{"id":8611,"date":"2026-03-02T19:49:28","date_gmt":"2026-03-02T19:49:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/8611\/"},"modified":"2026-03-02T19:49:28","modified_gmt":"2026-03-02T19:49:28","slug":"plyn-moze-zdraziet-aj-o-130-percent-varuju-analytici-europa-zaziva-pre-konflikt-v-irane-cenove-soky-pocitia-to-aj-slovaci-energetika-ekonomika","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/8611\/","title":{"rendered":"Plyn m\u00f4\u017ee zdra\u017eie\u0165 aj o 130 percent, varuj\u00fa analytici. Eur\u00f3pa za\u017e\u00edva pre konflikt v Ir\u00e1ne cenov\u00e9 \u0161oky, poc\u00edtia to aj Slov\u00e1ci – Energetika – Ekonomika"},"content":{"rendered":"

Budeme po americko-izraelskom \u00fatoku na Ir\u00e1n tankova\u0165 drah\u0161ie? Odpove\u010f na t\u00fato ot\u00e1zku nez\u00e1vis\u00ed len od v\u00fdvoja bojov na Bl\u00edzkom v\u00fdchode, ale predov\u0161etk\u00fdm od bezpe\u010dnosti jedn\u00e9ho \u00fazkeho n\u00e1morn\u00e9ho koridoru, cez ktor\u00fd pr\u00fadi ve\u013ek\u00e1 \u010das\u0165 svetovej energie. Ir\u00e1n toti\u017e le\u017e\u00ed priamo pri Hormuzskom prielive \u2013 strategickom bode glob\u00e1lneho obchodu, ktor\u00fd energetici ozna\u010duj\u00fa za d\u00f4le\u017eit\u00e9 \u201e\u00fazke hrdlo\u201c svetovej energetiky. Ceny ropy aj plynu po vojensk\u00fdch \u00faderoch vysko\u010dili a odborn\u00edci sa zhoduj\u00fa, \u017ee to poc\u00edtia aj Slov\u00e1ci priamo vo svojich pe\u0148a\u017eenk\u00e1ch. <\/p>\n

\t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\tPoh\u013ead zhora na Hormuzsk\u00fd prieliv \t\t\t<\/p>\n

\t \t\t\t Video \t<\/p>\n

Pr\u00e1ve cez Hormuzsk\u00fd prieliv prech\u00e1dza pribli\u017ene p\u00e4tina svetovej spotreby ropy a v\u00fdznamn\u00e1 \u010das\u0165 glob\u00e1lne obchodovan\u00e9ho zemn\u00e9ho plynu, najm\u00e4 skvapalnen\u00e9ho LNG z\u00a0Kataru a \u010fal\u0161\u00edch \u0161t\u00e1tov Perzsk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu. Ak\u00e9ko\u013evek naru\u0161enie dopravy v\u00a0tejto oblasti preto okam\u017eite zdv\u00edha ceny energi\u00ed po celom\u00a0svete.<\/p>\n

Pod\u013ea agent\u00fary Bloomberg zdra\u017eel eur\u00f3psky plyn o\u00a025\u00a0percent po tom,<\/a> \u010do sa tankerov\u00e1 doprava cez Hormuzsk\u00fd prieliv po\u010das v\u00edkendu v\u00fdrazne spomalila. Ide o\u00a0najvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed n\u00e1rast cien komodity od augusta 2023\u00a0a agent\u00fara dod\u00e1va, \u017ee ide z\u00e1rove\u0148 o\u00a0najv\u00fdraznej\u0161\u00ed \u0161ok pre trhy s\u00a0plynom od ruskej inv\u00e1zie na Ukrajinu v\u00a0roku 2022.\u00a0Analytici jednej z\u00a0najvplyvnej\u0161\u00edch investi\u010dn\u00fdch b\u00e1nk na svete Goldman Sachs tvrdia, \u017ee ak by dod\u00e1vky suroviny cez tento k\u013e\u00fa\u010dov\u00fd prieliv nepr\u00fadili cel\u00fd mesiac, ceny plynu by mohli nar\u00e1s\u0165 a\u017e o\u00a0130\u00a0percent.<\/p>\n

