{"id":278629,"date":"2026-08-28T07:57:21","date_gmt":"2026-08-28T07:57:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ro\/278629\/"},"modified":"2026-08-28T07:57:21","modified_gmt":"2026-08-28T07:57:21","slug":"mesajele-contradictorii-despre-iran-erodeaza-credibilitatea-lui-donald-trump-analiza-efe","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ro\/278629\/","title":{"rendered":"Mesajele contradictorii despre Iran erodeaz\u0103 credibilitatea lui Donald Trump. Analiz\u0103 EFE"},"content":{"rendered":"

Dup\u0103 \u0219ase luni de conflict \u00een Iran, administra\u021bia pre\u0219edintelui american Donald Trump se confrunt\u0103 cu tot mai multe semne de \u00eentrebare legate de coeren\u021ba strategiei sale \u0219i de credibilitatea mesajelor transmise public<\/a>.<\/p>\n

\" <\/p>\n

Donald Trump \u0219i Mojtaba Khamenei Foto: X\/@IranIRGCC<\/p>\n

publicitate”); background-position: center center; background-repeat: no-repeat;”><\/p>\n

Un r\u0103zboi care, potrivit declara\u021biilor ini\u021biale, urma s\u0103 dureze doar c\u00e2teva s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2ni continu\u0103 f\u0103r\u0103 perspective clare de \u00eencheiere, \u00een timp ce promisiunile privind redeschiderea Str\u00e2mtorii Ormuz nu s-au materializat, arat\u0103 o analiz\u0103 a agen\u021biei EFE, citat\u0103 de Agerpres.<\/a><\/p>\n

Opera\u021biunea militar\u0103 \u201eEpic Fury\u201d, lansat\u0103 de Statele Unite \u0219i Israel \u00eempotriva Iranului la sf\u00e2r\u0219itul lunii februarie, a fost prezentat\u0103 succesiv de Donald Trump drept \u201eaproape finalizat\u0103\u201d, apoi o \u201evictorie total\u0103\u201d. \u00cen luna mai, liderul de la Casa Alb\u0103 informa Congresul c\u0103 ostilit\u0103\u021bile directe cu Teheranul s-au \u00eencheiat. Realitatea din teren a contrazis \u00eens\u0103 \u00een repetate r\u00e2nduri aceste evalu\u0103ri.<\/p>\n

De-a lungul conflictului, autorit\u0103\u021bile iraniene au respins de numeroase ori afirma\u021biile pre\u0219edintelui american privind un armisti\u021biu iminent. Chiar \u0219i dup\u0103 semnarea unui acord de \u00eencetare a focului, \u00een iunie, tensiunile au continuat, iar discu\u021biile privind reluarea traficului prin Str\u00e2mtoarea Ormuz au r\u0103mas blocate.<\/p>\n

Potrivit economistului Douglas A. Rediker, de la Brookings Institution, comportamentul politic al lui Trump a devenit mai vizibil \u00een contextul r\u0103zboiului. \u201eAbordarea lui Trump, tipic\u0103 artei negocierii, a fost \u00eentotdeauna predispus\u0103 la schimb\u0103ri bru\u0219te de pozi\u021bie, dar r\u0103zboiul i-a f\u0103cut inconsecven\u021bele mai evidente \u015fi credibilitatea \u015fi mai \u00eendoielnic\u0103\u201d, a declarat acesta pentru EFE.<\/p>\n

Efectul \u201eTACO\u201d \u0219i impactul asupra alia\u021bilor <\/p>\n

\u00cen mediile politice \u0219i financiare s-a r\u0103sp\u00e2ndit acronimul \u201eTACO\u201d (\u201eTrump Always Chickens Out\u201d), folosit pentru a descrie tendin\u021ba pre\u0219edintelui de a lansa amenin\u021b\u0103ri dure pe care ulterior le tempereaz\u0103 sau le abandoneaz\u0103. Dac\u0103 \u00een economie acest stil a fost adesea interpretat ca o tactic\u0103 de negociere<\/a>, \u00een politica extern\u0103 efectele sunt diferite.<\/p>\n

publicitate”); background-position: center center; background-repeat: no-repeat;”><\/p>\n

