{"id":145700,"date":"2026-08-09T00:00:13","date_gmt":"2026-08-09T00:00:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/145700\/"},"modified":"2026-08-09T00:00:13","modified_gmt":"2026-08-09T00:00:13","slug":"slovensko-tvrdo-doplaca-na-sucho-kedy-pocitime-horucavy-v-penazenkach","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/145700\/","title":{"rendered":"Slovensko tvrdo dopl\u00e1ca na sucho: Kedy poc\u00edtime hor\u00fa\u010davy v pe\u0148a\u017eenk\u00e1ch?"},"content":{"rendered":"

\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/p>\n

\t\t\t\t\tFoto: gettyimages.com\/Max Zolotukhin<\/p>\n

\t\t\"oPeniazoch.sk\"\/<\/p>\n

Ke\u010f sa dnes investori rozhoduj\u00fa, kam vlo\u017ei\u0165 svoje peniaze, nesleduj\u00fa u\u017e len infl\u00e1ciu, \u00farokov\u00e9 sadzby \u010di v\u00fdsledky firiem. \u010coraz v\u00e4\u010d\u0161iu pozornos\u0165 venuj\u00fa aj predpovedi po\u010dasia. Ako upozor\u0148uj\u00fa analytici XTB, extr\u00e9mne hor\u00fa\u010davy, sucho \u010di povodne toti\u017e dok\u00e1\u017eu v priebehu nieko\u013ek\u00fdch t\u00fd\u017ed\u0148ov ovplyvni\u0165 \u00farodu, rozh\u00fdba\u0165 ceny komod\u00edt a nesk\u00f4r sa premietnu\u0165 aj do infl\u00e1cie \u010di hospod\u00e1rskeho rastu. Po\u010dasie sa tak postupne st\u00e1va jedn\u00fdm z faktorov, ktor\u00fd formuje v\u00fdvoj ekonomiky.<\/p>\n

Tohtoro\u010dn\u00e9 leto je toho dobr\u00fdm pr\u00edkladom. Eur\u00f3pu zasiahli opakovan\u00e9 vlny hor\u00fa\u010dav sprev\u00e1dzan\u00e9 nedostatkom zr\u00e1\u017eok. Ako dod\u00e1va analytik X<\/a>T<\/a>B<\/a> Ondrej Gregu\u0161, sucho u\u017e dnes nepredstavuje iba probl\u00e9m po\u013enohospod\u00e1rov. Ovplyv\u0148uje produkciu potrav\u00edn, energetiku, rie\u010dnu dopravu aj finan\u010dn\u00e9 trhy a postupne sa za\u010d\u00edna premieta\u0165 do celej ekonomiky. Rast cien po\u013enohospod\u00e1rskych komod\u00edt sa pritom do spotrebite\u013esk\u00fdch cien potrav\u00edn zvy\u010dajne pren\u00e1\u0161a s oneskoren\u00edm pribli\u017ene 3 a\u017e 6 mesiacov.<\/p>\n

Mohlo by v\u00e1s zauj\u00edma\u0165:<\/p>\n

Reklama<\/p>\n

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\u201eNajv\u00e4\u010d\u0161ie bezprostredn\u00e9 d\u00f4sledky extr\u00e9mnych hor\u00fa\u010dav poci\u0165uje po\u013enohospod\u00e1rstvo. Najnov\u0161\u00ed bulletin JRC MARS Eur\u00f3pskej komisie ukazuje, \u017ee opakovan\u00e9 vlny hor\u00fa\u010dav na konci j\u00fana a v polovici j\u00fala tohto roka prin\u00fatili analytikov zn\u00ed\u017ei\u0165 progn\u00f3zy \u00farody viacer\u00fdch plod\u00edn naprie\u010d Eur\u00f3pou,\u201c upozor\u0148uje analytik.<\/p>\n

Najv\u00fdraznej\u0161ia rev\u00edzia sa t\u00fdka kukurice na zrno a slne\u010dnice, kde Eur\u00f3pska komisia<\/a> zn\u00ed\u017eila o\u010dak\u00e1van\u00e9 v\u00fdnosy o 6 a\u017e 7 %. Pri zimn\u00fdch obilnin\u00e1ch boli progn\u00f3zy revidovan\u00e9 nadol o 1 a\u017e 4 %, pri\u010dom celkov\u00e1 produkcia obiln\u00edn v Eur\u00f3pskej \u00fanii sa aktu\u00e1lne o\u010dak\u00e1va pribli\u017ene jedno percento pod p\u00e4\u0165ro\u010dn\u00fdm priemerom.<\/p>\n

