{"id":57038,"date":"2026-04-29T19:00:08","date_gmt":"2026-04-29T19:00:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/57038\/"},"modified":"2026-04-29T19:00:08","modified_gmt":"2026-04-29T19:00:08","slug":"el-nino-sa-prebudza-svet-caka-vlna-extremov-aku-sme-este-nezazili","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/57038\/","title":{"rendered":"El Ni\u00f1o sa preb\u00fadza! Svet \u010dak\u00e1 vlna EXTR\u00c9MOV, ak\u00fa sme e\u0161te neza\u017eili"},"content":{"rendered":"

BRATISLAVA – Glob\u00e1lne otep\u013eovanie naber\u00e1 na sile a vedci varuj\u00fa, \u017ee v polovici roka 2026 sa rozvinie v\u00fdrazn\u00e9 El Ni\u00f1o, ktor\u00e9 m\u00f4\u017ee z\u00e1sadne ovplyvni\u0165 teploty aj zr\u00e1\u017ekov\u00e9 vzorce na celej plan\u00e9te. Modely nazna\u010duj\u00fa jeho siln\u00fd a\u017e mimoriadny priebeh, \u010do zvy\u0161uje pravdepodobnos\u0165, \u017ee rok 2026 sa zarad\u00ed medzi najteplej\u0161ie v hist\u00f3rii meran\u00ed a rok 2027 m\u00f4\u017ee prinies\u0165 nov\u00fd glob\u00e1lny teplotn\u00fd rekord.<\/p>\n

Najnov\u0161ia sez\u00f3nna klimatick\u00e1 aktualiz\u00e1cia Svetovej meteorologickej organiz\u00e1cie<\/a> (WMO) nazna\u010duje jasn\u00fd obrat v rovn\u00edkovej oblasti Pacifiku. Teplota oce\u00e1nu prudko rastie a v\u0161etky hlavn\u00e9 klimatick\u00e9 centr\u00e1 predpovedaj\u00fa, \u017ee po neutr\u00e1lnej f\u00e1ze na za\u010diatku roka sa svet op\u00e4\u0165 presunie do re\u017eimu El Ni\u00f1o \u2013 jedn\u00e9ho z najv\u00fdznamnej\u0161\u00edch klimatick\u00fdch javov na Zemi.<\/p>\n

Pod\u013ea Wilfrana Moufoumu Okiu, \u0161\u00e9fa klimatick\u00fdch predpoved\u00ed WMO, je pravdepodobnos\u0165 n\u00e1stupu El Ni\u00f1o vysok\u00e1. \u201ePo obdob\u00ed neutr\u00e1lnych podmienok s\u00fa klimatick\u00e9 modely teraz silne zos\u00faladen\u00e9 a existuje vysok\u00e1 d\u00f4vera v za\u010diatok El Ni\u00f1o, ktor\u00e9 bude v nasleduj\u00facich mesiacoch \u010falej zosil\u0148ova\u0165,\u201c tvrd\u00ed. Z\u00e1rove\u0148 upozor\u0148uje, \u017ee jar je\u00a0\u010das\u0165 roka, ke\u010f s\u00fa predpovede menej spo\u013eahliv\u00e9. Istota sa zvy\u0161uje a\u017e po apr\u00edli.<\/p>\n

\u010co je El Ni\u00f1o a pre\u010do na \u0148om z\u00e1le\u017e\u00ed<\/p>\n

El Ni\u00f1o je tepl\u00e1 f\u00e1za klimatick\u00e9ho cyklu ENSO, pri ktorej sa otep\u013euje povrch oce\u00e1nu v centr\u00e1lnej a v\u00fdchodnej \u010dasti rovn\u00edkov\u00e9ho Pacifiku. Objavuje sa ka\u017ed\u00e9 2\u20137 rokov a trv\u00e1 pribli\u017ene 9\u201312 mesiacov. Jeho vplyv je celosvetov\u00fd \u2013 men\u00ed zr\u00e1\u017ekov\u00e9 re\u017eimy, podporuje extr\u00e9my a ovplyv\u0148uje po\u013enohospod\u00e1rstvo, vodn\u00e9 zdroje aj humanit\u00e1rne oper\u00e1cie. WMO pripom\u00edna, \u017ee hoci klimatick\u00e1 zmena nezvy\u0161uje frekvenciu ani silu El Ni\u00f1o, zosil\u0148uje jeho d\u00f4sledky. Teplej\u0161ia atmosf\u00e9ra aj oce\u00e1n poskytuj\u00fa viac energie pre extr\u00e9my, ako s\u00fa vlny hor\u00fa\u010dav \u010di pr\u00edvalov\u00e9 da\u017ede.<\/p>\n

