{"id":59035,"date":"2026-05-02T06:40:10","date_gmt":"2026-05-02T06:40:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/59035\/"},"modified":"2026-05-02T06:40:10","modified_gmt":"2026-05-02T06:40:10","slug":"vojnova-simulacia-desatrocia-usa-by-s-cinou-vojnu-prehrali","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/59035\/","title":{"rendered":"Vojnov\u00e1 simul\u00e1cia desa\u0165ro\u010dia. USA by s \u010c\u00ednou vojnu prehrali"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u010cL\u00c1NOK POKRA\u010cUJE POD REKLAMOU<\/p>\n<p>Ke\u010f minister obrany <a href=\"https:\/\/www.startitup.sk\/hegseth-nahle-zvolal-stovky-americkych-generalov-bezprecedentny-rozsah-stretnutia-vyvolava-obavy\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">Pete Hegseth<\/a> vlani v novembri pred kamerami pripustil, \u017ee <a href=\"https:\/\/www.startitup.sk\/kym-washington-bojuje-s-iranom-experti-sa-obavaju-o-pacifik-odhalili-matematicky-problem-ktory-moze-vyuzit-cina\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">americk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da<\/a> v simul\u00e1ci\u00e1ch vojny s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.startitup.sk\/usa-vs-cina-kto-ma-najmocnejsie-namornictvo-5-najlepsich-svetovych-flotil-zoradenych-podla-skutocnej-silyanalyza\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">\u010c\u00ednou<\/a> \u201eprehr\u00e1va zaka\u017ed\u00fdm\u201c, znelo to ako r\u00e9torick\u00e9 varovanie. V skuto\u010dnosti opisoval obsah jedn\u00e9ho z najutajenej\u0161\u00edch dokumentov, ak\u00e9 Pentagon v posledn\u00fdch rokoch pripravil.<\/p>\n<p>Vol\u00e1 sa Overmatch a pod\u013ea zisten\u00ed denn\u00edka <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/interactive\/2025\/12\/08\/opinion\/us-china-taiwan-military.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">The New York Times<\/a> ide o viacro\u010dn\u00fa anal\u00fdzu pentagonsk\u00e9ho \u00daradu pre \u010dist\u00e9 hodnotenie (Office of Net Assessment), ktor\u00e1 detailne mapuje schopnosti \u010c\u00edny zni\u010di\u0165 americk\u00e9 st\u00edha\u010dky, lode aj satelity a presne identifikuje slab\u00e9 miesta v dod\u00e1vate\u013esk\u00fdch re\u0165azcoch americkej arm\u00e1dy.<\/p>\n<p>Hegseth pritom o \u010d\u00ednskej hrozbe hovoril e\u0161te pred n\u00e1stupom do funkcie. Server <a href=\"https:\/\/www.axios.com\/2025\/01\/29\/hegseth-china-russia-nukes-policy\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">Axios<\/a> vlani v janu\u00e1ri rozobral jeho svedectvo pred Sen\u00e1tom, kde varoval, \u017ee Peking buduje silu \u0161peci\u00e1lne dizajnovan\u00fa na porazenie Spojen\u00fdch \u0161t\u00e1tov. Spr\u00e1va Overmatch tieto obavy potvrdzuje v omnoho mrazivej\u0161ej podobe.<\/p>\n<p>Jeden z b\u00fdval\u00fdch \u010dinite\u013eov pre n\u00e1rodn\u00fa bezpe\u010dnos\u0165, ktor\u00e9mu ju uk\u00e1zali v roku 2021, pod\u013ea svedectva pr\u00edtomn\u00e9ho \u00faradn\u00edka \u201ezbledol, ke\u010f pochopil, \u017ee na ka\u017ed\u00fd trik mali \u010c\u00ed\u0148ania nieko\u013ekon\u00e1sobn\u00fa redundanciu\u201c.