Pod\u013ea JRC MARS zasiahli hor\u00fa\u010davy plodiny po\u010das jednej z najcitlivej\u0161\u00edch f\u00e1z ich v\u00fdvoja \u2013 kvitnutia a tvorby zrna. V kombin\u00e1cii s nedostatkom zr\u00e1\u017eok sa v\u00fdrazne zn\u00ed\u017eila p\u00f4dna vlhkos\u0165, \u010do obmedzilo rast biomasy a zhor\u0161ilo v\u00fdnosov\u00fd potenci\u00e1l najm\u00e4 pri plodin\u00e1ch, ktor\u00e9 nie s\u00fa zavla\u017eovan\u00e9.<\/p>\n

Mapa sucha v Eur\u00f3pe<\/p>\n

Mapa sucha v Eur\u00f3pe na konci j\u00fana 2026. Oran\u017eov\u00e9 a \u010derven\u00e9 oblasti ozna\u010duj\u00fa regi\u00f3ny so zhor\u0161enou veget\u00e1ciou a nedostatkom p\u00f4dnej vlhkosti.<\/p>\n

\"\"Zdroj: European Drought Observatory, Copernicus<\/p>\n

Sucho zasahuje aj slovensk\u00fdch farm\u00e1rov<\/p>\n

Slovensko pritom pod\u013ea Ondreja Gregu\u0161a<\/a> nie je v\u00fdnimkou. Eur\u00f3pska komisia upozor\u0148uje, \u017ee spolu s \u010ceskom a Rak\u00faskom patr\u00edme medzi krajiny, kde kombin\u00e1cia extr\u00e9mnych tepl\u00f4t a n\u00edzkej p\u00f4dnej vlhkosti v\u00fdrazne zv\u00fd\u0161ila vodn\u00fd stres letn\u00fdch plod\u00edn. Niektor\u00e9 obilniny dozrievali pred\u010dasne, \u010do m\u00f4\u017ee negat\u00edvne ovplyvni\u0165 nielen ich \u00farodu, ale aj kvalitu zrna.<\/p>\n

\u201eD\u00f4sledky u\u017e poci\u0165uje aj \u017eivo\u010d\u00ed\u0161na v\u00fdroba. Slovensk\u00e1 po\u013enohospod\u00e1rska a potravin\u00e1rska komora odhaduje, \u017ee celkov\u00e9 straty v prvov\u00fdrobe mlieka presiahnu v tomto roku 95 mili\u00f3nov eur. Nedostatok zr\u00e1\u017eok toti\u017e nepo\u0161kodzuje iba plodiny ur\u010den\u00e9 na predaj, ale aj krmoviny potrebn\u00e9 pre hospod\u00e1rske zvierat\u00e1,\u201c upozor\u0148uje analytik.<\/p>\n

\tOb\u00e1vate sa, \u017ee extr\u00e9mne hor\u00fa\u010davy a sucho poved\u00fa k \u010fal\u0161iemu zdra\u017eovaniu potrav\u00edn?<\/p>\n

Slab\u0161ia \u00faroda krmov\u00edn znamen\u00e1 vy\u0161\u0161ie n\u00e1klady na ich n\u00e1kup alebo dovoz, ktor\u00e9 sa postupne premietaj\u00fa aj do v\u00fdroby mlieka, m\u00e4sa \u010di \u010fal\u0161\u00edch potrav\u00edn. Chovatelia tak \u010delia rast\u00facim n\u00e1kladom pr\u00e1ve v obdob\u00ed, ke\u010f s\u00fa v\u00fdkupn\u00e9 ceny mlieka pod tlakom. Ak by sa podobn\u00e9 podmienky opakovali aj v \u010fal\u0161\u00edch sez\u00f3nach, mohli by vies\u0165 k obmedzovaniu chovov a postupne aj k ni\u017e\u0161ej dom\u00e1cej produkcii mlieka.<\/p>\n

Burzy reaguj\u00fa sk\u00f4r ako supermarkety<\/p>\n

Ni\u017e\u0161ia \u00faroda sa pritom do pe\u0148a\u017eeniek spotrebite\u013eov nepremietne zo d\u0148a na de\u0148. Ako prv\u00e9 reaguj\u00fa komoditn\u00e9 burzy<\/a>. Obchodn\u00edci toti\u017e neoce\u0148uj\u00fa aktu\u00e1lnu \u00farodu, ale o\u010dak\u00e1van\u00fa bud\u00facu ponuku. Ak sa zv\u00fd\u0161i pravdepodobnos\u0165, \u017ee farm\u00e1ri zozbieraj\u00fa menej kukurice, p\u0161enice \u010di slne\u010dnice, ceny futures kontraktov m\u00f4\u017eu reagova\u0165 e\u0161te pred samotn\u00fdm zberom.<\/p>\n

