\/p>\n

publicitate”); background-position: center center; background-repeat: no-repeat;”><\/p>\n

Analistul economic Adrian Negrescu consider\u0103 c\u0103 datele confirm\u0103 o perioad\u0103 de \u201e\u00eenghe\u021b\u201d economic<\/a>, marcat\u0103 de sc\u0103derea puterii de cump\u0103rare, infla\u021bie \u0219i blocaje financiare, dar subliniaz\u0103 c\u0103 economia nu a intrat \u00eentr-o c\u0103dere abrupt\u0103.<\/p>\n

\u201eStatisticile confirm\u0103 faptul c\u0103 ne afl\u0103m \u00eentr-un fel de ice age economic, o perioad\u0103 de \u00eenghe\u021b \u00een materie investi\u021bional\u0103, salariile, pensiile sunt \u00eenghe\u021bate, practic \u00eentreaga activitate economic\u0103 a paralizat \u00een ultimele luni, iar statisticile confirm\u0103 aceast\u0103 tendin\u021b\u0103\u201d, a declarat Adrian Negrescu pentru \u201eAdev\u0103rul\u201d.<\/p>\n

PIB-ul Rom\u00e2niei a stagnat \u00een trimestrul II <\/p>\n

Potrivit INS, \u00een trimestrul II 2026, produsul intern brut s-a men\u021binut la acela\u0219i nivel fa\u021b\u0103 de trimestrul anterior, dup\u0103 ajustarea sezonier\u0103.<\/p>\n

\u00cen raport cu trimestrul II 2025, PIB-ul a sc\u0103zut cu 0,4% pe seria brut\u0103 \u0219i cu 2% pe seria ajustat\u0103 sezonier.<\/p>\n

\u00cen semestrul I 2026, economia a \u00eenregistrat o sc\u0103dere de 0,8% pe seria brut\u0103 fa\u021b\u0103 de primele \u0219ase luni din 2025 \u0219i de 1,6% pe seria ajustat\u0103 sezonier.<\/p>\n

Datele INS arat\u0103 c\u0103 evolu\u021bia trimestrial\u0103 ajustat\u0103 sezonier a fost de 99,9% \u00een trimestrul I 2026 fa\u021b\u0103 de trimestrul IV 2025 \u0219i de 100% \u00een trimestrul II fa\u021b\u0103 de trimestrul I.<\/p>\n

Seria ajustat\u0103 sezonier a fost recalculat\u0103 dup\u0103 includerea estim\u0103rii pentru trimestrul II 2026. INS precizeaz\u0103 c\u0103 seriile ajustate sezonier sunt recalculate trimestrial, \u00een conformitate cu practica european\u0103.<\/p>\n

\u201eNu avem o sc\u0103dere economic\u0103 major\u0103\u201d <\/p>\n

Adrian Negrescu descrie actuala evolu\u021bie drept o \u201eaterizare lin\u0103\u201d a economiei, nu o contrac\u021bie brusc\u0103.<\/p>\n

publicitate”); background-position: center center; background-repeat: no-repeat;”><\/p>\n

\u201eInfla\u021bia, sc\u0103derea puterii de cump\u0103rare, blocajul financiar, toate aceste probleme au f\u0103cut ca economia s\u0103 aterizeze. Vestea bun\u0103 este c\u0103 aceast\u0103 aterizare nu este una brusc\u0103, nu avem o sc\u0103dere economic\u0103 major\u0103, a\u0219a cum se a\u0219teptau din p\u0103cate foarte mul\u021bi exper\u021bi\u201d, a afirmat analistul.<\/p>\n

Potrivit acestuia, adaptarea marilor companii a contribuit la temperarea efectelor negative asupra activit\u0103\u021bii economice.<\/p>\n

\u201eSuntem \u00eentr-o aterizare lin\u0103. Modul \u00een care marile companii de impact din economie \u0219i-au restructurat activitatea, \u0219i-au reorganizat gama de produse, de servicii \u0219i-au restructurat personalul, au f\u0103cut ca problemele legate de v\u00e2nz\u0103ri s\u0103 fie atenuate semnificativ\u201d, a spus Adrian Negrescu.<\/p>\n

Economia, afectat\u0103 de consum \u0219i de investi\u021bii <\/p>\n

Analistul consider\u0103 c\u0103 perioada actual\u0103 poate reprezenta \u0219i un punct de plecare pentru o schimbare a structurii economice.<\/p>\n

\u201eEu cred c\u0103 este de asemenea un moment la care putem pleca \u00een a construi o economie mult mai rezilient\u0103, care s\u0103 nu se mai bazeze at\u00e2t de mult pe consum ca p\u00e2n\u0103 acum\u201d, a declarat Negrescu.<\/p>\n

Oficial: Rom\u00e2nia a intrat \u00een recesiune. Economia a sc\u0103zut dou\u0103 trimestre la r\u00e2nd, confirm\u0103 datele INS <\/a><\/p>\n

\u00cen opinia sa, o cre\u0219tere economic\u0103 medie de 1-1,5% ar putea reprezenta un nivel realist \u00een condi\u021biile actuale, \u00een contextul \u00een care productivitatea muncii r\u0103m\u00e2ne redus\u0103, iar atractivitatea Rom\u00e2niei pentru investi\u021bii este \u00een continuare o problem\u0103.<\/p>\n