<\/p>\n<p>Hra, ktor\u00fa Washington nedok\u00e1\u017ee vyhra\u0165<\/p>\n<p>Overmatch nie je oby\u010dajn\u00e1 byrokratick\u00e1 anal\u00fdza. Ide o systematick\u00e9 porovnanie americkej a \u010d\u00ednskej vojenskej sily v scen\u00e1ri, ktor\u00fd Washington pova\u017euje za najpravdepodobnej\u0161\u00ed vojnov\u00fd strop, \u010d\u00ednsku inv\u00e1ziu na Taiwan.<\/p>\n<p>Prezident Si \u0164in-pching pod\u013ea americk\u00fdch spravodajsk\u00fdch slu\u017eieb svojej arm\u00e1de ulo\u017eil, aby bola na tak\u00fato oper\u00e1ciu pripraven\u00e1 do roku 2027. Spojen\u00e9 \u0161t\u00e1ty pritom dlhodobo udr\u017eiavaj\u00fa politiku takzvanej strategickej nejednozna\u010dnosti, ofici\u00e1lne nepovedia, \u010di Taiwan ubr\u00e1nia, aby Peking nikdy nemal istotu pri svojich kalkul\u00e1ci\u00e1ch.<\/p>\n<p>\u010c\u00ednska kalkul\u00e1cia je v Overmatchi mrazivo presn\u00e1. Pod\u013ea New York Times disponuje Peking arzen\u00e1lom pribli\u017ene 600 hypersonick\u00fdch zbran\u00ed, ktor\u00e9 sa pohybuj\u00fa p\u00e4\u0165kr\u00e1t r\u00fdchlej\u0161ie ne\u017e zvuk a pri lete dok\u00e1\u017eu meni\u0165 kurz, \u010d\u00edm zne\u0161kod\u0148uj\u00fa v\u00e4\u010d\u0161inu americk\u00fdch protiraketov\u00fdch syst\u00e9mov.<\/p>\n<p>K tomu prib\u00fada viac ne\u017e 900 balistick\u00fdch rakiet kr\u00e1tkeho doletu, ktor\u00e9 dok\u00e1\u017eu zasiahnu\u0165 americk\u00e9 z\u00e1kladne v Japonsku \u010di na Filip\u00ednach sk\u00f4r, ne\u017e st\u00edha\u010dky stihn\u00fa vzlietnu\u0165. Samotn\u00e9 USA pritom pod\u013ea magaz\u00ednu <a href=\"https:\/\/foreignpolicy.com\/2025\/09\/11\/hypersonic-missiles-china-russia-us-military-weapons\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">Foreign Policy<\/a> v hypersonick\u00fdch zbraniach bezn\u00e1dejne zaost\u00e1vaj\u00fa a ich vlastn\u00e9 programy sa na\u0165ahuj\u00fa o roky.<\/p>\n<p>\u010c\u00edsla, ktor\u00e9 Pentagon znepokojuj\u00fa<\/p>\n<p>600 \u00a0 hypersonick\u00fdch zbran\u00ed v \u010d\u00ednskom arzen\u00e1li, p\u00e4\u0165kr\u00e1t r\u00fdchlej\u0161\u00edch ne\u017e zvuk<\/p>\n<p>900+ \u00a0 \u010d\u00ednskych balistick\u00fdch rakiet kr\u00e1tkeho doletu mieriacich na americk\u00e9 z\u00e1kladne v Pacifiku<\/p>\n<p>13 mld \u00a0 dol\u00e1rov stoj\u00ed jedna lietadlov\u00e1 lo\u010f triedy Ford, ktor\u00fa simul\u00e1cie ni\u010dia v prv\u00fdch hodin\u00e1ch boja<\/p>\n<p>230\u00d7 \u00a0 v\u00e4\u010d\u0161ia kapacita \u010d\u00ednskych loden\u00edc oproti americk\u00fdm<\/p>\n<p>3,4 % \u00a0 HDP smeruje na obranu USA, najmenej za viac ne\u017e osemdesiat rokov<\/p>\n<p><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-large wp-image-1144368\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml,%3Csvg%20xmlns=\" http:=\"\" alt=\"uss gerald r. ford lietadlova lod\" width=\"1024\" height=\"576\" data-lazy- data-lazy- data-lazy-src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/trump-cartels-aircraft-carrier842609-198848-3frcsKFY-e1763370131733-1024x576.jpg\"\/><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-large