![\"urss\"](\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ro\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/1762753328_806_index.jpeg\")
<\/p>\nVladimir Putin a visat s\u0103 refac\u0103 imperiul rus. A promis-o, a repetat-o obsesiv \u0219i \u0219i-a legat \u00eentreaga carier\u0103 politic\u0103 de aceast\u0103 ambi\u021bie. Dar istoria are un sim\u021b al ironiei: \u00een timp ce Kremlinul viseaz\u0103 la trecut, fostele republici sovietice s-au \u00eent\u0103rit, s-au desprins \u0219i caut\u0103 viitorul fie \u00een Vest, fie \u00een Orient.<\/p>\n
\t\t\t<\/p>\n
\t\t\t\u021a\u0103rile care au spus definitiv \u201enu\u201d Moscovei<\/p>\n
Statele baltice, Polonia, Ungaria, Cehia, Slovacia, Rom\u00e2nia \u0219i Bulgaria \u2014 toate \u0219i-au sigilat ie\u0219irea din orbita rus\u0103 prin aderarea la NATO \u0219i Uniunea European\u0103. Chiar dac\u0103 unele mai cocheteaz\u0103 cu discursuri prorus\u0326e, nimeni nu vrea s\u0103 se \u00eentoarc\u0103 sub umbrela Kremlinului.<\/p>\n
\u201eA primi gaz rusesc e una, a-\u021bi ceda suveranitatea e cu totul altceva\u201d, explic\u0103 politologul american de origine ucrainean\u0103 Alekander Motil, profesor la Universitatea Rutgers.<\/p>\n
\t\t\t\u021a\u0103rile din zona gri \u2013 pendul\u00e2nd \u00eentre Est \u0219i Vest<\/p>\n
Republica Moldova, Georgia \u0219i Armenia r\u0103m\u00e2n \u00eentr-o zon\u0103 de tranzi\u021bie. C\u00e2teodat\u0103 par prinse \u00een orbita Moscovei, alteori se apropie de Vest. Dar indiferent de zigzagurile politice, toate trei ap\u0103r\u0103 cu obstina\u021bie un lucru: independen\u021ba.<\/p>\n
Azerbaidjanul are suficien\u021bi bani \u0219i destul\u0103 autoritate pentru a-i refuza Kremlinului presiunile. \u00cen plus, sprijinul Turciei \u00eel face imun la \u0219antajul rusesc.<\/p>\n
\u00cen Asia Central\u0103, Kazahstanul \u0219i Uzbekistanul joac\u0103 abil \u00eentre Rusia \u0219i China, p\u0103str\u00e2nd un echilibru precar, dar eficient. Turkmenistanul, izolat \u0219i f\u0103r\u0103 ie\u0219ire la mare, mimeaz\u0103 neutralitatea, \u00eens\u0103 degradarea M\u0103rii Caspice ar putea tensiona \u0219i mai mult rela\u021biile cu Moscova.<\/p>\n
\t\t\tInfluen\u021ba rus\u0103 se tope\u0219te, dar China c\u00e2\u0219tig\u0103 teren<\/p>\n
Uniunea Economic\u0103 Eurasiatic\u0103, proiectul lui Putin de a uni fostele republici sovietice, a r\u0103mas o construc\u021bie anemic\u0103: doar Armenia, Belarus, Kazahstan, K\u00e2rg\u00e2zstan \u0219i Rusia mai fac parte din ea.<\/p>\n
\u00centre timp, China \u0219i-a extins discret umbrela prin Organiza\u021bia de Cooperare de la Shanghai, unde Moscova e doar un partener printre mul\u021bi al\u021bii. Pentru majoritatea statelor din Asia Central\u0103, viitorul economic se scrie deja \u00een chinez\u0103.<\/p>\n
\t\t\tBelarus \u0219i Ucraina \u2013 dou\u0103 pove\u0219ti opuse<\/p>\n
Belarusul r\u0103m\u00e2ne formal aliatul Moscovei, dar Aleksandr Luka\u0219enko joac\u0103 dublu. Oficial fidel Kremlinului, neoficial \u00eencearc\u0103 s\u0103 nu se lase t\u00e2r\u00e2t \u00een r\u0103zboiul \u00eempotriva Ucrainei.<\/p>\n
A trecut mai bine de trei ani \u0219i jum\u0103tate de la invazia rus\u0103, iar armata belarus\u0103 n-a tras un glon\u021b \u00een frontul ucrainean.<\/p>\n
\u00cen ultimele luni, dictatorul de la Minsk a f\u0103cut \u0219i gesturi \u201ecosmetice\u201d: a eliberat zeci de de\u021binu\u021bi politici \u0219i a primit semnale pozitive dinspre Washington. SUA au ridicat unele sanc\u021biuni, iar Luka\u0219enko a bifat o nou\u0103 dovad\u0103 c\u0103 \u0219tie s\u0103 supravie\u021buiasc\u0103 \u00eentre marile puteri.<\/p>\n