Typick\u00e9 dopady El Ni\u00f1o sa s\u00edce pri ka\u017edom v\u00fdskyte l\u00ed\u0161ia, no opakuj\u00fa sa ur\u010dit\u00e9 vzorce. V niektor\u00fdch regi\u00f3noch prin\u00e1\u0161a zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00e9 zr\u00e1\u017eky \u2013 najm\u00e4 v ju\u017enej \u010dasti Ju\u017enej Ameriky, na juhu USA, v oblasti Africk\u00e9ho rohu \u010di v strednej \u00c1zii. Naopak, Austr\u00e1lia, Indon\u00e9zia a viacer\u00e9 oblasti ju\u017enej \u00c1zie zvy\u010dajne z\u00e1pasia so suchom. El Ni\u00f1o z\u00e1rove\u0148 ovplyv\u0148uje aj tropick\u00e9 cykl\u00f3ny: v centr\u00e1lnom a v\u00fdchodnom Pacifiku podporuje vznik hurik\u00e1nov, zatia\u013e \u010do v Atlantiku ich v\u00fdskyt sk\u00f4r tlm\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Rok 2024 sa stal najteplej\u0161\u00edm v hist\u00f3rii pr\u00e1ve pre kombin\u00e1ciu siln\u00e9ho El Ni\u00f1o 2023\u20132024 a \u013eu\u010fmi sp\u00f4soben\u00e9ho glob\u00e1lneho otep\u013eovania, ktor\u00e9 jeho \u00fa\u010dinky e\u0161te zosilnilo.<\/p>\n

Prv\u00e9 tri mesiace 2026 boli \u0161tvrt\u00e9 najteplej\u0161ie v hist\u00f3rii<\/p>\n

Prv\u00e9 tri mesiace roku 2026 boli \u0161tvrt\u00fdm najteplej\u0161\u00edm za\u010diatkom roka v hist\u00f3rii\u00a0od roku 1850, teda odkedy existuj\u00fa modern\u00e9 z\u00e1znamy,\u00a0pri\u010dom ka\u017ed\u00fd mesiac prekonal dlhodob\u00fd priemer v\u00fdraznej\u0161ie ne\u017e ten predch\u00e1dzaj\u00faci. A to aj napriek tomu, \u017ee za\u010diatok roka e\u0161te ovplyv\u0148ovali slab\u00e9 podmienky La Ni\u00f1a, ktor\u00e9 zvy\u010dajne glob\u00e1lne teploty tlmia, informuje v anal\u00fdze Carbonbrief<\/a> klimatol\u00f3g Zeke Hausfather.<\/p>\n

\t
\n\t\t\"Ro\u010dn\u00e9\t\t\t<\/p>\n

\n\t\t\t\tZobrazi\u0165 gal\u00e9riu (4)\t\t\t<\/p>\n

\t<\/a><\/p>\n

Ro\u010dn\u00e9 anom\u00e1lie priemernej glob\u00e1lnej teploty v porovnan\u00ed s priemerom 1850 \u2013 1900 s odhadom na rok 2026\t\u00a0(Zdroj: carbonbrief.org)<\/p>\n

Arktick\u00fd morsk\u00fd \u013ead dosiahol 15. marca 2026 zimn\u00e9 maximum len 14,29 mili\u00f3na km\u00b2, \u010do je \u201e\u0161tatistick\u00e1 rem\u00edza\u201c s rekordne n\u00edzkou hodnotou z roku 2025. Ide o najni\u017e\u0161ie zimn\u00e9 maximum v takmer 50-ro\u010dnej hist\u00f3rii satelitn\u00fdch meran\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Klimatol\u00f3g z\u00e1rove\u0148 odhaduje, \u017ee rok 2026 bude s najv\u00e4\u010d\u0161ou pravdepodobnos\u0165ou druh\u00fdm najteplej\u0161\u00edm rokom v hist\u00f3rii \u2013 hne\u010f po rekordnom roku 2024. Existuje aj 19 % \u0161anca, \u017ee 2026 prekon\u00e1 v\u0161etky doteraj\u0161ie rekordy. Hausfather\u00a0taktie\u017e upozor\u0148uje, \u017ee skuto\u010dn\u00fd dopad El Ni\u00f1o sa prejav\u00ed a\u017e s odstupom.<\/p>\n