wp-image-1144368\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/trump-cartels-aircraft-carrier842609-198848-3frcsKFY-e1763370131733-1024x576.jpg\" alt=\"uss gerald r. ford lietadlova lod\" width=\"1024\" height=\"576\"  \/>zdroj: TASR\/AP Photo\/John Clark, File<\/p>\n<p>V simul\u00e1ci\u00e1ch, ktor\u00e9 Overmatch zachyt\u00e1va, \u010d\u00ednske jednotky pod\u013ea New York Times zni\u010dia jednu z najdrah\u0161\u00edch americk\u00fdch zbran\u00ed, lietadlov\u00fa lo\u010f <a href=\"https:\/\/www.startitup.sk\/vojna-so-zachodmi-namiesto-vojny-v-irane-najdrahsia-americka-superlod-bojuje-so-splaskovym-chaosom\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">USS Gerald R. Ford<\/a> v hodnote 13 mili\u00e1rd dol\u00e1rov, \u010dasto v prv\u00fdch hodin\u00e1ch konfliktu. Americk\u00e9 n\u00e1morn\u00edctvo napriek tomu pl\u00e1nuje postavi\u0165 e\u0161te minim\u00e1lne dev\u00e4\u0165 \u010fal\u0161\u00edch plavidiel rovnakej triedy a USA dodnes nenasadili ani jednu vlastn\u00fa hypersonick\u00fa strelu.<\/p>\n<p>\u010co je Office of Net Assessment<\/p>\n<p>\u00darad Pentagonu, ktor\u00fd pripravil brief Overmatch, vznikol e\u0161te v sedemdesiatych rokoch ako intern\u00fd strategick\u00fd think tank ministerstva obrany. Jeho \u00falohou je dlhodobo a bez politick\u00fdch oh\u013eadov porovn\u00e1va\u0165 vojensk\u00fa silu USA so silou rivalov. Pr\u00e1ve tento \u00farad po\u010das studenej vojny d\u00f4sledne sledoval skuto\u010dn\u00e9 slabiny Sovietskeho zv\u00e4zu a pomohol Washingtonu n\u00e1js\u0165 sp\u00f4sob, ako s\u00fapera \u201epreinvestova\u0165\u201c. Dnes hovor\u00ed, \u017ee rovnak\u00e1 logika sa ot\u00e1\u010da proti samotn\u00fdm USA.<\/p>\n<p>Drah\u00e9 hra\u010dky proti lacn\u00fdm dronom<\/p>\n<p>Najznepokojivej\u0161\u00edm zisten\u00edm Overmatchu nie je samotn\u00fd fakt, \u017ee Amerika prehr\u00e1va. Je to d\u00f4vod, pre\u010do prehr\u00e1va. Pentagon dlh\u00e9 desa\u0165ro\u010dia stavia svoju obranu na drah\u00fdch, bohato vybaven\u00fdch platform\u00e1ch, lietadlov\u00fdch lodiach, st\u00edha\u010dk\u00e1ch F-35, balistick\u00fdch ponork\u00e1ch.<\/p>\n<p>St\u00edha\u010dka F-35 potrebovala dvadsa\u0165 rokov v\u00fdvoja a testovania, k\u00fdm sa dostala do plnej v\u00fdroby. Medzit\u00fdm Ukrajina uk\u00e1zala, \u017ee jednu z najsilnej\u0161\u00edch \u010diernomorsk\u00fdch flot\u00edl plan\u00e9ty mo\u017eno paralyzova\u0165 dia\u013ekovo ovl\u00e1dan\u00fdmi \u010dlnmi a bezpilotn\u00fdmi lietadlami za p\u00e1r stoviek dol\u00e1rov.