{"id":336294,"date":"2026-08-12T18:25:39","date_gmt":"2026-08-12T18:25:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/se\/336294\/"},"modified":"2026-08-12T18:25:39","modified_gmt":"2026-08-12T18:25:39","slug":"valjarbarometer-augusti-2026-demoskop","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/se\/336294\/","title":{"rendered":"V\u00e4ljarbarometer augusti 2026 &#8211; Demoskop"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Under sommaren har den politiska h\u00e4ndelseutvecklingen varit relativt stilla i Sverige. Trots detta ser vi nu en tydlig minskning av avst\u00e5ndet mellan de tv\u00e5 politiska blocken.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"576\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/Bild1-1024x576.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-34415\" style=\"width:840px\"  \/><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"576\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/Bild2-1024x576.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-34416\" style=\"width:840px;height:auto\"  \/><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Blockdifferensen minskar i augusti till relativt l\u00e5ga 3,7 procentenheter, vilket \u00e4r den minsta skillnaden sedan h\u00f6sten 2023. S\u00e5 sent som i mars 2026 var dock skillnaden p\u00e5 ungef\u00e4r samma niv\u00e5 (4,4 procentenheter). Dock ligger Liberalerna fortfarande klart under riksdagssp\u00e4rren vilket g\u00f6r att blockdifferensen om detta vore ett valresultat skulle bli betydligt st\u00f6rre till oppositionens f\u00f6rdel.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Generellt ser vi att S, V och MP alla tre minskar n\u00e5got, medan C g\u00e5r fram\u00e5t. Var och en f\u00f6r sig \u00e4r dessa f\u00f6r\u00e4ndringar dock relativt sm\u00e5, omkring en procentenhet, men som block betraktat backar oppositionen 2 procentenheter, medan tid\u00f6partierna g\u00e5r fram n\u00e4stan lika mycket. P\u00e5 tid\u00f6sidan \u00e4r det fr\u00e4mst KD och SD som g\u00e5r n\u00e5got fram\u00e5t.<\/p>\n<p>Sammanfattning<\/p>\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Blockdifferensen minskar tydligt under sommaren och ligger nu p\u00e5 3,7 procentenheter.<\/li>\n<li>KD n\u00e5r med 7,5% av v\u00e4ljark\u00e5ren sin h\u00f6gsta siffra p\u00e5 sex \u00e5r. Detta blir tredje m\u00e5naden i rad som KD g\u00e5r fram\u00e5t.<\/li>\n<li>MP backar n\u00e5got f\u00f6r andra m\u00e5naden i rad och \u00e4r nu tillbaka ungef\u00e4r till sitt genomsnitt f\u00f6r det senaste \u00e5ret.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"576\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/Bild3-1024x576.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-34417\" style=\"width:840px;height:auto\"  \/><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"576\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/Bild4-1024x576.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-34418\" style=\"width:840px;height:auto\"  \/><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"576\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/Bild5-1024x576.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-34419\" style=\"width:840px;height:auto\"  \/><\/p>\n<p><a\/><a><strong>Om unders\u00f6kningen<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Unders\u00f6kningen \u00e4r gjord av Demoskop p\u00e5 uppdrag av Aftonbladet och Svenska Dagbladet inom ramen f\u00f6r Iniziopanelen som speglar svenska folket. M\u00e5lgruppen \u00e4r allm\u00e4nheten 18 \u00e5r och upp\u00e5t. Unders\u00f6kningen omfattar 2 016 intervjuer under perioden 29 juli till 10 augusti 2026,\u00a0och \u00e4r genomf\u00f6rd som en webbunders\u00f6kning.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Fr\u00e5gan som st\u00e4lldes var: \u201cVilket parti skulle du r\u00f6sta p\u00e5 om det var riksdagsval idag?\u201d Fr\u00e5gan om partisympati kompletteras med ytterligare upp till tv\u00e5 fr\u00e5gor f\u00f6r de som \u00e4r os\u00e4kra p\u00e5 sitt partival samt med en \u00f6ppen fr\u00e5ga d\u00e4r respondenten med egna ord f\u00f6r beskriva hur de resonerar kring partivalet. Urvalet \u00e4r pre-stratifierat och v\u00e4gt p\u00e5 \u00e5lder, k\u00f6n, region och parti i f\u00f6reg\u00e5ende val.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">F\u00f6r att ett parti ska redovisas under eget namn ska partiet f\u00e5 minst 1,5 procent i tre p\u00e5 varandra f\u00f6ljande m\u00e4tningar eller f\u00e5 minst 3,5 procent i en enskild m\u00e4tning. F\u00f6r partier som finns representerade i riksdagen sker redovisning av partiets st\u00f6d oavsett storlek i m\u00e4tningen.