{"id":101713,"date":"2026-06-19T04:41:09","date_gmt":"2026-06-19T04:41:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/101713\/"},"modified":"2026-06-19T04:41:09","modified_gmt":"2026-06-19T04:41:09","slug":"kolaps-atlantickej-cirkulacie-by-zmenil-europsku-klimu-az-desatkrat-rychlejsie","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/101713\/","title":{"rendered":"Kolaps atlantickej cirkul\u00e1cie by zmenil eur\u00f3psku kl\u00edmu a\u017e desa\u0165kr\u00e1t r\u00fdchlej\u0161ie"},"content":{"rendered":"

BRATISLAVA – Jeden z najd\u00f4le\u017eitej\u0161\u00edch klimatick\u00fdch motorov plan\u00e9ty sa dost\u00e1va do kritick\u00e9ho bodu. Atlantick\u00e1 meridion\u00e1lna cirkul\u00e1cia (AMOC) \u2013 syst\u00e9m oce\u00e1nskych pr\u00fadov, ktor\u00fd prin\u00e1\u0161a teplo z tr\u00f3pov a\u017e k Eur\u00f3pe \u2013 pod\u013ea vedcov slabne a v bud\u00facnosti m\u00f4\u017ee dokonca skolabova\u0165. Tak\u00fdto scen\u00e1r by znamenal dramatick\u00e9 zr\u00fdchlenie klimatick\u00fdch zmien, a to a\u017e desa\u0165n\u00e1sobne oproti dne\u0161ku. A pr\u00e1ve v \u010dase, ke\u010f rast\u00fa obavy o stabilitu AMOC, sa objavuje \u010fal\u0161\u00ed probl\u00e9m: monitorovanie syst\u00e9mu je ohrozen\u00e9 nedostatkom financi\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Predstavme si, \u017ee vedci objavia asteroid mieriaci na Zem. M\u00e1me technol\u00f3giu, ktor\u00e1 by mohla zabr\u00e1ni\u0165 katastrofe, no politici sa rozhodn\u00fa \u0161krtn\u00fa\u0165 financie na jeho sledovanie. Nie preto, \u017ee by nebol \u010das, ale preto, \u017ee \u201ep\u00e1r mili\u00f3nov je prive\u013ea\u201c.\u00a0Znie to absurdne \u2014 no pod\u013ea oce\u00e1nografov presne takto dnes pristupujeme k jednej z najv\u00e1\u017enej\u0161\u00edch klimatick\u00fdch hrozieb – oslabenie Atlantickej meridion\u00e1lnej cirkul\u00e1cie (AMOC), p\u00ed\u0161u noviny The Guardian<\/a>.<\/p>\n

AMOC je obrovsk\u00fd syst\u00e9m oce\u00e1nskych pr\u00fadov, ktor\u00fd funguje ako obrovsk\u00fd dopravn\u00edk tepla. Tepl\u00e9 vody putuj\u00fa z tropick\u00e9ho Atlantiku na sever, kde sa ochladzuj\u00fa, klesaj\u00fa do h\u013abky a vracaj\u00fa sa sp\u00e4\u0165 na juh. Tento cyklus udr\u017eiava v Eur\u00f3pe miernej\u0161ie podnebie, ne\u017e by zodpovedalo jej zemepisnej \u0161\u00edrke.\u00a0V\u010faka nemu m\u00e1 Eur\u00f3pa mierne zimy, stabiln\u00e9 po\u013enohospod\u00e1rstvo, predv\u00eddate\u013en\u00e9 zr\u00e1\u017eky a podmienky, na ktor\u00fdch stoj\u00ed infra\u0161trukt\u00fara, energetika aj ekonomika.<\/p>\n

