{"id":85421,"date":"2026-06-01T05:35:09","date_gmt":"2026-06-01T05:35:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/85421\/"},"modified":"2026-06-01T05:35:09","modified_gmt":"2026-06-01T05:35:09","slug":"dialnica-do-kosic-by-prekreslila-dopravu-na-slovensku-analytici-ukazali-mapy-domace-spravy","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/85421\/","title":{"rendered":"Dia\u013enica do Ko\u0161\u00edc by prekreslila dopravu na Slovensku. Analytici uk\u00e1zali mapy &#8211; Dom\u00e1ce &#8211; Spr\u00e1vy"},"content":{"rendered":"<p itemprop=\"description\">Ako by vyzeralo Slovensko po dokon\u010den\u00ed dia\u013enice z Bratislavy do Ko\u0161\u00edc? Hoci dnes e\u0161te nepozn\u00e1me term\u00edn, kedy sa podar\u00ed dobudova\u0165 v\u0161etky jej \u00faseky, m\u00f4\u017eeme sa pozrie\u0165 na to, ako by sa zmenila doprava, keby bola cestn\u00e1 sie\u0165 zo z\u00e1padu na v\u00fdchod aj zo severu na juh hotov\u00e1. Analytici sa pok\u00fasili nahliadnu\u0165 do bud\u00facnosti a vytvorili model, ktor\u00fd ukazuje, kam by sa presunuli aut\u00e1, kde by sa cest\u00e1m u\u013eavilo a ktor\u00e9 regi\u00f3ny by naopak \u010delili v\u00e4\u010d\u0161iemu dopravn\u00e9mu n\u00e1poru.<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\tUnik\u00e1tny no\u010dn\u00fd presun: Po dia\u013enici sa prem\u00e1vala st\u00edha\u010dka F-16 \t\t\t<\/p>\n<p>\t \t\t\t Video \t<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\tBratislava za\u017eila \u010fal\u0161\u00ed netradi\u010dn\u00fd no\u010dn\u00fd presun. Po tom, \u010do sa slovensk\u00e1 st\u00edha\u010dka F-16 stala neprehliadnute\u013enou atrakciou ve\u013etrhu IDEB Defence &amp; Security v Inchebe, \u010dakala ju cesta sp\u00e4\u0165. \t\t\t\t\/\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tZdroj: Tom\u00e1\u0161 P\u00edse\u010dn\u00fd \t\t\t\t\t\t<\/p>\n<p>Analytici \u00datvaru hodnoty za peniaze (\u00daHP) v\u00a0spolupr\u00e1ci s\u00a0In\u0161tit\u00fatom dopravnej politiky pripravili analytick\u00fd model, ktor\u00fd pon\u00faka poh\u013ead na to, ako by mohla vyzera\u0165 osobn\u00e1 aj n\u00e1kladn\u00e1 doprava na Slovensku v\u00a0roku 2050.\u00a0Nejde pritom o\u00a0ve\u0161tenie z\u00a0kri\u0161t\u00e1\u013eovej gule, ale o\u00a0matematick\u00fd model, ktor\u00fd pracuje s\u00a0o\u010dak\u00e1van\u00fdm v\u00fdvojom po\u010dtu obyvate\u013eov, ekonomiky aj dopravnej infra\u0161trukt\u00fary.<\/p>\n<p>Pomocou <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.mindop.sk\/institut-dopravnej-politiky\/publikacie\/analyzy\/amdy\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">modelu<\/a> odborn\u00edci simulovali, ako sa bud\u00fa \u013eudia a tovary pres\u00fava\u0165 medzi jednotliv\u00fdmi regi\u00f3nmi Slovenska, ke\u010f bud\u00fa dokon\u010den\u00e9 v\u0161etky napl\u00e1novan\u00e9 cesty. Teda aj t\u00e1 medzi Bratislavou a Ko\u0161icami. V\u00fdsledkom je interakt\u00edvna mapa, z\u00a0ktorej mo\u017eno vy\u010d\u00edta\u0165, kadia\u013e by sa v\u00a0bud\u00facnosti mohli pohybova\u0165 aut\u00e1 a n\u00e1kladn\u00e9 vozidl\u00e1, ktor\u00e9 \u00faseky nov\u00fdch dia\u013enic a r\u00fdchlostn\u00fdch ciest by mohli od\u013eah\u010di\u0165 s\u00fa\u010dasn\u00e9 cesty I. triedy a kde by naopak mohla doprava nar\u00e1\u017ea\u0165 na kapacitn\u00e9 limity.