{"id":26809,"date":"2026-03-24T13:46:13","date_gmt":"2026-03-24T13:46:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/26809\/"},"modified":"2026-03-24T13:46:13","modified_gmt":"2026-03-24T13:46:13","slug":"kriza-aku-svet-nezazil-desatrocia-dosledky-vojny-s-iranom-budu-dlhodobe-varuju-analytici-energetika-ekonomika","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/26809\/","title":{"rendered":"Kr\u00edza, ak\u00fa svet neza\u017eil desa\u0165ro\u010dia. D\u00f4sledky vojny s Ir\u00e1nom bud\u00fa dlhodob\u00e9, varuj\u00fa analytici – Energetika – Ekonomika"},"content":{"rendered":"

Energetick\u00e1 kr\u00edza naber\u00e1 na sile a trhy s plynom a ropou za\u017e\u00edvaj\u00fa jednu z najv\u00e4\u010d\u0161\u00edch kr\u00edz za posledn\u00fdch 50 rokov. \u00datoky na infra\u0161trukt\u00faru v Perzskom z\u00e1live \u017een\u00fa ceny energi\u00ed nahor. Tie sa u\u017e bl\u00ed\u017eia k nebezpe\u010dnej hranici, ktorej prekro\u010denie m\u00f4\u017ee uvrhn\u00fa\u0165 svetov\u00fa ekonomiku do recesie, varuj\u00fa analytici. Aj keby sa vojna s Ir\u00e1nom skon\u010dila zajtra, \u0161kody s\u00fa u\u017e teraz tak rozsiahle, \u017ee ich n\u00e1sledky bude svet c\u00edti\u0165 roky. <\/p>\n

\t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\tIzraelsk\u00fd \u00fatok zap\u00e1lil ir\u00e1nske plynov\u00e9 pole Ju\u017en\u00fd Pars \t\t\t<\/p>\n

\t \t\t\t Video \t<\/p>\n

\t\t\t\tNa z\u00e1beroch, ktor\u00e9 v stredu 18. marca 2026 zachytil o\u010dit\u00fd svedok po izraelskom leteckom \u00fatoku, bolo vidie\u0165 dym a ohe\u0148 v bl\u00edzkosti ir\u00e1nskeho plynov\u00e9ho po\u013ea Ju\u017en\u00fd Pars. \t\t\t\t\/\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tZdroj: Reuters \t\t\t\t\t\t<\/p>\n

Americk\u00fd prezident Donald Trump nariadil odlo\u017ei\u0165 v\u0161etky \u00fatoky proti ir\u00e1nskym elektr\u00e1r\u0148am a energetickej infra\u0161trukt\u00fare do konca tohto t\u00fd\u017ed\u0148a. T\u00e1to spr\u00e1va je pre energetick\u00e9 trhy v\u00a0posledn\u00fdch t\u00fd\u017ed\u0148och jednou z\u00a0m\u00e1la pozit\u00edvnych, ceny ropy po tomto vyhl\u00e1sen\u00ed zaznamenali prudk\u00fd pokles\u00a0\u2013 o\u00a0takmer 10\u00a0percent pod hranicu 102\u00a0USD za barel. Ako dlho v\u0161ak pozit\u00edvna n\u00e1lada na trhoch vydr\u017e\u00ed, je ot\u00e1zne.<\/p>\n

Z\u00a0opa\u010dnej strany toti\u017e prich\u00e1dzaj\u00fa spr\u00e1vy, ktor\u00e9 m\u00f4\u017eu ceny \u010dierneho zlata vytla\u010di\u0165 op\u00e4\u0165 hore. Rada obrany Ir\u00e1nu pohrozila, \u017ee nech\u00e1 rozmiestni\u0165 n\u00e1morn\u00e9 m\u00edny v\u00a0celom Perzskom z\u00e1live, ak sa nepriate\u013e pok\u00fasi podnikn\u00fa\u0165 pozemn\u00fa inv\u00e1ziu do krajiny. \u201eV\u00a0takomto pr\u00edpade sa cel\u00fd Perzsk\u00fd z\u00e1liv na dlh\u00fa dobu ocitne v\u00a0situ\u00e1cii podobnej tej v\u00a0Hormuzskom prielive,\u201c upozornila\u00a0rada.<\/p>\n

