{"id":91680,"date":"2026-06-08T09:49:23","date_gmt":"2026-06-08T09:49:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/91680\/"},"modified":"2026-06-08T09:49:23","modified_gmt":"2026-06-08T09:49:23","slug":"predpoved-na-zimu-2026-modely-naznacuju-velky-obrat-pre-slovakov-to-nie-su-dobre-spravy","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/91680\/","title":{"rendered":"Predpove\u010f na zimu 2026: Modely nazna\u010duj\u00fa ve\u013ek\u00fd obrat, pre Slov\u00e1kov to nie s\u00fa dobr\u00e9 spr\u00e1vy"},"content":{"rendered":"

Hoci sa leto e\u0161te len rozbieha a mnoh\u00ed z n\u00e1s netrpezlivo \u010dakaj\u00fa na dlh\u0161iu s\u00e9riu tropick\u00fdch dn\u00ed, meteorol\u00f3govia u\u017e pozorne sleduj\u00fa procesy, ktor\u00e9 m\u00f4\u017eu v\u00fdrazne ovplyvni\u0165 nasleduj\u00facu zimu. Odborn\u00edci u\u017e teraz upozor\u0148uj\u00fa na v\u00fdvoj v atmosf\u00e9re a oce\u00e1noch, ktor\u00fd m\u00f4\u017ee v\u00fdrazne ovplyvni\u0165 po\u010dasie v Eur\u00f3pe vr\u00e1tane Slovenska. V Tichom oce\u00e1ne sa r\u00fdchlo rozv\u00edja siln\u00e9 El Ni\u00f1o a z\u00e1rove\u0148 doch\u00e1dza k v\u00fdznamnej zmene vetrov vo vy\u0161\u0161\u00edch vrstv\u00e1ch atmosf\u00e9ry.<\/p>\n

Pod\u013ea anal\u00fdzy meteorol\u00f3ga Andreja Flisa z port\u00e1lu Severe Weather Europe<\/a> m\u00f4\u017ee pr\u00e1ve spojenie t\u00fdchto javov rozhodn\u00fa\u0165 o tom, \u010di bude zima v Eur\u00f3pe bohat\u00e1 na mrazy a sneh alebo, naopak, prinesie nadpriemern\u00e9 teploty a \u010dastej\u0161ie da\u017ediv\u00e9 po\u010dasie. Kombin\u00e1cia t\u00fdchto faktorov tak m\u00f4\u017ee v nasleduj\u00facich mesiacoch v\u00fdrazne zamie\u0161a\u0165 kartami.<\/p>\n

V atmosf\u00e9re prebieha v\u00fdznamn\u00e1 zmena<\/p>\n

Okrem El Ni\u00f1a meteorol\u00f3govia sleduj\u00fa aj jav ozna\u010dovan\u00fd skratkou QBO. Ide o pravideln\u00e9 striedanie smeru vetrov vo vysokej stratosf\u00e9re nad rovn\u00edkom. Tieto vetry sa pribli\u017ene ka\u017ed\u00fdch 17 mesiacov obracaj\u00fa a ich f\u00e1za dok\u00e1\u017ee ovplyv\u0148ova\u0165 v\u00fdvoj po\u010dasia na severnej pologuli.<\/p>\n

Aktu\u00e1lne merania ukazuj\u00fa n\u00e1stup takzvanej z\u00e1padnej f\u00e1zy QBO. Sama osebe by pre be\u017en\u00e9ho \u010dloveka nemusela znamena\u0165 ni\u010d v\u00fdnimo\u010dn\u00e9, no v kombin\u00e1cii so siln\u00fdm El Ni\u00f1om m\u00f4\u017ee ovplyvni\u0165 rozlo\u017eenie tlakov\u00fdch \u00fatvarov nad Atlantikom a Eur\u00f3pou. Pr\u00e1ve od nich n\u00e1sledne z\u00e1vis\u00ed, \u010di sa k n\u00e1m bude dost\u00e1va\u0165 studen\u00fd arktick\u00fd vzduch, alebo prevl\u00e1dne miernej\u0161ie oce\u00e1nske pr\u00fadenie.<\/p>\n

Meteorol\u00f3govia preto u\u017e teraz porovn\u00e1vaj\u00fa aktu\u00e1lnu situ\u00e1ciu s podobn\u00fdmi obdobiami z minulosti. Hoci nejde o presn\u00fa predpove\u010f, historick\u00e9 \u00fadaje m\u00f4\u017eu nazna\u010di\u0165, ak\u00fdm smerom sa m\u00f4\u017ee v\u00fdvoj ubera\u0165.<\/p>\n

\"Die\u0165a\"Die\u0165a<\/a>Ilustra\u010dn\u00e1 foto: SITA\/AP<\/p>\n

Pre Slovensko by to mohlo znamena\u0165 \u010dastej\u0161ie teplotn\u00e9 v\u00fdkyvy, menej stabiln\u00fdch mraziv\u00fdch obdob\u00ed a v\u00e4\u010d\u0161\u00ed po\u010det dn\u00ed s da\u017e\u010fom namiesto sne\u017eenia, najm\u00e4 v ni\u017e\u0161\u00edch poloh\u00e1ch. Neznamen\u00e1 to v\u0161ak, \u017ee zima bude bez snehu. Sk\u00f4r sa zvy\u0161uje pravdepodobnos\u0165, \u017ee snehov\u00e1 pokr\u00fdvka bude menej trv\u00e1cna a v\u00fdraznej\u0161ie ochladenia bud\u00fa prich\u00e1dza\u0165 len vo vln\u00e1ch.<\/p>\n