\t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\tEvaku\u00e1cia. Dron zasiahol rafin\u00e9riu firmy Aramco \t\t\t<\/p>\n

\t \t\t\t Video \t<\/p>\n

\t\t\t\tEvaku\u00e1cia pracovn\u00edkov. Dron zasiahol rafin\u00e9riu Ras Tanura saudskoarabskej \u0161t\u00e1tnej spolo\u010dnosti Aramco. Video: Reuters\/social media \t\t\t\t\/\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tZdroj: Reuters \t\t\t\t\t\t<\/p>\n

Navy\u0161e katarsk\u00e1 \u0161t\u00e1tna spolo\u010dnos\u0165 QatarEnergy u\u017e medzi\u010dasom vyhl\u00e1sila,<\/a> \u017ee pre \u00fatoky na svoje zariadenia pozastavila produkciu skvapalnen\u00e9ho plynu. Je to d\u00f4le\u017eit\u00e9 preto, \u017ee ide o\u00a0firmu, ktor\u00e1 dod\u00e1va v\u00fdznamn\u00e9 objemy tejto suroviny aj do Eur\u00f3pskej \u00fanie (E\u00da). Katar je z\u00e1rove\u0148 tret\u00edm najv\u00e4\u010d\u0161\u00edm v\u00fdvozcom LNG na svete po Spojen\u00fdch \u0161t\u00e1toch a Austr\u00e1lii a po ruskom \u00fatoku na Ukrajinu sa stal jedn\u00fdm z\u00a0k\u013e\u00fa\u010dov\u00fdch producentov suroviny pre eur\u00f3pske krajiny.<\/p>\n

\t \t\t\t\t\t\"Slovnaft \t\t\t \t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\u010c\u00edtajte viac \t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\tZatla\u010d\u00ed Brusel na Ukrajinu pre rusk\u00fa ropu? Kyjev vraj dr\u017e\u00ed koh\u00fatik Dru\u017eby uzavret\u00fd, rafin\u00e9rie chc\u00fa siahnu\u0165 na \u0161t\u00e1tne z\u00e1soby \t\t\t\t \t\t\t \t\t\t<\/a><\/p>\n

Po tejto spr\u00e1ve pri\u0161iel \u010fal\u0161\u00ed rast ve\u013ekoobchodnej ceny plynu, ktor\u00e1 pre eur\u00f3psky trh nar\u00e1stla asi o\u00a050\u00a0percent a pribl\u00ed\u017eila sa k\u00a0hranici 50\u00a0eur za megawatthodinu (MWh). E\u0161te v\u00a0piatok minul\u00e9ho t\u00fd\u017ed\u0148a, teda de\u0148 pred eskal\u00e1ciou konfliktu, sa plyn pred\u00e1val pribli\u017ene za 32\u00a0eur za\u00a0MWh.<\/p>\n

\t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\tEkon\u00f3m Kovanda o cen\u00e1ch ropy po \u00fatokoch na Ir\u00e1n \t\t\t<\/p>\n

\t \t\t\t Video \t<\/p>\n

\t\t\t\t\u010cesk\u00fd ekon\u00f3m Luk\u00e1\u0161 Kovanda hovor\u00ed o v\u00fdvoji cien ropy po \u00fatokoch na Ir\u00e1n. \t\t\t\t\/\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tZdroj: ta3 \t\t\t\t\t\t<\/p>\n

Obavy na trhu prehlbuj\u00fa aj n\u00edzke \u00farovne z\u00e1sob plynu v\u00a0Eur\u00f3pe. Pod\u013ea on-line syst\u00e9mu AGSI, ktor\u00fd monitoruje stavy suroviny v\u00a0rezerv\u00e1ch, s\u00fa z\u00e1sobn\u00edky v\u00a0E\u00da aktu\u00e1lne pln\u00e9 na menej ako 30\u00a0percent, \u010do je asi o\u00a010\u00a0percent menej ako v\u00a0rovnakom obdob\u00ed minul\u00e9ho roka. Web Euro news upozor\u0148uje,<\/a> \u017ee ni\u017e\u0161ie z\u00e1soby robia krajiny viac zranite\u013en\u00fdmi vo\u010di potenci\u00e1lnym preru\u0161eniam dod\u00e1vok ako cenovej volatilite.<\/p>\n

