{"id":141464,"date":"2026-08-04T08:52:12","date_gmt":"2026-08-04T08:52:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/141464\/"},"modified":"2026-08-04T08:52:12","modified_gmt":"2026-08-04T08:52:12","slug":"prva-predpoved-na-jesen-2026-vsetko-bude-inak-odbornici-su-v-pozore-vieme-ake-pocasie-nas-caka-uz-coskoro","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/141464\/","title":{"rendered":"Prv\u00e1 predpove\u010f na jese\u0148 2026: V\u0161etko bude inak, odborn\u00edci s\u00fa v pozore. Vieme, ak\u00e9 po\u010dasie n\u00e1s \u010dak\u00e1 u\u017e \u010doskoro"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>K\u00fdm v\u00e4\u010d\u0161ina \u013eud\u00ed v t\u00fdchto d\u0148och rie\u0161i, ak\u00e9 bude po\u010dasie v najbli\u017e\u0161\u00edch d\u0148och a \u010di si maj\u00fa kupova\u0165 kl\u00edmy alebo baz\u00e9ny, meteorol\u00f3govia u\u017e maj\u00fa o\u010di upren\u00e9 na jese\u0148. D\u00f4vod je jednoduch\u00fd. Nad Tich\u00fdm oce\u00e1nom sa ve\u013emi r\u00fdchlo rozv\u00edja Super El Ni\u00f1o, klimatick\u00fd jav, ktor\u00fd dok\u00e1\u017ee zmeni\u0165 po\u010dasie na ve\u013ekej \u010dasti plan\u00e9ty. Najnov\u0161ie sez\u00f3nne modely nazna\u010duj\u00fa, \u017ee pr\u00e1ve jese\u0148 2026 by mohla by\u0165 obdob\u00edm, ke\u010f sa jeho vplyv za\u010dne naplno prejavova\u0165.<\/p>\n<p>\n\t\t\t\t\tGoogle News<br \/>\n\t\t\t\t\tSledujte interez v Google News \u2014 <br \/>spr\u00e1vy od n\u00e1s budete ma\u0165 ako prv\u00ed.\n\t\t\t\t<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/preferences\/source?q=interez.sk\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\"><\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\tPrida\u0165 ako zdroj<br \/>\n\t\t\t\t<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Na tento v\u00fdvoj upozornil port\u00e1l <a href=\"https:\/\/www.severe-weather.eu\/long-range-2\/super-el-nino-atmospheric-pattern-lock-august-forecast-fall-winter-signal-united-states-canada-europe-fa\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Severe Weather Europe<\/a>. Opiera sa pritom o nov\u00e9 v\u00fdstupy modelov ECMWF, NOAA a NCEP, ktor\u00e9 sa zhoduj\u00fa v tom, \u017ee El Ni\u00f1o bude po\u010das jesene \u010falej silnie\u0165 a za\u010dne meni\u0165 atmosf\u00e9rick\u00e9 pr\u00fadenie sp\u00f4sobom, ktor\u00fd je typick\u00fd pre ve\u013emi siln\u00e9 epiz\u00f3dy tohto javu.<\/p>\n<p>Super El Ni\u00f1o sa vyv\u00edja nezvy\u010dajne r\u00fdchlo<\/p>\n<p>El Ni\u00f1o patr\u00ed medzi najv\u00fdznamnej\u0161ie klimatick\u00e9 javy na Zemi. Vznik\u00e1 vtedy, ke\u010f sa povrchov\u00e9 vody v rovn\u00edkovej \u010dasti Tich\u00e9ho oce\u00e1nu v\u00fdrazne oteplia. Neovplyv\u0148uje v\u0161ak len samotn\u00fd oce\u00e1n. Men\u00ed cirkul\u00e1ciu atmosf\u00e9ry, pr\u00fadenie vetra aj rozlo\u017eenie tlakov\u00fdch \u00fatvarov, \u010do sa n\u00e1sledne odr\u00e1\u017ea aj na po\u010das\u00ed vo vzdialen\u00fdch regi\u00f3noch.