\t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\tExpert varuje: Plyn z Kataru m\u00f4\u017ee ch\u00fdba\u0165 roky \t\t\t<\/p>\n

\t \t\t\t Video \t<\/p>\n

\t\t\t\tKr\u00edza na Bl\u00edzkom v\u00fdchode vyzer\u00e1 st\u00e1le dramatickej\u0161ie. Ak sa to nezastav\u00ed, hroz\u00ed zdra\u017eenie v\u0161etk\u00e9ho, varuje energetick\u00fd expert agent\u00fary Reuters Dmitrij \u017ddannikov. \t\t\t\t\/\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tZdroj: Reuters \t\t\t\t\t\t<\/p>\n

Najhor\u0161ia kr\u00edza za 50\u00a0rokov<\/p>\n

Pred n\u00e1sledkami zhor\u0161enia situ\u00e1cie na Bl\u00edzkom v\u00fdchode u\u017e varoval<\/a>aj \u0161\u00e9f Medzin\u00e1rodnej agent\u00fary pre energiu (IEA) Fatih Birol. S\u00fa\u010dasn\u00e1 energetick\u00e1 kr\u00edza sp\u00f4soben\u00e1 vojnou na Bl\u00edzkom v\u00fdchode pod\u013ea neho predstavuje pre svetov\u00fa ekonomiku \u201ev\u00e1\u017enu hrozbu\u201c a \u201e\u017eiadna krajina sa jej d\u00f4sledkom nevyhne\u201c. \u201eT\u00e1to kr\u00edza, ak vezmeme do \u00favahy moment\u00e1lnu situ\u00e1ciu, predstavuje dve ropn\u00e9 kr\u00edzy zo 70.\u00a0rokov a plynov\u00fa kr\u00edzu (po \u00fatoku Ruska na Ukrajinu) dokopy,\u201c cituje vyjadrenie \u0161\u00e9fa IEA agent\u00fara\u00a0AFP.<\/p>\n

\t\t\"T\u00e1to<\/a><\/p>\n

\t\t\"T\u00e1to<\/a><\/p>\n

\u201eSvetov\u00e1 ekonomika \u010del\u00ed moment\u00e1lne skuto\u010dne v\u00e1\u017enej hrozbe a ja naozaj d\u00fafam, \u017ee tento probl\u00e9m sa podar\u00ed vyrie\u0161i\u0165 \u010do najsk\u00f4r. Ak by t\u00e1to kr\u00edza pokra\u010dovala \u010falej, \u017eiadna krajina sa jej d\u00f4sledkom nevyhne,\u201c dodal Birol. Pod\u013ea neho bolo pritom u\u017e doteraz \u201ev\u00e1\u017ene alebo ve\u013emi v\u00e1\u017ene po\u0161koden\u00fdch minim\u00e1lne 40\u00a0energetick\u00fdch zariaden\u00ed naprie\u010d regi\u00f3nom\u201c, tak\u017ee ani v\u00a0pr\u00edpade ukon\u010denia konfliktu sa p\u00f4vodn\u00e9 dod\u00e1vky energi\u00ed nepodar\u00ed tak skoro obnovi\u0165.<\/p>\n

K\u00a0podobn\u00fdm z\u00e1verom pri\u0161li aj novin\u00e1ri denn\u00edka New York Times. Ich naj\u010derstvej\u0161ia anal\u00fdza<\/a> uk\u00e1zala, \u017ee odkedy Spojen\u00e9 \u0161t\u00e1ty a Izrael za\u010dali bombardova\u0165 Ir\u00e1n, bolo po\u0161koden\u00fdch najmenej 39\u00a0ropn\u00fdch rafin\u00e9ri\u00ed, plynov\u00fdch pol\u00ed a \u010fal\u0161\u00edch energetick\u00fdch zariaden\u00ed v\u00a0deviatich krajin\u00e1ch. Niektor\u00e9 z\u00a0nich zasiahli drony, pri\u010dom viacer\u00e9 objekty boli napadnut\u00e9 opakovane.<\/p>\n

