{"id":36884,"date":"2026-04-05T14:31:07","date_gmt":"2026-04-05T14:31:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/36884\/"},"modified":"2026-04-05T14:31:07","modified_gmt":"2026-04-05T14:31:07","slug":"eu-pripravuje-plan-ako-zastavit-orbana-ak-znovu-vyhra-volby","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/36884\/","title":{"rendered":"E\u00da pripravuje pl\u00e1n, ako zastavi\u0165 Orb\u00e1na, ak znovu vyhr\u00e1 vo\u013eby"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>BRUSEL &#8211; Eur\u00f3pska \u00fania pripravuje kr\u00edzov\u00e9 scen\u00e1re pre pr\u00edpad, \u017ee Viktor Orb\u00e1n op\u00e4\u0165 vyhr\u00e1 vo\u013eby v Ma\u010farsku. V hre s\u00fa zmeny hlasovania, finan\u010dn\u00fd tlak aj vyhodenie z E\u00da.<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\tBrusel po\u010d\u00edta aj s nepr\u00edjemn\u00fdm v\u00fdsledkom<\/p>\n<p>V z\u00e1kulis\u00ed Eur\u00f3pska \u00fania sa \u010doraz intenz\u00edvnej\u0161ie diskutuje o tom, \u010do urobi\u0165, ak by sa ma\u010farsk\u00fd premi\u00e9r Viktor Orb\u00e1n po vo\u013eb\u00e1ch op\u00e4\u0165 udr\u017eal pri moci. Ako upozor\u0148uje port\u00e1l <a href=\"https:\/\/www.politico.eu\/article\/5-ways-the-eu-could-cope-with-hungary-if-orban-wins-again\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Politico<\/a>, Brusel zva\u017euje viacero variantov, ako obmedzi\u0165 jeho schopnos\u0165 blokova\u0165 rozhodovanie v r\u00e1mci \u00danie.<\/p>\n<p>Hoci prieskumy nazna\u010duj\u00fa, \u017ee jeho strana Fidesz zaost\u00e1va za nov\u00fdm politick\u00fdm hr\u00e1\u010dom okolo P\u00e9terom Magyarom, diplomati sa pripravuj\u00fa aj na menej priazniv\u00fd scen\u00e1r.<\/p>\n<p>P\u00e4\u0165 mo\u017enost\u00ed, ako ob\u00eds\u0165 blokovanie<\/p>\n<p>Pod\u013ea inform\u00e1ci\u00ed z diplomatick\u00fdch kruhov sa diskutuje o piatich hlavn\u00fdch n\u00e1strojoch. Niektor\u00e9 z nich by sa pritom mohli pou\u017ei\u0165 aj vo\u010di in\u00fdm l\u00eddrom, ktor\u00ed by brzdili fungovanie \u00danie.<\/p>\n<p>Jednou z najv\u00fdraznej\u0161\u00edch zmien by bolo roz\u0161\u00edrenie hlasovania kvalifikovanou v\u00e4\u010d\u0161inou aj na oblasti, kde je dnes potrebn\u00e1 jednomyse\u013enos\u0165 \u2013 najm\u00e4 v zahrani\u010dnej politike \u010di rozpo\u010dtov\u00fdch ot\u00e1zkach.<\/p>\n<p>Tak\u00fdto krok by z\u00e1sadne zmenil fungovanie E\u00da, ke\u010f\u017ee by oslabil princ\u00edp, pod\u013ea ktor\u00e9ho mus\u00ed s rozhodnut\u00edm s\u00fahlasi\u0165 ka\u017ed\u00fd \u010dlensk\u00fd \u0161t\u00e1t.<\/p>\n<p>\u201eR\u00fdchle rozhodnutia si vy\u017eaduj\u00fa nov\u00e9 pravidl\u00e1\u201c<\/p>\n<p>Diplomati upozor\u0148uj\u00fa, \u017ee s\u00fa\u010dasn\u00fd syst\u00e9m je pr\u00edli\u0161 pomal\u00fd. \u201eAk chceme reagova\u0165 pru\u017ene, potrebujeme viac rozhodnut\u00ed prij\u00edman\u00fdch kvalifikovanou v\u00e4\u010d\u0161inou,\u201c uviedol jeden z nich pre Politico.