Vy\u0161\u0161ie ceny po\u013enohospod\u00e1rskych komod\u00edt sa v\u0161ak do cien potrav\u00edn pren\u00e1\u0161aj\u00fa len postupne. Samotn\u00e1 surovina pod\u013ea analytika predstavuje iba jednu z polo\u017eiek kone\u010dnej ceny v\u00fdrobku. V\u00fdznamn\u00fa \u010das\u0165 tvoria n\u00e1klady na spracovanie, balenie, dopravu, energie \u010di obchodn\u00e9 mar\u017ee. Preto b\u00fdvaj\u00fa cenov\u00e9 pohyby na burz\u00e1ch v\u00fdraznej\u0161ie a r\u00fdchlej\u0161ie ako n\u00e1sledn\u00e9 zmeny cien v maloobchode.<\/p>\n

Pr\u00e1ve preto obchodn\u00edci s komoditami venuj\u00fa ve\u013ek\u00fa pozornos\u0165 meteorologick\u00fdm progn\u00f3zam. \u201eKa\u017ed\u00e1 nov\u00e1 vlna hor\u00fa\u010dav, obdobie bez zr\u00e1\u017eok alebo naopak intenz\u00edvne da\u017ede m\u00f4\u017eu v\u00fdrazne zmeni\u0165 o\u010dak\u00e1vania bud\u00facej \u00farody a n\u00e1sledne aj ceny po\u013enohospod\u00e1rskych komod\u00edt,\u201c dod\u00e1va Gregu\u0161.<\/p>\n

Pr\u00edkladom je k\u00e1va arabika \u2013 patr\u00ed medzi komodity, pri ktor\u00fdch je tento mechanizmus obzvl\u00e1\u0161\u0165 dobre vidite\u013en\u00fd. Braz\u00edlia ako najv\u00e4\u010d\u0161\u00ed svetov\u00fd producent k\u00e1vy v\u00fdrazne ovplyv\u0148uje glob\u00e1lnu ponuku, preto sa ka\u017ed\u00e1 zmena vo v\u00fdh\u013eade po\u010dasia r\u00fdchlo premieta do cien futures kontraktov. Podobne trhy pozorne sleduj\u00fa v\u00fdvoj po\u010dasia pri oliv\u00e1ch v ju\u017enej Eur\u00f3pe \u010di pri kakau v z\u00e1padnej Afrike.<\/p>\n

V\u00fdvoj ceny futures kontraktov na arabiku (COFFEE, H1)<\/p>\n

\"\"Zdroj: xStation5<\/p>\n

K\u00e1va patr\u00ed medzi komodity najcitlivej\u0161ie na v\u00fdvoj po\u010dasia. Braz\u00edlia ako najv\u00e4\u010d\u0161\u00ed svetov\u00fd producent arabiky \u010del\u00ed zv\u00fd\u0161enej neistote okolo v\u00fdvoja po\u010dasia a mo\u017en\u00e9ho pr\u00edchodu El Ni\u00f1a. Braz\u00edlska k\u00e1vov\u00e1 asoci\u00e1cia ABIC upozor\u0148uje, \u017ee extr\u00e9mne teploty a nepravideln\u00e9 zr\u00e1\u017eky by mohli zn\u00ed\u017ei\u0165 tamoj\u0161iu \u00farodu a\u017e o 15 a\u017e 20 %. Trhy preto reaguj\u00fa u\u017e na zmeny v meteorologick\u00fdch progn\u00f3zach, nie a\u017e na samotn\u00fa \u00farodu.<\/p>\n

Po\u010dasie ako nov\u00fd ekonomick\u00fd faktor<\/p>\n

Extr\u00e9mne po\u010dasie tak u\u017e d\u00e1vno nie je len probl\u00e9mom po\u013enohospod\u00e1rov. D\u00f4sledky jednej vlny hor\u00fa\u010dav sa pod\u013ea Gregu\u0161a postupne pren\u00e1\u0161aj\u00fa naprie\u010d cel\u00fdm hospod\u00e1rstvom \u2013 od ni\u017e\u0161ej \u00farody cez vy\u0161\u0161ie n\u00e1klady farm\u00e1rov a potravin\u00e1rov<\/a> a\u017e po ceny, ktor\u00e9 napokon platia spotrebitelia. Z\u00e1rove\u0148 rastie v\u00fdznam klimatick\u00fdch riz\u00edk aj na finan\u010dn\u00fdch trhoch<\/a>, kde obchodn\u00edci reaguj\u00fa na zmeny meteorologick\u00fdch progn\u00f3z \u010dasto sk\u00f4r, ne\u017e sa prejavia v samotnej produkcii.<\/p>\n

