The final ATP 500 Barcelona Round of 16 matches on April 14 highlight several strong value opportunities. Juan Manuel Cerundolo’s clay-court form makes him a slight favourite despite the odds. Arthur Fils is expected to assert his dominance comfortably, and Mariano Navone’s excellent recent run on clay could see him upset Andrey Rublev in a competitive clash.

ATP 500 Barcelona 1/16-Finals

Nakashima – Cerundolo J.M.: 14.04.2026 16:00 CEST
H2H: 2-0

Brandon Nakashima has lost three of his last five matches. The last match he played was in Houston, where he lost to Burruchaga in the 1/8-Finals in three sets. Last season in Barcelona, the American lost to Martinez in the opening round in three sets.

Juan Manuel Cerundolo has won four of his last five matches. This week in Barcelona, Cerundolo qualified for the main draw of the tournament. In the final qualifying round, the Argentine defeated de Jong in straight sets.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, this will be a 50-50 matchup, but we disagree. Nakashima never succeeded on clay courts. On the other hand, Cerundolo dominated in the qualifying tournament and played his best tennis on clay.

That being said, J.M. Cerundolo winning is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Juan Manuel Cerundolo winning @1.80 @bet365

Fils – Atmane: 14.04.2026 17:30 CEST
H2H: first meeting

Arthur Fils has won four of his last five matches. The last match he played was in Miami, where he lost to Lehecka in the semifinals. Last season in Barcelona, the Frenchman lost to Alcaraz in the semifinals in straight sets.

Terence Atmane has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Monte Carlo, Atmane lost to Etcheverry in the second round in three sets. He hopes for a solid result this week to cement his place in the top 50.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Fils is the favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He enjoys playing on clay, especially in Barcelona. We expect him to dominate and get a comfortable win.

That being said, Fils winning in straight sets is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Arthur Fils winning 2-0 @1.67 @bet365

Navone – Rublev: 14.04.2026 17:30 CEST
H2H: first meeting

Mariano Navone has won five straight matches. Two weeks ago in Bucharest, Navone won the title, defeating Merida Aguilar in the final. Around this time last season. The Argentine played in Munich, where he lost to Goffin in the second round.

Andrey Rublev has lost three of his last five matches. Last week in Monte Carlo, Rublev lost to Bergs in the second round. Last season in Barcelona, the Russian lost to Davidovich Fokina in the second round in straight sets.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Navone is the slight underdog in this matchup, but we disagree. He enjoys playing on clay and had more than enough time to rest and prepare for this week after winning the title in Bucharest. We expect him to be a better player today.

That being said, Navone winning is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Mariano Navone winning @2.38 @bet365

Main Photo Credit: Susan Mullane-USA TODAY Sports