Kina<\/a> om tv\u00e5 veckor och tr\u00e4ffa landets president Xi Jinping. Men Trump \u201dg\u00f6r det inte enkelt f\u00f6r Xi\u201d, enligt van Leeuwen.<\/p>\nF\u00f6rst \u201dstrypte\u201d han den halva miljonen fat olja som Kina k\u00f6pte fr\u00e5n Venezuela varje dag. Nu har hans krig mot Iran, som lett till st\u00e4ngningen av Hormuzsundet , \u201dkapat ytterligare 40 procent\u201d av Kinas r\u00e5oljetillg\u00e5ng.<\/p>\n
\u201dOm konflikten drar ut p\u00e5 tiden och Hormuzsundet f\u00f6rblir st\u00e4ngt kan Kina b\u00f6rja k\u00e4nna av det. En global avmattning eller recession skulle kunna minska efterfr\u00e5gan p\u00e5 dess export, som n\u00e4stan ensamt har st\u00f6ttat den kinesiska ekonomin \u00e4nda sedan landets fastighetskrasch 2021. Och om det h\u00e4nder kan Xi f\u00e5 sv\u00e5rt att h\u00e5lla locket p\u00e5 tre tickande bomber som g\u00f6mmer sig under Kinas ekonomi\u201d, skriver van Leeuwen.<\/p>\n
\u201dKan ha utl\u00f6st snubbeltr\u00e5den\u201d<\/p>\n
De tre \u201dtickande bomberna\u201d \u00e4r landets beroende av \u201d\u00f6verdimensionerade\u201d fabriker som producerar export, dess \u201dv\u00e4xande\u201d budgetskulder och dess \u201dalarmerande\u201d krympande befolkning. Det g\u00f6r att Kina hotas av en \u201dekonomisk chock\u201d.<\/p>\n
\u201dOavsett vad Trumps avsikter med kriget var s\u00e5 kan han ha utl\u00f6st snubbeltr\u00e5den som kommer att spr\u00e4nga Kinas \u00e5rtionden l\u00e5nga tillv\u00e4xtmirakel\u201d, skriver van Leeuwen.<\/p>\n
Befolkningsminskningen kommer att f\u00f6rv\u00e4rra problemet med inhemsk underkonsumtion.<\/p>\n
\u2013 Det kommer att utg\u00f6ra en massiv motvind f\u00f6r Kinas ekonomi, s\u00e4ger Leah Fahy, Kinaanalytiker p\u00e5 Capital Economics.<\/p>\n
\u201dBlir dess underg\u00e5ng\u201d<\/p>\n
Charles Austin Jordan fr\u00e5n konsultf\u00f6retaget Rhodium Group menar att \u201dstressen f\u00f6rdjupas\u201d kring Kinas ekonomiska situation:<\/p>\n
\u2013 Det h\u00e4r \u00e4r hur finanspolitiskt och finansiellt f\u00f6rfall ser ut.<\/p>\n
Jordan tror att \u201dXi-regimens medf\u00f6dda r\u00e4dsla f\u00f6r att f\u00f6rlora kontrollen kommer att bli dess underg\u00e5ng\u201d.<\/p>\n
\u201dFr\u00e5gan \u00e4r om Kina har byggt en ekonomisk modell som kan h\u00e5lla landet konkurrenskraftigt. Trumps krig i Iran, om det varar l\u00e5ngt in p\u00e5 \u00e5ret, kan tvinga fram ett svar p\u00e5 det\u201d, skriver van Leeuwen.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Uppdaterad 4 maj 2026 kl 06.04Publicerad 4 maj 2026 kl 01.13 USA:s president Donald Trump kan ha \u201davslutat…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":236087,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[14],"tags":[22,23,26,27,17,21,24,25,972,28,29,15,16,198,2157,18,34,55,31,33,32,30,19,18138,20,51,52,53,54],"class_list":{"0":"post-236086","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-varlden","8":"tag-breaking-news","9":"tag-breakingnews","10":"tag-featured-news","11":"tag-featurednews","12":"tag-headlines","13":"tag-huvudnyheter","14":"tag-latest-news","15":"tag-latestnews","16":"tag-location-kina","17":"tag-main-news","18":"tag-mainnews","19":"tag-news","20":"tag-nyheter","21":"tag-person-donald-trump","22":"tag-person-xi-jinping","23":"tag-rubriker","24":"tag-se","25":"tag-sections-varlden","26":"tag-svenska","27":"tag-sverige","28":"tag-sweden","29":"tag-swedish","30":"tag-top-stories","31":"tag-topic-ekonomi","32":"tag-topstories","33":"tag-varlden","34":"tag-world","35":"tag-world-news","36":"tag-worldnews"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@se\/116514635505030655","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/se\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/236086","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/se\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/se\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/se\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/se\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=236086"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/se\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/236086\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/se\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/236087"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/se\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=236086"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/se\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=236086"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/se\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=236086"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}