Posledn\u00e9 merania v\u0161ak ukazuj\u00fa, \u017ee tento mechanizmus postupne slabne.\u00a0D\u00f4vodom je najm\u00e4 rozt\u00e1panie \u013eadovcov, ktor\u00e9 do oce\u00e1nu prin\u00e1\u0161a ve\u013ek\u00e9 mno\u017estvo sladkej vody. T\u00e1 nar\u00fa\u0161a topenie studenej a slanej vody \u2013 proces, ktor\u00fd AMOC poh\u00e1\u0148a. Najv\u00fdraznej\u0161ie sa to prejavuje v oblasti ju\u017ene od Gr\u00f3nska, kde ako na jedinom mieste na Zemi doch\u00e1dza k dlhodob\u00e9mu ochladzovaniu oce\u00e1nu, hoci glob\u00e1lne teploty rast\u00fa.<\/p>\n

Kolaps by zasiahol Eur\u00f3pu najtvrd\u0161ie<\/p>\n

Pod\u013ea odborn\u00edkov m\u00f4\u017ee pokra\u010duj\u00face otep\u013eovanie a topenie \u013eadovcov oslabi\u0165 AMOC nato\u013eko, \u017ee sa syst\u00e9m dostane do kritick\u00e9ho bodu. Vedci z britsk\u00e9ho N\u00e1rodn\u00e9ho oce\u00e1nografick\u00e9ho centra a holandsk\u00e9ho Kr\u00e1\u013eovsk\u00e9ho in\u0161tit\u00fatu pre v\u00fdskum mor\u00ed upozor\u0148uj\u00fa, \u017ee kolaps AMOC by mohol spusti\u0165 extr\u00e9mne r\u00fdchle klimatick\u00e9 zmeny v Eur\u00f3pe.<\/p>\n

V najhor\u0161om scen\u00e1ri by Eur\u00f3pa za\u017eila klimatick\u00e9 zmeny a\u017e 10-kr\u00e1t r\u00fdchlej\u0161ie, ne\u017e ak\u00e9 prebiehaj\u00fa dnes.\u00a0To by znamenalo z\u00e1sadn\u00e9 posuny v teplot\u00e1ch, zmeny v zr\u00e1\u017ekov\u00fdch re\u017eimoch, region\u00e1lny rast hladiny mora a \u010dastej\u0161ie extr\u00e9mne v\u00fdkyvy po\u010dasia.\u00a0\u201eSpolo\u010dnos\u0165 m\u00e1 probl\u00e9m dr\u017ea\u0165 krok u\u017e s dne\u0161n\u00fdm tempom klimatick\u00fdch zmien. Kolaps AMOC by bol nie\u010do, na \u010do nie sme pripraven\u00ed,\u201c varuj\u00fa autori.<\/p>\n

M\u00e1lo d\u00e1t a ohrozen\u00e9 merania<\/p>\n

Kedy by mohlo d\u00f4js\u0165 k v\u00fdrazn\u00e9mu oslabeniu alebo kolapsu AMOC, nie je jasn\u00e9. Odhady sa pohybuj\u00fa od najbli\u017e\u0161\u00edch desa\u0165ro\u010d\u00ed a\u017e po koniec storo\u010dia. Jedn\u00fdm z d\u00f4vodov tejto neistoty je nedostatok dlhodob\u00fdch meran\u00ed. Systematick\u00e9 monitorovanie AMOC prebieha len pribli\u017ene 20 rokov \u2013 \u010do je na tak komplexn\u00fd syst\u00e9m ve\u013emi kr\u00e1tky \u010das.\u00a0Napriek tomu tieto merania z\u00e1sadne zlep\u0161ili klimatick\u00e9 modely a s\u00fa dnes k\u013e\u00fa\u010dov\u00fdm zdrojom inform\u00e1ci\u00ed.<\/p>\n

\t
\n\t\t\"AMOC\"\t\t\t<\/p>\n

\n\t\t\t\tZobrazi\u0165 gal\u00e9riu (2)\t\t\t<\/p>\n

\t<\/a><\/p>\n

AMOC\t\u00a0(Zdroj: Repro foto YouTube\/CEN Climate Visualization Laboratory)<\/p>\n

