{"id":119610,"date":"2025-12-29T11:10:07","date_gmt":"2025-12-29T11:10:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/se\/119610\/"},"modified":"2025-12-29T11:10:07","modified_gmt":"2025-12-29T11:10:07","slug":"olof-manner-sverige-gar-in-i-2026-med-medvind","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/se\/119610\/","title":{"rendered":"Olof Manner: Sverige g\u00e5r in i 2026 med medvind"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Optimism p\u00e5 hemmaplan<\/p>\n<p class=\"font-sans text-base text-text-main dark:text-text-main-dark font-normal leading-[1.4]\">Trump gav f\u00f6rhandlingarna med\u00a0<strong>Xi Jinping<\/strong>\u00a0en tolva p\u00e5 en tiogradig skala. Tveksamt om Kina h\u00e5ller med. De har fortfarande h\u00f6ga tullsatser fr\u00e5n USA. Det har lett till att de redan omdirigerat sin export; mindre till USA, mer till EU och ASEAN-l\u00e4nderna.<\/p>\n<p class=\"font-sans text-base text-text-main dark:text-text-main-dark font-normal leading-[1.4]\">F\u00f6r europeisk del inneb\u00e4r det \u00e4nnu tuffare konkurrens fr\u00e5n kinesiska producenter inom fler omr\u00e5den. Men de st\u00f6rsta riskerna \u00e4r kanske intrakontinentala? Energikostnaderna \u00e4r generellt h\u00f6gre i EU, regelverken omst\u00e4ndligare och utvecklingen inom viktiga omr\u00e5den (bland annat inom AI och milj\u00f6teknik) \u00e4r eftersatt.<\/p>\n<p class=\"font-sans text-base text-text-main dark:text-text-main-dark font-normal leading-[1.4]\">Stora delar av europeisk industriproduktion upplevs ha fel komposition och f\u00f6r\u00e5ldrad teknik. Kanske \u00e4r detta tydligast inom personbilsindustrin i Tyskland. Jag har lite samma k\u00e4nsla f\u00f6r den som jag hade f\u00f6r varvsindustrin i G\u00f6teborg p\u00e5 70-talet n\u00e4r billigare, och b\u00e4ttre, koreanska fartyg b\u00f6rjade dyka upp p\u00e5 v\u00e4rldshaven.<\/p>\n<p class=\"font-sans text-base text-text-main dark:text-text-main-dark font-normal leading-[1.4]\">Men i allt detta finns ocks\u00e5 ett fj\u00e4rde O, i alla fall p\u00e5 hemmaplan; optimism.<\/p>\n<p class=\"font-sans text-base text-text-main dark:text-text-main-dark font-normal leading-[1.4]\">\u00c5ret som g\u00e5tt tycker jag har utvecklats mer positivt \u00e4n vad jag hade v\u00e5gat tro i april n\u00e4r Trump stod och viftade med sina hoprafsade plakat om tullar. Och detta fr\u00e5n ett ekonomiskt perspektiv. Fr\u00e5n ett m\u00e4nskligt och klimatm\u00e4ssigt perspektiv saknas det dock inte tragedier. De l\u00e5ngsiktiga utmaningarna vad g\u00e4ller humanit\u00e4ra katastrofer, klimat och EU:s konkurrensf\u00f6rm\u00e5ga best\u00e5r.<\/p>\n<p class=\"font-sans text-base text-text-main dark:text-text-main-dark font-normal leading-[1.4]\">Men f\u00f6r oss i Sverige kommer 2026 bli ett b\u00e4ttre ekonomiskt \u00e5r \u00e4n det som gick. Inte illa! Och med hopp om en mer ansvarstagande v\u00e4rld \u00f6nskar jag er alla ett Gott Nytt \u00c5r.<\/p>\n<p class=\"font-sans text-base text-text-main dark:text-text-main-dark font-normal leading-[1.4]\">Olof Manner \u00e4r senior r\u00e5dgivare vid Swedbank och makroekonom.<\/p>\n<p class=\"font-sans text-base text-text-main dark:text-text-main-dark font-normal leading-[1.4]\">Detta \u00e4r en kr\u00f6nika fr\u00e5n en frist\u00e5ende kolumnist. Analys och st\u00e4llningstagande \u00e4r skribentens.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Optimism p\u00e5 hemmaplan Trump gav f\u00f6rhandlingarna med\u00a0Xi Jinping\u00a0en tolva p\u00e5 en tiogradig skala. Tveksamt om Kina h\u00e5ller med.&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":119611,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[65],"tags":[72,70,71,1725,2520,328,549,3051,2354,6042,3409,12768,34,31,33,32,30,74],"class_list":{"0":"post-119610","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-ekonomi","8":"tag-business","9":"tag-economy","10":"tag-ekonomi","11":"tag-federal-reserve","12":"tag-handelskrig","13":"tag-inflation","14":"tag-kina","15":"tag-krig","16":"tag-makro","17":"tag-ranta","18":"tag-regeringen","19":"tag-riksdagsvalet-2026","20":"tag-se","21":"tag-svenska","22":"tag-sverige","23":"tag-sweden","24":"tag-swedish","25":"tag-usa"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@se\/115802552623322981","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/se\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/119610","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/se\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/se\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/se\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/se\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=119610"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/se\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/119610\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/se\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/119611"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/se\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=119610"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/se\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=119610"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/se\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=119610"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}