Energetick\u00fd analytik z\u00a0webu energie-portal.sk Radovan Poto\u010d\u00e1r pre Pravdu zd\u00f4raznil, \u017ee ak zostan\u00fa dod\u00e1vky LNG na dlh\u0161\u00ed \u010das pri\u0161krten\u00e9, nep\u00f4jde iba o\u00a0kr\u00e1tkodob\u00fd \u0161ok, ale na ur\u010dit\u00fd \u010das to bude znamena\u0165 nov\u00fa trhov\u00fa realitu. \u201eDom\u00e1cnostiam sa regulovan\u00e1 cena plynu zmen\u00ed a\u017e od 1.\u00a0janu\u00e1ra 2027, ale odberatelia, ktor\u00ed maj\u00fa dohodu s\u00a0dod\u00e1vate\u013eom na spotov\u00fd trh, poc\u00edtia aktu\u00e1lne dianie bezprostrednej\u0161ie,“ skon\u0161tatoval odborn\u00edk.<\/p>\n

Ministerka hospod\u00e1rstva Denisa Sakov\u00e1 (Hlas) v\u00a0tejto s\u00favislosti vyhl\u00e1sila, \u017ee aktu\u00e1lny v\u00fdvoj ovplyvn\u00ed cel\u00fa Eur\u00f3pu v\u00a0dod\u00e1vkach LNG aj ropy. \u201eSitu\u00e1ciu budeme pozorne sledova\u0165 a na udalosti zareagujeme,“ podotkla \u0161\u00e9fka rezortu hospod\u00e1rstva.<\/p>\n

\t \t\t\t\t\t\"rusko \t\t\t \t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\u010c\u00edtajte viac \t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t\u0164a\u017ek\u00e9 r\u00e1no pre Eur\u00f3pu. Analytik: Po \u00fatokoch na Ir\u00e1n plyn vysko\u010dil o \u0161tvrtinu, nafta prudko zdra\u017eela. Rusko patr\u00ed medzi v\u00ed\u0165azov konfliktu \t\t\t\t \t\t\t \t\t\t<\/a>
\nRopa v\u00a0ohrozen\u00ed<\/p>\n

Odborn\u00edk zo spolo\u010dnosti XTB Matej Bajz\u00edk v\u00a0kontexte aktu\u00e1lneho diania upozor\u0148uje na to, \u017ee finan\u010dn\u00e9 trhy u\u017e neber\u00fa do \u00favahy iba nap\u00e4tie, ale za\u010dali po\u010d\u00edta\u0165 aj s\u00a0re\u00e1lnym geopolitick\u00fdm rizikom a mo\u017enos\u0165ou \u0161ir\u0161ieho vojensk\u00e9ho konfliktu. \u201eIr\u00e1n s\u00edce zatia\u013e prieliv form\u00e1lne neblokuje, no doprava ropy je \u010diasto\u010dne obmedzen\u00e1, ke\u010f\u017ee pre zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00e9 bezpe\u010dnostn\u00e9 riziko sa niektor\u00e9 spolo\u010dnosti zdr\u00e1haj\u00fa posiela\u0165 tankery do oblasti,\u201c dodal expert.<\/p>\n