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Demoskop redovisar inte felmarginaler f\u00f6r sin m\u00e5nadsvisa v\u00e4ljarbarometer d\u00e5 den inte baseras p\u00e5 ett renodlat slumpm\u00e4ssigt befolkningsurval. F\u00f6r att kunna f\u00f6rst\u00e5 f\u00f6r\u00e4ndringar i opinionen j\u00e4mf\u00f6rs resultatet med f\u00f6reg\u00e5ende m\u00e4tningar och med hur stora f\u00f6r\u00e4ndringar som statistiskt sett \u00e4r vanliga. T\u00e4nk p\u00e5 att stickprovsunders\u00f6kningar \u00e4r alltid f\u00f6rknippade med os\u00e4kerhet. <a href=\"https:\/\/demoskop.se\/publications\/om-felmarginaler-och-osakerhet-i-undersokningar\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">L\u00e4s mer om hur vi t\u00e4nker h\u00e4r.<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">V\u00e4ljarbarometern publiceras i <a href=\"https:\/\/www.aftonbladet.se\/nyheter\/a\/0pgLJJ\/tido-knappar-in-i-valspurten-enligt-ny-matning-fran-demoskop\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">Aftonbladet <\/a>och i <a href=\"https:\/\/www.svd.se\/a\/PdaPJz\/ny-matning-oppositionens-forsprang-pa-tidopartierna-halverat-under-sommaren\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">Svenska Dagbladet<\/a>. Se \u00e4ven Aftonbladets grafik f\u00f6r den senaste opinionsm\u00e4tningen <a type=\"link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.aftonbladet.se\/nyheter\/a\/34VGk9\/grafik-senaste-opinionssiffrorna\" id=\"https:\/\/www.aftonbladet.se\/nyheter\/a\/34VGk9\/grafik-senaste-opinionssiffrorna\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">h\u00e4r<\/a>. Fr\u00e5gor om unders\u00f6kningen besvaras av Johan Martinsson (<a href=\"https:\/\/demoskop.se\/valjarbarometer-augusti-2026-2\/mailto:johan.martinsson@demoskop.se\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">johan.martinsson@demoskop.se<\/a>). \u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\tJohan Martinsson<br \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t\tDirector of Public Opinion and Polling<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\tYtterligare inom: Nyhet<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t<a class=\"knapp wide\" href=\"https:\/\/demoskop.se\/category\/nyhet\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Visa alla inom: Nyhet<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Under sommaren har den politiska h\u00e4ndelseutvecklingen varit relativt stilla i Sverige. Trots detta ser vi nu en tydlig&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":336295,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[12],"tags":[22,23,26,27,17,21,24,25,28,29,15,505,16,1632,18,34,31,33,32,30,19,20,36844,36845,36846],"class_list":["post-336294","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-sverige","tag-breaking-news","tag-breakingnews","tag-featured-news","tag-featurednews","tag-headlines","tag-huvudnyheter","tag-latest-news","tag-latestnews","tag-main-news","tag-mainnews","tag-news","tag-nyhet","tag-nyheter","tag-opinion","tag-rubriker","tag-se","tag-svenska","tag-sverige","tag-sweden","tag-swedish","tag-top-stories","tag-topstories","tag-valjarbarometer","tag-valjarbarometer-augusti-2026","tag-valjarbarometern"],"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@se\/117083946088795415","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/se\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/336294","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/se\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/se\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/se\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/se\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=336294"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/se\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/336294\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/se\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/336295"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/se\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=336294"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/se\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=336294"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/se\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=336294"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}