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-large wp-image-975929\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml,%3Csvg%20xmlns=\" http:=\"\" alt=\"7016941\" width=\"1024\" height=\"683\" data-lazy- data-lazy- data-lazy-src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/7016941-376241-AhLy3le5-1024x683.jpg\"\/><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-large wp-image-975929\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/7016941-376241-AhLy3le5-1024x683.jpg\" alt=\"7016941\" width=\"1024\" height=\"683\"  \/>zdroj: U.S.Navy\/Maci Sternod<\/p>\n<p>Americk\u00e1 vojensk\u00e1 kult\u00fara sa s t\u00fdmto posunom vyrovn\u00e1va \u0165a\u017eko. Vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed d\u00f4stojn\u00edci s\u00fa pod\u013ea redak\u010dnej rady New York Times prip\u00fatan\u00ed k zbra\u0148ov\u00fdm syst\u00e9mom, na ktor\u00fdch si budovali kari\u00e9ry. Pentagon z\u00e1rove\u0148 z\u00e1vis\u00ed od oligopolu piatich ve\u013ek\u00fdch zbroj\u00e1rov, hoci e\u0161te za\u010diatkom dev\u00e4\u0165desiatych rokov ich existovalo p\u00e4\u0165desiatjeden. Trh sa z\u00fa\u017eil, ceny rast\u00fa, inov\u00e1cie spoma\u013euj\u00fa.<\/p>\n<p>Zbroj\u00e1rsky priemysel stratil aj z\u00e1kladn\u00fa produk\u010dn\u00fa kapacitu. B\u00fdval\u00fd poradca prezidenta Bidena pre n\u00e1rodn\u00fa bezpe\u010dnos\u0165 Jake Sullivan pod\u013ea New York Times priznal, \u017ee v pr\u00edpade dlh\u00e9ho konfliktu s \u010c\u00ednou by Spojen\u00fdm \u0161t\u00e1tom r\u00fdchlo do\u0161li <a href=\"https:\/\/www.startitup.sk\/12-miliard-dolarov-a-roky-zasob-kritickej-municie-su-prec-usa-minaju-drahe-strely-na-lacne-iranske-drony\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">k\u013e\u00fa\u010dov\u00e9 strely<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Pentagon po\u010das dvan\u00e1s\u0165d\u0148ovej vojny medzi Izraelom a Ir\u00e1nom spotreboval asi \u0161tvrtinu svojich v\u00fd\u0161kov\u00fdch protiraketov\u00fdch interceptorov. Tri roky po za\u010diatku vojny na Ukrajine USA st\u00e1le nedok\u00e1\u017eu vyrobi\u0165 dos\u0165 rakiet Patriot pre Kyjev.<\/p>\n<p>Lodenice \u010c\u00edny maj\u00fa pod\u013ea Overmatchu dvestotridsa\u0165kr\u00e1t v\u00e4\u010d\u0161iu kapacitu ne\u017e americk\u00e9, \u010do znamen\u00e1, \u017ee pr\u00edpadn\u00e9 straty by Peking dok\u00e1zal nahr\u00e1dza\u0165 tempom, ktor\u00e9mu Washington nem\u00e1 ako zodpoveda\u0165.<\/p>\n<p>Tich\u00e1 hrozba, ktor\u00e1 be\u017e\u00ed u\u017e dnes<\/p>\n<p>Overmatch v\u0161ak neopisuje len bud\u00face vojnov\u00e9 scen\u00e1re. Hovor\u00ed o tichej infiltr\u00e1cii, ktor\u00e1 pod\u013ea americk\u00fdch bezpe\u010dnostn\u00fdch \u00faradov be\u017e\u00ed u\u017e dnes. \u010c\u00ednska skupina hackerov zn\u00e1ma pod menom Volt Typhoon vraj nain\u0161talovala \u0161kodliv\u00fd softv\u00e9r do po\u010d\u00edta\u010dov\u00fdch siet\u00ed, ktor\u00e9 riadia elektrick\u00e9 rozvody, komunika\u010dn\u00e9 syst\u00e9my a vodovody americk\u00fdch vojensk\u00fdch z\u00e1kladn\u00ed.<\/p>\n<p>Cie\u013eom je v kr\u00edzovom momente paralyzova\u0165 schopnos\u0165 Spojen\u00fdch \u0161t\u00e1tov presun\u00fa\u0165 vojakov a techniku do Pacifiku, pr\u00edpadne destabilizova\u0165 aj civiln\u00fa infra\u0161trukt\u00faru. Americk\u00ed kybernetick\u00ed experti tento softv\u00e9r zatia\u013e nedok\u00e1zali \u00faplne odstr\u00e1ni\u0165.