Po nieko\u013ek\u00fdch d\u0148och patu situ\u00e1cia na Bl\u00edzkom v\u00fdchode op\u00e4\u0165 eskaluje. Hoci sa zdalo, \u017ee zablokovanie Hormuzsk\u00e9ho prielivu sa bude m\u00f4c\u0165 ob\u00eds\u0165 cez ropovody a plynovody, bola to il\u00fazia. Ir\u00e1n za\u010dal s ve\u013ekou presnos\u0165ou bombardova\u0165 rafin\u00e9rie a pr\u00edstavy i v \u010cervenom mori.<\/p>\n
Cena ropy vysko\u010dila na 120\u00a0USD za barel. Ak sa situ\u00e1cia na bojisku nezmen\u00ed, tak sme e\u0161te len na za\u010diatku. Skokovit\u00e9mu zdra\u017eeniu benz\u00ednu, plynu a elektriny sa nevyhneme.<\/p>\n
V\u00a0Bruseli sa kon\u00e1 summit E\u00da. Ako oby\u010dajne sa l\u00eddri zmohli iba na nov\u00fd protirusk\u00fd sank\u010dn\u00fd bal\u00edk (ak Orb\u00e1n zdvihne ruku) a pr\u00e1zdne v\u00fdzvy na ukon\u010denie konfliktu. Eur\u00f3pu v\u0161ak u\u017e nikto nepo\u010d\u00fava. Ani USA, ani Izrael, ani krajiny Bl\u00edzkeho v\u00fdchodu, ani Rusko. Je slab\u00e1. A\u00a0z\u00e1visl\u00e1. Tam to na\u0161e politick\u00e9 \u0161pi\u010dky svojou neomylnos\u0165ou a mravn\u00fdm pou\u010dovan\u00edm dopracovali. Teraz ide o\u00a0to, aby sme si op\u00e4\u0165 nestrie\u013eali iba do vlastnej nohy, ale minimalizovali rizik\u00e1. Pri cene benz\u00ednu\u00a0\u2013 na rozdiel od plynu a elektriny\u00a0\u2013 si jednotliv\u00e9 \u010dlensk\u00e9 krajiny \u00fanie si m\u00f4\u017eu ako-tak poradi\u0165\u00a0samy.<\/p>\n
Na Slovensku sa n\u00e1m zatia\u013e ceny benz\u00ednu dar\u00ed dr\u017ea\u0165 na uzde. Opozi\u010dn\u00ed politici namiesto toho, aby sa te\u0161ili, s\u00fa z\u00a0toho akosi ne\u0161\u0165astn\u00ed a boli by azda aj radi, keby sme mali ceny na pump\u00e1ch ako v\u00a0Nemecku.<\/p>\n
Vo vzduchu vis\u00ed \u010fal\u0161ia ekonomick\u00e1 kr\u00edza v\u00a0kr\u00e1tkom \u010dase. Z\u00e1chrana st\u00e1le existuje, no Donald Trump je v\u00a0pasci. U\u017e si je pod\u013ea posledn\u00fdch vyhl\u00e1sen\u00ed asi plne vedom\u00fd, \u017ee \u00fatok na Ir\u00e1n bol katastrof\u00e1lnou chybou. Dal sa do\u0148 zatiahnu\u0165 Benjaminom Netnajuhuom a n\u00e1bo\u017eensk\u00fdmi radik\u00e1lmi vo svojej strane. No str\u00e1ca podporu zaryt\u00fdch st\u00fapencov MAGA. Biely dom m\u00e1rne h\u013ead\u00e1 sp\u00f4sob, ako z\u00a0vojny vyc\u00fava\u0165 a uhra\u0165 rem\u00edzu.<\/p>\n
\t Ak sa ni\u010d nezmen\u00ed, pr\u00edstavy a rafin\u00e9rie bud\u00fa zni\u010den\u00e9 do tej miery, \u017ee svet bude onedlho \u010deli\u0165 ak\u00fatnemu nedostatku ropy a\u00a0plynu. <\/p>\n
Izrael i\u00a0USA Teher\u00e1n tot\u00e1lne zasko\u010dil. Mas\u00edvne bombardovanie strategick\u00fdch bodov v\u00a0Ir\u00e1ne a zabitie vrcholn\u00fdch predstavite\u013eov \u0161t\u00e1tu nepovalilo re\u017eim. Opoz\u00edcia bez zbran\u00ed nem\u00e1 \u0161ancu zvrhn\u00fa\u0165 plne vyzbrojen\u00fd re\u017eim. Bez zatiahnutia etnick\u00fdch men\u0161\u00edn (Kurdov, Azerbajd\u017eancov, Bal\u00fa\u010dov a Arabov) do konfliktu, respekt\u00edve pozemnej oper\u00e1cie, nie je \u0161anca na \u00faspech. Bola by to u\u017e otvoren\u00e1 vojna. Tel Aviv i\u00a0Washington preto vy\u010dk\u00e1vaj\u00fa, \u010di sa nepreskupia sily vo veden\u00ed re\u017eimu. Vy\u010dk\u00e1va\u0165 sa v\u0161ak ned\u00e1 t\u00fd\u017edne.<\/p>\n