\u201eO economie care s\u0103 ia \u00een calcul o cre\u0219tere economic\u0103 medie de 1-1 \u0219i ceva la sut\u0103, nu mai mult de at\u00e2t, \u00een condi\u021biile \u00een care productivitatea muncii r\u0103m\u00e2ne sc\u0103zut\u0103, \u00een condi\u021biile \u00een care atractivitatea economic\u0103 ca mediul investi\u021bional r\u0103m\u00e2ne sub semnul \u00eentreb\u0103rii\u201d, a spus analistul.<\/p>\n

publicitate”); background-position: center center; background-repeat: no-repeat;”><\/p>\n

Investi\u021biile, am\u00e2nate pe fondul incertitudinii <\/p>\n

Negrescu compar\u0103 situa\u021bia Rom\u00e2niei cu evolu\u021biile din alte economii din regiune \u0219i indic\u0103 incertitudinile fiscale \u0219i administrative drept factori care influen\u021beaz\u0103 deciziile investitorilor.<\/p>\n

\u201eBulgaria a intrat \u00een zona euro, Polonia are o economie stabil\u0103 cu un cod fiscal b\u0103tut \u00een cuie, Ungaria a f\u0103cut pa\u0219i importan\u021bi \u00een a atrage investitori str\u0103ini\u201d, a declarat acesta.<\/p>\n

\u00cen cazul Rom\u00e2niei, spune analistul, investitorii continu\u0103 s\u0103 \u00ee\u0219i pun\u0103 \u00eentreb\u0103ri \u00een leg\u0103tur\u0103 cu fiscalitatea \u0219i deciziile administrative.<\/p>\n

\u201eNoi suntem \u00eenc\u0103 \u00een continuare \u00een zona de supravie\u021buire economic\u0103, \u00een zona \u00een care mul\u021bi dintre mari investitori de impact \u00ee\u0219i pun \u00eentreb\u0103ri legate de fiscalitate, de deciziile administrative, faptul c\u0103 nu avem un guvern, accentueaz\u0103 \u0219i mai mult aceast\u0103 politic\u0103 de am\u00e2nare a unor investi\u021bii majore \u00een economie\u201d, a afirmat Negrescu.<\/p>\n

INS a revizuit datele pentru trimestrele anterioare <\/p>\n

Odat\u0103 cu publicarea datelor pentru trimestrul II, INS a recalculat seria ajustat\u0103 sezonier \u0219i a revizuit unele dintre valorile anterioare.<\/p>\n

Evolu\u021bia trimestrului I 2026 fa\u021b\u0103 de trimestrul IV 2025 a fost revizuit\u0103 de la 100% la 99,9%. Pentru trimestrul I 2025, raportat la trimestrul IV 2024, rezultatul a fost revizuit de la 99,7% la 99,6%, iar pentru trimestrul II 2025, fa\u021b\u0103 de trimestrul I 2025, de la 100,8% la 100,9%.<\/p>\n

Scumpirile care ne a\u0219teapt\u0103: cum se traduc direct \u00een bugetul familiei noile cifre anun\u021bate de BNR privind infla\u021bia <\/a><\/p>\n

Datele pentru trimestrele III \u0219i IV 2025 au r\u0103mas nemodificate, la 100%, respectiv 98,1%.<\/p>\n

INS va publica prima variant\u0103 provizorie a PIB pentru trimestrul II 2026 la 7 septembrie 2026.<\/p>\n

publicitate”); background-position: center center; background-repeat: no-repeat;”><\/p>\n

\u201eAm atins fundul sacului\u201d <\/p>\n

\u00cen ceea ce prive\u0219te perioada urm\u0103toare, Adrian Negrescu estimeaz\u0103 c\u0103 economia ar putea alterna perioadele de cre\u0219tere cu cele de sc\u0103dere.<\/p>\n

\u201eAm atins fundul sacului, de acum \u00eencolo probabil vom \u00eenregistra mai multe perioade cu cre\u0219tere, cu descre\u0219tere economic\u0103, o evolu\u021bie economic\u0103 sub form\u0103 de din\u021bi de fier\u0103str\u0103u, cu luni mai bune, cu luni mai proaste\u201d, a declarat analistul.<\/p>\n

El estimeaz\u0103 c\u0103 Rom\u00e2nia ar putea dep\u0103\u0219i \u00een 2027 perioada de contrac\u021bie economic\u0103.<\/p>\n

\u201eCert este c\u0103 \u00een perspectiva anului 2027 e probabil ca Rom\u00e2nia s\u0103 dep\u0103\u0219easc\u0103 ideea de recesiune economic\u0103\u201d, a mai spus Adrian Negrescu.<\/p>\n

Datele publicate de INS arat\u0103, \u00een prezent, c\u0103 economia Rom\u00e2niei a \u00eencheiat primul semestru din 2026 cu o sc\u0103dere de 0,8% pe seria brut\u0103<\/a> \u0219i de 1,6% pe seria ajustat\u0103 sezonier fa\u021b\u0103 de aceea\u0219i perioad\u0103 a anului trecut, \u00een timp ce PIB-ul din trimestrul II a r\u0103mas nemodificat fa\u021b\u0103 de trimestrul anterior.<\/p>\n

publicitate”); background-position: center center; background-repeat: no-repeat;”><\/p>\n

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