{"id":108583,"date":"2025-12-17T07:55:42","date_gmt":"2025-12-17T07:55:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/se\/108583\/"},"modified":"2025-12-17T07:55:42","modified_gmt":"2025-12-17T07:55:42","slug":"tillvaxten-vander-uppat-men-fortsatt-hog-arbetsloshet","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/se\/108583\/","title":{"rendered":"Tillv\u00e4xten v\u00e4nder upp\u00e5t men fortsatt h\u00f6g arbetsl\u00f6shet"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Nyhet17 december 2025<\/p>\n<p class=\"Text_sn_leadText__9Ju4K\">Efter en utdragen l\u00e5gkonjunktur \u00f6kar tillv\u00e4xten igen, visar Svenskt N\u00e4ringslivs konjunkturrapport. \u201dDet \u00e4r gl\u00e4djande att den utdragna l\u00e5gkonjunkturen nu tycks v\u00e4nda. Men det viktiga \u00e4r en l\u00e5ngsiktigt h\u00f6jd tillv\u00e4xtniv\u00e5\u201d, s\u00e4ger Sven Olov Daunfeldt, chefsekonom.<\/p>\n<p><img alt=\"Sven-Olov Daunfeldt, chefsekonom. \" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"7963\" height=\"4479\" decoding=\"async\" data-nimg=\"1\" style=\"color:transparent\"   src=\"\/_next\/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.svensktnaringsliv.se%2Fbilder_och_dokument%2Fmedarbetare-bilder%2Fne899u_sven-olov-daunfeldtjpg_1203417.html%2Falternates%2FLANDSCAPE_PH%2FSven-Olov%2520Daunfeldt.jpg&amp;w=3840&amp;q=75\"\/>Sven Olov Daunfeldt, chefsekonom. Foto: Kate Gabor <\/p>\n<p>F\u00f6r f\u00f6rsta g\u00e5ngen sedan andra kvartalet 2022 \u00e4r f\u00f6retagens framtida f\u00f6rv\u00e4ntningar h\u00f6gre \u00e4n normalt f\u00f6r f\u00f6rs\u00e4ljning, antalet anst\u00e4llda och investeringar. Framf\u00f6r allt \u00e4r det en \u00e5terh\u00e4mtning i hush\u00e5llens konsumtion som driver uppg\u00e5ngen, men \u00e4ven \u00f6kad export bidrar. Tillv\u00e4xten f\u00f6rv\u00e4ntas uppg\u00e5 till 1,6 procent 2025, 3,5 procent 2026 och 2,6 procent 2027. <\/p>\n<p><img alt=\"Omslagsbild - Rapport\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"74\" height=\"105\" decoding=\"async\" data-nimg=\"1\" class=\"ReportRelation_image__3wL5I\" style=\"color:transparent\"   src=\"\/_next\/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.svensktnaringsliv.se%2Fbilder_och_dokument%2Frapporter%2Fkkahfl_konjunkturrapport_december_2025_webbpng_1245249.html%2Falternates%2FFREEFORM_PH%2FKonjunkturrapport_december_2025_webb.png&amp;w=3840&amp;q=75\"\/><\/p>\n<p>\u2013 Efter flera tuffa \u00e5r f\u00f6r hush\u00e5llen har nu f\u00f6rv\u00e4ntningarna om framtiden f\u00f6rb\u00e4ttrats. Inflationen har fallit och finanspolitiken \u00e4r expansiv. Detta borgar f\u00f6r en uppg\u00e5ng i den privata konsumtionen. Men hush\u00e5llens f\u00f6rsiktighetssparande \u00e4r en risk i sammanhanget, s\u00e4ger Sven Olov Daunfeldt, chefsekonom. <\/p>\n<p>\u00c4nnu syns inte konjunkturuppg\u00e5ngen i f\u00f6retagens l\u00f6nsamhet. I nul\u00e4get \u00e4r det fortfarande fler f\u00f6retag som uppger en f\u00f6rs\u00e4mrad l\u00f6nsamhet \u00e4n en f\u00f6rb\u00e4ttrad. L\u00f6nsamhet m\u00e4tt som r\u00f6relsemarginal \u00e4r den l\u00e4gsta sedan 2013. Den l\u00e5ngdragna l\u00e5gkonjunkturen tillsammans med strukturella problem p\u00e5 arbetsmarknaden g\u00f6r att arbetsl\u00f6sheten \u00e4r h\u00f6g och faller ned till fortfarande h\u00f6ga 7,7 procent 2027. <\/p>\n<p>\u2013 Svensk arbetsmarknad har stora utmaningar. Vi har stora strukturella problem som g\u00f6r att en konjunkturuppg\u00e5ng inte r\u00e4cker f\u00f6r att bryta h\u00f6g arbetsl\u00f6shet eller utanf\u00f6rskap. H\u00e4r kr\u00e4vs strukturreformer, s\u00e4ger Daunfeldt.<\/p>\n<p>En bransch som har det mycket tufft \u00e4r byggbranschen. Kombinationen av kraftigt stigande byggkostnader och l\u00e4gre bostadspriser g\u00f6r att f\u00f6retag inte f\u00e5r ihop sina kalkyler. Om det inte blir l\u00e4ttare och billigare att bygga skulle det kr\u00e4vas en prisuppg\u00e5ng p\u00e5 bost\u00e4der om 40 procent f\u00f6r att bostadsbyggandet skulle n\u00e5 samma niv\u00e5 som innan inflationen tog fart. Bostadsbyggandet f\u00f6rblir p\u00e5 l\u00e5ga niv\u00e5er.<\/p>\n<p>\u2013 Det \u00e4r gl\u00e4djande att den utdragna l\u00e5gkonjunkturen nu tycks v\u00e4nda. Men det viktiga \u00e4r en l\u00e5ngsiktigt h\u00f6jd tillv\u00e4xtniv\u00e5. F\u00f6r att n\u00e5 Svenskt N\u00e4ringslivs tillv\u00e4xtm\u00e5l om 2,5 procent kr\u00e4vs omfattande reformer, avslutar Sven Olov Daunfeldt.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Nyhet17 december 2025 Efter en utdragen l\u00e5gkonjunktur \u00f6kar tillv\u00e4xten igen, visar Svenskt N\u00e4ringslivs konjunkturrapport. \u201dDet \u00e4r gl\u00e4djande att&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":108584,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[22,23,26,27,17,21,24,25,28,29,15,16,18,34,31,33,32,30,19,20],"class_list":{"0":"post-108583","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-rubriker","8":"tag-breaking-news","9":"tag-breakingnews","10":"tag-featured-news","11":"tag-featurednews","12":"tag-headlines","13":"tag-huvudnyheter","14":"tag-latest-news","15":"tag-latestnews","16":"tag-main-news","17":"tag-mainnews","18":"tag-news","19":"tag-nyheter","20":"tag-rubriker","21":"tag-se","22":"tag-svenska","23":"tag-sverige","24":"tag-sweden","25":"tag-swedish","26":"tag-top-stories","27":"tag-topstories"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@se\/115733838297122513","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/se\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/108583","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/se\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/se\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/se\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/se\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=108583"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/se\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/108583\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/se\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/108584"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/se\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=108583"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/se\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=108583"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/se\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=108583"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}