Teher\u00e1nu sa dar\u00ed efekt\u00edvne zasahova\u0165 americk\u00e9 z\u00e1kladne na Bl\u00edzkom v\u00fdchode, rafin\u00e9rie a pr\u00edstavy kraj\u00edn na Arabskom polostrove a blokova\u0165 Hormuzsk\u00fd prieliv. Ak sa ni\u010d nezmen\u00ed, pr\u00edstavy a rafin\u00e9rie bud\u00fa zni\u010den\u00e9 do tej miery, \u017ee svet bude onedlho \u010deli\u0165 ak\u00fatnemu nedostatku ropy a plynu. Ir\u00e1n u\u017e deklaroval, \u017ee v\u00a0bud\u00facnosti spoplatn\u00ed Hormuzsk\u00fd prieliv. Krajiny Perzsk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu s\u00fa \u0161okovan\u00e9, no s\u00fa ochotn\u00e9 za\u010da\u0165 odpl\u00e1ca\u0165 Ir\u00e1nu\u00a0\u00fatoky?<\/p>\n
D\u00f4le\u017eit\u00fa \u00falohu hr\u00e1 Moskva. Poskytuje Teher\u00e1nu spravodajsk\u00e9 inform\u00e1cie i\u00a0zbrane. Presne ako Z\u00e1pad Kyjevu. Proti ir\u00e1nskym dronom zatia\u013e niet \u00fa\u010dinnej obrany. I\u00a0ke\u010f pomoc z\u00a0Ukrajiny je na ceste, dovtedy z\u00a0pr\u00edstavov a rafin\u00e9ri\u00ed m\u00f4\u017eu by\u0165\u00a0ruiny.<\/p>\n
Ani Kreme\u013e nem\u00f4\u017ee jasa\u0165, Ukrajina za\u010dala \u00fa\u010dinne bombardova\u0165 \u00fazemie Ruska. Tajomn\u00edk ruskej bezpe\u010dnostne rady Sergej \u0160ojgu vyhl\u00e1sil, \u017ee u\u017e \u017eiadny regi\u00f3n nie je bezpe\u010dn\u00fd. A\u00a0Rusko pre\u0161\u013eapuje i\u00a0na fronte.<\/p>\n
S\u00fa\u010dasn\u00e1 nevyspytate\u013en\u00e1 situ\u00e1cia nikomu nevyhovuje. Je to v\u0161ak paradoxne n\u00e1dej. Z\u00a0Ir\u00e1nu a Ukrajiny sa st\u00e1vaj\u00fa spojen\u00e9 n\u00e1doby. \u00dastupky (z\u00a0\u00fanavy a zo sklamania) na jednom i\u00a0druhom fronte sa daj\u00fa zobchodova\u0165 (zahrn\u00fa\u0165 by sa dala aj Kuba). Do akej miery s\u00fa v\u00a0Moskve, Kyjeve, v\u00a0Jeruzaleme, Teher\u00e1ne a vo Washingtone pripraven\u00ed na kompromisy, v\u0161ak netu\u0161\u00edme. Trump, ak nechce prehra\u0165, mus\u00ed vyrokova\u0165 mier na Ukrajine, z\u00edska\u0165 Kubu a dok\u00e1za\u0165 vysvetli\u0165, \u017ee \u00fatok na Ir\u00e1n bez zmeny re\u017eimu mal v\u00fdznam (chud\u00e1ci Ir\u00e1nci).<\/p>\n
Bezmocn\u00e1 prizeraj\u00faca sa Eur\u00f3pa m\u00e1 len dve \u00falohy: nestrie\u013ea\u0165 si do vlastnej nohy a nerobi\u0165 probl\u00e9my. Apelova\u0165, pou\u010dova\u0165 o\u00a0princ\u00edpoch a moralizova\u0165 m\u00f4\u017ee, to nikoho vo svete nezauj\u00edma.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Po nieko\u013ek\u00fdch d\u0148och patu situ\u00e1cia na Bl\u00edzkom v\u00fdchode op\u00e4\u0165 eskaluje. Hoci sa zdalo, \u017ee zablokovanie Hormuzsk\u00e9ho prielivu sa…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":1574,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[4718,10827,11119,241,57,56,55,921,43,40,42,242],"class_list":{"0":"post-23127","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-europa","8":"tag-americko-izraelsky-utok-na-iran","9":"tag-ceny-plynu-a-elektrickej-energie","10":"tag-ceny-ropy","11":"tag-donald-trump","12":"tag-eu","13":"tag-europa","14":"tag-europe","15":"tag-iran","16":"tag-sk","17":"tag-slovak","18":"tag-slovencina","19":"tag-vojna-na-ukrajine"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@sk\/116258140464287567","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23127","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=23127"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23127\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1574"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=23127"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=23127"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=23127"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}