<\/p>\n<p>Pod\u013ea aktu\u00e1lnych meran\u00ed sa voda v hlavn\u00fdch oblastiach Pacifiku u\u017e teraz nach\u00e1dza v\u00fdrazne nad dlhodob\u00fdm priemerom. Na niektor\u00fdch miestach teplotn\u00e1 odch\u00fdlka presahuje aj +5 \u00b0C. Progn\u00f3zy z\u00e1rove\u0148 nazna\u010duj\u00fa, \u017ee samotn\u00e9 El Ni\u00f1o by mohlo prekro\u010di\u0165 hranicu +3 \u00b0C, \u010do zodpoved\u00e1 kateg\u00f3rii Super El Ni\u00f1o. Ak by sa tento scen\u00e1r naplnil, i\u0161lo by o jednu z najsilnej\u0161\u00edch udalost\u00ed svojho druhu v hist\u00f3rii pozorovan\u00ed. Meteorol\u00f3govia z\u00e1rove\u0148 upozor\u0148uj\u00fa, \u017ee nejde len o samotn\u00e9 oteplenie oce\u00e1nu. E\u0161te d\u00f4le\u017eitej\u0161ie je, \u017ee atmosf\u00e9ra u\u017e na tieto zmeny reaguje.<\/p>\n<p>Atmosf\u00e9ra vysiela prv\u00e9 jasn\u00e9 sign\u00e1ly<\/p>\n<p>Anal\u00fdza j\u00falov\u00e9ho v\u00fdvoja ukazuje, \u017ee nad centr\u00e1lnou a v\u00fdchodnou \u010das\u0165ou Pacifiku sa v\u00fdrazne zosilnilo st\u00fapanie vzduchu, zatia\u013e \u010do nad Indick\u00fdm oce\u00e1nom prevl\u00e1da opa\u010dn\u00fd proces. Pr\u00e1ve tak\u00e9to usporiadanie patr\u00ed medzi charakteristick\u00e9 znaky siln\u00e9ho El Ni\u00f1o.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.interez.sk\/sychrave-dni-sa-koncia-odkladajte-kabat-jesen-ukazuje-svoju-krajsiu-tvar-teploty-stupnu-a-obloha-sa-vyjasni\/jesen-stromy-3\/\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-731331 nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-731331 size-full\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml,%3Csvg%20xmlns=\" http:=\"\" alt=\"Fotka lesa po\u010das jesene\" width=\"1200\" height=\"630\" data-lazy- data-lazy- data-lazy-src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/jesen-stromy.jpg\"\/><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-731331 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/jesen-stromy.jpg\" alt=\"Fotka lesa po\u010das jesene\" width=\"1200\" height=\"630\"  \/><\/a>Ilustra\u010dn\u00e1 foto: Pexeks<\/p>\n<p>Pod\u013ea meteorol\u00f3gov ide o d\u00f4kaz, \u017ee medzi oce\u00e1nom a atmosf\u00e9rou vznik\u00e1 pevn\u00e9 prepojenie. Tento proces n\u00e1sledne ovplyv\u0148uje pr\u00fadenie vo vy\u0161\u0161\u00edch vrstv\u00e1ch atmosf\u00e9ry a pr\u00e1ve od neho z\u00e1vis\u00ed, ak\u00e9 tlakov\u00e9 \u00fatvary sa bud\u00fa vytv\u00e1ra\u0165 nad jednotliv\u00fdmi kontinentmi.<\/p>\n<p>Zmeny sa teda u\u017e neza\u010d\u00ednaj\u00fa len pod hladinou oce\u00e1nu ale postupne sa pren\u00e1\u0161aj\u00fa do celej atmosf\u00e9ry a pod\u013ea modelov bud\u00fa po\u010das jesene e\u0161te v\u00fdraznej\u0161ie.<\/p>\n<p>Pr\u00e1ve jese\u0148 2026 m\u00f4\u017ee by\u0165 zlomov\u00e1<\/p>\n<p>Najv\u00e4\u010d\u0161iu pozornos\u0165 venuj\u00fa meteorol\u00f3govia pr\u00e1ve sez\u00f3nnej predpovedi na jese\u0148. Modely toti\u017e nazna\u010duj\u00fa nie\u010do, \u010do sa pri be\u017en\u00fdch rokoch neobjavuje. Atmosf\u00e9rick\u00e9 usporiadanie typick\u00e9 pre siln\u00e9 El Ni\u00f1o, ktor\u00e9 sa zvy\u010dajne rozv\u00edja a\u017e po\u010das zimy, by sa tentoraz mohlo vytvori\u0165 u\u017e na jese\u0148. D\u00f4vodom je mimoriadne r\u00fdchly v\u00fdvoj cel\u00e9ho javu.