{"id":27627,"date":"2025-10-25T14:28:09","date_gmt":"2025-10-25T14:28:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ro\/27627\/"},"modified":"2025-10-25T14:28:09","modified_gmt":"2025-10-25T14:28:09","slug":"incepe-sa-se-intrevada-cum-va-arata-sfarsitul-razboiului-solutiile-ucrainei-pentru-a-invinge-rusia-chiar-daca-ar-mai-pierde-teritorii","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ro\/27627\/","title":{"rendered":"\u201e\u00cencepe s\u0103 se \u00eentrevad\u0103 cum va ar\u0103ta sf\u00e2r\u0219itul r\u0103zboiului\u201d. Solu\u021biile Ucrainei pentru a \u00eenvinge Rusia, chiar dac\u0103 ar mai pierde teritorii"},"content":{"rendered":"

Soarta r\u0103zboiului din Ucraina nu a fost \u00eenc\u0103 tran\u0219at\u0103, de\u0219i Rusia continu\u0103 s\u0103 fie \u00een ofensiv\u0103 \u0219i cucere\u0219te \u00eencet teritorii. Profesorul Radu Carp explic\u0103 \u00een ce condi\u021bii ar putea ucrainenii s\u0103 reziste \u0219i chiar s\u0103 c\u00e2\u0219tige r\u0103zboiul.<\/p>\n

\t\t\t\"Solda\u021bi<\/p>\n

Solda\u021bi ucraineni pe front. FOTO: EPA EFE <\/p>\n

Ucraina
\nnu se afl\u0103 \u00een cea mai bun\u0103 situa\u021bie pe front, \u00eens\u0103 trupele
\nKievului merit\u0103 toat\u0103 aprecierea pentru felul \u00een care reu\u0219esc
\n\u00eenc\u0103 s\u0103 reziste. De\u0219i armata rus\u0103 e considerat\u0103 mult mai
\nputernic\u0103, nu a reu\u0219it s\u0103 sparg\u0103 frontul, iar ucrainenii dau
\ndovad\u0103 de eroism.\n<\/p>\n

Profesorul
\nRadu Carp \u00eentrevede finalul acestui r\u0103zboi \u0219i spune, \u00eentr-o
\npostare pe Facebook, care ar fi variantele, dar \u0219i factorii care ar
\nduce la victorie uneia sau a alteia din cele dou\u0103 beligerante. Printre ace\u0219ti factori se num\u0103r\u0103 inclusiv ultimele sanc\u021biuni impuse Rusiei de Donald Trump.\u00a0<\/a><\/p>\n

\u201e\u00cencepe
\ns\u0103 se \u00eentrevad\u0103 cum va ar\u0103ta sf\u00e2r\u0219itul r\u0103zboiului din Ucraina.
\n\u00cen stadiul actual, neafectat\u0103 de sanc\u021biuni SUA\/UE spectaculoase
\n(sanc\u021biunile SUA pot avea efect cu dou\u0103 condi\u021bii – Federa\u021bia Rus\u0103
\ns\u0103 nu interzic\u0103 exportul de uraniu \u00een SUA, iar Rosneft \u0219i Lukoil
\ns\u0103 nu decid\u0103 s\u0103 opereze f\u0103r\u0103 intermediari \u00een India \u0219i RP
\nChinez\u0103) – Federa\u021bia Rus\u0103 poate cuceri \u00eentregul Donbas \u00eentr-o
\nperioada de timp estimat\u0103 \u00eentre 12 \u0219i 18 luni\u201d, scrie
\npolitologul.<\/p>\n

Astfel,
\n\u00een opinia sa Rusia va ajunge \u00een cele din urm\u0103 s\u0103 cucereasc\u0103
\n\u00eentregul Donbas. Exist\u0103 \u00eens\u0103 \u0219i o nuan\u021b\u0103 aici pe care o
\nmen\u021bioneaz\u0103 profesorul Radu Carp.\n<\/p>\n

\u201eDar
\ndac\u0103 Ucraina scade v\u00e2rsta de mobilizare \u0219i aduce 100.000 de
\nsolda\u021bi noi pe linia frontului, cucerirea Donbas va dura 36 de luni
\n– 3 ani. Mai exist\u0103 o variant\u0103: trupe de men\u021binere a p\u0103cii
\nUE\/NATO, \u00een acela\u0219i num\u0103r de minim 100.000 – extrem de
\nimprobabil\u201d, adaug\u0103 Carp. Totu\u0219i, \u00een analiza sa el nu vorbe\u0219te
\ndespre varianta \u00een care Rusia ar fi cea care ar mai aduce trupe noi
\npe front, caz \u00een care, prin deduc\u021bie, cucerirea Donbasului ar fi
\nrealizabil\u0103 \u0219i mai repede\u201d, spune Carp.<\/p>\n

\t\t\tCum pot fi \u00eenvin\u0219i ruii<\/p>\n

\u00cen
\nce prive\u0219te economia Federa\u021biei Ruse, aceasta ar mai putea sus\u021bine
\nefortul de r\u0103zboi o bun\u0103 perioad\u0103, consider\u0103 Carp.<\/p>\n

\u201eEconomia
\nFedera\u021biei Ruse, \u00een form\u0103 actual\u0103, poate sus\u021bine efortul de
\nr\u0103zboi \u00eenc\u0103 maxim 36 de luni – 3 ani.
\nA
\nse observa c\u0103, dac\u0103 Ucraina mobilizeaz\u0103 trupe suplimentare,
\nvictoria Federa\u021biei Ruse \u00een r\u0103zboi \u00eenc\u0103 se joac\u0103, deoarece
\nepuizarea ma\u0219inii de r\u0103zboi ruse va fi \u00een acela\u0219i timp cu
\napropierea armatei ruse de grani\u021bele oblast Done\u021bk, deci Ucraina
\nare o \u0219ans\u0103 s\u0103 salveze m\u0103car ora\u0219ele – fort\u0103rea\u021b\u0103 Sloviansk
\n\u0219i Kramatorsk\u201d, mai spune el.<\/p>\n