<\/p>\n<p>V minulosti sa u\u017e objavili aj netradi\u010dn\u00e9 rie\u0161enia \u2013 napr\u00edklad ke\u010f Olaf Scholz navrhol Orb\u00e1novi, aby po\u010das hlasovania opustil miestnos\u0165, \u010d\u00edm umo\u017enil schv\u00e1lenie d\u00f4le\u017eit\u00e9ho rozhodnutia.<\/p>\n<p>Men\u0161ie koal\u00edcie ako obch\u00e1dzka<\/p>\n<p>\u010eal\u0161ou cestou je vytv\u00e1ranie u\u017e\u0161\u00edch skup\u00edn \u0161t\u00e1tov, ktor\u00e9 bud\u00fa spolupracova\u0165 bez nutnosti zapoji\u0165 v\u0161etk\u00fdch 27 kraj\u00edn. Takzvan\u00e9 \u201ekoal\u00edcie ochotn\u00fdch\u201c u\u017e dnes funguj\u00fa pri niektor\u00fdch t\u00e9mach, napr\u00edklad pri podpore Ukrajiny.<\/p>\n<p>Pod\u013ea predsedn\u00ed\u010dky Eur\u00f3pskej komisie Ursuly von der Leyenovej by v\u0161ak cie\u013eom malo by\u0165 v\u017edy dosiahnu\u0165 jednotu. Ak to nie je mo\u017en\u00e9, zmluvy umo\u017e\u0148uj\u00fa aj posilnen\u00fa spolupr\u00e1cu men\u0161\u00edch skup\u00edn.<\/p>\n<p>Koal\u00edcie ochotn\u00fdch u\u017e dnes v praxi funguj\u00fa. Pri niektor\u00fdch ot\u00e1zkach \u2013 napr\u00edklad pri financovan\u00ed Ukrajiny \u2013 sa rozhodovanie pres\u00fava na men\u0161iu skupinu \u0161t\u00e1tov, ke\u010f\u017ee \u010das\u0165 kraj\u00edn vr\u00e1tane Slovenska sa od t\u00fdchto iniciat\u00edv di\u0161tancovala. Aj v tak\u00fdchto pr\u00edpadoch v\u0161ak pri niektor\u00fdch k\u013e\u00fa\u010dov\u00fdch krokoch st\u00e1le zost\u00e1va potrebn\u00e1 zhoda v\u0161etk\u00fdch \u010dlensk\u00fdch \u0161t\u00e1tov.<\/p>\n<p>Peniaze ako p\u00e1ka<\/p>\n<p>Siln\u00fdm n\u00e1strojom by mohlo by\u0165 aj obmedzenie pr\u00edstupu k eurofondom. Eur\u00f3pska komisia pripravuje n\u00e1vrhy, ktor\u00e9 by e\u0161te pr\u00edsnej\u0161ie viazali \u010derpanie financi\u00ed na dodr\u017eiavanie princ\u00edpov pr\u00e1vneho \u0161t\u00e1tu.<\/p>\n<p>\u201eRe\u0161pektovanie pr\u00e1vneho \u0161t\u00e1tu je podmienkou pre pr\u00edstup k fondom,\u201c zd\u00f4raznil eurokomis\u00e1r Michael McGrath.<\/p>\n<p>Budape\u0161\u0165 v\u0161ak u\u017e nazna\u010dila, \u017ee by tak\u00fdto mechanizmus odmietla. Ma\u010farsk\u00fd minister J\u00e1nos B\u00f3ka sa p\u00fdta: \u201ePre\u010do by sme mali podpori\u0165 n\u00e1vrh, ktor\u00fd by n\u00e1s mohol pripravi\u0165 o financie?\u201c<\/p>\n<p>Hra s \u010dl\u00e1nkom 7<\/p>\n<p>V hre zost\u00e1va aj aktiv\u00e1cia \u010dl\u00e1nku 7, ktor\u00fd m\u00f4\u017ee krajine obmedzi\u0165 hlasovacie pr\u00e1va. Tento mechanizmus bol vo\u010di Ma\u010farsku spusten\u00fd u\u017e v roku 2018, no jeho dotiahnutie do konca nar\u00e1\u017ea na potrebu jednomyse\u013en\u00e9ho s\u00fahlasu ostatn\u00fdch \u0161t\u00e1tov.