<\/p>\n<p>\u00daHP v\u0161ak upozor\u0148uje, \u017ee v\u00fdsledky netreba vn\u00edma\u0165 ako presn\u00fa predpove\u010f bud\u00facnosti. Model je sk\u00f4r odpove\u010fou na ot\u00e1zku: \u201e\u010co by bolo, keby?\u201c Ukazuje teda mo\u017en\u00e9 d\u00f4sledky konkr\u00e9tnych rozhodnut\u00ed a invest\u00edci\u00ed. Pr\u00e1ve preto m\u00f4\u017ee by\u0165 u\u017eito\u010dn\u00fdm podkladom pri ur\u010dovan\u00ed dopravn\u00fdch prior\u00edt alebo pri pr\u00edprave \u0161t\u00fadi\u00ed uskuto\u010dnite\u013enosti jednotliv\u00fdch projektov.<\/p>\n<p>\t<a class=\"promo-clanok\" href=\"https:\/\/spravy.pravda.sk\/domace\/clanok\/810989-palivova-kriza-uz-nie-je-sci-fi-europa-chce-spomalit-auta-na-100-km-h-slovensko-sa-buri-uz-teraz\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\"> \t\t\t\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/kolaz-rychlostny-limit-na-dialniciach-stvorec.jpg\" class=\"promo-clanok-image\" alt=\"kolaz rychlostny limit NDS TASR Milan Kapusta\"\/> \t\t\t \t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\u010c\u00edtajte viac \t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\tLimit 100 km\/h na slovensk\u00fdch dia\u013eniciach je na stole. Skon\u010dia cestn\u00ed pir\u00e1ti kv\u00f4li \u0161etreniu paliva? \t\t\t\t \t\t\t \t\t\t<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Zauj\u00edmav\u00e9 je aj to, \u017ee model ukazuje vz\u00e1jomn\u00e9 prepojenie jednotliv\u00fdch \u010dast\u00ed cestnej siete. V\u00fdstavba jedn\u00e9ho \u00faseku toti\u017e \u010dasto ovplyvn\u00ed dopravu aj desiatky kilometrov od neho. Analytici to ilustruj\u00fa na pr\u00edklade dokon\u010denia r\u00fdchlostnej cesty R1 medzi Nitrou a Bratislavou. \u010cas\u0165 vodi\u010dov by pod\u013ea modelu presunula svoje trasy pr\u00e1ve na t\u00fato komunik\u00e1ciu, \u010do by n\u00e1sledne zn\u00ed\u017eilo intenzitu dopravy na \u00faseku dia\u013enice D1 medzi Trnavou a Bratislavou.<\/p>\n<p>V\u00fdstupy modelu by v\u00a0bud\u00facnosti mohli sl\u00fa\u017ei\u0165 ako jeden z\u00a0podkladov pri hodnoten\u00ed ve\u013ek\u00fdch dopravn\u00fdch invest\u00edci\u00ed, pr\u00edprave \u0161t\u00fadi\u00ed uskuto\u010dnite\u013enosti aj pri ur\u010dovan\u00ed poradia, v\u00a0akom by sa mali jednotliv\u00e9 projekty realizova\u0165. In\u00fdmi slovami, \u0161t\u00e1t by mal v\u010faka nim lep\u0161iu predstavu o\u00a0tom, kde nov\u00e9 cesty prines\u00fa najv\u00e4\u010d\u0161\u00ed \u00fa\u017eitok.<\/p>\n<p>Ako sa vytv\u00e1ral dopravn\u00fd model?