Svenska kronan<\/p>\n
Under 2025 har dollarn tappat i v\u00e4rde, inte minst mot kronan. V\u00e5r fundamentala analys visar att dollarn fortfarande \u00e4r \u00f6verv\u00e4rderad, medan kronan fortsatt \u00e4r underv\u00e4rderad. <\/p>\n
Dollarns r\u00e4ntest\u00f6d har minskat i takt med att Federal Reserve s\u00e4nkt \u2013 och v\u00e4ntas s\u00e4nka \u2013 styrr\u00e4ntan, som trots det fortfarande ligger p\u00e5 relativt h\u00f6ga 4,0% i dag men \u00e4r p\u00e5 v\u00e4g mot 3,0%<\/p>\n
Den politiska of\u00f6ruts\u00e4gbarheten fr\u00e5n Vita huset har samtidigt h\u00f6jt riskpremien f\u00f6r att \u00e4ga dollartillg\u00e5ngar. Bilden av Sverige, sett med internationella investerares \u00f6gon, har \u00e5 andra sidan ljusnat. <\/p>\n
Riksbankens <\/strong>styrr\u00e4nta ligger nu p\u00e5 1,75%. Prognosen \u00e4r att dollarns r\u00e4ntest\u00f6d faller fr\u00e5n 2,25%-enheter i dag till 1,25%-enheter i slutet av 2026.<\/p>\n SEB<\/strong>:s valutaprognos f\u00f6r 2026 s\u00e4ger att kronan kan st\u00e4rkas ytterligare 7-8% mot dollarn, vilket tillsammans med \u00e5rets r\u00f6relser ger en total f\u00f6rst\u00e4rkning p\u00e5 n\u00e4stan 25%. Priset p\u00e5 en dollar i slutet av n\u00e4sta \u00e5r v\u00e4ntas ligga p\u00e5 8,80 kronor (i dag 9,50 kronor). Denna prognos beh\u00f6ver investerare i b\u00e5de amerikanska och svenska aktier ta i beaktande under 2026.<\/p>\n Dollariseringen forts\u00e4tter \u2013 och d\u00e4rmed skjuts begravningen upp. Men det \u00e4r ingen garanti f\u00f6r att dollarn ska st\u00e4rkas. 2026 v\u00e4ntas bli \u00e4nnu ett \u00e5r d\u00e4r r\u00e4ntor, riskpremier och politiska signaler v\u00e4ger tyngre \u00e4n valutahegemonin. Och i den v\u00e4rlden finns utrymme f\u00f6r att kronans \u00e5terh\u00e4mtning forts\u00e4tter. Den envise kronoptimisten ger aldrig upp.<\/p>\n Robert Bergqvist \u00e4r seniorekonom p\u00e5 SEB<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Svenska kronan Under 2025 har dollarn tappat i v\u00e4rde, inte minst mot kronan. V\u00e5r fundamentala analys visar att…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":88514,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[65],"tags":[72,3378,70,71,1725,9809,327,34,31,33,32,30],"class_list":{"0":"post-88513","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-ekonomi","8":"tag-business","9":"tag-dollarn","10":"tag-economy","11":"tag-ekonomi","12":"tag-federal-reserve","13":"tag-kronan","14":"tag-riksbanken","15":"tag-se","16":"tag-svenska","17":"tag-sverige","18":"tag-sweden","19":"tag-swedish"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@se\/115604843603951593","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/se\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/88513","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/se\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/se\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/se\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/se\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=88513"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/se\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/88513\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/se\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/88514"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/se\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=88513"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/se\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=88513"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/se\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=88513"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}