<\/p>\n<p>Predpoklad\u00e1 sa zosilnenie pr\u00fadov\u00e9ho pr\u00fadenia nad Pacifikom, vznik rozsiahlej tlakovej v\u00fd\u0161e nad Kanadou a z\u00e1rove\u0148 \u010dastej\u0161\u00ed v\u00fdskyt tlakov\u00fdch n\u00ed\u017e\u00ed nad ju\u017enou \u010das\u0165ou Spojen\u00fdch \u0161t\u00e1tov. Tento vzorec n\u00e1sledne ovplyv\u0148uje po\u010dasie na celej severnej pologuli a postupne zasahuje aj Eur\u00f3pu.<\/p>\n<p>\u010co nazna\u010duje predpove\u010f pre Eur\u00f3pu<\/p>\n<p>Hoci Eur\u00f3pa nele\u017e\u00ed v oblasti, kde El Ni\u00f1o vznik\u00e1, jeho d\u00f4sledky sa sem \u010dasto dost\u00e1vaj\u00fa s ur\u010dit\u00fdm oneskoren\u00edm. Aj preto s\u00fa sez\u00f3nne modely zameran\u00e9 najm\u00e4 na celkov\u00fd trend, nie na konkr\u00e9tne dni. Pod\u013ea aktu\u00e1lnej jesennej progn\u00f3zy by mali by\u0165 teploty vo ve\u013ekej \u010dasti Eur\u00f3py nad dlhodob\u00fdm priemerom. Najv\u00fdraznej\u0161ie kladn\u00e9 odch\u00fdlky modely ukazuj\u00fa nad z\u00e1padnou a strednou \u010das\u0165ou kontinentu, kam by malo pr\u00fadi\u0165 teplej\u0161ie vzduchov\u00e9 hmoty od juhu.<\/p>\n<p>Modely z\u00e1rove\u0148 nazna\u010duj\u00fa, \u017ee na v\u00e4\u010d\u0161ine Eur\u00f3py by mohlo spadn\u00fa\u0165 viac zr\u00e1\u017eok ne\u017e b\u00fdva na jese\u0148 obvykl\u00e9. S\u00favis\u00ed to so silnej\u0161\u00edm z\u00e1padn\u00fdm pr\u00faden\u00edm od Atlantiku, ktor\u00e9 bude prin\u00e1\u0161a\u0165 viac vlhkosti. V\u00fdnimkou by pod\u013ea aktu\u00e1lnych v\u00fdpo\u010dtov mohol zosta\u0165 sever kontinentu, kde sa v\u00fdraznej\u0161\u00ed n\u00e1rast zr\u00e1\u017eok zatia\u013e neo\u010dak\u00e1va.<\/p>\n<p>Pred zimou bude El Ni\u00f1o e\u0161te silnie\u0165<\/p>\n<p>Jesenn\u00e1 predpove\u010f z\u00e1rove\u0148 nazna\u010duje, \u017ee Super El Ni\u00f1o e\u0161te nedosiahne svoj vrchol. Pod\u013ea meteorol\u00f3gov bude po\u010das jesene \u010falej zosil\u0148ova\u0165 a maximum by malo pr\u00eds\u0165 a\u017e koncom jesene alebo na za\u010diatku zimy. Aj preto odborn\u00edci upozor\u0148uj\u00fa, \u017ee aktu\u00e1lne modely predstavuj\u00fa sez\u00f3nny v\u00fdh\u013ead, nie presn\u00fa predpove\u010f na konkr\u00e9tne dni.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.interez.sk\/dlhodoba-predpoved-pre-rok-2026-zacina-kolaps-la-nina-leto-bude-horuce-a-suche\/el-nino-la-nina\/\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-758271 nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-758271 size-full\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml,%3Csvg%20xmlns=\" http:=\"\" alt=\"Po\u010dasie po\u010das El Nina\" width=\"1600\" height=\"840\" data-lazy- data-lazy- data-lazy-src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/el-nino-la-nina.jpg\"\/><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-758271 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/el-nino-la-nina.jpg\" alt=\"Po\u010dasie po\u010das El Nina\" width=\"1600\" height=\"840\"  \/><\/a>Ilustra\u010dn\u00e1 foto: Unsplash<\/p>\n<p>V nasleduj\u00facich