<\/p>\n<p>Analytici rozdelili Slovensko a jeho okolie na 236\u00a0z\u00f3n. Tak\u00e9to \u010dlenenie vych\u00e1dza najm\u00e4 z\u00a0okresov a sl\u00fa\u017ei na odhad po\u010dtu ciest, ktor\u00e9 sa v\u00a0danej oblasti za\u010d\u00ednaj\u00fa alebo kon\u010dia. V\u00a0niektor\u00fdch pr\u00edpadoch v\u0161ak analytici rozdelili okres na viac z\u00f3n, aby presnej\u0161ie zachytili dopravn\u00e9 vz\u0165ahy. T\u00fdka sa to najm\u00e4 okresov s\u00a0viacer\u00fdmi v\u00e4\u010d\u0161\u00edmi mestami, v\u00fdznamn\u00fdmi priemyseln\u00fdmi centrami alebo roz\u013eahl\u00fdm \u00fazem\u00edm.<\/p>\n<p>D\u00f4le\u017eitou s\u00fa\u010das\u0165ou pr\u00e1ce bolo aj zos\u00faladenie \u00fadajov o\u00a0po\u010dte obyvate\u013eov, ktor\u00ed cesty a vlaky vyu\u017e\u00edvaj\u00fa. Analytici zapracovali \u00fadaje z\u00a0Registra fyzick\u00fdch os\u00f4b a d\u00e1ta zo s\u010d\u00edtania obyvate\u013eov. Model tak pracoval s\u00a0popul\u00e1ciou 5\u00a0190\u00a0737\u00a0obyvate\u013eov, ktor\u00ed sa podie\u013eaj\u00fa na tvorbe dopravy na \u00fazem\u00ed Slovenska.<\/p>\n<p>\u00c1ut bude viac<\/p>\n<p>Ak sa naplnia s\u00fa\u010dasn\u00e9 demografick\u00e9 a ekonomick\u00e9 predpoklady, Slovensko bude ma\u0165 v\u00a0roku 2050\u00a0menej cestuj\u00facich ako dnes. Pod\u013ea v\u00fdpo\u010dtov odborn\u00edkov by osobn\u00e1 doprava na cest\u00e1ch mohla klesn\u00fa\u0165 pribli\u017ene o\u00a0\u0161es\u0165 percent a na \u017eeleznici dokonca o\u00a0takmer 13\u00a0percent.<\/p>\n<p>Za zmenami stoj\u00ed najm\u00e4 demografick\u00fd v\u00fdvoj. Slovensko starne a z\u00e1rove\u0148 sa zni\u017euje po\u010det obyvate\u013eov. Pod\u013ea progn\u00f3zy Slovenskej akad\u00e9mie vied by malo do roku 2050\u00a0ubudn\u00fa\u0165 pribli\u017ene \u0161tyri percent\u00e1 popul\u00e1cie. Zauj\u00edmav\u00e9 pritom je, \u017ee \u00fabytok cestuj\u00facich nezastav\u00ed ani \u010fal\u0161\u00ed rast po\u010dtu \u00e1ut. Analytici odhaduj\u00fa, \u017ee do roku 2050\u00a0st\u00fapne po\u010det osobn\u00fdch vozidiel na tis\u00edc obyvate\u013eov pribli\u017ene o\u00a036\u00a0percent.<\/p>\n<p>Na prv\u00fd poh\u013ead to znie paradoxne, no za rastom nebude prudk\u00fd n\u00e1rast po\u010dtu vodi\u010dov. Po\u010det \u013eud\u00ed vyu\u017e\u00edvaj\u00facich auto by mal pod\u013ea progn\u00f3z vzr\u00e1s\u0165 len pribli\u017ene o\u00a016\u00a0percent. Viac \u00e1ut toti\u017e bud\u00fa vlastni\u0165 najm\u00e4 dom\u00e1cnosti, ktor\u00e9 u\u017e jedno vozidlo maj\u00fa, pr\u00edpadne seniori, ktor\u00ed si automobil ponechaj\u00fa aj po odchode do d\u00f4chodku.<\/p>\n<p>\t<a class=\"promo-clanok\" href=\"https:\/\/ekonomika.pravda.sk\/krajina\/clanok\/808181-bratislavsky-obchvat-mohol-byt-hotovy-pri-tuneli-karpaty-sa-podla-analytika-spravila-zasadna-chyba\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\"> \t\t\t\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/vizualizacia-vychodneho-portalu-tunelu-karpaty-stvorec.jpg\" class=\"promo-clanok-image\" alt=\"Vychodny portal tunelu Karpaty. Zdroj NDS\"\/> \t\t\t \t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\u010c\u00edtajte