Rediker avertizeaz\u0103 c\u0103 partenerii tradi\u021bionali ai Statelor Unite ajung s\u0103 priveasc\u0103 alian\u021bele din ce \u00een ce mai mult prin prisma tranzac\u021biilor de moment, \u00een detrimentul valorilor \u0219i angajamentelor istorice care au stat la baza rela\u021biilor de securitate.<\/p>\n

La r\u00e2ndul s\u0103u, profesorul Garren Martin, de la American University, afirm\u0103 c\u0103 flexibilitatea lui Trump fa\u021b\u0103 de adev\u0103r a fost observat\u0103 \u0219i \u00een trecut \u00een dezbaterile interne, \u00eens\u0103 \u201eeste extrem de straniu s\u0103 vedem acela\u0219i tipar \u00een declara\u021biile despre purtarea unui r\u0103zboi\u201d.<\/p>\n

\u201eAdversarii au recunoscut din ce \u00een ce mai mult acest tipar\u201d,<\/p>\n

Anali\u0219tii consider\u0103 c\u0103 actorii implica\u021bi \u00een conflict acord\u0103 o importan\u021b\u0103 din ce \u00een ce mai mare reac\u021biilor oficiale de la Teheran \u0219i verific\u0103 independent evolu\u021biile din teren, \u00een loc s\u0103 se bazeze exclusiv pe declara\u021biile Casei Albe.<\/p>\n

\u201eProblema este c\u0103 adversarii, \u00een special, au recunoscut din ce \u00een ce mai mult acest tipar\u201d, spune Martin. \u00cen opinia sa, multe dintre afirma\u021biile lui Trump nu mai produc efectele de alt\u0103dat\u0103 deoarece interlocutorii s\u0103i presupun c\u0103 acestea ar putea fi schimbate rapid.<\/p>\n

Obiective schimbate pe parcursul conflictului <\/p>\n

La \u00eenceputul opera\u021biunii, administra\u021bia american\u0103 vorbea despre schimbarea regimului de la Teheran \u0219i eliminarea programului nuclear iranian. Pe m\u0103sur\u0103 ce r\u0103zboiul s-a prelungit, obiectivele oficiale s-au restr\u00e2ns la diminuarea capacit\u0103\u021bilor militare \u0219i nucleare ale Iranului.<\/p>\n

publicitate”); background-position: center center; background-repeat: no-repeat;”><\/p>\n

Chiar \u0219i a\u0219a, sus\u021bin anali\u0219tii, Iranul a reu\u0219it s\u0103 reziste presiunii militare occidentale \u0219i s\u0103 produc\u0103 pierderi semnificative alia\u021bilor Statelor Unite. Martin apreciaz\u0103 c\u0103 exist\u0103 un \u201esentiment tot mai mare\u201d c\u0103 r\u0103zboiul s-a transformat \u00eentr-o \u201efund\u0103tur\u0103\u201d politic\u0103 pentru Donald Trump.<\/p>\n

Pie\u021bele reac\u021bioneaz\u0103 tot mai pu\u021bin <\/p>\n

Un alt semn al diminu\u0103rii credibilit\u0103\u021bii este reac\u021bia pie\u021belor financiare. Dac\u0103 \u00een primele luni ale conflictului declara\u021biile pre\u0219edintelui provocau fluctua\u021bii importante ale pre\u021bului petrolului, efectul acestora s-a redus considerabil.<\/p>\n

Potrivit lui Martin, investitorii urm\u0103resc mai degrab\u0103 comportamentul companiilor de transport \u0219i al asiguratorilor dec\u00e2t promisiunile politice privind o rezolvare rapid\u0103 a conflictului.<\/p>\n

Rediker observ\u0103, la r\u00e2ndul s\u0103u, c\u0103 aten\u021bia s-a mutat c\u0103tre pie\u021bele obliga\u021biunilor, unde preocup\u0103rile legate de infla\u021bie, datorii, riscuri geopolitice \u0219i perturb\u0103rile lan\u021burilor de aprovizionare au alimentat cre\u0219terea costurilor de finan\u021bare.<\/p>\n

\u00cen concluzie, economistul avertizeaz\u0103 c\u0103 una dintre cele mai importante resurse politice este \u00een pericol: \u201eLipsa credibilit\u0103\u021bii este un dezavantaj. Credibilitatea este dificil de stabilit \u015fi u\u015for de distrus\u201d.<\/p>\n

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