{"id":198430,"date":"2026-03-23T18:20:08","date_gmt":"2026-03-23T18:20:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/se\/198430\/"},"modified":"2026-03-23T18:20:08","modified_gmt":"2026-03-23T18:20:08","slug":"tron-pa-vapenvila-stiger-prognossajt-tippar-50-50","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/se\/198430\/","title":{"rendered":"Tron p\u00e5 vapenvila stiger \u2013 prognossajt tippar 50-50"},"content":{"rendered":"

Sannolikheten f\u00f6r en vapenvila med Iran f\u00f6re 30 april har stigit och passerat 50 procent under eftermiddagen p\u00e5 den omtvistade vadslagningsmarknaden Polymarket, skriver finanssajten Seeking Alpha. Vid 17-tiden l\u00e5g siffran \u00e5ter p\u00e5 50 procent.<\/p>\n

Sannolikheten \u00e4r 61 procent f\u00f6re juni, 66 procent f\u00f6re juli och 76 procent f\u00f6re december.<\/p>\n

Enligt sajten definierar marknaden en vapenvila som ett offentligt, \u00f6msesidigt avtal om att upph\u00f6ra med milit\u00e4ra stridigheter. Informella kontakter eller ensidiga pauser r\u00e4knas inte. F\u00f6r\u00e4ndringen kommer efter Donald Trumps besked om att pausa attacker i fem dagar.<\/p>\n

Tidigare har kontraktet f\u00f6r vapenvila f\u00f6re maj pendlat mellan 30 och 40 procent.<\/p>\n

Omni \u00e4r politiskt obundna och oberoende. Vi str\u00e4var efter att ge fler perspektiv p\u00e5 nyheterna. Har du fr\u00e5gor eller synpunkter kring v\u00e5r rapportering? Kontakta redaktionen<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Sannolikheten f\u00f6r en vapenvila med Iran f\u00f6re 30 april har stigit och passerat 50 procent under eftermiddagen p\u00e5…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":198431,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[65],"tags":[387,72,385,70,71,1530,125,268,16538,34,31,33,32,30,74],"class_list":["post-198430","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-ekonomi","tag-amerikansk-politik","tag-business","tag-donald-trump","tag-economy","tag-ekonomi","tag-iran","tag-mellanosternkrisen","tag-nordamerika","tag-polymarket","tag-se","tag-svenska","tag-sverige","tag-sweden","tag-swedish","tag-usa"],"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@se\/116279877747215504","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/se\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/198430","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/se\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/se\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/se\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/se\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=198430"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/se\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/198430\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/se\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/198431"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/se\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=198430"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/se\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=198430"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/se\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=198430"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}