viac \t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\tBratislavsk\u00fd obchvat mohol by\u0165 hotov\u00fd. Pri tuneli Karpaty sa pod\u013ea analytika spravila z\u00e1sadn\u00e1 chyba \t\t\t\t \t\t\t \t\t\t<\/a><\/p>\n<p>V\u00fdrazne sa zmen\u00ed aj vekov\u00e1 \u0161trukt\u00fara vodi\u010dov. K\u00fdm po\u010det ekonomicky akt\u00edvnych \u013eud\u00ed, ktor\u00ed vlastnia auto, by mal do roku 2050\u00a0mierne klesn\u00fa\u0165, po\u010det ekonomicky neakt\u00edvnych obyvate\u013eov s\u00a0autom m\u00f4\u017ee nar\u00e1s\u0165 a\u017e o\u00a0takmer tri \u0161tvrtiny. D\u00f4vod je jednoduch\u00fd\u00a0\u2013 dne\u0161n\u00e1 gener\u00e1cia vodi\u010dov zostarne, no svojich \u00e1ut sa nevzd\u00e1. Slovensko tak bude ma\u0165 s\u00edce viac \u00e1ut, ale menej \u013eud\u00ed, ktor\u00ed ich bud\u00fa vyu\u017e\u00edva\u0165 na ka\u017edodenn\u00e9 doch\u00e1dzanie za pr\u00e1cou.<\/p>\n<p>Kde sa na cest\u00e1ch u\u013eav\u00ed?<\/p>\n<p>Pokles dopravy sa nebude t\u00fdka\u0165 cel\u00e9ho Slovenska rovnako. Menej \u013eud\u00ed by malo cestova\u0165 vo v\u00e4\u010d\u0161ine regi\u00f3nov krajiny, v\u00fdnimkou v\u0161ak zost\u00e1vaj\u00fa niektor\u00e9 oblasti severn\u00e9ho Slovenska a okolie Bratislavy, kde na\u010falej prib\u00fadaj\u00fa obyvatelia satelitn\u00fdch obc\u00ed. Najv\u00fdraznej\u0161ie zmeny by sa mali prejavi\u0165 v\u00a0okol\u00ed \u017diliny a Ru\u017eomberka, kde sa ve\u013ek\u00e1 \u010das\u0165 dia\u013ekovej dopravy presunie z\u00a0dne\u0161n\u00fdch ciest I. triedy na dia\u013enicu\u00a0D1.<\/p>\n<p>Pravda si presk\u00famala interakt\u00edvnu mapu, ktor\u00e1 umo\u017e\u0148uje pozrie\u0165 sa do bud\u00facnosti slovensk\u00fdch ciest. Jej \u010d\u00edtanie je pomerne jednoduch\u00e9. \u010c\u00edm je \u010diara na mape hrub\u0161ia, t\u00fdm v\u00e4\u010d\u0161iu zmenu intenzity dopravy oproti dne\u0161ku analytici predpokladaj\u00fa. Zelen\u00e1 farba ozna\u010duje cesty, na ktor\u00fdch by malo vozidiel ubudn\u00fa\u0165. Naopak, \u017elt\u00e1, oran\u017eov\u00e1 a \u010derven\u00e1 upozor\u0148uj\u00fa na komunik\u00e1cie, kde sa o\u010dak\u00e1va rast dopravy.<\/p>\n<p>Zmeny v\u00a0osobnej doprave sa pod\u013ea modelu prejavia u\u017e do roku 2030.\u00a0Najviac \u00e1ut by malo pribudn\u00fa\u0165 v\u00a0Bratislavskom kraji, najm\u00e4 na hlavn\u00fdch \u0165ahoch smeruj\u00facich do hlavn\u00e9ho mesta a z\u00a0jeho z\u00e1zemia. D\u00f4vodom je pokra\u010duj\u00faca suburbaniz\u00e1cia aj rast po\u010dtu \u013eud\u00ed, ktor\u00ed za pr\u00e1cou doch\u00e1dzaj\u00fa do Bratislavy z\u00a0okolit\u00fdch obc\u00ed. Mierny rast dopravy o\u010dak\u00e1vaj\u00fa analytici aj pozd\u013a\u017e dia\u013enice D1. Viac \u00e1ut by sa mohlo objavi\u0165 aj v\u00a0okol\u00ed \u017diliny, Pre\u0161ova a Ko\u0161\u00edc, hoci zmeny nebud\u00fa tak\u00e9 v\u00fdrazn\u00e9 ako v\u00a0okol\u00ed hlavn\u00e9ho\u00a0mesta.