Pod\u013ea zisten\u00ed The NY Times bolo iba v\u00a0priebehu minul\u00e9ho t\u00fd\u017ed\u0148a po\u0161koden\u00fdch najmenej desa\u0165 objektov vr\u00e1tane energetick\u00e9ho uzla v\u00a0Katare a rafin\u00e9ri\u00ed v\u00a0Kuvajte, Saudskej Ar\u00e1bii a Izraeli. Tieto \u00fatoky sp\u00f4sobili prudk\u00fd rast cien ropy a zemn\u00e9ho plynu, ke\u010f\u017ee obchodn\u00edci sa ob\u00e1vali, \u017ee ve\u013ek\u00e1 \u010das\u0165 energetick\u00fdch zdrojov v\u00a0Perzskom z\u00e1live m\u00f4\u017ee zosta\u0165 do\u010dasne \u201euv\u00e4znen\u00e1\u201c bez mo\u017enosti exportu\u00a0\u2013 mo\u017eno aj na nieko\u013eko mesiacov.<\/p>\n

Drah\u00e1 ropa znamen\u00e1 recesiu<\/p>\n

Cena ropy Brent, ktor\u00e1 sl\u00fa\u017ei ako medzin\u00e1rodn\u00fd benchmark, minul\u00fd t\u00fd\u017ede\u0148 dosiahla nov\u00fd vrchol a prekro\u010dila 119\u00a0dol\u00e1rov za barel, no n\u00e1sledne klesla, najm\u00e4 po Trumpov\u00fdch vyhl\u00e1seniach. Aktu\u00e1lne ceny za barel ropy zna\u010dky Brent sa pohybuj\u00fa na \u00farovni okolo 100\u00a0dol\u00e1rov. Pred za\u010diatkom vojny 28.\u00a0febru\u00e1ra bola cena suroviny pod 73\u00a0dol\u00e1rmi za barel, pri\u010dom u\u017e vtedy odr\u00e1\u017eala riziko konfliktu.<\/p>\n

Ako u\u017e informovala Pravda<\/a>, ak ceny ropy zostan\u00fa na vysok\u00fdch \u00farovniach dlh\u0161\u00ed \u010das, m\u00f4\u017ee to spomali\u0165 rast svetovej ekonomiky a zv\u00fd\u0161i\u0165 infl\u00e1ciu v\u00a0mnoh\u00fdch krajin\u00e1ch. Pod\u013ea anal\u00fdzy Deutsche Bank sa glob\u00e1lne riziko zvy\u0161uje vtedy, ke\u010f cena ropy vzrastie aspo\u0148 o\u00a050\u00a0percent a tieto \u00farovne sa udr\u017eia nieko\u013eko mesiacov.<\/p>\n

\u010eal\u0161\u00edm rizikov\u00fdm faktorom m\u00f4\u017ee by\u0165 pr\u00edsnej\u0161ia reakcia centr\u00e1lnych b\u00e1nk. Ak sa ekonomika u\u017e spoma\u013euje, prudk\u00fd rast cien ropy ju m\u00f4\u017ee uvrhn\u00fa\u0165 do recesie\u00a0\u2013 podobne ako po vojne v\u00a0Perzskom z\u00e1live v\u00a0roku 1990.\u00a0Pod\u013ea energetick\u00fdch analytikov sa dopyt po rope za\u010d\u00edna oslabova\u0165 pri cen\u00e1ch pribli\u017ene medzi 110\u00a0a 120\u00a0dol\u00e1rmi za barel. Hoci nejde o\u00a0katastrofick\u00fd scen\u00e1r, dlhodob\u00e9 udr\u017eanie cien na tejto \u00farovni by ekonomike sp\u00f4sobilo\u00a0\u0161kody.<\/p>\n

\t \t\t\t\t\t\"ExxonMobil \t\t\t \t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\u010c\u00edtajte viac \t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\tRopa prudko zdra\u017euje a svet sa ob\u00e1va najhor\u0161ieho. Aramco varuje pred katastrofou pre glob\u00e1lnu ekonomiku \t\t\t\t \t\t\t \t\t\t<\/a><\/p>\n

Aj napriek varovaniam ekon\u00f3mov obe strany americko-ir\u00e1nskeho konfliktu \u010doraz viac vn\u00edmaj\u00fa energetiku ako mimoriadne \u00fa\u010dinn\u00fd cie\u013e\u00a0\u2013 tak\u00fd, ktor\u00fd dok\u00e1\u017ee sp\u00f4sobi\u0165 nepriate\u013eovi v\u00e1\u017ene ekonomick\u00e9 \u0161kody. Ot\u00e1zkou u\u017e nie je len to, kedy Ir\u00e1n uvo\u013en\u00ed svoju pr\u00edsnu kontrolu nad Hormuzsk\u00fdm prielivom. Rovnako d\u00f4le\u017eit\u00e9 je, ako dlho potrvaj\u00fa opravy potrebn\u00e9 na obnovu \u0165a\u017eby a spracovania ropy a zemn\u00e9ho\u00a0plynu.<\/p>\n