\t
\n\t\t\"El\t\t\t<\/p>\n

\n\t\t\t\tZobrazi\u0165 gal\u00e9riu (4)\t\t\t<\/p>\n

\t<\/a><\/p>\n

\t\u00a0(Zdroj: carbonbrief.org)<\/p>\n

\u201eAk sa v druhej polovici roka rozvinie siln\u00e9 alebo dokonca super El Ni\u00f1o, jeho najv\u00e4\u010d\u0161\u00ed vplyv na glob\u00e1lne teploty sa prejav\u00ed a\u017e v roku 2027. Historicky plat\u00ed, \u017ee rok po vrchole El Ni\u00f1o b\u00fdva rekordn\u00fd \u2013 ako v rokoch 1998, 2016 \u010di 2024,\u201c uv\u00e1dza.<\/p>\n

\t
\n\t\t\"Predpovede\t\t\t<\/p>\n

\n\t\t\t\tZobrazi\u0165 gal\u00e9riu (4)\t\t\t<\/p>\n

\t<\/a><\/p>\n

Predpovede teplotn\u00fdch anom\u00e1li\u00ed v tropickom Pacifiku pre september 2026 na z\u00e1klade 637 modelov\u00fdch behov vykonan\u00fdch 13 modelovac\u00edmi skupinami\t\u00a0(Zdroj: carbonbrief.org)<\/p>\n

\u010cak\u00e1 n\u00e1s glob\u00e1lne oteplenie takmer v\u0161ade<\/p>\n

WMO predpoklad\u00e1, \u017ee v obdob\u00ed m\u00e1j a\u017e j\u00fal 2026, kedy sa svet presunie sp\u00e4\u0165 do re\u017eimu El Ni\u00f1o, bud\u00fa teploty nad norm\u00e1lom takmer na celom svete. Najv\u00fdraznej\u0161ie sign\u00e1ly s\u00fa pre ju\u017en\u00fa \u010das\u0165 Severnej Ameriky, Stredn\u00fa Ameriku a Karibik, Eur\u00f3pu a severn\u00fa Afriku. Zr\u00e1\u017eky bud\u00fa ma\u0165 v\u00fdrazn\u00e9 region\u00e1lne rozdiely \u2013 niekde extr\u00e9my, inde sucho.<\/p>\n

Sez\u00f3nne predpovede s\u00fa k\u013e\u00fa\u010dov\u00e9 pre po\u013enohospod\u00e1rov, vodohospod\u00e1rov, energetiku aj zdravotn\u00edctvo. WMO preto vyd\u00e1va pravideln\u00e9 aktualiz\u00e1cie a koordinuje predpovede s n\u00e1rodn\u00fdmi meteorologick\u00fdmi slu\u017ebami.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"BRATISLAVA – Glob\u00e1lne otep\u013eovanie naber\u00e1 na sile a vedci varuj\u00fa, \u017ee v polovici roka 2026 sa rozvinie v\u00fdrazn\u00e9…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":57039,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[32],"tags":[20803,34,37,33,8166,264,5250,43,40,39,42,41,36,38,35],"class_list":{"0":"post-57038","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-spravy","8":"tag-el-nino","9":"tag-headlines","10":"tag-hlavne-spravy","11":"tag-news","12":"tag-oteplovanie","13":"tag-pocasie","14":"tag-predpoved","15":"tag-sk","16":"tag-slovak","17":"tag-slovakia","18":"tag-slovencina","19":"tag-slovensko","20":"tag-spravy","21":"tag-titulky","22":"tag-top-stories"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@sk\/116489540328134322","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/57038","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=57038"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/57038\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/57039"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=57038"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=57038"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=57038"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}