<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" class=\"lazy article-detail-image\" alt=\"Progn\u00f3za nazna\u010duje, \u017ee do roku 2030 bude cestn\u00e1...\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/prognoza-dopravy-na-rok-2030-clanokW.png\"\/> \t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t\t\tFoto: Analytick\u00fd model dopravnej progn\u00f3zy 2025 \t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\tProgn\u00f3za dopravy na rok 2030 \t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tProgn\u00f3za nazna\u010duje, \u017ee do roku 2030 bude cestn\u00e1 doprava na Slovensku vo v\u0161eobecnosti mierne r\u00e1s\u0165, pri\u010dom najv\u00e4\u010d\u0161\u00ed tlak sa bude s\u00fastre\u010fova\u0165 na Bratislavu a jej z\u00e1zemie. \t\t\t\t\t\t<\/p>\n<p>O\u00a0desa\u0165 rokov nesk\u00f4r sa rozdiely medzi jednotliv\u00fdmi regi\u00f3nmi e\u0161te zv\u00fdraznia. Doprava sa bude \u010doraz viac pres\u00fava\u0165 na hlavn\u00e9 koridory, zatia\u013e \u010do v\u00fdznam \u010dasti region\u00e1lnych ciest bude postupne klesa\u0165.<\/p>\n<p>Bratislavsk\u00fd regi\u00f3n zostane najza\u0165a\u017eenej\u0161ou \u010das\u0165ou krajiny. Rast dopravy sa bude s\u00fastre\u010fova\u0165 najm\u00e4 na vstupn\u00e9 a v\u00fdstupn\u00e9 radi\u00e1ly hlavn\u00e9ho mesta. V\u00e4\u010d\u0161\u00ed n\u00e1por \u00e1ut o\u010dak\u00e1va model aj na severe a severov\u00fdchode Slovenska, predov\u0161etk\u00fdm v\u00a0koridore medzi \u017dilinou, Liptovom a Pre\u0161ovsk\u00fdm krajom. Na v\u00fdzname bud\u00fa z\u00edskava\u0165 aj cesty ved\u00face do Ko\u0161\u00edc a Pre\u0161ova.<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" class=\"lazy article-detail-image\" alt=\"Model predpoklad\u00e1, \u017ee do roku 2040 sa dopravn\u00e9...\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/prognoza-dopravy-na-rok-2040-clanokW.png\"\/> \t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t\t\tFoto: Analytick\u00fd model dopravnej progn\u00f3zy 2025 \t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\tProgn\u00f3za dopravy na rok 2040 \t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tModel predpoklad\u00e1, \u017ee do roku 2040 sa dopravn\u00e9 toky bud\u00fa meni\u0165 intenz\u00edvnej\u0161ie a region\u00e1lne rozdiely bud\u00fa vidite\u013enej\u0161ie. \t\t\t\t\t\t<\/p>\n<p>Naopak, niektor\u00fdm cest\u00e1m sa m\u00f4\u017ee u\u013eavi\u0165. Najm\u00e4 v\u00a0strednom a ju\u017enom Slovensku analytici predpokladaj\u00fa pokles intenzity dopravy pribli\u017ene o\u00a05\u00a0a\u017e 15\u00a0percent oproti dne\u0161ku. \u010cas\u0165 vodi\u010dov sa toti\u017e presunie na kapacitnej\u0161ie a r\u00fdchlej\u0161ie\u00a0trasy.<\/p>\n<p>V\u00fdh\u013ead do roku 2050\u00a0ukazuje e\u0161te v\u00fdraznej\u0161iu koncentr\u00e1ciu dopravy na men\u0161\u00ed po\u010det k\u013e\u00fa\u010dov\u00fdch komunik\u00e1ci\u00ed. K\u00fdm hlavn\u00e9 koridory bud\u00fa \u010doraz vy\u0165a\u017eenej\u0161ie, na viacer\u00fdch ved\u013eaj\u0161\u00edch cest\u00e1ch bude \u00e1ut postupne ub\u00fada\u0165.