Termin\u00e1ly sa neopravia zo d\u0148a na de\u0148<\/p>\n

Medzi zranite\u013en\u00e9 miesta patria exportn\u00e9 termin\u00e1ly, cez ktor\u00e9 Spojen\u00e9 arabsk\u00e9 emir\u00e1ty a Saudsk\u00e1 Ar\u00e1bia smeruj\u00fa ropu, aby sa vyhli Hormuzsk\u00e9mu prielivu. \u201e\u00datoky na infra\u0161trukt\u00faru nie je jednoduch\u00e9 r\u00fdchlo zvr\u00e1ti\u0165,\u201c zd\u00f4raznil pre New York Times Clayton Seigle, odborn\u00edk na energetiku z\u00a0Centra pre strategick\u00e9 a medzin\u00e1rodn\u00e9 \u0161t\u00fadie vo Washingtone.<\/p>\n

Hoci najv\u00e4\u010d\u0161ia pozornos\u0165 sa s\u00fastre\u010fuje na ropu, analytici vyjadruj\u00fa osobitn\u00e9 obavy z\u00a0po\u0161kodenia najv\u00e4\u010d\u0161ieho exportn\u00e9ho termin\u00e1lu skvapalnen\u00e9ho zemn\u00e9ho plynu na svete\u00a0\u2013 Ras Laffan na pobre\u017e\u00ed Kataru. Toto rozsiahle zariadenie, ktor\u00e9 prev\u00e1dzkuje \u0161t\u00e1tna spolo\u010dnos\u0165 QatarEnergy, ochladzuje zemn\u00fd plyn na kvapalinu, ktor\u00fa je mo\u017en\u00e9 naklada\u0165 na tankery a prepravova\u0165. Katar v\u0161ak u\u017e po\u010das tretieho d\u0148a vojny ozn\u00e1mil zastavenie produkcie skvapalnen\u00e9ho plynu z\u00a0d\u00f4vodu \u00fatokov.<\/p>\n

\t \t\t\t\t\t\"Ir\u00e1n, \t\t\t \t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\u010c\u00edtajte viac \t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\tExpert varuje: Ak sa konflikt z\u00e1zrakom nezastav\u00ed, prudko zdra\u017eie v\u0161etko na svete. Plyn z Kuvajtu m\u00f4\u017ee ch\u00fdba\u0165 roky \t\t\t\t \t\t\t \t\t\t<\/a><\/p>\n

\u00datoky spred nieko\u013ek\u00fdch dn\u00ed sp\u00f4sobili \u010fal\u0161ie \u0161kody a pod\u013ea QatarEnergy vyradili a\u017e 17\u00a0percent exportnej kapacity skvapalnen\u00e9ho plynu. Opravy by mohli trva\u0165 a\u017e p\u00e4\u0165 rokov. V\u00a0podstate to znamen\u00e1, \u017ee aj keby sa vojna skon\u010dila o\u00a0p\u00e1r t\u00fd\u017ed\u0148ov alebo mesiacov, jej d\u00f4sledky bude cel\u00fd energetick\u00fd trh poci\u0165ova\u0165 e\u0161te\u00a0roky.<\/p>\n

Tento typ paliva, vyu\u017e\u00edvan\u00fd na v\u00fdrobu elektriny a vykurovanie dom\u00e1cnost\u00ed, nem\u00e1 jednoduch\u00fa n\u00e1hradu. Navy\u0161e, ostatn\u00e9 krajiny disponuj\u00fa len obmedzen\u00fdmi rezervn\u00fdmi kapacitami. Zatia\u013e \u010do Eur\u00f3pa rie\u0161i najm\u00e4 ropn\u00fa kr\u00edzu, v\u00fdznamn\u00e1 \u010das\u0165 \u00c1zie\u00a0\u2013 najm\u00e4 India a Pakistan\u00a0\u2013 u\u017e nieko\u013eko t\u00fd\u017ed\u0148ov \u010del\u00ed tej plynovej.<\/p>\n