<\/p>\n<p>B\u00fdval\u00fd litovsk\u00fd minister zahrani\u010dn\u00fdch vec\u00ed Gabrielius Landsbergis tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee u\u017e samotn\u00e1 hrozba tohto kroku vytv\u00e1ra tlak.<\/p>\n<p>Najtvrd\u0161\u00ed scen\u00e1r: vyhodenie z \u00danie<\/p>\n<p>Najradik\u00e1lnej\u0161ou, no z\u00e1rove\u0148 najmenej pravdepodobnou mo\u017enos\u0165ou je \u00fapln\u00e9 vyl\u00fa\u010denie Ma\u010farska z E\u00da. Tak\u00fdto krok v\u0161ak nem\u00e1 oporu v s\u00fa\u010dasn\u00fdch zmluv\u00e1ch a dlhodobo sa pova\u017euje za tabu.<\/p>\n<p>Niektor\u00ed diplomati prip\u00fa\u0161\u0165aj\u00fa vyu\u017eitie mechanizmu podobn\u00e9ho Brexitu, no in\u00ed varuj\u00fa pred n\u00e1sledkami. Pod\u013ea nich by sa Ma\u010farsko mohlo v takom pr\u00edpade e\u0161te viac pribl\u00ed\u017ei\u0165 k Rusku.<\/p>\n<p>Nap\u00e4tie rastie, rozhodn\u00fa vo\u013eby<\/p>\n<p>Vz\u0165ahy medzi Budape\u0161\u0165ou a Bruselom s\u00fa dlhodobo nap\u00e4t\u00e9. Orb\u00e1n v minulosti opakovane blokoval rozhodnutia \u00danie, napr\u00edklad pomoc pre Ukrajinu, a \u010del\u00ed aj podozreniam z udr\u017eiavania kontaktov s Moskvou.<\/p>\n<p>Diplomati otvorene prizn\u00e1vaj\u00fa, \u017ee ak op\u00e4\u0165 zv\u00ed\u0165az\u00ed, situ\u00e1cia sa m\u00f4\u017ee vyostri\u0165. \u201eMnoh\u00ed si myslia, \u017ee u\u017e bola prekro\u010den\u00e1 \u010derven\u00e1 \u010diara,\u201c uviedol jeden z nich.<br \/>&#13;<br \/>\n\u00a0<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"BRUSEL &#8211; Eur\u00f3pska \u00fania pripravuje kr\u00edzov\u00e9 scen\u00e1re pre pr\u00edpad, \u017ee Viktor Orb\u00e1n op\u00e4\u0165 vyhr\u00e1 vo\u013eby v Ma\u010farsku. V&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":36885,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[57,56,55,3372,483,16268,43,40,42,1032,1750],"class_list":{"0":"post-36884","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-europa","8":"tag-eu","9":"tag-europa","10":"tag-europe","11":"tag-fidesz","12":"tag-madarsko","13":"tag-riesenia","14":"tag-sk","15":"tag-slovak","16":"tag-slovencina","17":"tag-viktor-orban","18":"tag-volby"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@sk\/116352587191378227","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/36884","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=36884"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/36884\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/36885"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=36884"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=36884"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=36884"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}