Ako upozornil makroekonomick\u00fd analytik Slovenskej sporite\u013ene Matej Hor\u0148\u00e1k, Ir\u00e1n patr\u00ed medzi v\u00fdznamn\u00fdch svetov\u00fdch producentov ropy. Minul\u00fd rok vyv\u00e1\u017eal pribli\u017ene 1,6\u00a0mili\u00f3na barelov denne, \u010do z\u00a0neho robilo \u00f4smeho najv\u00e4\u010d\u0161ieho export\u00e9ra na svete. E\u0161te v\u00e4\u010d\u0161\u00ed v\u00fdznam m\u00e1 v\u0161ak geografick\u00e1 poloha krajiny. Cez spom\u00ednan\u00fd Hormuzsk\u00fd prieliv, ktor\u00fd je pribli\u017ene 150\u00a0kilometrov dlh\u00fd a 50\u00a0kilometrov \u0161irok\u00fd, denne prech\u00e1dza viac ne\u017e 20\u00a0mili\u00f3nov barelov ropn\u00fdch kvapal\u00edn a\u00a0LNG.<\/p>\n

V\u00a0d\u00f4sledku vojensk\u00fdch oper\u00e1ci\u00ed je naru\u0161en\u00e1 satelitn\u00e1 navig\u00e1cia, existuje hrozba podm\u00ednovania a doch\u00e1dza k\u00a0\u00fatokom na plavidl\u00e1. Okrem samotn\u00e9ho fyzick\u00e9ho rizika zohr\u00e1va v\u00fdznamn\u00fa \u00falohu aj ochota lodn\u00fdch a pois\u0165ovac\u00edch spolo\u010dnost\u00ed vstupova\u0165 do vojnov\u00fdch z\u00f3n. \u201eU\u017e dnes vid\u00edme, \u017ee tankery sa pred vstupom hromadia alebo sa \u00faplne ot\u00e1\u010daj\u00fa,\u201c hovor\u00ed analytik. Ako dodal, cena ropy Brent po otvoren\u00ed trhov vysko\u010dila o\u00a013\u00a0percent na 82\u00a0dol\u00e1rov za barel, nesk\u00f4r s\u00edce \u010das\u0165 ziskov skorigovala pod hranicu 80\u00a0dol\u00e1rov, no nervozita pod\u013ea neho pretrv\u00e1va.<\/p>\n

\t \t\t\t\t\t\"Chorv\u00e1tsko \t\t\t \t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\u010c\u00edtajte viac \t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\tZelenskyj: Oprava Dru\u017eby je nebezpe\u010dn\u00e1 a ned\u00e1va zmysel. Slovensko \u010falej \u010dak\u00e1 na ropu, riadime sa n\u00fadzov\u00fdm scen\u00e1rom \t\t\t\t \t\t\t \t\t\t<\/a>
\nDrah\u0161ie tankovanie<\/p>\n

Hlavn\u00fd ekon\u00f3m Trinity Bank Luk\u00e1\u0161 Kovanda upozornil na to, \u017ee u\u017e iba samotn\u00fd n\u00e1rast cien ropy smerom k\u00a090\u00a0dol\u00e1rom za barel m\u00f4\u017ee zapr\u00ed\u010dini\u0165 v\u00fdrazn\u00e9 zdra\u017eenie pohonn\u00fdch hm\u00f4t u\u00a0na\u0161ich \u010desk\u00fdch susedov. Ceny na \u010derpac\u00edch staniciach by mohli vysko\u010di\u0165 v\u00a0prepo\u010dte a\u017e o\u00a030\u00a0centov za liter, v\u00a0no ak by doprava cez Hormuzsk\u00fd prieliv st\u00e1la dlh\u0161ie, mohlo by \u00eds\u0165 a\u017e o\u00a0dve\u00a0eur\u00e1.<\/p>\n

Pod\u013ea analytika port\u00e1lu energieprevas.sk Jozefa Badidu nedostatok arabskej ropy a LNG vy\u017eenie svetov\u00e9 ceny \u010dierneho zlata a plynu nahor. \u201eProti tomuto stavu nebude im\u00fanne ani Slovensko, a teda n\u00e1rast cien pohonn\u00fdch hm\u00f4t je vysoko pravdepodobn\u00fd,“ povedal pre Pravdu odborn\u00edk s\u00a0t\u00fdm, \u017ee na zlep\u0161enie situ\u00e1cie bude potrebn\u00e9, aby Hormuzsk\u00fd prieliv za\u010dal op\u00e4\u0165 naplno fungova\u0165.<\/p>\n