India z\u00edskava pribli\u017ene 60\u00a0percent dod\u00e1vok plynu zo Spojen\u00fdch arabsk\u00fdch emir\u00e1tov, Kuvajtu, Kataru a Saudskej Ar\u00e1bie. V\u00a0d\u00f4sledku vojny na Bl\u00edzkom v\u00fdchode u\u017e nieko\u013eko t\u00fd\u017ed\u0148ov \u010del\u00ed jeho v\u00e1\u017enemu nedostatku. Z\u00e1soby sa r\u00fdchlo zni\u017euj\u00fa a Na\u00ed Dill\u00ed nem\u00e1 ve\u013ek\u00e9 rezervy. Vl\u00e1da preto povolila pou\u017e\u00edvanie viac zne\u010dis\u0165uj\u00facich pal\u00edv, ako s\u00fa uhlie, drevo \u010di petrolej, na varenie.<\/p>\n

\t \t\t\t\t\t\"LNG, \t\t\t \t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\u010c\u00edtajte viac \t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\tPlyn z Perzsk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu sa zastavil. V ju\u017enej \u00c1zii vl\u00e1dy zatv\u00e1raj\u00fa \u0161koly a obmedzuj\u00fa spotrebu, v Indii hrozia probl\u00e9my aj kremat\u00f3ri\u00e1m \t\t\t\t \t\t\t \t\t\t<\/a><\/p>\n

V\u00a0Pakistane vl\u00e1da zatvorila \u0161koly do konca mesiaca, v\u0161etku univerzitn\u00fa v\u00fdu\u010dbu presunula do online re\u017eimu a pre v\u00e4\u010d\u0161inu \u0161t\u00e1tnych \u00faradov zaviedla \u0161tvord\u0148ov\u00fd pracovn\u00fd t\u00fd\u017ede\u0148. Z\u00e1rove\u0148 zv\u00fd\u0161ila ceny benz\u00ednu o\u00a020\u00a0percent. V\u00a0Banglad\u00e9\u0161i vl\u00e1da nariadila \u0161t\u00e1tnym z\u00e1vodom na v\u00fdrobu hnoj\u00edv preru\u0161i\u0165 v\u00fdrobu na 15\u00a0dn\u00ed a presmerova\u0165 dostupn\u00fd plyn do elektr\u00e1rn\u00ed, aby sa zabr\u00e1nilo rozsiahlym v\u00fdpadkom elektriny.<\/p>\n

Ak obnova plynovej infra\u0161trukt\u00fary v\u00a0Katare naozaj potrv\u00e1 roky, k\u00a0ur\u010dit\u00fdm opatreniam by pravdepodobne musela prist\u00fapi\u0165 aj Eur\u00f3pa. Eur\u00f3pska \u00fania je najv\u00e4\u010d\u0161\u00edm dovozcom LNG na svete a Katar je druh\u00fdm najv\u00e4\u010d\u0161\u00edm dod\u00e1vate\u013eom tohto paliva. LNG z\u00a0Kataru tvor\u00ed pribli\u017ene 10\u00a0percent celkov\u00e9ho dovozu plynu do\u00a0E\u00da.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Energetick\u00e1 kr\u00edza naber\u00e1 na sile a trhy s plynom a ropou za\u017e\u00edvaj\u00fa jednu z najv\u00e4\u010d\u0161\u00edch kr\u00edz za posledn\u00fdch…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":26810,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[32],"tags":[4718,11119,66,5195,34,37,33,11201,43,2884,40,39,42,41,36,38,35],"class_list":{"0":"post-26809","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-spravy","8":"tag-americko-izraelsky-utok-na-iran","9":"tag-ceny-ropy","10":"tag-ekonomika","11":"tag-energeticka-kriza","12":"tag-headlines","13":"tag-hlavne-spravy","14":"tag-news","15":"tag-ropna-kriza","16":"tag-sk","17":"tag-skvapalneny-plyn","18":"tag-slovak","19":"tag-slovakia","20":"tag-slovencina","21":"tag-slovensko","22":"tag-spravy","23":"tag-titulky","24":"tag-top-stories"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@sk\/116284462376616666","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/26809","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=26809"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/26809\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/26810"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=26809"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=26809"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=26809"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}