{"id":32615,"date":"2026-03-31T11:00:06","date_gmt":"2026-03-31T11:00:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/32615\/"},"modified":"2026-03-31T11:00:06","modified_gmt":"2026-03-31T11:00:06","slug":"slovensku-hrozi-recesia-aj-navrat-vysokej-inflacie-vojna-v-irane-nas-moze-poslat-definitivne-ku-dnu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/32615\/","title":{"rendered":"Slovensku hroz\u00ed recesia aj n\u00e1vrat vysokej infl\u00e1cie: Vojna v Ir\u00e1ne n\u00e1s m\u00f4\u017ee posla\u0165 definit\u00edvne ku dnu!"},"content":{"rendered":"

\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/p>\n

\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tAktualizovan\u00e9\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/p>\n

\t\t\t\t\tGuvern\u00e9r N\u00e1rodnej banky Slovenska (NBS) Peter Ka\u017eim\u00edr. Foto: SITA<\/p>\n

\t\t\t\"autor<\/p>\n

Slovensk\u00e1 ekonomika by mala v tomto roku r\u00e1s\u0165 len o 0,5 % a infl\u00e1cia dosiahnu\u0165 3,9 %. O\u010dak\u00e1vania zhor\u0161uje aktu\u00e1lny konflikt v Ir\u00e1ne a na Bl\u00edzkom v\u00fdchode. <\/p>\n

Ak by trval dlh\u0161ie ako nieko\u013eko t\u00fd\u017ed\u0148ov a mal v\u00e4\u010d\u0161\u00ed negat\u00edvny vplyv na svetov\u00fa ekonomiku, v\u00fdvoj SR by bol e\u0161te hor\u0161\u00ed. Ekonomika by mohla mierne klesn\u00fa\u0165 a infl\u00e1cia vzr\u00e1s\u0165 dlhodobo k \u00farovniam okolo 6 %. Vypl\u00fdva to z aktu\u00e1lnej jarnej progn\u00f3zy, ktor\u00fa v utorok zverejnila<\/a> N\u00e1rodnej banky Slovenska (NBS).<\/p>\n

Mohlo by v\u00e1s zauj\u00edma\u0165:<\/p>\n

Reklama<\/p>\n

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]]><\/p>\n

\u201eMali sme jednu vojnu, m\u00e1me vojny dve. Mali sme mno\u017estvo geopolitick\u00fdch probl\u00e9mov, probl\u00e9mov v ekonomike, m\u00e1me t\u00fdch probl\u00e9mov viac,\u201c povedal na tla\u010dovej konferencii guvern\u00e9r NBS Peter Ka\u017eim\u00edr<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Tento rok vypukol konflikt na Bl\u00edzkom v\u00fdchode, Ukrajina sa zase u\u017e piaty rok br\u00e1ni ruskej vojenskej inv\u00e1zii.<\/p>\n

Z\u00e1kladn\u00fd scen\u00e1r NBS<\/a> predpoklad\u00e1, \u017ee v bud\u00facom roku hrub\u00fd dom\u00e1ci produkt (HDP) Slovenska st\u00fapne o dve percent\u00e1. Doteraz \u010dakala rast o 2,3 percenta. S\u00fa\u010dasne NBS nav\u00fd\u0161ila v\u00fdh\u013ead tohtoro\u010dnej infl\u00e1cie na 3,9 percenta.<\/p>\n

\t\u010co pod\u013ea v\u00e1s v s\u00fa\u010dasnosti najviac ohrozuje stabilitu Slovenska?<\/p>\n

Tento scen\u00e1r je pod\u013ea neho e\u0161te relat\u00edvne priazniv\u00fd. Je zalo\u017een\u00fd na predpoklade, \u017ee vojna v Ir\u00e1ne a v priestore Bl\u00edzkeho a Stredn\u00e9ho v\u00fdchodu skon\u010d\u00ed relat\u00edvne r\u00fdchlo, teda v rozmedz\u00ed nieko\u013ek\u00fdch t\u00fd\u017ed\u0148ov. Guvern\u00e9r upozornil, \u017ee s\u00fa mo\u017en\u00e9 aj in\u00e9 scen\u00e1re s hor\u0161\u00edmi predpokladmi, teda \u017ee vojna v Ir\u00e1ne bude trva\u0165 dlh\u0161ie a \u017ee bude ma\u0165 ni\u010divej\u0161ie n\u00e1sledky na technol\u00f3gie spojen\u00e9 s \u0165a\u017ebou, spracovan\u00edm a prepravou ropy, plynu alebo s\u00favisiacich produktov.<\/p>\n

\u201eV takom pr\u00edpade odhadujeme, \u017ee slovensk\u00e1 ekonomika by v tomto roku ner\u00e1stla a infl\u00e1cia by mohla atakova\u0165 \u00farovne okolo \u0161es\u0165 percent. Samozrejme, tak\u00fdto scen\u00e1r by znamenal aj ist\u00e9 otrasy alebo nepriazniv\u00e9 dopady na trh pr\u00e1ce so stratou pracovn\u00fdch miest,\u201c varoval Ka\u017eim\u00edr. Pripomenul, \u017ee Slovensko je mal\u00e1 a otvoren\u00e1 ekonomika a tak\u00e9to krajiny s\u00fa ove\u013ea citlivej\u0161ie na ekonomick\u00e9 \u0161oky.<\/p>\n

Negat\u00edvny scen\u00e1r NBS hovor\u00ed o mo\u017enom pokles slovenskej ekonomiky v tomto roku o 0,3 % a jej miernom o\u017eiven\u00ed bud\u00faci rok o 1,1 %. Infl\u00e1cia by v takom pr\u00edpade tento rok zr\u00fdchlila na 5,4 % a \u010fal\u0161ie dva roky by sa dr\u017eala nad 6 %.<\/p>\n

Viac o t\u00e9me:
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tBl\u00edzky v\u00fdchod\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t, \t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tceny energi\u00ed\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t, \t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\thospod\u00e1rska kr\u00edza\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t, \t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\thospod\u00e1rsky rast\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t, \t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tinfl\u00e1cia\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t, \t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tIr\u00e1n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t, \t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tN\u00e1rodn\u00e1 banka Slovenska NBS\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t, \t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tprogn\u00f3za\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t, \t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tslovensk\u00e1 ekonomika\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t, \t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tsvetov\u00e1 ekonomika\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Aktualizovan\u00e9 Guvern\u00e9r N\u00e1rodnej banky Slovenska (NBS) Peter Ka\u017eim\u00edr. Foto: SITA Slovensk\u00e1 ekonomika by mala v tomto roku r\u00e1s\u0165…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":32616,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[4341,2615,14713,14714,2617,921,7841,8687,43,40,44,39,42,1441,45,41,4422],"class_list":{"0":"post-32615","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-slovensko","8":"tag-blizky-vychod","9":"tag-ceny-energii","10":"tag-hospodarska-kriza","11":"tag-hospodarsky-rast","12":"tag-inflacia","13":"tag-iran","14":"tag-narodna-banka-slovenska-nbs","15":"tag-prognoza","16":"tag-sk","17":"tag-slovak","18":"tag-slovak-republic","19":"tag-slovakia","20":"tag-slovencina","21":"tag-slovenska-ekonomika","22":"tag-slovenska-republika","23":"tag-slovensko","24":"tag-svetova-ekonomika"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@sk\/116323445886107870","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/32615","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=32615"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/32615\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/32616"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=32615"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=32615"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=32615"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}