<\/p>\n<p>Bratislava si pod\u013ea modelu udr\u017e\u00ed poz\u00edciu najv\u00fdznamnej\u0161ieho dopravn\u00e9ho uzla krajiny. V\u00a0jej okol\u00ed sa aj na\u010falej o\u010dak\u00e1va rast dopravy pribli\u017ene o\u00a010\u00a0a\u017e 15\u00a0percent. Siln\u00fd rast si zachov\u00e1 aj severn\u00fd koridor od Pova\u017eia cez \u017dilinu a\u017e po severov\u00fdchod Slovenska, ktor\u00fd bude na\u010falej patri\u0165 medzi najvyu\u017e\u00edvanej\u0161ie dopravn\u00e9 osi v\u00a0krajine.<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" class=\"lazy article-detail-image\" alt=\"Progn\u00f3za pre rok 2050 nazna\u010duje, \u017ee Slovensko...\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/prognoza-osobnej-dopravy-na-rok-2050-clanokW.png\"\/> \t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t\t\tFoto: Analytick\u00fd model dopravnej progn\u00f3zy 2025 \t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\tProgn\u00f3za osobnej dopravy na rok 2050 \t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tProgn\u00f3za pre rok 2050 nazna\u010duje, \u017ee Slovensko bude ma\u0165 v\u00fdraznej\u0161ie koncentrovan\u00e9 dopravn\u00e9 toky ne\u017e dnes. Hlavn\u00e9 ekonomick\u00e9 centr\u00e1, najm\u00e4 Bratislava a vybran\u00e9 severn\u00e9 koridory, bud\u00fa na\u010falej pri\u0165ahova\u0165 rast\u00faci objem dopravy. \t\t\t\t\t\t<\/p>\n<p>Na z\u00e1padnom a juhoz\u00e1padnom Slovensku v\u0161ak pribudne viac komunik\u00e1ci\u00ed, na ktor\u00fdch doprava klesne, miestami a\u017e o\u00a010\u00a0a\u017e 15\u00a0percent. Zmie\u0161an\u00fd v\u00fdvoj \u010dak\u00e1 v\u00fdchod krajiny. K\u00fdm hlavn\u00e9 \u0165ahy v\u00a0okol\u00ed Ko\u0161\u00edc a Pre\u0161ova bud\u00fa \u010falej nabera\u0165 na v\u00fdzname, viacer\u00e9 ved\u013eaj\u0161ie cesty zaznamenaj\u00fa pokles dopravy. Stredn\u00e9 Slovensko zostane pod\u013ea modelu pomerne stabiln\u00e9, s\u00a0miernym poklesom alebo stagn\u00e1ciou intenzity dopravy na v\u00e4\u010d\u0161ine komunik\u00e1ci\u00ed.<\/p>\n<p>Cesty zaplavia kami\u00f3ny<\/p>\n<p>K\u00fdm pri osobnej doprave analytici o\u010dak\u00e1vaj\u00fa sk\u00f4r pokles, pri n\u00e1kladnej doprave je v\u00fdvoj opa\u010dn\u00fd. Pod\u013ea progn\u00f3zy bude Slovenskom do roku 2050\u00a0prech\u00e1dza\u0165 v\u00fdrazne viac tovaru. Model predpoklad\u00e1, \u017ee po\u010det n\u00e1kladn\u00fdch vozidiel na cest\u00e1ch vzrastie oproti roku 2023\u00a0pribli\u017ene o\u00a071\u00a0percent. R\u00e1s\u0165 by mala aj n\u00e1kladn\u00e1 \u017eelezni\u010dn\u00e1 doprava, hoci pomal\u0161\u00edm tempom. Po\u010det n\u00e1kladn\u00fdch vlakov by sa pod\u013ea odhadov mohol zv\u00fd\u0161i\u0165 pribli\u017ene o\u00a043\u00a0percent.<\/p>\n<p>Najv\u00e4\u010d\u0161\u00ed n\u00e1por n\u00e1kladnej dopravy sa bude s\u00fastre\u010fova\u0165 na k\u013e\u00fa\u010dov\u00e9 tranzitn\u00e9 koridory, ktor\u00e9 sp\u00e1jaj\u00fa z\u00e1pad a v\u00fdchod Eur\u00f3py. Slovensko si toti\u017e aj v\u00a0bud\u00facnosti zachov\u00e1 \u00falohu d\u00f4le\u017eitej tranzitnej krajiny.