t\u00fd\u017ed\u0148och bud\u00fa prib\u00fada\u0165 nov\u00e9 \u00fadaje a modely sa bud\u00fa priebe\u017ene spres\u0148ova\u0165. U\u017e dnes je v\u0161ak pod\u013ea autorov anal\u00fdzy zrejm\u00e9, \u017ee jese\u0148 2026 nebude z meteorologick\u00e9ho poh\u013eadu \u00faplne be\u017en\u00e1. V\u00fdvoj nad Tich\u00fdm oce\u00e1nom patr\u00ed medzi najsilnej\u0161ie za posledn\u00e9 desa\u0165ro\u010dia a ak sa s\u00fa\u010dasn\u00fd trend potvrd\u00ed, jeho d\u00f4sledky poc\u00edti ve\u013ek\u00e1 \u010das\u0165 severnej pologule e\u0161te pred pr\u00edchodom zimy.<\/p>\n<p>Pozri aj:<\/p>\n<p>                                                                <a href=\"https:\/\/www.interez.sk\/velke-zmeny-na-zakladnych-skolach-od-septembra-ziakov-budu-ucit-po-novom-takto-to-bude-vyzerat\/\" onclick=\"ga(&#039;interez_Tracker.send&#039;, &#039;event&#039;, &#039;Pozri aj&#039;, &#039;Pozri aj - obr\u00e1zok&#039;, &#039;Ve\u013ek\u00e9 zmeny na z\u00e1kladn\u00fdch \u0161kol\u00e1ch od septembra: \u017diakov bud\u00fa u\u010di\u0165 po novom, takto to bude\u2026&#039;)\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\"><br \/>\n                                                                    <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"img-responsive pozri-aj-img\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml,%3Csvg%20xmlns=\" http:=\"\" width=\"133\" height=\"70\" alt=\"Pozri aj tento \u010dl\u00e1nok\" data-lazy-src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/zs-trieda-425x222.jpg\"\/><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"img-responsive pozri-aj-img\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/zs-trieda-425x222.jpg\" width=\"133\" height=\"70\" alt=\"Pozri aj tento \u010dl\u00e1nok\"\/><br \/>\n                                                                <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"K\u00fdm v\u00e4\u010d\u0161ina \u013eud\u00ed v t\u00fdchto d\u0148och rie\u0161i, ak\u00e9 bude po\u010dasie v najbli\u017e\u0161\u00edch d\u0148och a \u010di si maj\u00fa kupova\u0165&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":141465,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[8],"tags":[14108,11094,33,1654,43,40,42,36,50,49,48],"class_list":["post-141464","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-svet","tag-dlhodoba-predpoved","tag-jesen","tag-news","tag-predpoved-pocasia","tag-sk","tag-slovak","tag-slovencina","tag-spravy","tag-svet","tag-world","tag-world-news"],"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@sk\/117036394199359657","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/141464","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=141464"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/141464\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/141465"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=141464"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=141464"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=141464"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}