<\/p>\n<p>Davidsonovo okno a rok 2027<\/p>\n<p>Rok 2027 sa v americkej vojensko-strategickej debate spom\u00edna takmer ritu\u00e1lne. Pojem zaviedol b\u00fdval\u00fd \u0161\u00e9f americk\u00e9ho Indo-pacifick\u00e9ho velenia, admir\u00e1l Phil Davidson, ke\u010f v Kongrese pred nieko\u013ek\u00fdmi rokmi povedal, \u017ee Si \u0164in-pching dal arm\u00e1de pr\u00edkaz by\u0165 na inv\u00e1ziu Taiwanu pripraven\u00e1 pr\u00e1ve do tohto d\u00e1tumu. Americk\u00ed analytici dnes upozor\u0148uj\u00fa, \u017ee by\u0165 pripraven\u00fd nie je to ist\u00e9 ako ma\u0165 \u00famysel za\u00fato\u010di\u0165. Pojem v\u0161ak zostal a stal sa orienta\u010dn\u00fdm bodom celej americkej obrannej debaty.<\/p>\n<p>\u010co hovor\u00ed najnov\u0161ia spravodajsk\u00e1 anal\u00fdza<\/p>\n<p>V roku 2026 sa diskusia o Overmatchi men\u00ed v jednom k\u013e\u00fa\u010dovom bode. Najnov\u0161iu v\u00fdro\u010dn\u00fa spravodajsk\u00fa spr\u00e1vu zverejnil v marci kancel\u00e1ria \u00faradu n\u00e1rodn\u00e9ho spravodajcu a tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee Peking aktu\u00e1lne nepl\u00e1nuje vykona\u0165 inv\u00e1ziu v roku 2027. \u017diadny pevn\u00fd harmonogram zjednotenia pod\u013ea nej neexistuje, ako uv\u00e1dza port\u00e1l <a href=\"https:\/\/news.usni.org\/2026\/03\/19\/china-not-committed-to-2027-taiwan-invasion-u-s-intel-report-says\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">USNI News<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Si \u0164in-pching pod\u013ea spravodajsk\u00fdch agent\u00far uprednost\u0148uje postupn\u00e9 pos\u00favanie strategickej rovnov\u00e1hy a pou\u017e\u00edvanie vojenskej sily ako odstra\u0161ovacieho prostriedku. Stanica <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnn.com\/2026\/03\/19\/asia\/china-taiwan-invasion-plans-us-intl-hnk\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">CNN<\/a> v tej istej s\u00favislosti upozornila, \u017ee rozsiahla \u010distka v najvy\u0161\u0161\u00edch \u0161trukt\u00farach \u010d\u00ednskej arm\u00e1dy zrejme oddialila pr\u00edpadn\u00fa vojensk\u00fa akciu o najmenej dva roky. Politick\u00fdm horizontom Pekingu zost\u00e1va rok 2049, ke\u010f si \u010c\u00edna pripomenie sto rokov existencie \u010c\u00ednskej \u013eudovej republiky.<\/p>\n<p>Z teoretick\u00e9ho h\u013eadiska tu nar\u00e1\u017eame na klasick\u00fd probl\u00e9m realistickej \u0161koly medzin\u00e1rodn\u00fdch vz\u0165ahov, probl\u00e9m vyrovn\u00e1vania moci. Amerika dlho predpokladala, \u017ee jej dominancia v Pacifiku odrad\u00ed \u010c\u00ednu od dobrodru\u017estiev. Len\u017ee odstra\u0161ovanie funguje len dovtedy, k\u00fdm protivn\u00edk ver\u00ed, \u017ee obranca skuto\u010dne dok\u00e1\u017ee zaplati\u0165 cenu konfliktu.<\/p>\n<p>Overmatch tento predpoklad spochyb\u0148uje. A plat\u00ed, \u017ee \u010d\u00edm menej d\u00f4veryhodne p\u00f4sob\u00ed americk\u00e1 hrozba, t\u00fdm v\u00e4\u010d\u0161iu motiv\u00e1ciu maj\u00fa spojenci h\u013eada\u0165 vlastn\u00e9 poistky, vr\u00e1tane vlastn\u00fdch zbra\u0148ov\u00fdch arzen\u00e1lov.