<\/p>\n<p>Najv\u00fdraznej\u0161\u00ed rast kami\u00f3novej dopravy model predpoklad\u00e1 v\u00a0okol\u00ed Bratislavy, kde sa s\u00fastre\u010fuj\u00fa logistick\u00e9 centr\u00e1 a medzin\u00e1rodn\u00e9 dopravn\u00e9 spojenia. Na v\u00fdzname z\u00edska aj severn\u00fd koridor cez Pova\u017eie, \u017dilinu a severov\u00fdchod Slovenska. Pr\u00e1ve tadia\u013e by mala prech\u00e1dza\u0165 \u010doraz v\u00e4\u010d\u0161ia \u010das\u0165 n\u00e1kladnej dopravy smeruj\u00facej cez krajinu.<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" class=\"lazy article-detail-image\" alt=\"K\u00fdm pri osobnej doprave analytici o\u010dak\u00e1vaj\u00fa...\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/prognoza-dopravy-2050-osobna-nakladna-clanokW.png\"\/> \t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t\t\tFoto: Analytick\u00fd model dopravnej progn\u00f3zy 2025 \t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\tProgn\u00f3za dopravy 2050 (osobn\u00e1 + n\u00e1kladn\u00e1) \t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tK\u00fdm pri osobnej doprave analytici o\u010dak\u00e1vaj\u00fa sk\u00f4r pokles, pri n\u00e1kladnej doprave je v\u00fdvoj opa\u010dn\u00fd. Pod\u013ea progn\u00f3zy bude Slovenskom do roku 2050 prech\u00e1dza\u0165 v\u00fdrazne viac tovaru. \t\t\t\t\t\t<\/p>\n<p>Za t\u00fdmto v\u00fdvojom stoj\u00ed predov\u0161etk\u00fdm o\u010dak\u00e1van\u00fd rast ekonomiky. Jednoducho povedan\u00e9, \u010d\u00edm viac sa vyr\u00e1ba, pred\u00e1va a spotreb\u00fava, t\u00fdm viac tovaru treba prepravi\u0165. Rast hospod\u00e1rstva sa tak prirodzene premieta aj do rastu dopravy.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Ako by vyzeralo Slovensko po dokon\u010den\u00ed dia\u013enice z Bratislavy do Ko\u0161\u00edc? Hoci dnes e\u0161te nepozn\u00e1me term\u00edn, kedy sa&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":85422,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[21],"tags":[136,30956,2816,30955,2987,7334,43,40,39,42,41,36],"class_list":["post-85421","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-bratislava","tag-bratislava","tag-dialnica-bratislava-kosice","tag-dialnice","tag-doprava-a-logistika","tag-dopravna-infrastruktura","tag-graf","tag-sk","tag-slovak","tag-slovakia","tag-slovencina","tag-slovensko","tag-spravy"],"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@sk\/116673231150564115","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/85421","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=85421"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/85421\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/85422"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=85421"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=85421"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=85421"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}