Ne\u010dakan\u00fd \u00fader navy\u0161e u\u0161tedrila americk\u00e1 administrat\u00edva, ktor\u00e1\u00a0zru\u0161ila Iniciat\u00edvu pre pozorovanie oce\u00e1nov, ktor\u00e1 financovala ve\u013ek\u00fa \u010das\u0165 meran\u00ed. To znamen\u00e1, \u017ee jeden z najd\u00f4le\u017eitej\u0161\u00edch klimatick\u00fdch syst\u00e9mov m\u00f4\u017ee zosta\u0165 bez adekv\u00e1tneho doh\u013eadu.<\/p>\n

Eur\u00f3pa mus\u00ed kona\u0165, ide o jej vlastn\u00fa bud\u00facnos\u0165<\/p>\n

Hoci by bola Eur\u00f3pa kolapsom AMOC zasiahnut\u00e1 najviac, na jeho monitorovan\u00ed sa doteraz podie\u013eala len minim\u00e1lne. Vedci upozor\u0148uj\u00fa, \u017ee Eur\u00f3pa nepristupovala k AMOC ako k strategickej priorite.\u00a0\u201eV Eur\u00f3pe m\u00ed\u0148ame miliardu eur na sledovanie asteroidov, hoci riziko katastrofick\u00e9ho dopadu je takmer nulov\u00e9. No nie sme ochotn\u00ed investova\u0165 ani zlomok tejto sumy do hrozby, ktor\u00e1 je bezprostredn\u00e1 a priamo tu na Zemi,\u201c p\u00ed\u0161u odborn\u00edci. Prev\u00e1dzka monitorovacej siete stoj\u00ed pribli\u017ene 25 mili\u00f3nov eur ro\u010dne \u2013 teda asi p\u00e4\u0165 centov na obyvate\u013ea E\u00da.<\/p>\n

N\u00e1dejou je nov\u00e1 eur\u00f3pska iniciat\u00edva OceanEye, ktor\u00e1 vy\u010dlenila 50 mili\u00f3nov eur na udr\u017eanie pozorovacej infra\u0161trukt\u00fary. Nie je v\u0161ak jasn\u00e9, \u010di dok\u00e1\u017ee nahradi\u0165 v\u00fdpadok americk\u00e9ho financovania. Odborn\u00edci upozor\u0148uj\u00fa, \u017ee financovanie mus\u00ed by\u0165 dlhodob\u00e9, mus\u00ed pokry\u0165 aj prev\u00e1dzku lod\u00ed a servis merac\u00edch syst\u00e9mov a mus\u00ed by\u0165 koordinovan\u00e9 na medzin\u00e1rodnej \u00farovni. Bez toho hroz\u00ed, \u017ee AMOC prestaneme sledova\u0165 pr\u00e1ve v momente, ke\u010f sa m\u00f4\u017ee za\u010da\u0165 meni\u0165 najr\u00fdchlej\u0161ie.\u00a0<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"BRATISLAVA – Jeden z najd\u00f4le\u017eitej\u0161\u00edch klimatick\u00fdch motorov plan\u00e9ty sa dost\u00e1va do kritick\u00e9ho bodu. Atlantick\u00e1 meridion\u00e1lna cirkul\u00e1cia (AMOC) \u2013…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":101714,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[8],"tags":[34943,12488,33,34942,11527,43,40,42,36,50,49,48],"class_list":["post-101713","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-svet","tag-atlanticka-meridionalna-cirkulacia-amoc","tag-kolaps","tag-news","tag-oceanske-prudy","tag-scenar","tag-sk","tag-slovak","tag-slovencina","tag-spravy","tag-svet","tag-world","tag-world-news"],"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@sk\/116774940643629668","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/101713","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=101713"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/101713\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/101714"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=101713"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=101713"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=101713"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}