<\/p>\n<p>Trumpova obrann\u00e1 strat\u00e9gia ml\u010d\u00ed o Taiwane<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-large wp-image-851591\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml,%3Csvg%20xmlns=\" http:=\"\" alt=\"asia-tenvojak, arm\u00e1da, Taiwansions-07107-78c8568590db4063b5a8d512612e0bf7\" width=\"1024\" height=\"577\" data-lazy- data-lazy- data-lazy-src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/asia-tensions-07107-78c8568590db4063b5a8d512612e0bf7-scaled-e1704289760987-1024x577.jpg\"\/><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-large wp-image-851591\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/asia-tensions-07107-78c8568590db4063b5a8d512612e0bf7-scaled-e1704289760987-1024x577.jpg\" alt=\"asia-tenvojak, arm\u00e1da, Taiwansions-07107-78c8568590db4063b5a8d512612e0bf7\" width=\"1024\" height=\"577\"  \/>zdroj: SITA\/AP Photo\/Chiang Ying-ying<\/p>\n<p>Pentagon by probl\u00e9m Overmatchu mal rie\u0161i\u0165 pr\u00e1ve nov\u00e1 N\u00e1rodn\u00e1 obrann\u00e1 strat\u00e9gia, ktor\u00fa Hegseth zverejnil v janu\u00e1ri. Jej obsah v\u0161ak poslal \u00faplne in\u00fa spr\u00e1vu. Denn\u00edk <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/politics\/2026\/01\/23\/national-defense-strategy-hegseth-trump-china-greenland\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">The Washington Post<\/a> upozornil, \u017ee strat\u00e9gia odsunula \u010c\u00ednu z poz\u00edcie hlavnej priority na druh\u00e9 miesto a hlavn\u00fa pozornos\u0165 presunula na ochranu samotn\u00e9ho americk\u00e9ho \u00fazemia a Z\u00e1padnej hemisf\u00e9ry.<\/p>\n<p>Najn\u00e1padnej\u0161ie v\u0161ak je, \u017ee tridsa\u0165\u0161tyristr\u00e1nkov\u00fd dokument v\u00f4bec neuv\u00e1dza Taiwan. Pre porovnanie, predo\u0161l\u00e1 Bidenova strat\u00e9gia z roku 2022 v\u00fdslovne s\u013eubovala podporu jeho asymetrickej obrany.<\/p>\n<p>\u010casopis <a href=\"https:\/\/www.foreignaffairs.com\/china\/perfect-storm-taiwan-2026\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">Foreign Affairs<\/a> v anal\u00fdze Dokonal\u00e1 b\u00farka pre Taiwan v roku 2026 varuje, \u017ee pr\u00e1ve toto ml\u010danie vytv\u00e1ra nebezpe\u010dn\u00fd strategick\u00fd sign\u00e1l. Si \u0164in-pching pod\u013ea autorov nikdy v \u00e9re modern\u00e9ho Pekingu nemal v Bielom dome prezidenta tak nezainteresovan\u00e9ho na obranu ostrova.<\/p>\n<p>Trumpova vla\u017en\u00e1 reakcia na \u010d\u00ednske decembrov\u00e9 cvi\u010denie okolo Taiwanu a janu\u00e1rov\u00e1 oper\u00e1cia, ktorou Washington zajal venezuelsk\u00e9ho prezidenta Nicol\u00e1sa Madura, pod\u013ea nich potvrdzuj\u00fa prioritu Z\u00e1padnej pologule. Okno pr\u00edle\u017eitosti pre Peking sa t\u00fdm otv\u00e1ra, hoci po americk\u00fdch medzivo\u013eb\u00e1ch v novembri sa m\u00f4\u017ee op\u00e4\u0165 zatvori\u0165.