Ucraina, \u00een schimb, e complet pierdut\u0103 pentru Rusia.<\/p>\n
\u201ePoporul care odinioar\u0103 era divizat \u00een privin\u021ba Moscovei este ast\u0103zi unit \u00een dorin\u021ba de a-\u0219i ap\u0103ra identitatea \u0219i independen\u021ba\u201d, spune Motil.<\/p>\n
Pentru Putin, pierderea Ucrainei \u00eenseamn\u0103 pr\u0103bu\u0219irea celei mai importante \u201eperle\u201d din coroana imperial\u0103.<\/p>\n
\t\t\tImperiul care se destram\u0103<\/p>\n
De\u0219i Kremlinul continu\u0103 s\u0103 repete retorica \u201elumii ruse\u201d \u0219i a misiunii civilizatoare, momentul pentru refacerea imperiului a trecut de mult. \u00cen anii \u201990, c\u00e2nd fostele republici erau slabe, dezorganizate \u0219i vulnerabile, Rusia ar fi putut, poate, s\u0103-\u0219i reconstruiasc\u0103 sfera de influen\u021b\u0103.<\/p>\n
Dar a ratat momentul.<\/p>\n
Ast\u0103zi, statele independente sunt mai puternice, mai stabile \u0219i mai pu\u021bin dispuse s\u0103 accepte vreo form\u0103 de domina\u021bie. Iar Rusia \u00eens\u0103\u0219i e epuizat\u0103 de r\u0103zboiul din Ucraina: armata sl\u0103bit\u0103, economia pe marginea recesiunii, rubla instabil\u0103, iar izolarea diplomatic\u0103 aproape complet\u0103.<\/p>\n
\u201eDatorit\u0103 lui Putin, visele imperiale ale Rusiei mai respir\u0103, dar perspectivele imperiului sunt moarte\u201d, conchide Motil. \u201eDependen\u021ba de bun\u0103voin\u021ba Chinei \u0219i a Coreei de Nord a transformat Rusia \u00eentr-un fel de Burkina Faso cu bomb\u0103 nuclear\u0103 \u2014 capabil\u0103 s\u0103 distrug\u0103, dar incapabil\u0103 s\u0103 cucereasc\u0103.\u201d<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Vladimir Putin a visat s\u0103 refac\u0103 imperiul rus. A promis-o, a repetat-o obsesiv \u0219i \u0219i-a legat \u00eentreaga carier\u0103…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":39893,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[12],"tags":[32,33,31,36,37,27,16401,74,34,35,25,2070,287,41,40,38,39,45,26,28,29,30,1473,71,72,73],"class_list":["post-39892","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-international","tag-breaking-news","tag-breakingnews","tag-cele-mai-populare-subiecte","tag-featured-news","tag-featurednews","tag-headlines","tag-imperiu","tag-international","tag-latest-news","tag-latestnews","tag-news","tag-probleme","tag-razboi-ucraina","tag-ro","tag-romana","tag-romania","tag-romanian","tag-rusia","tag-stiri","tag-titluri","tag-top-stories","tag-topstories","tag-vladimir-putin","tag-world","tag-world-news","tag-worldnews"],"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@ro\/115523809695761298","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ro\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39892","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ro\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ro\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ro\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ro\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=39892"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ro\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39892\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ro\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/39893"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ro\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=39892"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ro\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=39892"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ro\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=39892"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}