{"id":38301,"date":"2025-09-24T11:32:09","date_gmt":"2025-09-24T11:32:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/se\/38301\/"},"modified":"2025-09-24T11:32:09","modified_gmt":"2025-09-24T11:32:09","slug":"konjunkturinstitutet-spar-fortsatt-aterhamtning-i-svensk-ekonomi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/se\/38301\/","title":{"rendered":"Konjunkturinstitutet sp\u00e5r fortsatt \u00e5terh\u00e4mtning i svensk ekonomi"},"content":{"rendered":"


\n ”Hush\u00e5llen har \u00f6kat konsumtionen fyra kvartal i rad och deras syn p\u00e5 ekonomin har fortsatt att f\u00f6rb\u00e4ttras under sommaren. Hush\u00e5llens konsumtion blir en viktig drivkraft f\u00f6r den fortsatta \u00e5terh\u00e4mtningen”, skriver Konjunkturinstitutet. <\/p>\n

BNP-tillv\u00e4xten blir h\u00f6gre det andra halv\u00e5ret i \u00e5r \u00e4n det f\u00f6rsta halv\u00e5ret. Tillv\u00e4xten stiger sedan ytterligare n\u00e4sta \u00e5r, d\u00e5 framf\u00f6r allt hush\u00e5llen f\u00e5r del av den expansiva statsbudgeten. Det dr\u00f6jer trots det till 2027 innan l\u00e5gkonjunkturen \u00e4r \u00f6ver.<\/p>\n

Konjunkturinstitutets prognos f\u00f6r kalenderjusterad BNP ligger p\u00e5 en tillv\u00e4xt med 1,1 procent i \u00e5r och 2,4 procent n\u00e4sta \u00e5r. J\u00e4mf\u00f6rt med bed\u00f6mningen i juni \u00e4r prognosen f\u00f6r 2025 en upprepning medan prognosen f\u00f6r 2026 har s\u00e4nkts fr\u00e5n 2,5 procent.<\/p>\n

\u00c5terh\u00e4mtningen p\u00e5 arbetsmarknaden sl\u00e4par inledningsvis efter n\u00e5got, vilket \u00e4r ett normalt m\u00f6nster under en konjunktur\u00e5terh\u00e4mtning, uppger Konjunkturinstitutet. Konjunkturinstitutet bed\u00f6mer att arbetsl\u00f6sheten landar p\u00e5 8,7 procent i \u00e5r och den sjunker till 8,4 procent n\u00e4sta \u00e5r. Tidigare prognoser var 8,8 respektive 8,4 procent.<\/p>\n

”Den h\u00f6ga inflationen under sommaren faller tillbaka under resten av \u00e5ret. N\u00e4sta \u00e5r blir inflationen betydligt l\u00e4gre \u00e4n 2 procent som en f\u00f6ljd av s\u00e4nkningar av matmomsen och elskatten men den tillf\u00e4lligt nedtryckta inflationen f\u00f6ranleder inga ytterligare r\u00e4ntes\u00e4nkningar”, skriver Konjunkturinstitutet.<\/p>\n

Konjunkturinstitutet bed\u00f6mer att den svenska inflationen, m\u00e4tt som KPIF, kommer \u00f6ka 2,7 procent i \u00e5r men sjunka till 0,9 procent n\u00e4sta \u00e5r. De tidigare prognoserna fr\u00e5n senaste konjunkturuppdateringen i augusti var 2,5 respektive 1,6 procent.<\/p>\n

N\u00e4r det g\u00e4ller Riksbankens styrr\u00e4nta s\u00e5 upprepar Konjunkturinstitutet sin bed\u00f6mning om att den bottnar p\u00e5 1,75 procent, en niv\u00e5 som g\u00e4ller f\u00f6r 2025 och 2026. Prognosen f\u00f6r 2027 har h\u00f6jts till 2,75 fr\u00e5n tidigare 2,25 procent.<\/p>\n\nSverige, nyckeltal, procent<\/td>\n2024<\/td>\n2025<\/td>\n2026<\/td>\n2027<\/td>\n2028<\/td>\n2029<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<\/tr>\n\nBNP till marknadspris<\/td>\n0,8<\/td>\n0,9<\/td>\n2,6<\/td>\n2,3<\/td>\n1,5<\/td>\n1,7<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n\nBNP, kalenderkorrigerad<\/td>\n0,8<\/td>\n1,1<\/td>\n2,4<\/td>\n2,1<\/td>\n1,7<\/td>\n1,8<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n\nArbetsl\u00f6shet<\/td>\n8,4<\/td>\n8,7<\/td>\n8,4<\/td>\n7,6<\/td>\n7,1<\/td>\n6,9<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n\nKPI<\/td>\n2,8<\/td>\n0,7<\/td>\n0,1<\/td>\n2,4<\/td>\n3,6<\/td>\n2,1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n\nKPIF<\/td>\n1,9<\/td>\n2,7<\/td>\n0,9<\/td>\n1,8<\/td>\n2,7<\/td>\n2,0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n\nStyrr\u00e4nta<\/td>\n2,75<\/td>\n1,75<\/td>\n1,75<\/td>\n2,75<\/td>\n2,75<\/td>\n2,75<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n\nTio\u00e5rig statsobligationsr\u00e4nta<\/td>\n2,2<\/td>\n2,4<\/td>\n2,7<\/td>\n2,9<\/td>\n3,0<\/td>\n3,1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

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