Historick\u00e9 anal\u00fdzy ukazuj\u00fa, \u017ee po\u010das podobn\u00fdch zimn\u00fdch sez\u00f3n sa viac snehu objavovalo v severnej Eur\u00f3pe, na Britsk\u00fdch ostrovoch, v \u0160kandin\u00e1vii a v severnej \u010dasti \u00c1lp. Naopak, stredn\u00e1 a juhov\u00fdchodn\u00e1 Eur\u00f3pa, kam patr\u00ed aj Slovensko, \u010dasto zaznamen\u00e1vala menej priazniv\u00e9 podmienky na tvorbu snehovej pokr\u00fdvky. D\u00f4vodom b\u00fdva nedostatok dostato\u010dne studen\u00e9ho vzduchu.<\/p>\n

Pr\u00e1ve preto m\u00f4\u017ee by\u0165 rozhoduj\u00face, ako sa po\u010das zimy bude spr\u00e1va\u0165 pol\u00e1rny v\u00edr, ktor\u00fd zadr\u017eiava arktick\u00fd vzduch nad severn\u00fdmi oblas\u0165ami plan\u00e9ty.<\/p>\n

Pol\u00e1rny v\u00edr m\u00f4\u017ee v\u0161etko zmeni\u0165<\/p>\n

Napriek v\u0161etk\u00fdm doteraj\u0161\u00edm n\u00e1znakom odborn\u00edci upozor\u0148uj\u00fa, \u017ee existuje faktor, ktor\u00fd m\u00f4\u017ee cel\u00fa situ\u00e1ciu v\u00fdrazne zmeni\u0165. Ide o pol\u00e1rny v\u00edr, rozsiahly syst\u00e9m cirkul\u00e1cie vzduchu nad Arkt\u00eddou.<\/p>\n

\"Pol\u00e1rny\"Pol\u00e1rny<\/a>Ilustra\u010dn\u00e1 foto: NASA\/Goddard Space Flight Center Scientific Visualization Studio<\/p>\n

Ak zostane po\u010das zimy stabiln\u00fd a siln\u00fd, v\u00e4\u010d\u0161ina studen\u00e9ho vzduchu zostane uzamknut\u00e1 v severn\u00fdch oblastiach. Ak v\u0161ak d\u00f4jde k jeho oslabeniu alebo k naru\u0161eniu, arktick\u00fd vzduch sa m\u00f4\u017ee vyda\u0165 na juh a zasiahnu\u0165 aj Eur\u00f3pu.<\/p>\n

Pr\u00e1ve tak\u00e9to situ\u00e1cie \u010dasto prin\u00e1\u0161aj\u00fa najv\u00fdraznej\u0161ie mrazy a snehov\u00e9 kalamity. M\u00f4\u017eu sa vyskytn\u00fa\u0165 aj po\u010das zimy, ktor\u00e1 je v celkovom priemere teplej\u0161ia ne\u017e zvy\u010dajne. Preto meteorol\u00f3govia zd\u00f4raz\u0148uj\u00fa, \u017ee dlhodob\u00e9 progn\u00f3zy treba vn\u00edma\u0165 sk\u00f4r ako nazna\u010denie trendu ne\u017e ako presn\u00fa predpove\u010f konkr\u00e9tnych tepl\u00f4t \u010di mno\u017estva snehu.<\/p>\n

Na definit\u00edvne z\u00e1very je e\u0161te skoro<\/p>\n

Do za\u010diatku zimy zost\u00e1va pribli\u017ene pol roka a atmosf\u00e9rick\u00e9 podmienky sa m\u00f4\u017eu e\u0161te meni\u0165. U\u017e teraz je v\u0161ak zrejm\u00e9, \u017ee zima 2026\/2027 nebude z\u00e1visie\u0165 len od jedn\u00e9ho faktora. O jej charaktere rozhodne kombin\u00e1cia silnej\u00faceho El Ni\u00f1a, v\u00fdvoja vetrov vo vy\u0161\u0161\u00edch vrstv\u00e1ch atmosf\u00e9ry a spr\u00e1vania pol\u00e1rneho v\u00edru.<\/p>\n

Aktu\u00e1lne n\u00e1znaky pritom nie s\u00fa ve\u013emi priazniv\u00e9 pre milovn\u00edkov dlhotrvaj\u00facej snehovej pokr\u00fdvky v n\u00ed\u017ein\u00e1ch. Ak sa s\u00fa\u010dasn\u00e9 predpoklady potvrdia, Slovensko m\u00f4\u017ee za\u017ei\u0165 zimu s \u010dastej\u0161\u00edmi atlantick\u00fdmi frontmi, s vy\u0161\u0161\u00edmi teplotami a s men\u0161\u00edm mno\u017estvom snehu mimo horsk\u00fdch oblast\u00ed. Na kone\u010dn\u00fd verdikt si v\u0161ak budeme musie\u0165 e\u0161te nieko\u013eko mesiacov po\u010dka\u0165.<\/p>\n

Pozri aj:<\/p>\n


\n \"Pozri\"Pozri
\n <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Hoci sa leto e\u0161te len rozbieha a mnoh\u00ed z n\u00e1s netrpezlivo \u010dakaj\u00fa na dlh\u0161iu s\u00e9riu tropick\u00fdch dn\u00ed, meteorol\u00f3govia…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":91681,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[32],"tags":[14108,34,37,33,1654,43,40,39,42,41,36,38,35,1606],"class_list":["post-91680","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-spravy","tag-dlhodoba-predpoved","tag-headlines","tag-hlavne-spravy","tag-news","tag-predpoved-pocasia","tag-sk","tag-slovak","tag-slovakia","tag-slovencina","tag-slovensko","tag-spravy","tag-titulky","tag-top-stories","tag-zima"],"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@sk\/116713866191759788","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/91680","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=91680"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/91680\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/91681"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=91680"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=91680"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=91680"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}