<\/p>\n<p>In\u00e1 anal\u00fdza \u010dasopisu <a href=\"https:\/\/www.foreignaffairs.com\/taiwan\/how-war-taiwan-ends\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">Foreign Affairs<\/a>, Ako sa skon\u010d\u00ed vojna o Taiwan dop\u013a\u0148a, \u017ee Spojen\u00fdm \u0161t\u00e1tom ch\u00fdba aj premyslen\u00e1 strat\u00e9gia pre z\u00e1ver konfliktu. Aj keby Pentagon dok\u00e1zal \u010d\u00ednsky \u00fatok zastavi\u0165, pod\u013ea autorov nem\u00e1 vierohodn\u00fd pl\u00e1n, ako vojnu ukon\u010di\u0165 bez toho, aby sa pretiahla na roky a vy\u010derpala americk\u00fd priemysel.<\/p>\n<p>V odbornej literat\u00fare sa rozli\u0161uje medzi odstra\u0161ovan\u00edm cez popretie a odstra\u0161ovan\u00edm cez trest. USA dnes oboje str\u00e1caj\u00fa s\u00fa\u010dasne.<\/p>\n<p>D\u00f4sledky, ktor\u00e9 sa t\u00fdkaj\u00fa aj Eur\u00f3py<\/p>\n<p>Pre Slovensko a stredn\u00fa Eur\u00f3pu nejde o vzdialen\u00fd pacifick\u00fd pr\u00edbeh. Svet, v ktorom americk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da nedok\u00e1\u017ee udr\u017ea\u0165 poriadok v Indo-Pacifiku, je svet, v ktorom mus\u00ed Eur\u00f3pa r\u00e1ta\u0165 s t\u00fdm, \u017ee americk\u00fd jadrov\u00fd d\u00e1\u017ednik sa sten\u010duje.<\/p>\n<p>Trumpova administrat\u00edva chce v roku 2026 nav\u00fd\u0161i\u0165 obrann\u00fd rozpo\u010det nad bili\u00f3n dol\u00e1rov, hoci americk\u00e9 v\u00fddavky na obranu predstavuj\u00fa aktu\u00e1lne 3,4 percenta hrub\u00e9ho dom\u00e1ceho produktu, \u010do je najmenej za viac ne\u017e osemdesiat rokov.<\/p>\n<p>V\u00e4\u010d\u0161ina nov\u00fdch pe\u0148az\u00ed pod\u013ea redak\u010dnej rady New York Times smeruje do syst\u00e9mov, ktor\u00e9 nezvy\u0161uj\u00fa americk\u00fa silu, len zakr\u00fdvaj\u00fa jej slabiny. Nov\u00e1 obrann\u00e1 strat\u00e9gia pod\u013ea The Washington Post navy\u0161e eur\u00f3pskym spojencom otvorene odkazuje, \u017ee vlastn\u00fa konven\u010dn\u00fa obranu si musia zabezpe\u010di\u0165 sami.<\/p>\n<p>Podstatn\u00e9 je nie\u010do in\u00e9. Americk\u00ed strat\u00e9govia za\u010d\u00ednaj\u00fa kone\u010dne otvorene pomenov\u00e1va\u0165 to, \u010do desa\u0165ro\u010dia zametali pod koberec. \u017de svet, v ktorom \u010c\u00edna a Rusko menia pravidl\u00e1, si vy\u017eaduje \u00faplne in\u00fa arm\u00e1du, ne\u017e ak\u00fa Spojen\u00e9 \u0161t\u00e1ty dnes maj\u00fa.<\/p>\n<p>Ot\u00e1zka, ktor\u00fa samotn\u00fd brief Overmatch kladie svojim adres\u00e1tom v Bielom dome, znie strohej\u0161ie. Stihne sa Pentagon zmeni\u0165 sk\u00f4r, ne\u017e ho zmena dobehne? Odpove\u010f na t\u00fato ot\u00e1zku n\u00e1m v\u0161ak u\u017e \u010diasto\u010dne d\u00e1va prebiehaj\u00faca vojna USA a Izraela proti Ir\u00e1nu.<\/p>\n<p class=\"siu-read-more-from-main-category\">\n        \u010c\u00edtaj viac z kateg\u00f3rie: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.startitup.sk\/kategoria\/zahranicie\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Zahrani\u010die<\/a>\n      <\/p>\n<p class=\"thank-you-after\">\n        \u010eakujeme, \u017ee \u010d\u00edta\u0161 Startitup. V pr\u00edpade, \u017ee m\u00e1\u0161 postreh alebo si na\u0161iel v \u010dl\u00e1nku chybu, nap\u00ed\u0161 n\u00e1m na <a href=\"mailto:%20redakcia@startitup.sk?subject=Postrehy%20a%20n%C3%A1vrhy&amp;body=%C4%8Cl%C3%A1nok:%20https:\/\/www.startitup.sk\/vojnova-simulacia-desatrocia-pentagon-si-zahral-utajeny-konflikt-s-cinou-o-taiwan-zaver-bol-jednoznacny-analyza\/\">redakcia@startitup.sk<\/a>.