To v\u0161ak neznamen\u00e1, \u017ee ka\u017ed\u00e1 vlna hor\u00fa\u010dav automaticky povedie k prudk\u00e9mu zdra\u017eeniu potrav\u00edn. V\u00fdsledn\u00fd v\u00fdvoj cien bude pod\u013ea analytika z\u00e1visie\u0165 od glob\u00e1lnej \u00farody, stavu z\u00e1sob, mo\u017enost\u00ed dovozu aj v\u00fdvoja dopytu. Ist\u00e9 v\u0161ak je, \u017ee po\u010dasie bude zohr\u00e1va\u0165 pri hodnoten\u00ed ekonomick\u00e9ho v\u00fdvoja \u010doraz v\u00e4\u010d\u0161iu \u00falohu. Pod\u013ea expertov FAO sa rast cien po\u013enohospod\u00e1rskych komod\u00edt do spotrebite\u013esk\u00fdch cien potrav\u00edn zvy\u010dajne pren\u00e1\u0161a s oneskoren\u00edm pribli\u017ene 3 a\u017e 6 mesiacov.<\/p>\n

\u201eExtr\u00e9mne po\u010dasie sa tak postupne st\u00e1va \u010fal\u0161\u00edm makroekonomick\u00fdm faktorom, ktor\u00fd bud\u00fa musie\u0165 sledova\u0165 nielen farm\u00e1ri, ale aj firmy, centr\u00e1lne banky, investori \u010di be\u017en\u00ed spotrebitelia. To, \u010do sa dnes za\u010d\u00edna na vyschnutom poli, sa o nieko\u013eko mesiacov m\u00f4\u017ee prejavi\u0165 na cenovke v obchode,\u201c uzatv\u00e1ra Ondrej Gregu\u0161.<\/p>\n

[XTB<\/a>\u00a0je obsahov\u00fdm partnerom webu\u00a0oPeniazoch.sk<\/a>]<\/p>\n

Viac o t\u00e9me: ceny potrav\u00edn<\/a>, hor\u00fa\u010davy<\/a>, infl\u00e1cia<\/a>, klimatick\u00e9 zmeny<\/a>, mlieko<\/a>, Ondrej Gregu\u0161<\/a>, po\u013enohospod\u00e1rstvo<\/a>, sucho<\/a>, XTB<\/a>, \u017eivo\u010d\u00ed\u0161na v\u00fdroba<\/a><\/p>\n

\t\tKoment\u00e1re k \u010dl\u00e1nku<\/p>\n

\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\"\"\/<\/p>\n

Klbko<\/p>\n

\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tPred 8 hodinami\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/p>\n

V tejto sekte zvanej EU vladne zvlastny fenomen. Ked je vsetko super a urody sud nadpriemerne nic nezlacnie a tzv nadzisk si kazdy co ma s tym docinenia ponecha pre seba,ale akonahle sa co i len javi nejaka poduroda t…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Foto: gettyimages.com\/Max Zolotukhin Ke\u010f sa dnes investori rozhoduj\u00fa, kam vlo\u017ei\u0165 svoje peniaze, nesleduj\u00fa u\u017e len infl\u00e1ciu, \u00farokov\u00e9 sadzby…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":145701,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[32],"tags":[2616,34,37,6486,2617,11635,6693,33,14633,25930,43,40,39,42,41,36,9209,38,35,2622,44498],"class_list":["post-145700","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-spravy","tag-ceny-potravin","tag-headlines","tag-hlavne-spravy","tag-horucavy","tag-inflacia","tag-klimaticke-zmeny","tag-mlieko","tag-news","tag-ondrej-gregus","tag-polnohospodarstvo","tag-sk","tag-slovak","tag-slovakia","tag-slovencina","tag-slovensko","tag-spravy","tag-sucho","tag-titulky","tag-top-stories","tag-xtb","tag-zivocisna-vyroba"],"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@sk\/117062613749866016","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/145700","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=145700"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/145700\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/145701"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=145700"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=145700"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=145700"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}