Ucraina
\npoate ob\u021bine victoria dac\u0103 Rusia nu va cuceri \u00een termen de 3 ani
\n\u00eentregul Donbas. Exist\u0103 \u00eens\u0103 \u0219i aici mai mul\u021bi de dac\u0103,
\npornind de la decizia, dificil\u0103 de altfel, \u00een care ucrainenii ar
\nrenun\u021ba la decizia controversat\u0103 de a nu trimite pe front \u0219i
\ntinerii sub 25 de ani pe care \u00een acest moment \u00eei menajeaz\u0103.<\/p>\n

\u201eDac\u0103
\nla sf\u00e2r\u0219itul r\u0103zboiului Ucraina mai r\u0103m\u00e2ne cu o parte din
\nDonbas, poate proclama victoria – o Federa\u021bie Rus\u0103 epuizat\u0103 se va
\nretrage treptat din zonele ocupate \u00een prezent (dup\u0103 lupte aprige,
\ndar exist\u0103 o \u0219ans\u0103)\u201d, adaug\u0103 el.<\/p>\n

\t\t\t\u0218ansele Ucrainei<\/p>\n

Radu
\nCarp explic\u0103 \u00een ce condi\u021bii mai poate rezista Ucraina timp de 3
\nani, f\u0103r\u0103 s\u0103 piard\u0103 \u00eentregul Donbas. \u00cen cazul \u00een care ar reu\u0219i s\u0103 reziste \u0219i s\u0103 nu piard\u0103 \u00eentregul Donbas, ucrainenii ar putea spera s\u0103 c\u00e2\u0219tige r\u0103zboiul, chiar dac\u0103 ar mai pierde unele teritorii.<\/p>\n

\u201eCum
\npoate Ucraina s\u0103 r\u0103m\u00e2n\u0103 \u00een posesia unei p\u0103r\u021bi din Donbas la
\nsf\u00e2r\u0219itul anului 2028? – mobilizare de la v\u00e2rst\u0103 de 18 ani.
\nSanc\u021biuni de efect SUA\/UE – India \u0219i RP Chinez\u0103 sunt nevoite s\u0103
\n\u00ee\u0219i modifice sursele de aprovizionare cu petrol, activele
\nFedera\u021biei Ruse \u00eenghe\u021bate \u00een Belgia sunt date Ucrainei. A\u0219a ar
\nfi \u00een colaps economia de r\u0103zboi rus\u0103 dup\u0103 expirarea a 36 de
\nluni\u201d, puncteaz\u0103 Carp.<\/p>\n

La
\nfinal, Radu Carp explic\u0103 \u0219i \u00een ce condi\u021bii ar putea Rusia<\/a> s\u0103
\nc\u00e2\u0219tige r\u0103zboiul \u0219i care ar fi factorii determinan\u021bi aici.<\/p>\n

\u201eCum
\npoate Federa\u021bia Rus\u0103 s\u0103 c\u00e2\u0219tige r\u0103zboiul din Ucraina, \u00eensemn\u00e2nd
\ncucerirea \u00eentregului Donbas (dup\u0103 care va urm\u0103, foarte u\u0219or,
\navansul spre zona Odesa \u0219i Marea Neagr\u0103): sanc\u021biunile SUA\/UE nu
\nmai produc efecte semnificative. Pe teren \u00eentregul Donbas este
\nc\u00e2\u0219tigat \u00een maxim 18 luni. Economia de r\u0103zboi supravie\u021buie\u0219te
\n\u00eenc\u0103 18 luni prelu\u0103rii Donbas (alimentat\u0103 \u0219i de resurse din
\nteritoriile nou cucerite) \u0219i nu intr\u0103 \u00een colaps. Ucraina nu scade
\nv\u00e2rst\u0103 de mobilizare.
\nSoarta
\nr\u0103zboiului din Ucraina \u00eenc\u0103 se mai joac\u0103 \u0219i va fi a\u0219a pentru
\nurm\u0103toarele 12 luni, dup\u0103 care se va putea \u00eentrevede cine va
\n\u00eenvinge \u0219i cine va fi \u00eenvins\u201d, conchide Radu Carp.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Soarta r\u0103zboiului din Ucraina nu a fost \u00eenc\u0103 tran\u0219at\u0103, de\u0219i Rusia continu\u0103 s\u0103 fie \u00een ofensiv\u0103 \u0219i cucere\u0219te…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":27628,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[12],"tags":[32,33,31,36,37,27,74,34,35,25,12523,533,916,41,40,38,39,26,28,29,30,71,72,73],"class_list":{"0":"post-27627","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-international","8":"tag-breaking-news","9":"tag-breakingnews","10":"tag-cele-mai-populare-subiecte","11":"tag-featured-news","12":"tag-featurednews","13":"tag-headlines","14":"tag-international","15":"tag-latest-news","16":"tag-latestnews","17":"tag-news","18":"tag-radu-carp","19":"tag-razboi","20":"tag-razboi-in-ucraina","21":"tag-ro","22":"tag-romana","23":"tag-romania","24":"tag-romanian","25":"tag-stiri","26":"tag-titluri","27":"tag-top-stories","28":"tag-topstories","29":"tag-world","30":"tag-world-news","31":"tag-worldnews"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@ro\/115435281200386527","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ro\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27627","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ro\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ro\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ro\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ro\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=27627"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ro\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27627\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ro\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/27628"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ro\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=27627"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ro\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=27627"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ro\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=27627"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}