Expert zo spolo\u010dnosti XTB Matej Bajz\u00edk rovnako hovor\u00ed, \u017ee ceny benz\u00ednu a nafty porast\u00fa aj u\u00a0n\u00e1s. Pohonn\u00e9 l\u00e1tky by pod\u013ea neho mohli v\u00a0priebehu najbli\u017e\u0161\u00edch dn\u00ed zdra\u017eie\u0165 o\u00a0dva a\u017e p\u00e4\u0165 centov za\u00a0liter.<\/p>\n

Pre lep\u0161iu predstavu\u00a0\u2013 liter najpou\u017e\u00edvanej\u0161ieho 95-okt\u00e1nov\u00e9ho benz\u00ednu sa na Slovensku pred\u00e1val v\u00a0polovici febru\u00e1ra v\u00a0priemere za 1,47\u00a0eura. Za liter motorovej nafty vodi\u010di na benz\u00ednkach v\u00a0rovnakom obdob\u00ed zaplatili asi 1,46\u00a0eura. Znamen\u00e1 to, \u017ee ak by scen\u00e1re odborn\u00edkov naplnili, ceny za pohonn\u00e9 hmoty by sa mohli pribl\u00ed\u017ei\u0165 k\u00a0hranici 1,50\u00a0eura za\u00a0liter.<\/p>\n

Ako pripomenul Badida, Slovensko sa ocitlo v\u00a0zlo\u017eitej\u0161ej situ\u00e1cii aj preto, \u017ee na na\u0161e \u00fazemie u\u017e viac ako mesiac nete\u010die ropa cez ropovod Dru\u017eba. Ten je pritom u\u017e desa\u0165ro\u010dia hlavnou trasou dovozu suroviny do krajiny.<\/p>\n

\t \t\t\t\t\t\"rubio \t\t\t \t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\u010c\u00edtajte viac \t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t \t\t\t\t\tRubio v Bratislave: s prezidentom hovoril o obrane, s Ficom o plyne a st\u00edha\u010dk\u00e1ch. Slovensko chce s USA preh\u013abi\u0165 spolupr\u00e1cu \t\t\t\t \t\t\t \t\t\t<\/a><\/p>\n

Vl\u00e1da pre v\u00fdpadok dod\u00e1vok dokonca 18.\u00a0febru\u00e1ra vyhl\u00e1sila n\u00fadzov\u00fd stav a uvo\u013enila \u010das\u0165 strategick\u00fdch z\u00e1sob pre rafin\u00e9riu Slovnaft.<\/a> Hoci z\u00e1sobovanie trhu je zatia\u013e zabezpe\u010den\u00e9 kombin\u00e1ciou rezerv a alternat\u00edvnych dod\u00e1vok cez chorv\u00e1tsky ropovod Adria, ide o\u00a0logisticky aj cenovo n\u00e1ro\u010dnej\u0161ie rie\u0161enie. Ka\u017ed\u00e9 \u010fal\u0161ie nap\u00e4tie na svetov\u00fdch trhoch tak zasahuje Slovensko citlivej\u0161ie ne\u017e v\u00a0obdob\u00ed stabiln\u00fdch dod\u00e1vok.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Budeme po americko-izraelskom \u00fatoku na Ir\u00e1n tankova\u0165 drah\u0161ie? Odpove\u010f na t\u00fato ot\u00e1zku nez\u00e1vis\u00ed len od v\u00fdvoja bojov na…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":8612,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[57,56,55,4407,2793,4827,4717,43,40,42,4828,4826],"class_list":{"0":"post-8611","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-europa","8":"tag-eu","9":"tag-europa","10":"tag-europe","11":"tag-konflikt-iranu-a-izraela","12":"tag-moze","13":"tag-percent","14":"tag-plyn","15":"tag-sk","16":"tag-slovak","17":"tag-slovencina","18":"tag-varuju","19":"tag-zdraziet"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8611","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=8611"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8611\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/8612"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=8611"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=8611"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=8611"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}