LOND\u00ddN – Britskej ekonomike hroz\u00ed v roku 2027 recesia, ak sa Hormuzsk\u00fd prieliv najnesk\u00f4r do polovice bud\u00faceho roka v plnej miere neotvor\u00ed. Upozornili na to v pondelok prognostici poradenskej spolo\u010dnosti EY. T\u00ed zverejnili najnov\u0161\u00ed odhad v\u00fdvoja britsk\u00e9ho hospod\u00e1rstva, pri\u010dom uviedli, \u017ee situ\u00e1cia v Hormuzskom prielive bude ma\u0165 vplyv aj na tohoro\u010dn\u00e9 tempo rastu. Ak sa k\u013e\u00fa\u010dov\u00fd Hormuzsk\u00fd prieliv otvor\u00ed do dvoch mesiacov, ekonomika by mohla vzr\u00e1s\u0165 tento rok o nie\u010do v\u00fdraznej\u0161\u00edm tempom, ne\u017e o\u010dak\u00e1vali p\u00f4vodne. Informovala o tom agent\u00fara Reuters.<\/p>\n
Britsk\u00e1 ekonomika by mohla v roku 2026 vzr\u00e1s\u0165 o 0,9 %, uviedli prognostici EY. Zlep\u0161ili tak p\u00f4vodn\u00fd odhad o 0,1 percentu\u00e1lneho bodu. Podmienkou v\u0161ak je, \u017ee Hormuzsk\u00fd prieliv sa otvor\u00ed najnesk\u00f4r do konca septembra. V takom pr\u00edpade po\u010d\u00edtaj\u00fa v bud\u00facom roku so zr\u00fdchlen\u00edm rastu na 1,2 %.<\/p>\n
Ak v\u0161ak Hormuzsk\u00fd prieliv zostane uzatvoren\u00fd aj v prvom polroku bud\u00faceho roka, ekonomika Brit\u00e1nie vyk\u00e1\u017ee pod\u013ea prognostikov EY v danom roku pokles o 0,2 %. Pokra\u010dovanie blok\u00e1dy Hormuzsk\u00e9ho prielivu sa odraz\u00ed aj na v\u00fdvoji v tomto roku. Ak sa do konca roka ni\u010d nezmen\u00ed, namiesto rastu o 0,9 % zaznamen\u00e1 hrub\u00fd dom\u00e1ci produkt (HDP) Brit\u00e1nie pod\u013ea EY rast iba o 0,5 %.<\/p>\n
Infl\u00e1cia sa v takom pr\u00edpade zr\u00fdchli do konca tohto roka na 6,4 %. Ak by sa prieliv otvoril v najbli\u017e\u0161\u00edch mesiacoch, infl\u00e1ciu odhaduje EY maxim\u00e1lne na 3,5 %. Hormuzsk\u00fd prieliv je jednou z k\u013e\u00fa\u010dov\u00fdch n\u00e1morn\u00fdch tr\u00e1s, ktorou sa prepravuje zhruba p\u00e4tina svetovej produkcie ropy a skvapalnen\u00e9ho zemn\u00e9ho plynu (LNG). V s\u00fa\u010dasnosti ho v\u0161ak blokuje Ir\u00e1n ako odvetu za napadnutie zo strany USA a Izraela pred vy\u0161e piatimi mesiacmi.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"LOND\u00ddN – Britskej ekonomike hroz\u00ed v roku 2027 recesia, ak sa Hormuzsk\u00fd prieliv najnesk\u00f4r do polovice bud\u00faceho roka…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":141157,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[8],"tags":[9187,43697,33,2446,43561,43,40,42,36,50,49,48],"class_list":["post-141156","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-svet","tag-anglicko","tag-hormuzs","tag-news","tag-otvorenie","tag-recesia","tag-sk","tag-slovak","tag-slovencina","tag-spravy","tag-svet","tag-world","tag-world-news"],"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@sk\/117033751510115910","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/141156","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=141156"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/141156\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/141157"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=141156"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=141156"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=141156"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}