\n      <\/p>\n<p>     Zdroje: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/interactive\/2025\/12\/08\/opinion\/us-china-taiwan-military.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">NYT<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.axios.com\/2025\/01\/29\/hegseth-china-russia-nukes-policy\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">Axios<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/foreignpolicy.com\/2025\/09\/11\/hypersonic-missiles-china-russia-us-military-weapons\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">FP<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/news.usni.org\/2026\/03\/19\/china-not-committed-to-2027-taiwan-invasion-u-s-intel-report-says\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">USNI<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnn.com\/2026\/03\/19\/asia\/china-taiwan-invasion-plans-us-intl-hnk\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">CNN<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/politics\/2026\/01\/23\/national-defense-strategy-hegseth-trump-china-greenland\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">WaPo<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.foreignaffairs.com\/china\/perfect-storm-taiwan-2026\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">FA<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.foreignaffairs.com\/china\/perfect-storm-taiwan-2026\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">FA<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"\u010cL\u00c1NOK POKRA\u010cUJE POD REKLAMOU Ke\u010f minister obrany Pete Hegseth vlani v novembri pred kamerami pripustil, \u017ee americk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":59036,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[8],"tags":[6230,273,241,33,2323,43,40,42,36,50,9364,304,790,49,48,345],"class_list":{"0":"post-59035","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-svet","8":"tag-americka-armada","9":"tag-cina","10":"tag-donald-trump","11":"tag-news","12":"tag-pentagon","13":"tag-sk","14":"tag-slovak","15":"tag-slovencina","16":"tag-spravy","17":"tag-svet","18":"tag-taiwan","19":"tag-usa","20":"tag-vojna","21":"tag-world","22":"tag-world-news","23":"tag-zo-sveta"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@sk\/116503617371215248","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/59035","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=59035"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/59035\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/59036"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=59035"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=59035"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=59035"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}