![\"Enclava](\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ro\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/1766791870_423_index.jpeg\")
<\/p>\nRusia ar putea recurge la o form\u0103 de escaladare hibrid\u0103 pe flancul estic al NATO \u00eenc\u0103 din 2026, potrivit analistului de securitate Taras Jovtenko. Expertul afirm\u0103 c\u0103 Moscova nu ar preg\u0103ti o invazie conven\u021bional\u0103, ci mai degrab\u0103 o ac\u021biune limitat\u0103, menit\u0103 s\u0103 testeze coeziunea Alian\u021bei.<\/p>\n
\t\t\t<\/p>\n
Enclava Kaliningrad\/FOTO:X<\/p>\n
\u00centr-un astfel de scenariu, opera\u021biunea nu ar sem\u0103na cu un r\u0103zboi pe scar\u0103 larg\u0103, dar ar fi suficient\u0103 pentru a crea presiune politic\u0103 \u0219i militar\u0103 major\u0103 asupra statelor membre NATO, spune Jovtenko, citat de Euromaidan Press.<\/p>\n
\u00cen 2025, \u0219eful Serviciului rus de Informa\u021bii Externe, Serghei Nar\u00ee\u0219kin, declara c\u0103 Polonia \u0219i statele baltice ar fi primele afectate \u00een cazul unui conflict \u00eentre Rusia \u0219i NATO, afirma\u021bie care a atras aten\u021bia anali\u0219tilor occidentali.<\/p>\n
\t\t\tCoridorul Suwa\u0142ki, un punct strategic sensibil<\/p>\n
Potrivit expertului, cea mai probabil\u0103 direc\u021bie a unei astfel de ac\u021biuni ar fi Coridorul Suwa\u0142ki, f\u00e2\u0219ia de teritoriu dintre Polonia \u0219i Lituania care leag\u0103 statele baltice de restul Alian\u021bei \u0219i separ\u0103 enclava rus\u0103 Kaliningrad de Belarus.<\/p>\n
Jovtenko subliniaz\u0103 c\u0103 un astfel de plan nu ar presupune:<\/p>\n
-ocuparea pe termen lung a teritoriilor polonez sau lituanian;<\/p>\n
-instituirea temporar\u0103 a unor puncte de control \u0219i preluarea controlului asupra unor rute-cheie;<\/p>\n
-scopul principal fiind demonstrarea for\u021bei \u0219i exercitarea de presiune asupra NATO.<\/p>\n
Ca justificare oficial\u0103, Kremlinul ar putea invoca presupuse amenin\u021b\u0103ri la adresa accesului c\u0103tre Kaliningrad, o tem\u0103 promovat\u0103 tot mai insistent de propaganda rus\u0103 \u00een ultimii ani.<\/p>\n
\t\t\tKaliningrad, pretextul deja preg\u0103tit<\/p>\n
Analistul sus\u021bine c\u0103 terenul informa\u021bional pentru un astfel de scenariu este deja preg\u0103tit. Pre\u0219edintele rus Vladimir Putin a afirmat \u00een repetate r\u00e2nduri c\u0103 un eventual \u201eblocaj\u201d al regiunii Kaliningrad ar echivala cu declan\u0219area unui r\u0103zboi major \u00een Europa.<\/p>\n
\u201e\u00cen realitate, ru\u0219ii au deja un pretext gata preg\u0103tit. Ar putea folosi Belarusul pentru a sus\u021bine c\u0103 o blocad\u0103 a Kaliningradului era iminent\u0103, indic\u00e2nd mai multe direc\u021bii presupus amenin\u021b\u0103toare\u201d, a declarat Jovtenko.<\/p>\n
Potrivit acestuia, Kaliningrad ar fi prezentat drept principalul punct vulnerabil, \u00een jurul c\u0103ruia ar fi construit\u0103 nara\u021biunea justificativ\u0103.<\/p>\n
\t\t\tTemeri mai largi privind obiectivele Rusiei<\/p>\n
Evaluarea expertului vine \u00een contextul unor informa\u021bii furnizate anterior de surse apropiate serviciilor de informa\u021bii americane, care afirm\u0103 c\u0103 pre\u0219edintele Vladimir Putin ar urm\u0103ri nu doar controlul total asupra Ucrainei, ci \u0219i restabilirea influen\u021bei asupra unor p\u0103r\u021bi din Europa Central\u0103 \u0219i de Est.<\/p>\n
Acestea ar include statele baltice \u2014 Estonia, Letonia \u0219i Lituania \u2014 precum \u0219i Polonia \u0219i alte \u021b\u0103ri care au f\u0103cut parte, \u00een trecut, din sfera de influen\u021b\u0103 sovietic\u0103.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Rusia ar putea recurge la o form\u0103 de escaladare hibrid\u0103 pe flancul estic al NATO \u00eenc\u0103 din 2026,…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":75416,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[12],"tags":[32,33,31,36,37,27,74,5260,34,35,44,25,6564,41,40,38,39,45,26,28,29,30,71,72,73],"class_list":{"0":"post-75415","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-international","8":"tag-breaking-news","9":"tag-breakingnews","10":"tag-cele-mai-populare-subiecte","11":"tag-featured-news","12":"tag-featurednews","13":"tag-headlines","14":"tag-international","15":"tag-kaliningrad","16":"tag-latest-news","17":"tag-latestnews","18":"tag-nato","19":"tag-news","20":"tag-provocari","21":"tag-ro","22":"tag-romana","23":"tag-romania","24":"tag-romanian","25":"tag-rusia","26":"tag-stiri","27":"tag-titluri","28":"tag-top-stories","29":"tag-topstories","30":"tag-world","31":"tag-world-news","32":"tag-worldnews"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@ro\/115788479533923766","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ro\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/75415","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ro\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ro\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ro\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ro\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=75415"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ro\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/75415\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ro\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/75416"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ro\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=75415"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ro\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=75415"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ro\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=75415"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}